Pacers vs. Heat Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Pacers vs. Heat NBA game on December 27, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
Hoops season sale: $30 off Dimers Pro passes. Limited time only.
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA sport icon
NBA
Pacers
116
142
Kaseya Center
Heat
Kaseya Center
TEAM1234T
Pacers
21 39 31 25 116
Heat
27 32 33 48 142
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Pacers
    <1%
  • Heat
    >99%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Pacers
21 39 31 25 116
Heat
27 32 33 48 142
Q4 00:05 Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:21 Kasparas Jakucionis misses three point stepback jump shot
Q4 00:41 Pacers misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:53 Pacers misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:04 Pacers misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:08 Keshad Johnson makes two point tip dunk
Q4 1:13 Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:22 Quenton Jackson misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:43 Norman Powell makes two point driving reverse layup (Simone Fontecchio assists)
Q4 1:44 Pacers misses two point jump shot
Play by Play
  1. Q4 00:00
    End of 4th Quarter.
  2. Q4 00:02
    Myron Gardner offensive rebound
  3. Q4 00:05
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  4. Q4 00:12
    Jump ball. (Keshad Johnson gains possession)
  5. Q4 00:19
    Simone Fontecchio offensive rebound
  6. Q4 00:21
    Kasparas Jakucionis misses three point stepback jump shot
  7. Q4 00:38
    Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
  8. Q4 00:41
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  9. Q4 00:50
    Kam Jones offensive rebound
  10. Q4 00:53
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  11. Q4 1:02
    Taelon Peter offensive rebound
  12. Q4 1:04
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  13. Q4 1:08
    +2
    Keshad Johnson makes two point tip dunk
    116-140
  14. Q4 1:08
    Keshad Johnson offensive rebound
  15. Q4 1:13
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  16. Q4 1:20
    Kasparas Jakucionis defensive rebound
  17. Q4 1:22
    Quenton Jackson misses two point jump shot
  18. Q4 1:41
    Norman Powell personal foul (Take) (Kam Jones draws the foul)
  19. Q4 1:41
    Heat lineup change (Keshad Johnson, Myron Gardner, Simone Fontecchio, Kasparas Jakucionis, Nikola Jovic)
  20. Q4 1:43
    +2
    Norman Powell makes two point driving reverse layup (Simone Fontecchio assists)
    116-140
  21. Q4 1:43
    Simone Fontecchio defensive rebound
  22. Q4 1:43
    Pacers personal foul
  23. Q4 1:43
    +1
    Norman Powell makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    116-140
  24. Q4 1:44
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  25. Q4 1:57
    Davion Mitchell turnover
  26. Q4 1:57
    +2
    Norman Powell makes two point driving layup
    116-140
  27. Q4 2:05
    Jump ball. Ethan Thompson vs. Norman Powell (Ethan Thompson gains possession)
  28. Q4 2:05
    Pacers defensive rebound
  29. Q4 2:05
    Norman Powell misses two point driving layup
  30. Q4 2:05
    Heat lineup change (Keshad Johnson, Norman Powell, Simone Fontecchio, Kasparas Jakucionis, Nikola Jovic)
  31. Q4 2:19
    +2
    Kam Jones makes two point driving layup (Quenton Jackson assists)
    116-140
  32. Q4 2:37
    Ethan Thompson defensive rebound
  33. Q4 2:43
    Simone Fontecchio misses three point jump shot
  34. Q4 3:01
    Pacers turnover
  35. Q4 3:12
    Pacers defensive rebound
  36. Q4 3:12
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  37. Q4 3:13
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  38. Q4 3:27
    +2
    Pascal Siakam makes two point layup
    116-138
  39. Q4 3:28
    Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Norman Powell, Simone Fontecchio, Kasparas Jakucionis, Kel'el Ware)
  40. Q4 3:28
    Heat personal foul
  41. Q4 3:28
    Heat defensive rebound
  42. Q4 3:28
    Ethan Thompson misses technical free throw 1 of 1
  43. Q4 3:28
    Heat 60 second timeout
  44. Q4 3:28
    Pacers lineup change (Ethan Thompson, Quenton Jackson, Kam Jones, Micah Potter, Taelon Peter)
  45. Q4 3:29
    Pascal Siakam offensive rebound
  46. Q4 3:30
    Aaron Nesmith misses three point running pullup jump shot
  47. Q4 3:36
    Dru Smith turnover (bad pass) (Pascal Siakam steals)
  48. Q4 3:37
    Dru Smith defensive rebound
  49. Q4 3:40
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  50. Q4 3:51
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    116-140
  51. Q4 4:00
    Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
  52. Q4 4:04
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  53. Q4 4:14
    +2
    Nikola Jovic makes two point jump shot (Pelle Larsson assists)
    111-122
  54. Q4 4:19
    Pascal Siakam turnover (lost ball) (Nikola Jovic steals)
  55. Q4 4:33
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    111-122
  56. Q4 4:50
    Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
  57. Q4 4:54
    Heat personal foul
  58. Q4 4:54
    Jarace Walker misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  59. Q4 4:54
    +1
    Jarace Walker makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    116-140
  60. Q4 5:02
    Pacers 60 second timeout
  61. Q4 5:02
    Pacers lineup change (Jarace Walker, Pascal Siakam, Andrew Nembhard, Aaron Nesmith, Bennedict Mathurin)
  62. Q4 5:03
    +2
    Dru Smith makes two point running layup
    111-122
  63. Q4 5:07
    Pacers turnover
  64. Q4 5:17
    +2
    Kel'el Ware makes two point jump shot
    116-140
  65. Q4 5:20
    Norman Powell defensive rebound
  66. Q4 5:23
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  67. Q4 5:36
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    116-140
  68. Q4 5:40
    Pacers personal foul
  69. Q4 5:48
    Heat 60 second timeout
  70. Q4 5:48
    Pacers lineup change (Pascal Siakam, Andrew Nembhard, Aaron Nesmith, Johnny Furphy, Bennedict Mathurin)
  71. Q4 5:48
    Heat lineup change (Pelle Larsson, Dru Smith, Norman Powell, Nikola Jovic, Kel'el Ware)
  72. Q4 5:49
    +3
    Pacers makes three point jump shot
    111-122
  73. Q4 5:55
    Pacers defensive rebound
  74. Q4 5:55
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  75. Q4 5:58
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  76. Q4 6:08
    Pelle Larsson offensive rebound
  77. Q4 6:10
    Andrew Wiggins misses two point jump shot
  78. Q4 6:23
    +2
    Bennedict Mathurin makes two point jump shot (Andrew Nembhard assists)
    116-140
  79. Q4 6:39
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    116-140
  80. Q4 6:57
    +2
    Johnny Furphy makes two point running dunk (Pascal Siakam assists)
    111-122
  81. Q4 7:02
    +2
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point jump shot (Andrew Wiggins assists)
    104-120
  82. Q4 7:07
    Jarace Walker turnover
  83. Q4 7:15
    Heat turnover
  84. Q4 7:21
    Pacers 60 second timeout
  85. Q4 7:21
    +2
    Pelle Larsson makes two point jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)
    116-140
  86. Q4 7:21
    Pacers lineup change (Jarace Walker, Pascal Siakam, Andrew Nembhard, Johnny Furphy, Bennedict Mathurin)
  87. Q4 7:24
    Pacers turnover
  88. Q4 7:25
    Pascal Siakam offensive rebound
  89. Q4 7:27
    Pascal Siakam misses two point jump shot
  90. Q4 7:47
    +3
    Andrew Wiggins makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jovic assists)
    116-140
  91. Q4 7:55
    +2
    Bennedict Mathurin makes two point jump shot
    116-140
  92. Q4 8:16
    +3
    Nikola Jovic makes three point jump shot (Pelle Larsson assists)
    116-140
  93. Q4 8:30
    +2
    Pascal Siakam makes two point tip layup
    100-107
  94. Q4 8:30
    Pascal Siakam offensive rebound
  95. Q4 8:35
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  96. Q4 8:54
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    100-107
  97. Q4 8:54
    Pacers personal foul
  98. Q4 8:54
    Pacers lineup change (Pascal Siakam, Andrew Nembhard, Jay Huff, Johnny Furphy, Bennedict Mathurin)
  99. Q4 8:54
    +1
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    116-140
  100. Q4 8:58
    Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
  101. Q4 9:01
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  102. Q4 9:20
    Pacers personal foul
  103. Q4 9:20
    +1
    Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    116-140
  104. Q4 9:20
    +1
    Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    116-140
  105. Q4 9:30
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    116-140
  106. Q4 9:34
    Heat turnover
  107. Q4 9:50
    Pacers turnover
  108. Q4 10:00
    +2
    Nikola Jovic makes two point jump shot
    116-140
  109. Q4 10:11
    Heat personal foul
  110. Q4 10:11
    +1
    Bennedict Mathurin makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    116-140
  111. Q4 10:11
    +1
    Bennedict Mathurin makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    116-140
  112. Q4 10:14
    Ethan Thompson defensive rebound
  113. Q4 10:16
    Nikola Jovic misses two point jump shot
  114. Q4 10:26
    +2
    Bennedict Mathurin makes two point jump shot (Micah Potter assists)
    111-122
  115. Q4 10:35
    Andrew Wiggins personal foul
  116. Q4 10:35
    Micah Potter offensive rebound
  117. Q4 10:38
    Ethan Thompson misses two point driving floating jump shot
  118. Q4 10:52
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    116-140
  119. Q4 11:03
    Ethan Thompson personal foul (Pelle Larsson draws the foul)
  120. Q4 11:08
    Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
  121. Q4 11:11
    Pelle Larsson blocks Ethan Thompson's three point jump shot
  122. Q4 11:24
    +2
    Andrew Wiggins makes two point stepback jump shot
    116-140
  123. Q4 11:35
    Pelle Larsson defensive rebound
  124. Q4 11:40
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  125. Q3 00:00
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    91-92
  126. Q3 00:00
    End of 3rd Quarter.
  127. Q4 12:00
    Pacers lineup change (Ethan Thompson, Pascal Siakam, Quenton Jackson, Micah Potter, Bennedict Mathurin)
  128. Q4 12:00
    Heat lineup change (Pelle Larsson, Dru Smith, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Andrew Wiggins, Nikola Jovic)
  129. Q3 00:06
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
  130. Q3 00:09
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  131. Q3 00:13
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  132. Q3 00:13
    Pacers lineup change (Pascal Siakam, Andrew Nembhard, Aaron Nesmith, Tony Bradley, Bennedict Mathurin)
  133. Q3 00:32
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    116-140
  134. Q3 00:33
    Andrew Wiggins offensive rebound
  135. Q3 00:33
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  136. Q3 00:38
    Pascal Siakam turnover (bad pass) (Nikola Jovic steals)
  137. Q3 00:39
    Pascal Siakam offensive rebound
  138. Q3 00:41
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  139. Q3 00:54
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    91-92
  140. Q3 1:11
    Tony Bradley defensive rebound
  141. Q3 1:11
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    116-140
  142. Q3 1:11
    Heat personal foul
  143. Q3 1:11
    +1
    Pascal Siakam makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    116-140
  144. Q3 1:14
    Kasparas Jakucionis misses two point driving layup
  145. Q3 1:23
    Kasparas Jakucionis defensive rebound
  146. Q3 1:27
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  147. Q3 1:30
    Andrew Nembhard offensive rebound
  148. Q3 1:32
    Andrew Nembhard misses two point running layup
  149. Q3 1:38
    Aaron Nesmith defensive rebound
  150. Q3 1:42
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  151. Q3 1:54
    +2
    Andrew Nembhard makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Pascal Siakam assists)
    116-140
  152. Q3 2:09
    +2
    Andrew Wiggins makes two point putback layup
    116-140
  153. Q3 2:10
    Andrew Wiggins offensive rebound
  154. Q3 2:14
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  155. Q3 2:17
    Dru Smith defensive rebound
  156. Q3 2:21
    Aaron Nesmith misses three point jump shot
  157. Q3 2:28
    Jarace Walker shooting foul (Nikola Jovic draws the foul)
  158. Q3 2:28
    Pacers lineup change (Jarace Walker, Pascal Siakam, Andrew Nembhard, Aaron Nesmith, Tony Bradley)
  159. Q3 2:28
    +1
    Nikola Jovic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    116-140
  160. Q3 2:28
    +1
    Nikola Jovic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    116-140
  161. Q3 2:30
    Quenton Jackson turnover (Jaime Jaquez Jr. steals)
  162. Q3 2:34
    +1
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    111-122
  163. Q3 2:34
    Pacers personal foul
  164. Q3 2:34
    Pacers lineup change (Jarace Walker, Pascal Siakam, Aaron Nesmith, Quenton Jackson, Tony Bradley)
  165. Q3 2:34
    +1
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    116-140
  166. Q3 2:44
    Pacers turnover
  167. Q3 2:53
    Bennedict Mathurin defensive rebound
  168. Q3 2:57
    Nikola Jovic misses two point driving layup
  169. Q3 3:05
    Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
  170. Q3 3:08
    Heat personal foul
  171. Q3 3:08
    +2
    Bennedict Mathurin makes two point jump shot
    116-140
  172. Q3 3:08
    Bennedict Mathurin misses regular free throw 1 of 1
  173. Q3 3:12
    Tony Bradley offensive rebound
  174. Q3 3:15
    Bennedict Mathurin misses three point jump shot
  175. Q3 3:30
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    116-140
  176. Q3 3:36
    Tony Bradley offensive rebound
  177. Q3 3:36
    Heat personal foul
  178. Q3 3:36
    Tony Bradley misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  179. Q3 3:36
    Pacers offensive rebound
  180. Q3 3:36
    +1
    Tony Bradley makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    116-140
  181. Q3 3:36
    Heat lineup change (Dru Smith, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Andrew Wiggins, Kasparas Jakucionis, Nikola Jovic)
  182. Q3 3:38
    Aaron Nesmith misses three point jump shot
  183. Q3 3:47
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    116-140
  184. Q3 4:07
    +3
    Bennedict Mathurin makes three point jump shot (Andrew Nembhard assists)
    80-82
  185. Q3 4:10
    Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Norman Powell, Kasparas Jakucionis, Nikola Jovic)
  186. Q3 4:10
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  187. Q3 4:14
    Heat turnover
  188. Q3 4:24
    +3
    Bennedict Mathurin makes three point jump shot
    80-82
  189. Q3 4:43
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    80-82
  190. Q3 4:51
    Jarace Walker turnover
  191. Q3 5:11
    +1
    Norman Powell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    80-82
  192. Q3 5:11
    Pacers personal foul
  193. Q3 5:11
    +1
    Norman Powell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    116-140
  194. Q3 5:24
    Bennedict Mathurin defensive rebound
  195. Q3 5:24
    Pacers turnover
  196. Q3 5:27
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  197. Q3 5:40
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    116-140
  198. Q3 5:49
    Andrew Nembhard shooting foul (Norman Powell draws the foul)
  199. Q3 5:49
    +1
    Norman Powell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    116-140
  200. Q3 5:49
    Pacers lineup change (Jarace Walker, Andrew Nembhard, Aaron Nesmith, Tony Bradley, Bennedict Mathurin)
  201. Q3 5:49
    Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Norman Powell, Kasparas Jakucionis, Kel'el Ware)
  202. Q3 5:49
    +1
    Norman Powell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    116-140
  203. Q3 5:57
    +3
    Pacers makes three point jump shot
    116-140
  204. Q3 6:17
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    116-140
  205. Q3 6:32
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    116-140
  206. Q3 6:44
    Tony Bradley defensive rebound
  207. Q3 6:48
    Norman Powell misses two point driving hook shot
  208. Q3 6:59
    Pelle Larsson personal foul (Bennedict Mathurin draws the foul)
  209. Q3 6:59
    +1
    Bennedict Mathurin makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    116-140
  210. Q3 6:59
    Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Pelle Larsson, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Norman Powell, Kel'el Ware)
  211. Q3 6:59
    Pacers lineup change (Pascal Siakam, Andrew Nembhard, Aaron Nesmith, Tony Bradley, Bennedict Mathurin)
  212. Q3 6:59
    +1
    Bennedict Mathurin makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    116-140
  213. Q3 7:08
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    116-138
  214. Q3 7:12
    Andrew Nembhard turnover (Davion Mitchell steals)
  215. Q3 7:24
    Johnny Furphy defensive rebound
  216. Q3 7:26
    Norman Powell misses three point jump shot
  217. Q3 7:36
    Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
  218. Q3 7:38
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  219. Q3 7:48
    Johnny Furphy personal foul
  220. Q3 7:48
    +1
    Norman Powell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    116-140
  221. Q3 7:48
    +1
    Norman Powell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    116-140
  222. Q3 7:52
    Pacers personal foul
  223. Q3 7:52
    Andrew Nembhard turnover
  224. Q3 8:02
    Johnny Furphy offensive foul (Charge) (Pelle Larsson draws the foul)
  225. Q3 8:02
    Instant replay (Challenge)
  226. Q3 8:02
    Pelle Larsson shooting foul (Johnny Furphy draws the foul)
  227. Q3 8:02
    +1
    Johnny Furphy makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    80-82
  228. Q3 8:02
    Johnny Furphy turnover (offensive foul)
  229. Q3 8:02
    Pacers 60 second timeout
  230. Q3 8:02
    +2
    Johnny Furphy makes two point running layup
    116-140
  231. Q3 8:03
    Johnny Furphy defensive rebound
  232. Q3 8:06
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  233. Q3 8:29
    +2
    Pascal Siakam makes two point jump shot
    68-69
  234. Q3 8:46
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    111-122
  235. Q3 8:54
    Davion Mitchell offensive rebound
  236. Q3 8:58
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  237. Q3 9:16
    +2
    Andrew Nembhard makes two point jump shot
    80-82
  238. Q3 9:35
    +3
    Pelle Larsson makes three point jump shot
    80-82
  239. Q3 9:46
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  240. Q3 9:46
    Heat offensive rebound
  241. Q3 9:46
    Pacers personal foul
  242. Q3 10:02
    +2
    Andrew Nembhard makes two point jump shot
    116-140
  243. Q3 10:11
    Bennedict Mathurin defensive rebound
  244. Q3 10:15
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  245. Q3 10:30
    +2
    Johnny Furphy makes two point jump shot
    80-82
  246. Q3 10:47
    Pacers 60 second timeout
  247. Q3 10:48
    +3
    Andrew Wiggins makes three point pullup jump shot
    116-138
  248. Q3 11:00
    Andrew Nembhard turnover (bad pass) (Andrew Wiggins steals)
  249. Q3 11:00
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  250. Q3 11:00
    Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
  251. Q3 11:00
    Pacers personal foul
  252. Q3 11:14
    Jay Huff defensive rebound
  253. Q3 11:18
    Davion Mitchell misses three point jump shot
  254. Q3 11:27
    Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
  255. Q3 11:30
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  256. Q3 11:47
    +2
    Andrew Wiggins makes two point jump shot
    80-82
  257. Q2 00:00
    End of 1st Half.
  258. Q3 12:00
    Pacers lineup change (Pascal Siakam, Andrew Nembhard, Jay Huff, Johnny Furphy, Bennedict Mathurin)
  259. Q3 12:00
    Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Pelle Larsson, Andrew Wiggins, Norman Powell, Kel'el Ware)
  260. Q2 00:04
    +3
    Pacers makes three point jump shot
    116-140
  261. Q2 00:23
    Jarace Walker defensive rebound
  262. Q2 00:27
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  263. Q2 00:32
    Norman Powell defensive rebound
  264. Q2 00:34
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  265. Q2 00:42
    Bennedict Mathurin defensive rebound
  266. Q2 00:45
    Kel'el Ware misses two point driving layup
  267. Q2 00:57
    Heat personal foul
  268. Q2 00:57
    +1
    Jarace Walker makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    116-140
  269. Q2 00:57
    +1
    Jarace Walker makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    116-140
  270. Q2 1:01
    Heat turnover
  271. Q2 1:11
    Pacers turnover
  272. Q2 1:29
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    116-140
  273. Q2 1:47
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    116-140
  274. Q2 1:47
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  275. Q2 1:56
    Pacers 60 second timeout
  276. Q2 1:56
    Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Andrew Wiggins, Norman Powell, Kasparas Jakucionis, Kel'el Ware)
  277. Q2 1:58
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    60-61
  278. Q2 2:00
    Norman Powell defensive rebound
  279. Q2 2:05
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  280. Q2 2:13
    +2
    Kel'el Ware makes two point jump shot
    60-61
  281. Q2 2:15
    Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
  282. Q2 2:17
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  283. Q2 2:30
    +3
    Pacers makes three point jump shot
    53-53
  284. Q2 2:40
    Heat turnover
  285. Q2 2:40
    Heat lineup change (Dru Smith, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Andrew Wiggins, Norman Powell, Kel'el Ware)
  286. Q2 2:50
    +2
    Pascal Siakam makes two point running pullup jump shot
    80-82
  287. Q2 2:59
    Pascal Siakam defensive rebound
  288. Q2 3:00
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  289. Q2 3:27
    +3
    Pacers makes three point jump shot
    60-61
  290. Q2 3:29
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound
  291. Q2 3:29
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    60-61
  292. Q2 3:35
    Kel'el Ware misses two point jump shot
  293. Q2 3:47
    +3
    Pascal Siakam makes three point jump shot (Andrew Nembhard assists)
    60-59
  294. Q2 3:56
    Aaron Nesmith shooting foul (Norman Powell draws the foul)
  295. Q2 3:56
    +2
    Norman Powell makes two point jump shot
    60-59
  296. Q2 3:56
    Pacers lineup change (Jarace Walker, Pascal Siakam, Andrew Nembhard, Jay Huff, Bennedict Mathurin)
  297. Q2 3:56
    +1
    Norman Powell makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    116-140
  298. Q2 4:01
    Aaron Nesmith turnover
  299. Q2 4:16
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    60-61
  300. Q2 4:18
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound
  301. Q2 4:19
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point driving layup
  302. Q2 4:33
    +3
    Pacers makes three point jump shot
    60-61
  303. Q2 4:44
    +2
    Kel'el Ware makes two point jump shot (Pelle Larsson assists)
    60-59
  304. Q2 4:52
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
  305. Q2 4:57
    Andrew Nembhard misses three point running pullup jump shot
  306. Q2 4:59
    Micah Potter defensive rebound
  307. Q2 5:02
    Dru Smith misses two point driving finger roll layup
  308. Q2 5:23
    +3
    Aaron Nesmith makes three point jump shot (Pascal Siakam assists)
    60-59
  309. Q2 5:23
    Instant replay
  310. Q2 5:23
    Heat 60 second timeout
  311. Q2 5:28
    Pacers offensive rebound
  312. Q2 5:28
    Heat personal foul
  313. Q2 5:28
    Pacers lineup change (Jarace Walker, Pascal Siakam, Andrew Nembhard, Aaron Nesmith, Micah Potter)
  314. Q2 5:28
    Heat lineup change (Pelle Larsson, Dru Smith, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Norman Powell, Kel'el Ware)
  315. Q2 5:29
    Pascal Siakam misses two point running layup
  316. Q2 5:33
    Heat turnover
  317. Q2 5:38
    Davion Mitchell defensive rebound
  318. Q2 5:41
    Andrew Nembhard misses three point jump shot
  319. Q2 5:44
    Aaron Nesmith offensive rebound
  320. Q2 5:47
    Kel'el Ware blocks Micah Potter's two point putback layup
  321. Q2 5:49
    Micah Potter offensive rebound
  322. Q2 5:52
    Pascal Siakam misses three point jump shot
  323. Q2 5:54
    Micah Potter offensive rebound
  324. Q2 5:58
    Aaron Nesmith misses three point jump shot
  325. Q2 6:14
    Norman Powell turnover
  326. Q2 6:20
    Bennedict Mathurin turnover (offensive foul)
  327. Q2 6:20
    Bennedict Mathurin offensive foul (Pelle Larsson draws the foul)
  328. Q2 6:24
    Pacers offensive rebound
  329. Q2 6:24
    Heat personal foul
  330. Q2 6:26
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  331. Q2 6:37
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    91-92
  332. Q2 6:42
    Pelle Larsson defensive rebound
  333. Q2 6:47
    Aaron Nesmith misses three point jump shot
  334. Q2 6:51
    Aaron Nesmith defensive rebound
  335. Q2 6:55
    Norman Powell misses two point running jump shot
  336. Q2 6:59
    Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
  337. Q2 7:02
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  338. Q2 7:08
    Heat personal foul
  339. Q2 7:08
    Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Pelle Larsson, Norman Powell, Nikola Jovic, Kel'el Ware)
  340. Q2 7:17
    Aaron Nesmith defensive rebound
  341. Q2 7:20
    Bennedict Mathurin personal foul (Pelle Larsson draws the foul)
  342. Q2 7:20
    +1
    Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    91-92
  343. Q2 7:20
    Pelle Larsson misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  344. Q2 7:28
    Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
  345. Q2 7:32
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  346. Q2 7:39
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    91-92
  347. Q2 7:55
    Pacers lineup change (Pascal Siakam, Andrew Nembhard, Aaron Nesmith, Micah Potter, Bennedict Mathurin)
  348. Q2 7:55
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    91-92
  349. Q2 7:55
    Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Pelle Larsson, Andrew Wiggins, Nikola Jovic, Kel'el Ware)
  350. Q2 8:13
    +2
    Pelle Larsson makes two point jump shot
    41-50
  351. Q2 8:13
    Pacers 60 second timeout
  352. Q2 8:13
    Instant replay
  353. Q2 8:13
    Instant replay
  354. Q2 8:13
    Pacers lineup change (Pascal Siakam, Andrew Nembhard, Aaron Nesmith, Micah Potter, Bennedict Mathurin)
  355. Q2 8:13
    Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Pelle Larsson, Andrew Wiggins, Nikola Jovic, Kel'el Ware)
  356. Q2 8:13
    Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Pelle Larsson, Andrew Wiggins, Kasparas Jakucionis, Nikola Jovic)
  357. Q2 8:13
    Pacers lineup change (Ethan Thompson, Quenton Jackson, Jay Huff, Johnny Furphy, Bennedict Mathurin)
  358. Q2 8:17
    Ethan Thompson turnover (bad pass) (Davion Mitchell steals)
  359. Q2 8:33
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    41-50
  360. Q2 8:49
    +2
    Jay Huff makes two point jump shot
    41-50
  361. Q2 9:10
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    36-44
  362. Q2 9:13
    Kasparas Jakucionis defensive rebound
  363. Q2 9:17
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  364. Q2 9:35
    Heat turnover
  365. Q2 9:35
    Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Pelle Larsson, Andrew Wiggins, Kasparas Jakucionis, Nikola Jovic)
  366. Q2 9:48
    +2
    Jay Huff makes two point jump shot (Quenton Jackson assists)
    36-44
  367. Q2 9:56
    Heat turnover
  368. Q2 10:03
    Pacers turnover
  369. Q2 10:10
    Johnny Furphy defensive rebound
  370. Q2 10:15
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  371. Q2 10:28
    Dru Smith personal foul (Quenton Jackson draws the foul)
  372. Q2 10:28
    +1
    Quenton Jackson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    21-27
  373. Q2 10:28
    +1
    Quenton Jackson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    36-44
  374. Q2 10:28
    Heat lineup change (Pelle Larsson, Dru Smith, Andrew Wiggins, Kasparas Jakucionis, Nikola Jovic)
  375. Q2 10:39
    +2
    Nikola Jovic makes two point jump shot (Andrew Wiggins assists)
    21-27
  376. Q2 10:50
    Jump ball. (Heat gains possession)
  377. Q2 11:00
    Johnny Furphy turnover
  378. Q2 11:16
    Johnny Furphy defensive rebound
  379. Q2 11:20
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  380. Q2 11:26
    Quenton Jackson personal foul (Nikola Jovic draws the foul)
  381. Q2 11:32
    Dru Smith defensive rebound
  382. Q2 11:36
    Bennedict Mathurin misses three point running pullup jump shot
  383. Q2 11:40
    Ethan Thompson defensive rebound
  384. Q2 11:44
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  385. Q1 00:00
    Dru Smith defensive rebound
  386. Q1 00:00
    Pascal Siakam misses two point driving floating bank jump shot
  387. Q2 12:00
    Pacers lineup change (Ethan Thompson, Quenton Jackson, Jay Huff, Johnny Furphy, Bennedict Mathurin)
  388. Q1 00:00
    End of 1st Quarter.
  389. Q1 00:03
    Dru Smith offensive rebound
  390. Q1 00:04
    Heat turnover (shot clock violation)
  391. Q1 00:05
    Kasparas Jakucionis misses three point jump shot
  392. Q1 00:28
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    21-27
  393. Q1 00:39
    Pascal Siakam defensive rebound
  394. Q1 00:43
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  395. Q1 00:54
    +3
    Pascal Siakam makes three point jump shot
    21-27
  396. Q1 1:03
    +2
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point driving layup
    21-27
  397. Q1 1:11
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    21-27
  398. Q1 1:28
    Pacers personal foul
  399. Q1 1:28
    Pacers lineup change (Jarace Walker, Pascal Siakam, Aaron Nesmith, Quenton Jackson, Jay Huff)
  400. Q1 1:28
    Pacers lineup change (Jarace Walker, Ethan Thompson, Pascal Siakam, Quenton Jackson, Jay Huff)
  401. Q1 1:28
    +1
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    36-44
  402. Q1 1:28
    +1
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    36-44
  403. Q1 1:39
    +2
    Tony Bradley makes two point jump shot
    21-25
  404. Q1 1:48
    +2
    Andrew Wiggins makes two point jump shot
    21-27
  405. Q1 1:49
    Andrew Wiggins offensive rebound
  406. Q1 1:53
    Nikola Jovic misses three point jump shot
  407. Q1 1:55
    Andrew Wiggins offensive rebound
  408. Q1 1:58
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  409. Q1 2:15
    Jarace Walker turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
  410. Q1 2:18
    Jarace Walker defensive rebound
  411. Q1 2:20
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  412. Q1 2:31
    Pascal Siakam turnover (lost ball) (Kasparas Jakucionis steals)
  413. Q1 2:38
    Heat personal foul
  414. Q1 2:38
    Pacers lineup change (Jarace Walker, Pascal Siakam, Aaron Nesmith, Quenton Jackson, Tony Bradley)
  415. Q1 2:58
    +2
    Nikola Jovic makes two point jump shot
    19-23
  416. Q1 3:03
    Aaron Nesmith turnover (lost ball) (Dru Smith steals)
  417. Q1 3:16
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    19-21
  418. Q1 3:16
    Pacers 60 second timeout
  419. Q1 3:16
    Heat lineup change (Dru Smith, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Andrew Wiggins, Kasparas Jakucionis, Nikola Jovic)
  420. Q1 3:16
    Pacers lineup change (Pascal Siakam, Aaron Nesmith, Quenton Jackson, Tony Bradley, Johnny Furphy)
  421. Q1 3:34
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    19-19
  422. Q1 3:38
    Heat turnover
  423. Q1 3:43
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
  424. Q1 3:46
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  425. Q1 4:01
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    17-19
  426. Q1 4:06
    Norman Powell defensive rebound
  427. Q1 4:09
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  428. Q1 4:22
    Aaron Nesmith defensive rebound
  429. Q1 4:29
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  430. Q1 4:43
    +3
    Pacers makes three point jump shot
    17-17
  431. Q1 5:01
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    14-17
  432. Q1 5:18
    Pacers personal foul
  433. Q1 5:18
    Tony Bradley turnover (offensive foul)
  434. Q1 5:18
    Heat lineup change (Dru Smith, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Norman Powell, Kasparas Jakucionis, Kel'el Ware)
  435. Q1 5:23
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  436. Q1 5:29
    Jarace Walker defensive rebound
  437. Q1 5:32
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  438. Q1 5:49
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  439. Q1 5:49
    Heat offensive rebound
  440. Q1 5:49
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  441. Q1 5:49
    Heat 60 second timeout
  442. Q1 5:49
    Pacers lineup change (Jarace Walker, Andrew Nembhard, Aaron Nesmith, Tony Bradley, Johnny Furphy)
  443. Q1 5:53
    Pacers turnover
  444. Q1 6:05
    Bennedict Mathurin defensive rebound
  445. Q1 6:10
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  446. Q1 6:14
    Norman Powell defensive rebound
  447. Q1 6:16
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  448. Q1 6:23
    Bennedict Mathurin defensive rebound
  449. Q1 6:26
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  450. Q1 6:31
    Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
  451. Q1 6:34
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  452. Q1 6:50
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    14-15
  453. Q1 6:52
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound
  454. Q1 6:56
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  455. Q1 7:04
    Pacers personal foul
  456. Q1 7:04
    Pacers lineup change (Jarace Walker, Andrew Nembhard, Jay Huff, Johnny Furphy, Bennedict Mathurin)
  457. Q1 7:04
    Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Norman Powell, Kasparas Jakucionis, Kel'el Ware)
  458. Q1 7:04
    Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Norman Powell, Kasparas Jakucionis, Kel'el Ware)
  459. Q1 7:04
    Pacers lineup change (Jarace Walker, Andrew Nembhard, Aaron Nesmith, Jay Huff, Bennedict Mathurin)
  460. Q1 7:09
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    14-12
  461. Q1 7:12
    Andrew Nembhard offensive rebound
  462. Q1 7:15
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  463. Q1 7:19
    Johnny Furphy defensive rebound
  464. Q1 7:22
    Pelle Larsson offensive rebound
  465. Q1 7:22
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  466. Q1 7:28
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  467. Q1 7:33
    Pacers turnover
  468. Q1 7:40
    Bennedict Mathurin defensive rebound
  469. Q1 7:43
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  470. Q1 8:01
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    12-12
  471. Q1 8:16
    Johnny Furphy defensive rebound
  472. Q1 8:18
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  473. Q1 8:24
    Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
  474. Q1 8:27
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  475. Q1 8:35
    Andrew Nembhard defensive rebound
  476. Q1 8:39
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  477. Q1 8:42
    Andrew Wiggins offensive rebound
  478. Q1 8:46
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  479. Q1 8:52
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  480. Q1 8:52
    Heat offensive rebound
  481. Q1 8:52
    Pacers personal foul
  482. Q1 9:01
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    10-12
  483. Q1 9:20
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    8-12
  484. Q1 9:33
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    8-10
  485. Q1 9:56
    Pacers personal foul
  486. Q1 9:56
    +1
    Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    6-9
  487. Q1 9:56
    +1
    Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    6-10
  488. Q1 10:09
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    6-8
  489. Q1 10:18
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    4-8
  490. Q1 10:25
    Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
  491. Q1 10:30
    Bennedict Mathurin misses three point jump shot
Box Score
Pacers
PosPlayerPts
Heat
PosPlayerPts

Pacers vs. Heat: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Pacers vs. Heat
  • Date: Saturday, December 27, 2025
  • Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Kaseya Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Heat favored at -6.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 233.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Pacers +222, Heat -260

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Pacers: 30%
  • Heat: 70%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Pacers 114-119 Heat.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Pacers a win probability of 30%, while the Heat have a win probability of 70%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Heat are more likely to beat the Pacers in the NBA game at Kaseya Center on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Pacers vs. Heat predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.