Rockets vs. Mavericks Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Rockets vs. Mavericks NBA game on January 3, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NBA
Rockets
104
110
American Airlines Center
Mavericks
American Airlines Center
TEAM1234T
Rockets
31 19 25 29 104
Mavericks
25 32 30 23 110
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Rockets
    <1%
  • Mavericks
    >99%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Rockets
31 19 25 29 104
Mavericks
25 32 30 23 110
Q4 00:03 Tari Eason makes three point pullup jump shot (Aaron Holiday assists)
Q4 00:31 Jabari Smith Jr. misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:36 Kevin Durant misses three point running jump shot
Q4 00:52 Max Christie makes two point driving dunk
Q4 1:07 Tari Eason makes three point jump shot (Kevin Durant assists)
Q4 1:14 Jabari Smith Jr. misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:28 Brandon Williams makes two point driving layup (Naji Marshall assists)
Q4 1:42 Kevin Durant makes two point driving layup
Q4 1:54 Anthony Davis misses two point driving finger roll layup
Q4 2:39 Kevin Durant makes two point driving layup
Play by Play
  1. Q4 00:00
    End of 4th Quarter.
  2. Q4 00:03
    +3
    Tari Eason makes three point pullup jump shot (Aaron Holiday assists)
    104-110
  3. Q4 00:05
    Mavericks turnover (shot clock violation)
  4. Q4 00:28
    Naji Marshall defensive rebound
  5. Q4 00:31
    Jabari Smith Jr. misses three point jump shot
  6. Q4 00:32
    Anthony Davis defensive rebound
  7. Q4 00:32
    Jabari Smith Jr. personal foul (Anthony Davis draws the foul)
  8. Q4 00:32
    +1
    Anthony Davis makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    101-109
  9. Q4 00:32
    Rockets 60 second timeout
  10. Q4 00:32
    +1
    Anthony Davis makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    101-110
  11. Q4 00:36
    Kevin Durant misses three point running jump shot
  12. Q4 00:39
    Anthony Davis turnover (bad pass) (Aaron Holiday steals)
  13. Q4 00:42
    Aaron Holiday personal foul (Take) (Cooper Flagg draws the foul)
  14. Q4 00:45
    Kevin Durant turnover (bad pass) (Cooper Flagg steals)
  15. Q4 00:52
    +2
    Max Christie makes two point driving dunk
    101-108
  16. Q4 00:58
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  17. Q4 00:59
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  18. Q4 1:07
    +3
    Tari Eason makes three point jump shot (Kevin Durant assists)
    101-106
  19. Q4 1:11
    Amen Thompson offensive rebound
  20. Q4 1:14
    Jabari Smith Jr. misses three point jump shot
  21. Q4 1:28
    +2
    Brandon Williams makes two point driving layup (Naji Marshall assists)
    98-106
  22. Q4 1:42
    +2
    Kevin Durant makes two point driving layup
    98-104
  23. Q4 1:51
    Brandon Williams personal foul (Kevin Durant draws the foul)
  24. Q4 1:51
    Tari Eason defensive rebound
  25. Q4 1:51
    Stoppage (Court cleanup)
  26. Q4 1:54
    Anthony Davis misses two point driving finger roll layup
  27. Q4 2:01
    Aaron Holiday personal foul (Naji Marshall draws the foul)
  28. Q4 2:17
    Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, Brandon Williams, Anthony Davis, Cooper Flagg, Max Christie)
  29. Q4 2:17
    Brandon Williams shooting foul (Kevin Durant draws the foul)
  30. Q4 2:17
    Rockets offensive rebound
  31. Q4 2:17
    Kevin Durant misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  32. Q4 2:17
    +1
    Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    96-104
  33. Q4 2:21
    Anthony Davis turnover (bad pass) (Aaron Holiday steals)
  34. Q4 2:39
    +2
    Kevin Durant makes two point driving layup
    95-104
  35. Q4 2:52
    +3
    Klay Thompson makes three point jump shot (Anthony Davis assists)
    93-104
  36. Q4 2:58
    Anthony Davis defensive rebound
  37. Q4 2:59
    Anthony Davis blocks Tari Eason's two point driving layup
  38. Q4 3:06
    Amen Thompson offensive rebound
  39. Q4 3:10
    Aaron Holiday misses three point jump shot
  40. Q4 3:12
    Amen Thompson offensive rebound
  41. Q4 3:18
    Kevin Durant misses three point pullup jump shot
  42. Q4 3:31
    Jabari Smith Jr. offensive rebound
  43. Q4 3:34
    Aaron Holiday misses three point running jump shot
  44. Q4 3:37
    Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
  45. Q4 3:41
    Caleb Martin misses two point driving layup
  46. Q4 3:46
    Anthony Davis defensive rebound
  47. Q4 3:48
    Tari Eason misses two point driving layup
  48. Q4 4:08
    Brandon Williams turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
  49. Q4 4:23
    +1
    Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    93-101
  50. Q4 4:23
    Caleb Martin shooting foul (Amen Thompson draws the foul)
  51. Q4 4:23
    +1
    Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    92-101
  52. Q4 4:38
    Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
  53. Q4 4:41
    Max Christie misses three point jump shot
  54. Q4 4:41
    Mavericks personal foul
  55. Q4 4:43
    Brandon Williams offensive rebound
  56. Q4 4:46
    Aaron Holiday blocks Brandon Williams's two point driving layup
  57. Q4 4:56
    Mavericks lineup change (Brandon Williams, Anthony Davis, Klay Thompson, Max Christie, Caleb Martin)
  58. Q4 4:56
    Rockets lineup change (Aaron Holiday, Tari Eason, Kevin Durant, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson)
  59. Q4 4:56
    +2
    Jabari Smith Jr. makes two point running dunk (Amen Thompson assists)
    91-101
  60. Q4 4:56
    Mavericks 60 second timeout
  61. Q4 4:59
    Kevin Durant defensive rebound
  62. Q4 5:02
    Ryan Nembhard misses three point jump shot
  63. Q4 5:32
    +2
    Kevin Durant makes two point pullup jump shot
    89-101
  64. Q4 5:56
    +3
    Max Christie makes three point jump shot (Ryan Nembhard assists)
    87-101
  65. Q4 6:16
    Max Christie defensive rebound
  66. Q4 6:19
    Kevin Durant misses three point jump shot
  67. Q4 6:36
    +2
    Ryan Nembhard makes two point driving layup
    87-98
  68. Q4 6:56
    +3
    Dorian Finney-Smith makes three point jump shot (Jabari Smith Jr. assists)
    87-96
  69. Q4 7:00
    Kevin Durant defensive rebound
  70. Q4 7:02
    Kevin Durant blocks Cooper Flagg's two point driving layup
  71. Q4 7:16
    Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
  72. Q4 7:18
    Amen Thompson misses three point jump shot
  73. Q4 7:30
    Dorian Finney-Smith defensive rebound
  74. Q4 7:32
    Anthony Davis misses two point turnaround bank jump shot
  75. Q4 7:50
    Anthony Davis defensive rebound
  76. Q4 7:54
    Dorian Finney-Smith misses three point jump shot
  77. Q4 8:01
    Jabari Smith Jr. offensive rebound
  78. Q4 8:02
    Amen Thompson misses two point tip layup
  79. Q4 8:02
    Amen Thompson offensive rebound
  80. Q4 8:07
    Aaron Holiday misses three point jump shot
  81. Q4 8:14
    Amen Thompson defensive rebound
  82. Q4 8:16
    Cooper Flagg misses two point driving floating jump shot
  83. Q4 8:33
    Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, Ryan Nembhard, Anthony Davis, Cooper Flagg, Max Christie)
  84. Q4 8:33
    +2
    Amen Thompson makes two point driving layup
    84-96
  85. Q4 8:33
    Mavericks 60 second timeout
  86. Q4 8:33
    Rockets lineup change (Aaron Holiday, Kevin Durant, Dorian Finney-Smith, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson)
  87. Q4 8:41
    Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
  88. Q4 8:43
    Naji Marshall misses two point pullup jump shot
  89. Q4 8:59
    +3
    Kevin Durant makes three point jump shot
    82-96
  90. Q4 9:16
    +3
    Max Christie makes three point pullup jump shot
    79-96
  91. Q4 9:29
    +2
    Kevin Durant makes two point fadeaway jump shot
    79-93
  92. Q4 9:40
    Rockets defensive rebound
  93. Q4 9:40
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  94. Q4 9:43
    Cooper Flagg misses three point jump shot
  95. Q4 9:49
    Dorian Finney-Smith turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
  96. Q4 9:50
    Dorian Finney-Smith defensive rebound
  97. Q4 9:52
    Max Christie misses two point driving layup
  98. Q4 10:09
    Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
  99. Q4 10:12
    Daniel Gafford blocks Amen Thompson's two point running layup
  100. Q4 10:16
    Tari Eason defensive rebound
  101. Q4 10:18
    +1
    Daniel Gafford makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    77-93
  102. Q4 10:18
    Reed Sheppard shooting foul (Daniel Gafford draws the foul)
  103. Q4 10:18
    Rockets lineup change (Tari Eason, Kevin Durant, Dorian Finney-Smith, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson)
  104. Q4 10:18
    Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, Ryan Nembhard, Daniel Gafford, Cooper Flagg, Max Christie)
  105. Q4 10:18
    Daniel Gafford misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  106. Q4 10:20
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  107. Q4 10:20
    Mavericks turnover
  108. Q4 10:35
    Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
  109. Q4 10:37
    Reed Sheppard misses two point jump shot
  110. Q4 10:51
    +3
    Klay Thompson makes three point jump shot (Daniel Gafford assists)
    77-92
  111. Q4 10:58
    Amen Thompson personal foul (Cooper Flagg draws the foul)
  112. Q4 11:03
    Max Christie defensive rebound
  113. Q4 11:06
    Reed Sheppard misses three point pullup jump shot
  114. Q4 11:20
    +2
    Cooper Flagg makes two point driving bank hook shot
    77-89
  115. Q4 11:37
    +2
    Amen Thompson makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Reed Sheppard assists)
    77-87
  116. Q3 00:00
    Tari Eason turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
  117. Q3 00:00
    Klay Thompson misses three point jump shot
  118. Q4 12:00
    Mavericks lineup change (Ryan Nembhard, Daniel Gafford, Cooper Flagg, Klay Thompson, Max Christie)
  119. Q4 12:00
    Rockets lineup change (Tari Eason, Dorian Finney-Smith, Jabari Smith Jr., Reed Sheppard, Amen Thompson)
  120. Q3 00:00
    End of 3rd Quarter.
  121. Q3 00:00
    Mavericks offensive rebound
  122. Q4 12:00
    Start of 4th Quarter
  123. Q3 00:03
    +2
    Anthony Davis makes two point alley-oop dunk (Naji Marshall assists)
    75-87
  124. Q3 00:07
    Tari Eason turnover (lost ball) (Brandon Williams steals)
  125. Q3 00:10
    Brandon Williams turnover (bad pass) (Amen Thompson steals)
  126. Q3 00:29
    Anthony Davis shooting foul (Tari Eason draws the foul)
  127. Q3 00:29
    +1
    Tari Eason makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    74-85
  128. Q3 00:29
    Rockets lineup change (Tari Eason, Dorian Finney-Smith, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson, Josh Okogie)
  129. Q3 00:29
    Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, Brandon Williams, Anthony Davis, Klay Thompson, Max Christie)
  130. Q3 00:29
    +1
    Tari Eason makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    75-85
  131. Q3 00:50
    +2
    Anthony Davis makes two point driving floating jump shot (Brandon Williams assists)
    73-85
  132. Q3 1:07
    +2
    Tari Eason makes two point driving layup (Reed Sheppard assists)
    73-83
  133. Q3 1:30
    +2
    Brandon Williams makes two point driving layup
    71-83
  134. Q3 1:48
    +2
    Josh Okogie makes two point cutting dunk (Reed Sheppard assists)
    71-81
  135. Q3 2:10
    Naji Marshall turnover (bad pass) (Tari Eason steals)
  136. Q3 2:17
    Brandon Williams defensive rebound
  137. Q3 2:19
    Tari Eason misses three point stepback bank jump shot
  138. Q3 2:31
    +1
    Klay Thompson makes technical free throw 1 of 1
    69-81
  139. Q3 2:31
    Brandon Williams personal foul (Tari Eason draws the foul)
  140. Q3 2:31
    Kevin Durant technical foul
  141. Q3 2:31
    Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, Brandon Williams, Anthony Davis, Klay Thompson, Caleb Martin)
  142. Q3 2:31
    Rockets lineup change (Tari Eason, Kevin Durant, Dorian Finney-Smith, Reed Sheppard, Josh Okogie)
  143. Q3 2:31
    Rockets personal foul
  144. Q3 2:31
    Stoppage (Court cleanup)
  145. Q3 2:33
    Clint Capela defensive rebound
  146. Q3 2:35
    Kevin Durant blocks Cooper Flagg's two point driving reverse layup
  147. Q3 2:46
    +2
    Kevin Durant makes two point driving floating jump shot
    69-80
  148. Q3 3:06
    +2
    Caleb Martin makes two point running dunk
    67-80
  149. Q3 3:08
    Clint Capela turnover (bad pass) (Caleb Martin steals)
  150. Q3 3:26
    Tari Eason defensive rebound
  151. Q3 3:28
    Reed Sheppard shooting foul (Brandon Williams draws the foul)
  152. Q3 3:28
    +2
    Brandon Williams makes two point driving finger roll layup
    67-78
  153. Q3 3:28
    Brandon Williams misses regular free throw 1 of 1
  154. Q3 3:28
    Rockets lineup change (Tari Eason, Kevin Durant, Dorian Finney-Smith, Clint Capela, Reed Sheppard)
  155. Q3 3:28
    Mavericks lineup change (Brandon Williams, Anthony Davis, Cooper Flagg, Klay Thompson, Caleb Martin)
  156. Q3 3:32
    Anthony Davis defensive rebound
  157. Q3 3:35
    Jabari Smith Jr. misses two point fadeaway jump shot
  158. Q3 3:52
    +2
    Max Christie makes two point fadeaway jump shot
    67-76
  159. Q3 4:14
    Clint Capela offensive rebound
  160. Q3 4:14
    +2
    Clint Capela makes two point tip layup
    67-74
  161. Q3 4:16
    Cooper Flagg blocks Clint Capela's two point tip layup
  162. Q3 4:16
    Clint Capela offensive rebound
  163. Q3 4:23
    Kevin Durant misses two point pullup jump shot
  164. Q3 4:31
    Caleb Martin personal foul (Kevin Durant draws the foul)
  165. Q3 4:41
    Rockets 60 second timeout
  166. Q3 4:41
    Mavericks lineup change (Brandon Williams, Anthony Davis, Cooper Flagg, Max Christie, Caleb Martin)
  167. Q3 4:41
    Rockets lineup change (Kevin Durant, Dorian Finney-Smith, Clint Capela, Jabari Smith Jr., Reed Sheppard)
  168. Q3 4:43
    +3
    Max Christie makes three point running jump shot (Brandon Williams assists)
    65-74
  169. Q3 4:48
    Brandon Williams defensive rebound
  170. Q3 4:50
    Amen Thompson misses two point pullup jump shot
  171. Q3 5:08
    +2
    Naji Marshall makes two point driving layup
    65-71
  172. Q3 5:16
    Max Christie defensive rebound
  173. Q3 5:20
    Reed Sheppard misses three point jump shot
  174. Q3 5:37
    +2
    Brandon Williams makes two point running dunk (Cooper Flagg assists)
    65-69
  175. Q3 5:39
    Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
  176. Q3 5:47
    Max Christie blocks Kevin Durant's two point pullup jump shot
  177. Q3 6:09
    +2
    Brandon Williams makes two point driving layup
    65-67
  178. Q3 6:26
    +3
    Jabari Smith Jr. makes three point jump shot (Kevin Durant assists)
    65-65
  179. Q3 6:32
    Anthony Davis turnover (bad pass) (Clint Capela steals)
  180. Q3 6:34
    Anthony Davis offensive rebound
  181. Q3 6:38
    Cooper Flagg misses two point driving floating jump shot
  182. Q3 6:44
    Amen Thompson misses three point pullup jump shot
  183. Q3 6:44
    Jabari Smith Jr. misses two point tip layup
  184. Q3 6:44
    Mavericks defensive rebound
  185. Q3 6:44
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  186. Q3 6:44
    Rockets lineup change (Kevin Durant, Clint Capela, Jabari Smith Jr., Reed Sheppard, Amen Thompson)
  187. Q3 6:44
    Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, Brandon Williams, Anthony Davis, Cooper Flagg, Max Christie)
  188. Q3 6:44
    Jabari Smith Jr. offensive rebound
  189. Q3 6:44
    Mavericks 60 second timeout
  190. Q3 6:45
    Clint Capela offensive rebound
  191. Q3 6:54
    Anthony Davis blocks Clint Capela's two point putback layup
  192. Q3 6:55
    Clint Capela offensive rebound
  193. Q3 6:58
    Jabari Smith Jr. misses three point jump shot
  194. Q3 7:00
    Amen Thompson offensive rebound
  195. Q3 7:04
    Clint Capela misses two point driving dunk
  196. Q3 7:15
    Stoppage (Other)
  197. Q3 7:17
    +2
    Daniel Gafford makes two point cutting dunk (Anthony Davis assists)
    62-65
  198. Q3 7:25
    +2
    Amen Thompson makes two point pullup jump shot (Kevin Durant assists)
    62-63
  199. Q3 7:52
    +2
    Max Christie makes two point driving dunk
    60-63
  200. Q3 8:04
    +2
    Kevin Durant makes two point driving floating jump shot
    60-61
  201. Q3 8:20
    Tari Eason defensive rebound
  202. Q3 8:24
    Naji Marshall misses three point jump shot
  203. Q3 8:50
    +2
    Tari Eason makes two point running layup
    58-61
  204. Q3 8:54
    Tari Eason defensive rebound
  205. Q3 8:58
    Anthony Davis misses two point pullup jump shot
  206. Q3 9:21
    +2
    Kevin Durant makes two point jump shot (Amen Thompson assists)
    56-61
  207. Q3 9:23
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  208. Q3 9:31
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  209. Q3 9:34
    Amen Thompson defensive rebound
  210. Q3 9:39
    Cooper Flagg misses three point running jump shot
  211. Q3 9:43
    Max Christie defensive rebound
  212. Q3 9:46
    Kevin Durant misses two point pullup jump shot
  213. Q3 9:58
    Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
  214. Q3 10:00
    +2
    Anthony Davis makes two point driving floating jump shot (Naji Marshall assists)
    54-61
  215. Q3 10:00
    Amen Thompson shooting foul (Anthony Davis draws the foul)
  216. Q3 10:00
    Anthony Davis misses regular free throw 1 of 1
  217. Q3 10:08
    Anthony Davis defensive rebound
  218. Q3 10:11
    Tari Eason misses three point jump shot
  219. Q3 10:33
    +2
    Anthony Davis makes two point fadeaway jump shot
    54-59
  220. Q3 10:56
    +2
    Clint Capela makes two point putback layup
    54-57
  221. Q3 10:56
    Clint Capela offensive rebound
  222. Q3 11:00
    Jabari Smith Jr. misses three point jump shot
  223. Q3 11:12
    Kevin Durant defensive rebound
  224. Q3 11:16
    Anthony Davis misses three point jump shot
  225. Q3 11:37
    +2
    Amen Thompson makes two point running layup (Clint Capela assists)
    52-57
  226. Q3 11:44
    Anthony Davis turnover (lost ball) (Clint Capela steals)
  227. Q2 00:00
    Brandon Williams defensive rebound
  228. Q2 00:00
    Mavericks misses heave shot
  229. Q2 00:00
    Mavericks offensive rebound
  230. Q2 00:00
    End of 1st Half.
  231. Q3 12:00
    Rockets lineup change (Tari Eason, Kevin Durant, Clint Capela, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson)
  232. Q3 12:00
    Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, Daniel Gafford, Anthony Davis, Cooper Flagg, Max Christie)
  233. Q3 12:00
    Start of 3rd Quarter
  234. Q2 00:02
    Amen Thompson misses two point driving layup
  235. Q2 00:04
    Brandon Williams personal foul (Take) (Reed Sheppard draws the foul)
  236. Q2 00:04
    Rockets lineup change (Tari Eason, Kevin Durant, Jabari Smith Jr., Reed Sheppard, Amen Thompson)
  237. Q2 00:04
    Mavericks lineup change (Brandon Williams, Anthony Davis, Klay Thompson, Max Christie, Caleb Martin)
  238. Q2 00:17
    Tari Eason defensive rebound
  239. Q2 00:21
    Naji Marshall misses two point running reverse layup
  240. Q2 00:25
    Brandon Williams defensive rebound
  241. Q2 00:29
    Tari Eason misses two point driving floating bank jump shot
  242. Q2 00:49
    +3
    Brandon Williams makes three point jump shot (Cooper Flagg assists)
    50-57
  243. Q2 00:59
    Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
  244. Q2 1:00
    Amen Thompson misses two point driving floating jump shot
  245. Q2 1:20
    +2
    Anthony Davis makes two point running dunk (Cooper Flagg assists)
    50-54
  246. Q2 1:27
    Reed Sheppard turnover (bad pass) (Cooper Flagg steals)
  247. Q2 1:36
    +2
    Naji Marshall makes two point running finger roll layup (Cooper Flagg assists)
    50-52
  248. Q2 1:39
    Anthony Davis defensive rebound
  249. Q2 1:43
    Tari Eason misses three point jump shot
  250. Q2 1:51
    Tari Eason defensive rebound
  251. Q2 1:53
    Amen Thompson blocks Klay Thompson's two point pullup jump shot
  252. Q2 2:10
    Tari Eason offensive rebound
  253. Q2 2:10
    +2
    Tari Eason makes two point tip layup
    50-50
  254. Q2 2:14
    Reed Sheppard misses three point jump shot
  255. Q2 2:16
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  256. Q2 2:37
    Rockets challenge timeout
  257. Q2 2:38
    +1
    Anthony Davis makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    48-49
  258. Q2 2:38
    Kevin Durant shooting foul (Anthony Davis draws the foul)
  259. Q2 2:38
    +1
    Anthony Davis makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    48-50
  260. Q2 2:38
    Instant replay (Challenge: Stands)
  261. Q2 2:38
    Rockets 60 second timeout
  262. Q2 2:38
    Rockets lineup change (Tari Eason, Clint Capela, Jabari Smith Jr., Reed Sheppard, Amen Thompson)
  263. Q2 2:38
    Rockets 60 second timeout
  264. Q2 2:46
    Klay Thompson defensive rebound
  265. Q2 2:46
    Kevin Durant misses two point pullup jump shot
  266. Q2 2:56
    Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
  267. Q2 2:58
    +2
    Naji Marshall makes two point driving floating jump shot (Cooper Flagg assists)
    48-48
  268. Q2 2:58
    Kevin Durant shooting foul (Naji Marshall draws the foul)
  269. Q2 2:58
    Rockets lineup change (Kevin Durant, Clint Capela, Jabari Smith Jr., Reed Sheppard, Amen Thompson)
  270. Q2 2:58
    Naji Marshall misses regular free throw 1 of 1
  271. Q2 3:14
    +2
    Clint Capela makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Kevin Durant assists)
    48-46
  272. Q2 3:29
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  273. Q2 3:29
    Rockets defensive rebound
  274. Q2 3:30
    Naji Marshall misses three point stepback jump shot
  275. Q2 3:48
    +3
    Reed Sheppard makes three point jump shot (Clint Capela assists)
    46-46
  276. Q2 3:57
    Clint Capela defensive rebound
  277. Q2 3:59
    Clint Capela blocks Brandon Williams's two point driving reverse layup
  278. Q2 4:10
    Brandon Williams shooting foul (Kevin Durant draws the foul)
  279. Q2 4:10
    +1
    Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    43-46
  280. Q2 4:10
    +1
    Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    42-46
  281. Q2 4:15
    Amen Thompson defensive rebound
  282. Q2 4:15
    Clint Capela blocks Cooper Flagg's two point driving layup
  283. Q2 4:24
    +2
    Amen Thompson makes two point driving floating jump shot
    41-46
  284. Q2 4:32
    +2
    Naji Marshall makes two point running layup (Cooper Flagg assists)
    39-46
  285. Q2 4:35
    Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
  286. Q2 4:38
    Reed Sheppard misses two point pullup jump shot
  287. Q2 4:45
    Rockets lineup change (Tari Eason, Kevin Durant, Clint Capela, Reed Sheppard, Amen Thompson)
  288. Q2 4:45
    Naji Marshall personal foul (Kevin Durant draws the foul)
  289. Q2 4:59
    +2
    Naji Marshall makes two point driving layup
    39-44
  290. Q2 5:16
    +3
    Tari Eason makes three point jump shot (Kevin Durant assists)
    39-42
  291. Q2 5:40
    +1
    Cooper Flagg makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    36-42
  292. Q2 5:40
    +1
    Cooper Flagg makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    36-41
  293. Q2 5:40
    Reed Sheppard shooting foul (Cooper Flagg draws the foul)
  294. Q2 5:40
    Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, Brandon Williams, Anthony Davis, Cooper Flagg, Klay Thompson)
  295. Q2 5:42
    Naji Marshall defensive rebound
  296. Q2 5:44
    Anthony Davis blocks Tari Eason's two point driving layup
  297. Q2 5:59
    Tari Eason defensive rebound
  298. Q2 6:02
    Anthony Davis misses three point pullup jump shot
  299. Q2 6:10
    Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
  300. Q2 6:13
    Josh Okogie misses three point jump shot
  301. Q2 6:22
    Ryan Nembhard turnover (bad pass) (Clint Capela steals)
  302. Q2 6:29
    +2
    Tari Eason makes two point putback layup
    36-40
  303. Q2 6:29
    Tari Eason offensive rebound
  304. Q2 6:29
    Mavericks 60 second timeout
  305. Q2 6:29
    Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, Ryan Nembhard, Anthony Davis, Cooper Flagg, Max Christie)
  306. Q2 6:29
    Rockets lineup change (Tari Eason, Kevin Durant, Clint Capela, Reed Sheppard, Josh Okogie)
  307. Q2 6:31
    Tari Eason misses two point driving layup
  308. Q2 6:53
    +3
    Ryan Nembhard makes three point pullup jump shot
    34-40
  309. Q2 7:04
    Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
  310. Q2 7:07
    Jae'Sean Tate misses three point jump shot
  311. Q2 7:12
    Daniel Gafford turnover (bad pass) (Aaron Holiday steals)
  312. Q2 7:13
    Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
  313. Q2 7:16
    Josh Okogie misses three point jump shot
  314. Q2 7:34
    +2
    Cooper Flagg makes two point pullup jump shot
    34-37
  315. Q2 7:45
    Aaron Holiday personal foul (Ryan Nembhard draws the foul)
  316. Q2 7:45
    Rockets lineup change (Aaron Holiday, Tari Eason, Jabari Smith Jr., Jae'Sean Tate, Josh Okogie)
  317. Q2 7:45
    Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, Ryan Nembhard, Daniel Gafford, Cooper Flagg, Max Christie)
  318. Q2 7:48
    Max Christie defensive rebound
  319. Q2 7:52
    Daniel Gafford blocks Jabari Smith Jr.'s two point driving finger roll layup
  320. Q2 7:57
    Amen Thompson offensive rebound
  321. Q2 8:03
    Aaron Holiday misses three point jump shot
  322. Q2 8:11
    Klay Thompson turnover (bad pass) (Tari Eason steals)
  323. Q2 8:19
    Max Christie defensive rebound
  324. Q2 8:23
    Jabari Smith Jr. misses two point pullup jump shot
  325. Q2 8:30
    Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
  326. Q2 8:33
    Klay Thompson misses two point pullup jump shot
  327. Q2 8:50
    +3
    Jae'Sean Tate makes three point jump shot (Jabari Smith Jr. assists)
    34-35
  328. Q2 9:07
    +2
    Daniel Gafford makes two point alley-oop dunk (Ryan Nembhard assists)
    31-35
  329. Q2 9:16
    Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
  330. Q2 9:19
    Jabari Smith Jr. misses two point fadeaway jump shot
  331. Q2 9:30
    Rockets offensive rebound
  332. Q2 9:30
    Ryan Nembhard personal foul (Loose ball) (Amen Thompson draws the foul)
  333. Q2 9:32
    Jabari Smith Jr. misses three point jump shot
  334. Q2 9:39
    Jae'Sean Tate defensive rebound
  335. Q2 9:41
    Cooper Flagg misses two point running layup
  336. Q2 9:45
    Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
  337. Q2 9:47
    Aaron Holiday misses two point pullup jump shot
  338. Q2 10:00
    +2
    Klay Thompson makes two point running layup (Ryan Nembhard assists)
    31-33
  339. Q2 10:00
    Rockets 60 second timeout
  340. Q2 10:00
    Rockets lineup change (Aaron Holiday, Tari Eason, Jabari Smith Jr., Jae'Sean Tate, Amen Thompson)
  341. Q2 10:06
    Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
  342. Q2 10:08
    Aaron Holiday misses three point jump shot
  343. Q2 10:17
    +2
    Daniel Gafford makes two point driving floating jump shot
    31-31
  344. Q2 10:24
    Reed Sheppard personal foul (Daniel Gafford draws the foul)
  345. Q2 10:35
    Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
  346. Q2 10:39
    Reed Sheppard misses two point pullup jump shot
  347. Q2 11:01
    +2
    Max Christie makes two point driving dunk (Klay Thompson assists)
    31-29
  348. Q2 11:11
    Klay Thompson defensive rebound
  349. Q2 11:15
    Reed Sheppard misses three point jump shot
  350. Q2 11:27
    +2
    Cooper Flagg makes two point running finger roll layup (Max Christie assists)
    31-27
  351. Q2 11:33
    Amen Thompson turnover (bad pass) (Max Christie steals)
  352. Q2 11:46
    Amen Thompson defensive rebound
  353. Q2 11:48
    Klay Thompson misses two point jump shot
  354. Q2 11:51
    Mavericks personal foul
  355. Q1 00:00
    Mavericks misses heave shot
  356. Q1 00:00
    Mavericks offensive rebound
  357. Q1 00:00
    End of 1st Quarter.
  358. Q2 12:00
    Rockets lineup change (Aaron Holiday, Jabari Smith Jr., Reed Sheppard, Jae'Sean Tate, Amen Thompson)
  359. Q2 12:00
    Mavericks lineup change (Ryan Nembhard, Daniel Gafford, Cooper Flagg, Klay Thompson, Max Christie)
  360. Q2 12:00
    Start of 2nd Quarter
  361. Q1 00:02
    Anthony Davis defensive rebound
  362. Q1 00:03
    Clint Capela misses two point alley-oop layup
  363. Q1 00:11
    +2
    Anthony Davis makes two point jump shot
    31-25
  364. Q1 00:30
    +2
    Reed Sheppard makes two point driving layup (Kevin Durant assists)
    31-23
  365. Q1 00:47
    Dorian Finney-Smith defensive rebound
  366. Q1 00:49
    Naji Marshall misses three point jump shot
  367. Q1 00:59
    Anthony Davis defensive rebound
  368. Q1 1:01
    Kevin Durant misses two point pullup jump shot
  369. Q1 1:03
    Dorian Finney-Smith offensive rebound
  370. Q1 1:06
    Kevin Durant misses three point pullup jump shot
  371. Q1 1:25
    Clint Capela defensive rebound
  372. Q1 1:26
    Naji Marshall misses two point driving floating jump shot
  373. Q1 1:52
    +3
    Reed Sheppard makes three point jump shot (Amen Thompson assists)
    29-23
  374. Q1 2:05
    Dorian Finney-Smith defensive rebound
  375. Q1 2:08
    P.J. Washington misses three point jump shot
  376. Q1 2:17
    +2
    Kevin Durant makes two point driving dunk (Reed Sheppard assists)
    26-23
  377. Q1 2:24
    Kevin Durant defensive rebound
  378. Q1 2:25
    Anthony Davis misses two point driving floating jump shot
  379. Q1 2:37
    +2
    Amen Thompson makes two point driving hook shot
    24-23
  380. Q1 3:03
    +2
    Brandon Williams makes two point driving finger roll layup (Naji Marshall assists)
    22-23
  381. Q1 3:10
    Anthony Davis defensive rebound
  382. Q1 3:12
    Rockets defensive rebound
  383. Q1 3:12
    Naji Marshall personal foul (Loose ball) (Clint Capela draws the foul)
  384. Q1 3:12
    Clint Capela misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  385. Q1 3:12
    Rockets offensive rebound
  386. Q1 3:12
    Clint Capela misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  387. Q1 3:14
    Klay Thompson misses three point running jump shot
  388. Q1 3:19
    Brandon Williams defensive rebound
  389. Q1 3:21
    Amen Thompson misses two point pullup jump shot
  390. Q1 3:31
    +2
    Anthony Davis makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Naji Marshall assists)
    22-20
  391. Q1 3:31
    Clint Capela shooting foul (Anthony Davis draws the foul)
  392. Q1 3:31
    +1
    Anthony Davis makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    22-21
  393. Q1 3:41
    Klay Thompson defensive rebound
  394. Q1 3:44
    Dorian Finney-Smith misses three point jump shot
  395. Q1 4:07
    Dorian Finney-Smith shooting foul (Anthony Davis draws the foul)
  396. Q1 4:07
    +1
    Anthony Davis makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    22-17
  397. Q1 4:07
    +1
    Anthony Davis makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    22-18
  398. Q1 4:18
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    31-27
  399. Q1 4:18
    Kevin Durant offensive foul (P.J. Washington draws the foul)
  400. Q1 4:18
    Kevin Durant turnover (offensive foul)
  401. Q1 4:18
    Stoppage (Court cleanup)
  402. Q1 4:32
    +2
    Anthony Davis makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
    22-15
  403. Q1 4:32
    Rockets lineup change (Kevin Durant, Dorian Finney-Smith, Clint Capela, Reed Sheppard, Amen Thompson)
  404. Q1 4:32
    Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, P.J. Washington, Brandon Williams, Anthony Davis, Klay Thompson)
  405. Q1 4:32
    +1
    Anthony Davis makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    22-16
  406. Q1 4:32
    Kevin Durant shooting foul (Anthony Davis draws the foul)
  407. Q1 4:51
    +2
    Clint Capela makes two point driving bank hook shot (Reed Sheppard assists)
    22-13
  408. Q1 5:06
    +2
    Max Christie makes two point running layup
    20-13
  409. Q1 5:11
    P.J. Washington defensive rebound
  410. Q1 5:12
    Tari Eason misses two point driving hook shot
  411. Q1 5:24
    +2
    Anthony Davis makes two point jump shot (Max Christie assists)
    20-11
  412. Q1 5:38
    Anthony Davis shooting foul (Kevin Durant draws the foul)
  413. Q1 5:38
    +1
    Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    20-9
  414. Q1 5:38
    +2
    Kevin Durant makes two point driving floating bank jump shot
    19-9
  415. Q1 5:58
    Rockets lineup change (Tari Eason, Kevin Durant, Clint Capela, Jabari Smith Jr., Reed Sheppard)
  416. Q1 5:58
    Brandon Williams turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
  417. Q1 6:11
    +2
    Kevin Durant makes two point driving floating bank jump shot (Amen Thompson assists)
    17-9
  418. Q1 6:25
    Amen Thompson defensive rebound
  419. Q1 6:28
    Brandon Williams misses two point jump shot
  420. Q1 6:33
    Brandon Williams defensive rebound
  421. Q1 6:35
    Anthony Davis blocks Kevin Durant's two point driving floating jump shot
  422. Q1 6:57
    +3
    Max Christie makes three point jump shot (Brandon Williams assists)
    15-9
  423. Q1 7:07
    Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, P.J. Washington, Brandon Williams, Anthony Davis, Max Christie)
  424. Q1 7:07
    Mavericks 60 second timeout
  425. Q1 7:08
    +2
    Kevin Durant makes two point running layup (Tari Eason assists)
    15-6
  426. Q1 7:11
    Kevin Durant defensive rebound
  427. Q1 7:14
    Kevin Durant blocks Daniel Gafford's two point running layup
  428. Q1 7:16
    Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
  429. Q1 7:20
    P.J. Washington blocks Tari Eason's two point running finger roll layup
  430. Q1 7:25
    Max Christie turnover (bad pass) (Clint Capela steals)
  431. Q1 7:32
    Amen Thompson turnover (bad pass) (P.J. Washington steals)
  432. Q1 7:43
    +2
    Daniel Gafford makes two point driving hook shot
    13-6
  433. Q1 7:48
    Mavericks turnover
  434. Q1 8:08
    +1
    Jabari Smith Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    13-4
  435. Q1 8:08
    +1
    Jabari Smith Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    12-4
  436. Q1 8:08
    Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, P.J. Washington, Daniel Gafford, Anthony Davis, Max Christie)
  437. Q1 8:08
    Cooper Flagg shooting foul (Jabari Smith Jr. draws the foul)
  438. Q1 8:14
    Rockets offensive rebound
  439. Q1 8:14
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  440. Q1 8:15
    Anthony Davis blocks Kevin Durant's two point driving layup
  441. Q1 8:30
    +1
    Cooper Flagg makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    11-4
  442. Q1 8:30
    Tari Eason shooting foul (Cooper Flagg draws the foul)
  443. Q1 8:30
    +1
    Cooper Flagg makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    11-3
  444. Q1 8:48
    Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
  445. Q1 8:51
    Kevin Durant misses three point running jump shot
  446. Q1 8:57
    Amen Thompson defensive rebound
  447. Q1 8:59
    Max Christie misses three point jump shot
  448. Q1 9:21
    +2
    Amen Thompson makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Kevin Durant assists)
    11-2
  449. Q1 9:39
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  450. Q1 9:39
    Cooper Flagg turnover (bad pass) (Clint Capela steals)
  451. Q1 9:48
    +3
    Kevin Durant makes three point pullup jump shot
    9-2
  452. Q1 10:07
    +2
    Max Christie makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Anthony Davis assists)
    6-2
  453. Q1 10:28
    +2
    Kevin Durant makes two point jump shot (Jabari Smith Jr. assists)
    6-0
  454. Q1 10:34
    P.J. Washington personal foul (Loose ball) (Amen Thompson draws the foul)
  455. Q1 10:34
    Amen Thompson misses two point cutting layup
  456. Q1 10:34
    Rockets offensive rebound
  457. Q1 10:40
    +1
    Amen Thompson makes flagrant free throw 2 of 2
    4-0
  458. Q1 10:40
    Cooper Flagg flagrant 1 (Amen Thompson draws the foul)
  459. Q1 10:40
    +1
    Amen Thompson makes flagrant free throw 1 of 2
    3-0
  460. Q1 10:40
    Instant replay (Request: Ruling Overturned)
  461. Q1 10:40
    Cooper Flagg turnover (lost ball) (Amen Thompson steals)
  462. Q1 10:48
    +2
    Amen Thompson makes two point driving floating jump shot (Tari Eason assists)
    2-0
  463. Q1 10:56
    Rockets 60 second timeout
  464. Q1 10:56
    Rockets lineup change (Tari Eason, Kevin Durant, Clint Capela, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson)
  465. Q1 11:06
    Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
  466. Q1 11:10
    Cooper Flagg misses two point pullup jump shot
  467. Q1 11:28
    Max Christie defensive rebound
  468. Q1 11:30
    Amen Thompson misses three point jump shot
  469. Q1 11:41
    Anthony Davis turnover (lost ball) (Amen Thompson steals)
  470. Q1 11:43
    Anthony Davis defensive rebound
  471. Q1 11:45
    Jabari Smith Jr. misses three point jump shot
  472. Q1 12:00
    Rockets lineup change (Tari Eason, Kevin Durant, Jabari Smith Jr., Alperen Sengun, Amen Thompson)
  473. Q1 12:00
    Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Daniel Gafford, Anthony Davis, Cooper Flagg, Max Christie)
  474. Q1 12:00
    Start of 1st Quarter
  475. Q1 12:00
    Alperen Sengun vs. Daniel Gafford (Amen Thompson gains possession)
Box Score
Rockets
PosPlayerPts
Mavericks
PosPlayerPts

Rockets vs. Mavericks: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Rockets vs. Mavericks
  • Date: Saturday, January 3, 2026
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: American Airlines Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Rockets favored at -7.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 228.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Rockets -286, Mavericks +280

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Rockets: 73%
  • Mavericks: 27%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Rockets 118-111 Mavericks.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Rockets a win probability of 73%, while the Mavericks have a win probability of 27%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Rockets are more likely to beat the Mavericks in the NBA game at American Airlines Center on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Rockets vs. Mavericks predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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