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Spurs vs. Pacers Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Spurs vs. Pacers NBA game on January 2, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
123
113
Jan 3, 12AM Gainbridge Fieldhouse
Jan 3, 12AM Gainbridge Fieldhouse
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Spurs | 30 | 41 | 32 | 12 | 123 |
Pacers | 31 | 27 | 31 | 18 | 113 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
>99%
<1%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Spurs | 30 | 41 | 32 | 12 | 123 |
Pacers | 31 | 27 | 31 | 18 | 113 |
Q4 00:27 Pacers makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:39 Pacers misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:01 Pascal Siakam makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:05 Stephon Castle misses two point driving layup
Q4 1:37 Stephon Castle makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:07 De'Aaron Fox makes three point jump shot (Luke Kornet assists)
Q4 2:31 Micah Potter makes three point jump shot
Q4 2:43 Julian Champagnie misses two point jump shot
Q4 3:07 Pacers makes three point jump shot
Q4 3:21 Spurs misses three point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
Spurs turnover (shot clock violation)
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
115-107
Pacers personal foul
Spurs defensive rebound
+1
De'Aaron Fox makes regular free throw 1 of 2
115-107
Pacers lineup change (Andrew Nembhard, Micah Potter, Johnny Furphy, Bennedict Mathurin, Pascal Siakam)
Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Carter Bryant, Keldon Johnson, De'Aaron Fox)
Pacers lineup change (Ethan Thompson, Quenton Jackson, Jarace Walker, Taelon Peter, Kam Jones)
+1
De'Aaron Fox makes regular free throw 2 of 2
115-107
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Micah Potter personal foul (Luke Kornet draws the foul)
Pacers 60 second timeout
Luke Kornet misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Spurs offensive rebound
+1
Luke Kornet makes regular free throw 2 of 2
115-107
Pacers lineup change (Andrew Nembhard, Micah Potter, Aaron Nesmith, Bennedict Mathurin, Pascal Siakam)
+2
Pascal Siakam makes two point jump shot
115-107
Stephon Castle misses two point driving layup
Spurs turnover
Pascal Siakam defensive rebound
Stephon Castle turnover (lost ball)
Pacers turnover
+2
Stephon Castle makes two point jump shot
115-107
Luke Kornet personal foul
+1
Micah Potter makes regular free throw 2 of 2
115-107
+1
Micah Potter makes regular free throw 1 of 2
115-107
+3
De'Aaron Fox makes three point jump shot (Luke Kornet assists)
115-107
Spurs 60 second timeout
Pacers delay of game violation
Spurs lineup change (Luke Kornet, Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Keldon Johnson, De'Aaron Fox)
+3
Micah Potter makes three point jump shot
115-107
Micah Potter defensive rebound
Julian Champagnie misses two point jump shot
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
115-107
Andrew Nembhard defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Julian Champagnie personal foul (Andrew Nembhard draws the foul)
Pacers offensive rebound
Andrew Nembhard misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Andrew Nembhard misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Micah Potter defensive rebound
Kam Jones personal foul (Julian Champagnie draws the foul)
Julian Champagnie misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+1
Julian Champagnie makes regular free throw 1 of 2
115-107
Spurs offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
115-107
Pacers lineup change (Andrew Nembhard, Micah Potter, Kam Jones, Aaron Nesmith, Pascal Siakam)
+1
Julian Champagnie makes regular free throw 1 of 2
115-107
Bennedict Mathurin personal foul
Spurs lineup change (Luke Kornet, Dylan Harper, Harrison Barnes, Julian Champagnie, De'Aaron Fox)
+1
Julian Champagnie makes regular free throw 2 of 2
115-107
+2
Aaron Nesmith makes two point running reverse layup (Bennedict Mathurin assists)
115-107
Bennedict Mathurin defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
115-107
+2
Dylan Harper makes two point putback layup
115-107
Dylan Harper offensive rebound
Julian Champagnie misses three point jump shot
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Pacers defensive rebound
Pacers personal foul
Andrew Nembhard turnover
Spurs 60 second timeout
Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Harrison Barnes, Julian Champagnie, Kelly Olynyk)
Kelly Olynyk offensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Bennedict Mathurin defensive rebound
Lindy Waters III misses three point pullup jump shot
+2
Pascal Siakam makes two point turnaround jump shot
115-107
Spurs turnover
Andrew Nembhard personal foul (Julian Champagnie draws the foul)
Andrew Nembhard turnover (Kelly Olynyk steals)
Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Lindy Waters III, Julian Champagnie, Kelly Olynyk)
Pacers personal foul
+1
Dylan Harper makes regular free throw 1 of 2
115-107
Pacers lineup change (Andrew Nembhard, Micah Potter, Aaron Nesmith, Bennedict Mathurin, Pascal Siakam)
+1
Dylan Harper makes regular free throw 2 of 2
115-107
Stephon Castle defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
115-107
Lindy Waters III defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
115-107
Spurs 60 second timeout
Pacers lineup change (Andrew Nembhard, Ben Sheppard, Johnny Furphy, Bennedict Mathurin, Jay Huff)
+3
Ben Sheppard makes three point jump shot
115-107
Pascal Siakam defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
+2
Pascal Siakam makes two point fadeaway bank jump shot
103-89
Stephon Castle shooting foul (Pascal Siakam draws the foul)
+1
Pascal Siakam makes regular free throw 1 of 1
115-107
Pacers lineup change (Andrew Nembhard, Ben Sheppard, Bennedict Mathurin, Pascal Siakam, Jay Huff)
Ben Sheppard offensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
115-107
Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Pacers 60 second timeout
Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Lindy Waters III, Keldon Johnson, Kelly Olynyk)
Pacers personal foul
+1
Lindy Waters III makes technical free throw 1 of 1
115-107
Pacers lineup change (T.J. McConnell, Ben Sheppard, Bennedict Mathurin, Pascal Siakam, Jay Huff)
+3
Keldon Johnson makes three point jump shot
103-89
Lindy Waters III defensive rebound
T.J. McConnell misses two point running pullup jump shot
Ben Sheppard defensive rebound
Stephon Castle misses two point driving finger roll layup
Aaron Nesmith personal foul
Aaron Nesmith turnover (offensive foul)
Pascal Siakam defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Luke Kornet personal foul
+1
Jay Huff makes regular free throw 1 of 2
115-107
+1
Jay Huff makes regular free throw 2 of 2
115-107
Spurs personal foul
Keldon Johnson misses three point jump shot
De'Aaron Fox offensive rebound
Pacers personal foul
+1
Keldon Johnson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
115-107
Keldon Johnson misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Pacers lineup change (T.J. McConnell, Ben Sheppard, Aaron Nesmith, Pascal Siakam, Jay Huff)
Luke Kornet defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Ben Sheppard defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Luke Kornet defensive rebound
T.J. McConnell misses two point jump shot
Jay Huff defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Pacers offensive rebound
End of 3rd Quarter.
Spurs lineup change (Luke Kornet, Stephon Castle, Lindy Waters III, Keldon Johnson, De'Aaron Fox)
Pacers misses three point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
89-78
Spurs defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Ben Sheppard misses three point jump shot
Johnny Furphy defensive rebound
De'Aaron Fox misses three point pullup jump shot
+2
T.J. McConnell makes two point driving layup
103-89
Pacers personal foul
Spurs defensive rebound
+1
Harrison Barnes makes regular free throw 1 of 2
103-89
Pacers lineup change (T.J. McConnell, Ben Sheppard, Johnny Furphy, Pascal Siakam, Jay Huff)
Spurs lineup change (Luke Kornet, Harrison Barnes, Keldon Johnson, Julian Champagnie, De'Aaron Fox)
+1
Harrison Barnes makes regular free throw 2 of 2
103-89
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Jay Huff defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+2
Johnny Furphy makes two point running reverse layup (T.J. McConnell assists)
89-78
Aaron Nesmith defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Pacers lineup change (T.J. McConnell, Johnny Furphy, Aaron Nesmith, Pascal Siakam, Jay Huff)
Spurs 60 second timeout
Spurs lineup change (Luke Kornet, Dylan Harper, Harrison Barnes, Keldon Johnson, De'Aaron Fox)
Pacers lineup change (T.J. McConnell, Ben Sheppard, Johnny Furphy, Pascal Siakam, Jay Huff)
Spurs lineup change (Luke Kornet, Dylan Harper, Harrison Barnes, Keldon Johnson, De'Aaron Fox)
+3
Ben Sheppard makes three point jump shot
89-78
T.J. McConnell defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
+2
De'Aaron Fox makes two point cutting dunk (Kelly Olynyk assists)
103-89
+2
Ben Sheppard makes two point jump shot (Jay Huff assists)
89-78
Ben Sheppard defensive rebound
Ben Sheppard shooting foul (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)
+1
Kelly Olynyk makes regular free throw 1 of 2
89-78
Kelly Olynyk misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+2
T.J. McConnell makes two point jump shot
89-78
Instant replay (Challenge: Ruling Overturned)
Pacers 60 second timeout
Jay Huff turnover (offensive foul)
Pacers challenge timeout
Keldon Johnson personal foul (Jay Huff draws the foul)
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
89-78
Kelly Olynyk personal foul
+1
Andrew Nembhard makes regular free throw 1 of 2
89-78
+1
Andrew Nembhard makes regular free throw 2 of 2
89-78
Pacers lineup change (T.J. McConnell, Andrew Nembhard, Ben Sheppard, Johnny Furphy, Jay Huff)
Johnny Furphy defensive rebound
Carter Bryant misses three point jump shot
Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
Johnny Furphy misses three point jump shot
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Pacers defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs lineup change (Dylan Harper, Carter Bryant, Keldon Johnson, De'Aaron Fox, Kelly Olynyk)
Pacers lineup change (Andrew Nembhard, Kam Jones, Ben Sheppard, Johnny Furphy, Jay Huff)
Stephon Castle turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
Stephon Castle defensive rebound
Kam Jones misses three point jump shot
Pascal Siakam defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Micah Potter misses two point driving floating jump shot
Pacers defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Julian Champagnie misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs violation
Instant replay (Challenge)
Pacers violation
Spurs 60 second timeout
Pacers lineup change (Andrew Nembhard, Micah Potter, Kam Jones, Ben Sheppard, Pascal Siakam)
Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Keldon Johnson, Julian Champagnie, Kelly Olynyk)
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Spurs turnover
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
84-70
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
84-68
Spurs personal foul
+1
Pascal Siakam makes regular free throw 1 of 2
84-72
+1
Pascal Siakam makes regular free throw 2 of 2
84-72
Pacers defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs lineup change (Luke Kornet, Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Harrison Barnes, Julian Champagnie)
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Harrison Barnes defensive rebound
Micah Potter misses three point jump shot
Andrew Nembhard defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Stephon Castle defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Micah Potter defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
82-66
+2
Stephon Castle makes two point jump shot
81-63
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 1
82-63
Pacers personal foul
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
79-63
Pacers 60 second timeout
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
79-60
Spurs misses two point jump shot
De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
Kam Jones misses two point floating jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Micah Potter defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Spurs offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Harrison Barnes defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Micah Potter defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
+2
Pascal Siakam makes two point jump shot (Kam Jones assists)
77-60
Kam Jones defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Micah Potter defensive rebound
Bennedict Mathurin personal foul (Stephon Castle draws the foul)
Stephon Castle misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
77-60
Pacers lineup change (Andrew Nembhard, Micah Potter, Kam Jones, Aaron Nesmith, Pascal Siakam)
De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Bennedict Mathurin defensive rebound
Julian Champagnie misses three point jump shot
Stephon Castle defensive rebound
Bennedict Mathurin misses two point pullup jump shot
+2
De'Aaron Fox makes two point jump shot
73-58
De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
Micah Potter misses three point jump shot
Bennedict Mathurin personal foul (Luke Kornet draws the foul)
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
77-58
+1
Luke Kornet makes regular free throw 1 of 1
77-58
Luke Kornet defensive rebound
Pascal Siakam misses two point floating jump shot
Stephon Castle personal foul (Pascal Siakam draws the foul)
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
71-58
Instant replay
End of 1st Half.
Spurs lineup change (Luke Kornet, Stephon Castle, Harrison Barnes, Julian Champagnie, De'Aaron Fox)
Pacers lineup change (Andrew Nembhard, Micah Potter, Aaron Nesmith, Bennedict Mathurin, Pascal Siakam)
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
70-56
Pacers personal foul
+1
Luke Kornet makes regular free throw 1 of 1
71-56
Pacers lineup change (T.J. McConnell, Andrew Nembhard, Micah Potter, Bennedict Mathurin, Pascal Siakam)
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
68-56
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
68-54
Spurs defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Spurs personal foul
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
66-54
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
63-54
Pascal Siakam defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Harrison Barnes defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Spurs turnover
Keldon Johnson offensive rebound
Pacers personal foul
Spurs lineup change (Luke Kornet, Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Harrison Barnes, Keldon Johnson)
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
71-58
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Carter Bryant offensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
63-52
Aaron Nesmith defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Pacers turnover
Kelly Olynyk offensive rebound
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
63-50
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Spurs personal foul
+1
Aaron Nesmith makes regular free throw 1 of 2
61-49
+1
Aaron Nesmith makes regular free throw 2 of 2
61-50
Pascal Siakam defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
61-48
Spurs personal foul
Pacers personal foul
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
60-46
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
61-46
Pacers lineup change (T.J. McConnell, Andrew Nembhard, Micah Potter, Aaron Nesmith, Pascal Siakam)
Pacers personal foul
Micah Potter turnover (offensive foul)
Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Harrison Barnes, Carter Bryant, Keldon Johnson, Kelly Olynyk)
Pascal Siakam defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Pacers personal foul
Pacers lineup change (Andrew Nembhard, Micah Potter, Aaron Nesmith, Bennedict Mathurin, Pascal Siakam)
Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Lindy Waters III, Carter Bryant, Keldon Johnson, Kelly Olynyk)
Pacers turnover
Spurs turnover
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
59-46
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
59-44
Stephon Castle defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
56-44
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
54-44
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
54-42
Spurs offensive rebound
Pacers personal foul
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
59-46
Pacers turnover
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
51-42
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
49-42
Spurs turnover
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Spurs 60 second timeout
Pacers lineup change (Andrew Nembhard, Jarace Walker, Micah Potter, Bennedict Mathurin, Pascal Siakam)
Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Lindy Waters III, Julian Champagnie, De'Aaron Fox, Kelly Olynyk)
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
49-40
Lindy Waters III defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
46-40
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
43-40
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
43-37
Pacers turnover
Spurs personal foul
+1
Jarace Walker makes technical free throw 1 of 1
41-37
Pacers lineup change (Andrew Nembhard, Jarace Walker, Micah Potter, Ben Sheppard, Pascal Siakam)
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
41-36
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
T.J. McConnell defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
39-36
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
39-34
Pacers 60 second timeout
Spurs lineup change (Luke Kornet, Dylan Harper, Lindy Waters III, Julian Champagnie, De'Aaron Fox)
Pacers lineup change (T.J. McConnell, Jarace Walker, Ben Sheppard, Pascal Siakam, Jay Huff)
Pacers turnover
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
37-34
De'Aaron Fox offensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Spurs turnover
Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
34-34
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
32-34
Spurs turnover
Pacers personal foul
Aaron Nesmith turnover (offensive foul)
Spurs personal foul
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
32-31
Pacers turnover
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Spurs offensive rebound
End of 1st Quarter.
Spurs lineup change (Luke Kornet, Dylan Harper, Lindy Waters III, Keldon Johnson, De'Aaron Fox)
Pacers lineup change (T.J. McConnell, Jarace Walker, Aaron Nesmith, Pascal Siakam, Jay Huff)
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
30-31
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
29-29
Pacers personal foul
Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Carter Bryant, Keldon Johnson, Julian Champagnie)
+1
Dylan Harper makes regular free throw 1 of 1
30-29
Pacers lineup change (T.J. McConnell, Jarace Walker, Aaron Nesmith, Bennedict Mathurin, Jay Huff)
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
27-29
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
27-27
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
25-27
Spurs personal foul
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
25-25
Carter Bryant defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Pacers defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs lineup change (Luke Kornet, Dylan Harper, Carter Bryant, Keldon Johnson, De'Aaron Fox)
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Kelly Olynyk defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
23-25
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
21-25
Spurs turnover
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
21-22
Spurs personal foul
Spurs lineup change (Dylan Harper, Carter Bryant, Keldon Johnson, De'Aaron Fox, Kelly Olynyk)
Pacers lineup change (T.J. McConnell, Jarace Walker, Ben Sheppard, Aaron Nesmith, Jay Huff)
Spurs lineup change (Dylan Harper, Carter Bryant, Keldon Johnson, De'Aaron Fox, Kelly Olynyk)
Pacers lineup change (T.J. McConnell, Jarace Walker, Johnny Furphy, Aaron Nesmith, Jay Huff)
Jay Huff defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Dylan Harper defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Andrew Nembhard defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Kelly Olynyk defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
21-20
Pacers turnover
Pacers 60 second timeout
Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Carter Bryant, Keldon Johnson, Kelly Olynyk)
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
18-20
Kelly Olynyk offensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Stephon Castle defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Pacers personal foul
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
15-20
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
16-20
Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Carter Bryant, Keldon Johnson, Julian Champagnie, Kelly Olynyk)
Stephon Castle defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Pacers turnover
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
14-20
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
11-20
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pacers lineup change (Andrew Nembhard, Ben Sheppard, Johnny Furphy, Bennedict Mathurin, Jay Huff)
Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Keldon Johnson, Julian Champagnie, Kelly Olynyk)
Spurs turnover
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
11-18
Stephon Castle offensive rebound
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
11-16
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Pacers turnover
Andrew Nembhard defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Spurs personal foul
Pacers personal foul
Pascal Siakam turnover (offensive foul)
Pacers lineup change (Andrew Nembhard, Micah Potter, Ben Sheppard, Johnny Furphy, Bennedict Mathurin)
Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Harrison Barnes, Julian Champagnie, Kelly Olynyk)
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Luke Kornet offensive rebound
Pacers defensive rebound
Spurs personal foul
Pacers violation
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Andrew Nembhard offensive rebound
Andrew Nembhard misses two point tip layup
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Spurs turnover
Spurs offensive rebound
Pacers personal foul
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Julian Champagnie offensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Andrew Nembhard defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Spurs 60 second timeout
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
7-16
Pascal Siakam defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
7-13
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
7-11
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
4-10
Spurs personal foul
+1
Andrew Nembhard makes regular free throw 1 of 1
4-11
Bennedict Mathurin defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Pacers personal foul
Pacers personal foul
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
4-8
Spurs personal foul
Andrew Nembhard defensive rebound
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
4-5
Pacers personal foul
De'Aaron Fox misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Julian Champagnie offensive rebound
Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Pacers misses three point jump shot
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
2-5
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
2-2
Luke Kornet defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Pascal Siakam defensive rebound
Harrison Barnes misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs misses two point jump shot
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
0-2
Bennedict Mathurin defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Pacers lineup change (Andrew Nembhard, Micah Potter, Aaron Nesmith, Bennedict Mathurin, Pascal Siakam)
Start of 1st Quarter
Spurs lineup change (Luke Kornet, Stephon Castle, Harrison Barnes, Julian Champagnie, De'Aaron Fox)
(Luke Kornet gains possession)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Spurs vs. Pacers: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Spurs vs. Pacers
- Date: Friday, January 2, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Spurs favored at -5.5
- Total (Over/Under): 239
- Moneyline Odds: Spurs -196, Pacers +175
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Spurs: 68%
- Pacers: 32%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Spurs 122-116 Pacers.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Spurs a win probability of 68%, while the Pacers have a win probability of 32%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Spurs are more likely to beat the Pacers in the NBA game at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Spurs vs. Pacers predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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