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Jazz vs. Spurs Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Jazz vs. Spurs NBA game on December 27, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
127
114
Dec 28, 1AM Frost Bank Center
Dec 28, 1AM Frost Bank Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jazz | 32 | 38 | 28 | 29 | 127 |
Spurs | 40 | 20 | 27 | 27 | 114 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
>99%
<1%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jazz | 32 | 38 | 28 | 29 | 127 |
Spurs | 40 | 20 | 27 | 27 | 114 |
Q4 00:25 Dylan Harper misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:30 Dylan Harper misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:03 Lindy Waters III misses three point pullup jump shot
Q4 1:23 Devin Vassell misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:53 Victor Wembanyama makes two point driving layup (Dylan Harper assists)
Q4 2:05 Spurs misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:06 Lauri Markkanen blocks Keldon Johnson's two point driving layup
Q4 2:16 Lauri Markkanen makes three point jump shot (Walter Clayton Jr. assists)
Q4 2:32 Keyonte George blocks Keldon Johnson's two point layup
Q4 2:51 Lauri Markkanen makes two point tip dunk
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
Jazz turnover (shot clock violation)
Cody Williams defensive rebound
Dylan Harper misses two point jump shot
Spurs offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Dylan Harper misses three point jump shot
Dylan Harper defensive rebound
Lindy Waters III shooting foul (Jusuf Nurkic draws the foul)
Jusuf Nurkic misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Jazz offensive rebound
Jazz lineup change (Jusuf Nurkic, Taylor Hendricks, Brice Sensabaugh, Cody Williams, Walter Clayton Jr.)
Jusuf Nurkic misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Lauri Markkanen defensive rebound
Lindy Waters III misses three point pullup jump shot
+1
Lauri Markkanen makes regular free throw 1 of 2
126-114
+1
Lauri Markkanen makes regular free throw 2 of 2
127-114
Spurs 60 second timeout
Spurs lineup change (Dylan Harper, Jordan McLaughlin, Lindy Waters III, Carter Bryant, Jeremy Sochan)
Victor Wembanyama personal foul (Lauri Markkanen draws the foul)
Brice Sensabaugh defensive rebound
Devin Vassell misses three point jump shot
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Stephon Castle shooting foul (Keyonte George draws the foul)
+1
Keyonte George makes regular free throw 1 of 2
125-114
Keyonte George misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Victor Wembanyama turnover (bad pass) (Lauri Markkanen steals)
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Stephon Castle personal foul (Keyonte George draws the foul)
+1
Keyonte George makes regular free throw 1 of 2
124-114
Keyonte George misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+2
Victor Wembanyama makes two point driving layup (Dylan Harper assists)
123-114
+1
Keyonte George makes regular free throw 1 of 2
122-112
+1
Keyonte George makes regular free throw 2 of 2
123-112
Dylan Harper shooting foul (Keyonte George draws the foul)
Keldon Johnson turnover (lost ball)
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Walter Clayton Jr. defensive rebound
Lauri Markkanen blocks Keldon Johnson's two point driving layup
+3
Lauri Markkanen makes three point jump shot (Walter Clayton Jr. assists)
121-112
Spurs turnover (shot clock violation)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Keyonte George blocks Keldon Johnson's two point layup
Spurs offensive rebound
Lauri Markkanen offensive rebound
+2
Lauri Markkanen makes two point tip dunk
118-112
Brice Sensabaugh misses three point jump shot
Walter Clayton Jr. defensive rebound
Stephon Castle misses three point pullup jump shot
Jusuf Nurkic turnover (bad pass) (Stephon Castle steals)
+2
Stephon Castle makes two point driving layup
116-112
Dylan Harper defensive rebound
Jusuf Nurkic misses two point putback layup
Jusuf Nurkic offensive rebound
Victor Wembanyama blocks Jusuf Nurkic's two point layup
Lauri Markkanen defensive rebound
Stephon Castle misses two point driving floating jump shot
Jusuf Nurkic turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Lauri Markkanen defensive rebound
Devin Vassell misses three point jump shot
Spurs lineup change (Dylan Harper, Victor Wembanyama, Devin Vassell, Keldon Johnson, Stephon Castle)
+3
Brice Sensabaugh makes three point jump shot (Keyonte George assists)
116-110
Spurs 60 second timeout
Jazz lineup change (Jusuf Nurkic, Lauri Markkanen, Brice Sensabaugh, Keyonte George, Walter Clayton Jr.)
Keyonte George defensive rebound
Dylan Harper misses two point driving layup
Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
Kyle Filipowski misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jazz lineup change (Lauri Markkanen, Brice Sensabaugh, Kyle Filipowski, Keyonte George, Walter Clayton Jr.)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs lineup change (Dylan Harper, Luke Kornet, Keldon Johnson, Harrison Barnes, Stephon Castle)
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
113-109
Kyle Filipowski shooting foul (Stephon Castle draws the foul)
Jazz lineup change (Taylor Hendricks, Brice Sensabaugh, Kyle Filipowski, Keyonte George, Walter Clayton Jr.)
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
113-110
Luke Kornet defensive rebound
Cody Williams misses two point driving hook shot
Taylor Hendricks defensive rebound
Stephon Castle misses three point jump shot
Luke Kornet offensive rebound
Julian Champagnie misses three point jump shot
+2
Cody Williams makes two point putback layup
113-108
Keyonte George misses three point running jump shot
Cody Williams offensive rebound
Cody Williams defensive rebound
Kyle Filipowski blocks Harrison Barnes's two point driving layup
Luke Kornet defensive rebound
Keyonte George misses three point pullup jump shot
Kyle Filipowski defensive rebound
Stephon Castle misses three point pullup jump shot
Spurs 60 second timeout
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+3
Walter Clayton Jr. makes three point jump shot (Cody Williams assists)
111-108
+2
Luke Kornet makes two point alley-oop dunk (Stephon Castle assists)
108-108
Stephon Castle shooting foul (Keyonte George draws the foul)
Spurs lineup change (Luke Kornet, Devin Vassell, Harrison Barnes, Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie)
Jazz lineup change (Taylor Hendricks, Kyle Filipowski, Keyonte George, Cody Williams, Walter Clayton Jr.)
+1
Keyonte George makes regular free throw 1 of 2
107-106
+1
Keyonte George makes regular free throw 2 of 2
108-106
+2
Stephon Castle makes two point driving layup
106-106
Cody Williams offensive rebound
Victor Wembanyama blocks Cody Williams's two point putback dunk
Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
Keyonte George misses two point driving finger roll layup
+3
Stephon Castle makes three point jump shot (Victor Wembanyama assists)
106-104
+2
Lauri Markkanen makes two point driving finger roll layup
106-101
Spurs lineup change (Victor Wembanyama, Devin Vassell, Keldon Johnson, Carter Bryant, Stephon Castle)
Jazz lineup change (Lauri Markkanen, Kyle Filipowski, Keyonte George, Cody Williams, Walter Clayton Jr.)
Kyle Filipowski shooting foul (Victor Wembanyama draws the foul)
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 1
104-101
+2
Victor Wembanyama makes two point driving dunk (Devin Vassell assists)
104-100
Brice Sensabaugh turnover (lost ball) (Dylan Harper steals)
+2
Keldon Johnson makes two point putback layup
104-98
Keldon Johnson offensive rebound
Victor Wembanyama misses two point tip layup
Victor Wembanyama offensive rebound
Devin Vassell misses three point jump shot
Devin Vassell defensive rebound
Cody Williams misses three point jump shot
Jusuf Nurkic shooting foul (Victor Wembanyama draws the foul)
Jazz lineup change (Lauri Markkanen, Brice Sensabaugh, Kyle Filipowski, Cody Williams, Walter Clayton Jr.)
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
104-95
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
104-96
Victor Wembanyama blocks Lauri Markkanen's two point driving layup
Jazz offensive rebound
Lauri Markkanen turnover (kicked ball violation)
Carter Bryant personal foul (Jusuf Nurkic draws the foul)
+2
Victor Wembanyama makes two point pullup jump shot (Dylan Harper assists)
104-94
+3
Walter Clayton Jr. makes three point pullup jump shot (Jusuf Nurkic assists)
104-92
+2
Keldon Johnson makes two point pullup bank jump shot (Dylan Harper assists)
101-92
+3
Brice Sensabaugh makes three point jump shot (Walter Clayton Jr. assists)
101-90
+3
Keldon Johnson makes three point pullup jump shot (Dylan Harper assists)
98-90
Keyonte George misses three point jump shot
End of 3rd Quarter.
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Start of 4th Quarter
Jazz lineup change (Jusuf Nurkic, Lauri Markkanen, Brice Sensabaugh, Cody Williams, Walter Clayton Jr.)
Spurs lineup change (Dylan Harper, Victor Wembanyama, Devin Vassell, Keldon Johnson, Carter Bryant)
+2
Victor Wembanyama makes two point alley-oop dunk (Dylan Harper assists)
98-86
Jazz lineup change (Isaiah Collier, Lauri Markkanen, Brice Sensabaugh, Kyle Filipowski, Keyonte George)
Taylor Hendricks shooting foul (Victor Wembanyama draws the foul)
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 1
98-87
Dylan Harper offensive rebound
Carter Bryant misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Dylan Harper defensive rebound
Kyle Filipowski misses three point jump shot
Victor Wembanyama turnover (bad pass) (Lauri Markkanen steals)
Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
Victor Wembanyama shooting foul (Isaiah Collier draws the foul)
+2
Isaiah Collier makes two point running layup (Kyle Filipowski assists)
98-84
Isaiah Collier misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Stephon Castle turnover (lost ball) (Kyle Filipowski steals)
+2
Taylor Hendricks makes two point driving layup (Isaiah Collier assists)
96-84
Dylan Harper turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
Taylor Hendricks misses three point jump shot
+2
Keldon Johnson makes two point putback layup
94-84
Keldon Johnson offensive rebound
Dylan Harper misses three point jump shot
+2
Lauri Markkanen makes two point driving dunk (Isaiah Collier assists)
94-82
Stephon Castle personal foul (Loose ball) (Kyle Filipowski draws the foul)
Spurs lineup change (Dylan Harper, Victor Wembanyama, Keldon Johnson, Carter Bryant, Stephon Castle)
Jazz offensive rebound
Isaiah Collier misses two point driving floating jump shot
Stephon Castle turnover (lost ball) (Kyle Filipowski steals)
Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
Brice Sensabaugh misses three point jump shot
Taylor Hendricks personal foul (Keldon Johnson draws the foul)
Jazz lineup change (Isaiah Collier, Taylor Hendricks, Lauri Markkanen, Brice Sensabaugh, Kyle Filipowski)
Spurs lineup change (Dylan Harper, Luke Kornet, Keldon Johnson, Carter Bryant, Stephon Castle)
+1
Keldon Johnson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
92-81
+1
Keldon Johnson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
92-82
+2
Keyonte George makes two point running finger roll layup (Isaiah Collier assists)
92-80
Isaiah Collier defensive rebound
Keldon Johnson misses three point jump shot
Keldon Johnson offensive rebound
Julian Champagnie misses three point jump shot
Luke Kornet defensive rebound
Luke Kornet blocks Kyle Filipowski's two point driving layup
+2
Julian Champagnie makes two point running layup
90-80
Isaiah Collier turnover (bad pass) (Julian Champagnie steals)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jazz defensive rebound
Julian Champagnie misses three point running jump shot
Harrison Barnes defensive rebound
Keyonte George misses two point driving layup
Jazz defensive rebound
Julian Champagnie offensive rebound
Julian Champagnie misses two point putback layup
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Julian Champagnie misses two point driving floating jump shot
+2
Kyle Filipowski makes two point floating jump shot (Brice Sensabaugh assists)
90-78
Kyle Filipowski shooting foul (Dylan Harper draws the foul)
+2
Dylan Harper makes two point driving dunk (Harrison Barnes assists)
88-77
Jazz 60 second timeout
+1
Dylan Harper makes regular free throw 1 of 1
88-78
Jazz lineup change (Isaiah Collier, Taylor Hendricks, Brice Sensabaugh, Kyle Filipowski, Keyonte George)
Spurs lineup change (Dylan Harper, Luke Kornet, Keldon Johnson, Harrison Barnes, Julian Champagnie)
Harrison Barnes defensive rebound
Taylor Hendricks misses three point jump shot
Dylan Harper personal foul (Loose ball) (Lauri Markkanen draws the foul)
Jazz lineup change (Isaiah Collier, Taylor Hendricks, Svi Mykhailiuk, Kyle Filipowski, Keyonte George)
Jazz offensive rebound
Keyonte George misses three point fadeaway jump shot
Svi Mykhailiuk offensive rebound
Lauri Markkanen misses two point fadeaway jump shot
Spurs offensive rebound
+1
Luke Kornet makes regular free throw 2 of 2
88-75
Luke Kornet misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Lauri Markkanen personal foul (Loose ball) (Luke Kornet draws the foul)
Spurs offensive rebound
Harrison Barnes misses three point jump shot
+3
Keyonte George makes three point jump shot (Kyle Filipowski assists)
88-74
+3
Harrison Barnes makes three point jump shot (Dylan Harper assists)
85-74
Spurs lineup change (Dylan Harper, Luke Kornet, Devin Vassell, Harrison Barnes, Julian Champagnie)
Spurs offensive rebound
Stephon Castle misses three point pullup jump shot
Jusuf Nurkic personal foul (Loose ball) (Victor Wembanyama draws the foul)
Jazz lineup change (Isaiah Collier, Lauri Markkanen, Svi Mykhailiuk, Kyle Filipowski, Keyonte George)
+3
Svi Mykhailiuk makes three point pullup jump shot (Keyonte George assists)
85-71
+2
Stephon Castle makes two point driving dunk
82-71
Svi Mykhailiuk turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
+2
Victor Wembanyama makes two point pullup bank jump shot
82-69
Devin Vassell defensive rebound
Jusuf Nurkic misses three point bank jump shot
Keyonte George misses three point pullup jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jazz offensive rebound
Jusuf Nurkic shooting foul (Victor Wembanyama draws the foul)
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
82-66
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
82-67
Spurs 60 second timeout
+2
Lauri Markkanen makes two point running finger roll layup
82-65
Victor Wembanyama turnover (lost ball) (Lauri Markkanen steals)
Julian Champagnie offensive rebound
Devin Vassell misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+1
Devin Vassell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
80-65
Svi Mykhailiuk shooting foul (Devin Vassell draws the foul)
Devin Vassell defensive rebound
Jusuf Nurkic misses three point jump shot
Jusuf Nurkic defensive rebound
Devin Vassell misses three point jump shot
+3
Lauri Markkanen makes three point jump shot (Keyonte George assists)
80-64
Keyonte George defensive rebound
Victor Wembanyama misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
+2
Jusuf Nurkic makes two point putback layup
77-64
Jusuf Nurkic offensive rebound
Victor Wembanyama blocks Jusuf Nurkic's two point hook shot
Stephon Castle personal foul (Jusuf Nurkic draws the foul)
Lauri Markkanen shooting foul (Victor Wembanyama draws the foul)
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
75-64
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
75-63
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Keyonte George misses two point pullup jump shot
Jazz defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Victor Wembanyama misses three point jump shot
+2
Keyonte George makes two point jump shot (Jusuf Nurkic assists)
75-62
+2
Victor Wembanyama makes two point alley-oop dunk (Devin Vassell assists)
73-62
Devin Vassell shooting foul (Keyonte George draws the foul)
+1
Keyonte George makes regular free throw 1 of 3
71-60
+1
Keyonte George makes regular free throw 2 of 3
72-60
+1
Keyonte George makes regular free throw 3 of 3
73-60
End of 1st Half.
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jazz lineup change (Jusuf Nurkic, Lauri Markkanen, Brice Sensabaugh, Keyonte George, Walter Clayton Jr.)
Start of 3rd Quarter
Spurs lineup change (Victor Wembanyama, Devin Vassell, Harrison Barnes, Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie)
Jazz lineup change (Jusuf Nurkic, Lauri Markkanen, Svi Mykhailiuk, Brice Sensabaugh, Keyonte George)
Jazz lineup change (Jusuf Nurkic, Lauri Markkanen, Brice Sensabaugh, Keyonte George, Walter Clayton Jr.)
Lauri Markkanen shooting foul (Keldon Johnson draws the foul)
+2
Keldon Johnson makes two point reverse layup (Victor Wembanyama assists)
70-60
Keldon Johnson misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Jazz defensive rebound
Jazz lineup change (Jusuf Nurkic, Lauri Markkanen, Brice Sensabaugh, Keyonte George, Walter Clayton Jr.)
Jusuf Nurkic personal foul (Dylan Harper draws the foul)
Keyonte George turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Keldon Johnson offensive rebound
+2
Victor Wembanyama makes two point driving dunk (Keldon Johnson assists)
70-58
Dylan Harper misses three point jump shot
Julian Champagnie offensive rebound
Julian Champagnie misses three point jump shot
Julian Champagnie offensive rebound
Victor Wembanyama misses three point jump shot
+3
Keyonte George makes three point jump shot (Jusuf Nurkic assists)
70-56
+2
Keldon Johnson makes two point turnaround bank jump shot (Dylan Harper assists)
67-56
+1
Walter Clayton Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
66-54
Julian Champagnie personal foul (Walter Clayton Jr. draws the foul)
+1
Walter Clayton Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
67-54
Stephon Castle misses two point pullup jump shot
Jazz defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs lineup change (Dylan Harper, Victor Wembanyama, Devin Vassell, Keldon Johnson, Julian Champagnie)
+3
Lauri Markkanen makes three point pullup jump shot
65-54
+3
Keldon Johnson makes three point jump shot (Stephon Castle assists)
62-54
+2
Lauri Markkanen makes two point running layup
62-51
Jusuf Nurkic defensive rebound
Victor Wembanyama misses two point tip layup
Victor Wembanyama offensive rebound
Keldon Johnson misses two point cutting layup
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jazz 60 second timeout
Dylan Harper personal foul (Loose ball) (Keyonte George draws the foul)
Keyonte George defensive rebound
Spurs lineup change (Victor Wembanyama, Devin Vassell, Keldon Johnson, Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie)
Jazz lineup change (Jusuf Nurkic, Lauri Markkanen, Keyonte George, Cody Williams, Walter Clayton Jr.)
+1
Keyonte George makes regular free throw 1 of 2
59-51
+1
Keyonte George makes regular free throw 2 of 2
60-51
Stephon Castle misses two point stepback jump shot
Keldon Johnson shooting foul (Walter Clayton Jr. draws the foul)
+2
Walter Clayton Jr. makes two point driving floating jump shot (Kyle Filipowski assists)
57-51
+1
Walter Clayton Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 1
58-51
Jazz lineup change (Lauri Markkanen, Kyle Filipowski, Keyonte George, Cody Williams, Walter Clayton Jr.)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Kyle Filipowski defensive rebound
Dylan Harper misses three point jump shot
+2
Cody Williams makes two point running layup (Keyonte George assists)
55-51
Dylan Harper turnover (bad pass) (Keyonte George steals)
+2
Cody Williams makes two point running alley-oop dunk (Walter Clayton Jr. assists)
53-51
Stephon Castle turnover (lost ball) (Walter Clayton Jr. steals)
Kyle Filipowski turnover (lost ball) (Dylan Harper steals)
Jump ball. Dylan Harper vs. Kyle Filipowski (Devin Vassell gains possession)
Spurs lineup change (Dylan Harper, Luke Kornet, Devin Vassell, Keldon Johnson, Stephon Castle)
+2
Dylan Harper makes two point running layup
51-51
Dylan Harper defensive rebound
Taylor Hendricks misses three point jump shot
Cody Williams defensive rebound
Keldon Johnson misses three point jump shot
Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
Keyonte George misses two point pullup jump shot
Jeremy Sochan turnover (lost ball) (Keyonte George steals)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Luke Kornet offensive rebound
Devin Vassell misses three point jump shot
+2
Walter Clayton Jr. makes two point driving floating jump shot
51-49
Jeremy Sochan turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs 60 second timeout
Instant replay (Challenge: Ruling Overturned)
Jazz 60 second timeout
Jazz challenge timeout
Spurs lineup change (Dylan Harper, Luke Kornet, Devin Vassell, Keldon Johnson, Jeremy Sochan)
+2
Keyonte George makes two point pullup jump shot
49-49
Taylor Hendricks defensive rebound
Luke Kornet misses two point tip layup
Luke Kornet offensive rebound
Stephon Castle misses three point jump shot
+2
Kyle Filipowski makes two point floating jump shot (Keyonte George assists)
47-49
Kyle Filipowski defensive rebound
Devin Vassell misses three point jump shot
Luke Kornet defensive rebound
Cody Williams misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Jazz lineup change (Taylor Hendricks, Kyle Filipowski, Keyonte George, Cody Williams, Walter Clayton Jr.)
+2
Cody Williams makes two point running finger roll layup
45-49
Devin Vassell shooting foul (Cody Williams draws the foul)
Stephon Castle turnover (lost ball) (Cody Williams steals)
Cody Williams personal foul (Loose ball) (Jeremy Sochan draws the foul)
Devin Vassell misses two point pullup jump shot
Spurs offensive rebound
Spurs lineup change (Lindy Waters III, Luke Kornet, Devin Vassell, Stephon Castle, Jeremy Sochan)
Jazz lineup change (Taylor Hendricks, Brice Sensabaugh, Kyle Filipowski, Cody Williams, Walter Clayton Jr.)
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Jusuf Nurkic misses three point jump shot
+3
Devin Vassell makes three point jump shot (Jeremy Sochan assists)
43-49
+2
Walter Clayton Jr. makes two point driving floating jump shot (Jusuf Nurkic assists)
43-46
Jusuf Nurkic defensive rebound
Victor Wembanyama misses two point driving layup
Victor Wembanyama shooting foul (Jusuf Nurkic draws the foul)
+1
Jusuf Nurkic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
40-46
+1
Jusuf Nurkic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
41-46
Spurs lineup change (Victor Wembanyama, Lindy Waters III, Devin Vassell, Stephon Castle, Jeremy Sochan)
Jazz defensive rebound
Carter Bryant personal foul (Loose ball) (Jusuf Nurkic draws the foul)
Spurs lineup change (Victor Wembanyama, Lindy Waters III, Harrison Barnes, Stephon Castle, Jeremy Sochan)
Harrison Barnes misses three point jump shot
+2
Lauri Markkanen makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Walter Clayton Jr. assists)
39-46
+2
Stephon Castle makes two point driving layup
37-46
+3
Jusuf Nurkic makes three point jump shot (Walter Clayton Jr. assists)
37-44
Cody Williams defensive rebound
Carter Bryant misses two point running finger roll layup
Stephon Castle defensive rebound
Cody Williams misses three point jump shot
+2
Victor Wembanyama makes two point cutting dunk (Stephon Castle assists)
34-44
+2
Walter Clayton Jr. makes two point pullup jump shot (Jusuf Nurkic assists)
34-42
Julian Champagnie personal foul (Isaiah Collier draws the foul)
Jazz lineup change (Jusuf Nurkic, Lauri Markkanen, Brice Sensabaugh, Cody Williams, Walter Clayton Jr.)
Spurs lineup change (Victor Wembanyama, Harrison Barnes, Carter Bryant, Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie)
Jusuf Nurkic defensive rebound
Julian Champagnie misses three point jump shot
Dylan Harper defensive rebound
Lauri Markkanen misses three point jump shot
Victor Wembanyama blocks Lauri Markkanen's two point driving floating jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jazz offensive rebound
Harrison Barnes personal foul (Lauri Markkanen draws the foul)
+2
Victor Wembanyama makes two point alley-oop dunk (Dylan Harper assists)
32-42
Dylan Harper defensive rebound
Isaiah Collier misses three point jump shot
Jusuf Nurkic defensive rebound
Dylan Harper misses two point running layup
Carter Bryant defensive rebound
Lauri Markkanen misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
+2
Julian Champagnie makes two point driving floating jump shot (Dylan Harper assists)
32-40
Jazz lineup change (Isaiah Collier, Jusuf Nurkic, Lauri Markkanen, Brice Sensabaugh, Cody Williams)
End of 1st Quarter.
Spurs lineup change (Dylan Harper, Victor Wembanyama, Harrison Barnes, Carter Bryant, Julian Champagnie)
Start of 2nd Quarter
Isaiah Collier turnover (back court violation)
+2
Dylan Harper makes two point driving finger roll layup
32-38
+2
Jusuf Nurkic makes two point driving floating jump shot
32-36
+3
Carter Bryant makes three point jump shot (Dylan Harper assists)
30-36
+3
Lauri Markkanen makes three point jump shot (Isaiah Collier assists)
30-33
Jazz defensive rebound
Taylor Hendricks blocks Carter Bryant's two point putback layup
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Carter Bryant offensive rebound
Julian Champagnie misses three point jump shot
Spurs 60 second timeout
+2
Keyonte George makes two point driving dunk (Kyle Filipowski assists)
27-33
Spurs lineup change (Dylan Harper, Luke Kornet, Harrison Barnes, Carter Bryant, Julian Champagnie)
Jazz lineup change (Isaiah Collier, Jusuf Nurkic, Taylor Hendricks, Lauri Markkanen, Brice Sensabaugh)
Brice Sensabaugh offensive rebound
Devin Vassell blocks Keyonte George's three point running jump shot
Taylor Hendricks defensive rebound
Devin Vassell misses three point running pullup jump shot
Luke Kornet defensive rebound
Kyle Filipowski misses two point turnaround jump shot
+3
Devin Vassell makes three point jump shot (Dylan Harper assists)
25-33
+3
Isaiah Collier makes three point pullup jump shot (Taylor Hendricks assists)
25-30
Brice Sensabaugh defensive rebound
Stephon Castle misses three point jump shot
+3
Keyonte George makes three point jump shot (Kyle Filipowski assists)
22-30
Kyle Filipowski defensive goaltending violation
+2
Stephon Castle makes two point driving finger roll layup
19-30
Stephon Castle defensive rebound
Kyle Filipowski misses two point layup
+3
Keldon Johnson makes three point jump shot (Dylan Harper assists)
19-28
Isaiah Collier turnover (bad pass) (Dylan Harper steals)
Stephon Castle misses two point pullup bank jump shot
Spurs offensive rebound
Keyonte George personal foul (Loose ball) (Luke Kornet draws the foul)
Jazz lineup change (Isaiah Collier, Taylor Hendricks, Brice Sensabaugh, Kyle Filipowski, Keyonte George)
+1
Luke Kornet makes regular free throw 1 of 2
19-24
+1
Luke Kornet makes regular free throw 2 of 2
19-25
Luke Kornet shooting foul (Kyle Filipowski draws the foul)
+1
Kyle Filipowski makes regular free throw 1 of 2
18-23
+1
Kyle Filipowski makes regular free throw 2 of 2
19-23
+2
Luke Kornet makes two point alley-oop dunk (Devin Vassell assists)
17-23
Isaiah Collier turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Jazz lineup change (Isaiah Collier, Taylor Hendricks, Svi Mykhailiuk, Kyle Filipowski, Keyonte George)
Spurs lineup change (Dylan Harper, Luke Kornet, Devin Vassell, Keldon Johnson, Stephon Castle)
+3
Keldon Johnson makes three point jump shot (Luke Kornet assists)
17-21
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Keyonte George misses two point driving floating jump shot
+3
Keldon Johnson makes three point pullup jump shot (Stephon Castle assists)
17-18
Isaiah Collier personal foul (Stephon Castle draws the foul)
+2
Isaiah Collier makes two point cutting layup (Kyle Filipowski assists)
17-15
Keldon Johnson personal foul (Lauri Markkanen draws the foul)
+2
Victor Wembanyama makes two point cutting layup (Stephon Castle assists)
15-15
Jazz 60 second timeout
Spurs lineup change (Luke Kornet, Devin Vassell, Keldon Johnson, Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie)
Jazz lineup change (Isaiah Collier, Lauri Markkanen, Svi Mykhailiuk, Kyle Filipowski, Keyonte George)
+3
Jusuf Nurkic makes three point jump shot (Keyonte George assists)
15-13
+2
Devin Vassell makes two point finger roll layup
12-13
+2
Jusuf Nurkic makes two point floating jump shot (Svi Mykhailiuk assists)
12-11
+2
Victor Wembanyama makes two point driving layup (Harrison Barnes assists)
10-11
Brice Sensabaugh personal foul (Loose ball) (Stephon Castle draws the foul)
Brice Sensabaugh turnover
Brice Sensabaugh turnover (lost ball)
Brice Sensabaugh turnover (lost ball)
+2
Stephon Castle makes two point running layup
10-9
Jusuf Nurkic turnover (lost ball) (Stephon Castle steals)
+2
Stephon Castle makes two point cutting layup (Victor Wembanyama assists)
10-6
Brice Sensabaugh shooting foul (Stephon Castle draws the foul)
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 1
10-7
Spurs 60 second timeout
+3
Brice Sensabaugh makes three point jump shot (Jusuf Nurkic assists)
10-4
Keyonte George defensive rebound
Victor Wembanyama misses three point jump shot
+3
Lauri Markkanen makes three point jump shot (Brice Sensabaugh assists)
7-4
+2
Victor Wembanyama makes two point cutting dunk (Stephon Castle assists)
4-4
+2
Jusuf Nurkic makes two point floating jump shot (Brice Sensabaugh assists)
4-2
+2
Devin Vassell makes two point pullup jump shot (Stephon Castle assists)
2-2
Keyonte George turnover (out of bounds step)
Lauri Markkanen defensive rebound
Victor Wembanyama misses two point alley-oop layup
Jusuf Nurkic personal foul (Loose ball) (Stephon Castle draws the foul)
Jusuf Nurkic turnover
Keyonte George turnover (bad pass)
Keyonte George defensive rebound
Victor Wembanyama misses three point pullup jump shot
+2
Brice Sensabaugh makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Lauri Markkanen assists)
2-0
Brice Sensabaugh defensive rebound
Stephon Castle misses three point jump shot
Jazz lineup change (Jusuf Nurkic, Lauri Markkanen, Svi Mykhailiuk, Brice Sensabaugh, Keyonte George)
Start of 1st Quarter
Jusuf Nurkic vs. Victor Wembanyama (Stephon Castle gains possession)
Spurs lineup change (Victor Wembanyama, Devin Vassell, Harrison Barnes, Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Jazz vs. Spurs: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Jazz vs. Spurs
- Date: Saturday, December 27, 2025
- Time: 8:00 PM ET
- Venue: Frost Bank Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Spurs favored at -14
- Total (Over/Under): 243.5
- Moneyline Odds: Jazz +570, Spurs -750
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Jazz: 15%
- Spurs: 85%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Jazz 115-127 Spurs.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Jazz a win probability of 15%, while the Spurs have a win probability of 85%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Spurs are more likely to beat the Jazz in the NBA game at Frost Bank Center on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Jazz vs. Spurs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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