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Pacers vs. Heat Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Pacers vs. Heat NBA game on December 27, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
116
142
Dec 28, 1AM Kaseya Center
Dec 28, 1AM Kaseya Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pacers | 21 | 39 | 31 | 25 | 116 |
Heat | 27 | 32 | 33 | 48 | 142 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
<1%
>99%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pacers | 21 | 39 | 31 | 25 | 116 |
Heat | 27 | 32 | 33 | 48 | 142 |
Q4 00:05 Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:21 Kasparas Jakucionis misses three point stepback jump shot
Q4 00:41 Pacers misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:53 Pacers misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:04 Pacers misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:08 Keshad Johnson makes two point tip dunk
Q4 1:13 Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:22 Quenton Jackson misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:43 Norman Powell makes two point driving reverse layup (Simone Fontecchio assists)
Q4 1:44 Pacers misses two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
Myron Gardner offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Jump ball. (Keshad Johnson gains possession)
Simone Fontecchio offensive rebound
Kasparas Jakucionis misses three point stepback jump shot
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Kam Jones offensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Taelon Peter offensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
+2
Keshad Johnson makes two point tip dunk
116-140
Keshad Johnson offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Kasparas Jakucionis defensive rebound
Quenton Jackson misses two point jump shot
Norman Powell personal foul (Take) (Kam Jones draws the foul)
Heat lineup change (Keshad Johnson, Myron Gardner, Simone Fontecchio, Kasparas Jakucionis, Nikola Jovic)
+2
Norman Powell makes two point driving reverse layup (Simone Fontecchio assists)
116-140
Simone Fontecchio defensive rebound
Pacers personal foul
+1
Norman Powell makes regular free throw 1 of 1
116-140
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Davion Mitchell turnover
+2
Norman Powell makes two point driving layup
116-140
Jump ball. Ethan Thompson vs. Norman Powell (Ethan Thompson gains possession)
Pacers defensive rebound
Norman Powell misses two point driving layup
Heat lineup change (Keshad Johnson, Norman Powell, Simone Fontecchio, Kasparas Jakucionis, Nikola Jovic)
+2
Kam Jones makes two point driving layup (Quenton Jackson assists)
116-140
Ethan Thompson defensive rebound
Simone Fontecchio misses three point jump shot
Pacers turnover
Pacers defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Pascal Siakam makes two point layup
116-138
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Norman Powell, Simone Fontecchio, Kasparas Jakucionis, Kel'el Ware)
Heat personal foul
Heat defensive rebound
Ethan Thompson misses technical free throw 1 of 1
Heat 60 second timeout
Pacers lineup change (Ethan Thompson, Quenton Jackson, Kam Jones, Micah Potter, Taelon Peter)
Pascal Siakam offensive rebound
Aaron Nesmith misses three point running pullup jump shot
Dru Smith turnover (bad pass) (Pascal Siakam steals)
Dru Smith defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
116-140
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
+2
Nikola Jovic makes two point jump shot (Pelle Larsson assists)
111-122
Pascal Siakam turnover (lost ball) (Nikola Jovic steals)
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
111-122
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Heat personal foul
Jarace Walker misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+1
Jarace Walker makes regular free throw 1 of 2
116-140
Pacers 60 second timeout
Pacers lineup change (Jarace Walker, Pascal Siakam, Andrew Nembhard, Aaron Nesmith, Bennedict Mathurin)
+2
Dru Smith makes two point running layup
111-122
Pacers turnover
+2
Kel'el Ware makes two point jump shot
116-140
Norman Powell defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
116-140
Pacers personal foul
Heat 60 second timeout
Pacers lineup change (Pascal Siakam, Andrew Nembhard, Aaron Nesmith, Johnny Furphy, Bennedict Mathurin)
Heat lineup change (Pelle Larsson, Dru Smith, Norman Powell, Nikola Jovic, Kel'el Ware)
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
111-122
Pacers defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat misses three point jump shot
Pelle Larsson offensive rebound
Andrew Wiggins misses two point jump shot
+2
Bennedict Mathurin makes two point jump shot (Andrew Nembhard assists)
116-140
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
116-140
+2
Johnny Furphy makes two point running dunk (Pascal Siakam assists)
111-122
+2
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point jump shot (Andrew Wiggins assists)
104-120
Jarace Walker turnover
Heat turnover
Pacers 60 second timeout
+2
Pelle Larsson makes two point jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)
116-140
Pacers lineup change (Jarace Walker, Pascal Siakam, Andrew Nembhard, Johnny Furphy, Bennedict Mathurin)
Pacers turnover
Pascal Siakam offensive rebound
Pascal Siakam misses two point jump shot
+3
Andrew Wiggins makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jovic assists)
116-140
+2
Bennedict Mathurin makes two point jump shot
116-140
+3
Nikola Jovic makes three point jump shot (Pelle Larsson assists)
116-140
+2
Pascal Siakam makes two point tip layup
100-107
Pascal Siakam offensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
100-107
Pacers personal foul
Pacers lineup change (Pascal Siakam, Andrew Nembhard, Jay Huff, Johnny Furphy, Bennedict Mathurin)
+1
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 1
116-140
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Pacers personal foul
+1
Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
116-140
+1
Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
116-140
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
116-140
Heat turnover
Pacers turnover
+2
Nikola Jovic makes two point jump shot
116-140
Heat personal foul
+1
Bennedict Mathurin makes regular free throw 1 of 2
116-140
+1
Bennedict Mathurin makes regular free throw 2 of 2
116-140
Ethan Thompson defensive rebound
Nikola Jovic misses two point jump shot
+2
Bennedict Mathurin makes two point jump shot (Micah Potter assists)
111-122
Andrew Wiggins personal foul
Micah Potter offensive rebound
Ethan Thompson misses two point driving floating jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
116-140
Ethan Thompson personal foul (Pelle Larsson draws the foul)
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Pelle Larsson blocks Ethan Thompson's three point jump shot
+2
Andrew Wiggins makes two point stepback jump shot
116-140
Pelle Larsson defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
91-92
End of 3rd Quarter.
Pacers lineup change (Ethan Thompson, Pascal Siakam, Quenton Jackson, Micah Potter, Bennedict Mathurin)
Heat lineup change (Pelle Larsson, Dru Smith, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Andrew Wiggins, Nikola Jovic)
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pacers lineup change (Pascal Siakam, Andrew Nembhard, Aaron Nesmith, Tony Bradley, Bennedict Mathurin)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
116-140
Andrew Wiggins offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Pascal Siakam turnover (bad pass) (Nikola Jovic steals)
Pascal Siakam offensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
91-92
Tony Bradley defensive rebound
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
116-140
Heat personal foul
+1
Pascal Siakam makes regular free throw 1 of 1
116-140
Kasparas Jakucionis misses two point driving layup
Kasparas Jakucionis defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Andrew Nembhard offensive rebound
Andrew Nembhard misses two point running layup
Aaron Nesmith defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Andrew Nembhard makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Pascal Siakam assists)
116-140
+2
Andrew Wiggins makes two point putback layup
116-140
Andrew Wiggins offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Dru Smith defensive rebound
Aaron Nesmith misses three point jump shot
Jarace Walker shooting foul (Nikola Jovic draws the foul)
Pacers lineup change (Jarace Walker, Pascal Siakam, Andrew Nembhard, Aaron Nesmith, Tony Bradley)
+1
Nikola Jovic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
116-140
+1
Nikola Jovic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
116-140
Quenton Jackson turnover (Jaime Jaquez Jr. steals)
+1
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
111-122
Pacers personal foul
Pacers lineup change (Jarace Walker, Pascal Siakam, Aaron Nesmith, Quenton Jackson, Tony Bradley)
+1
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
116-140
Pacers turnover
Bennedict Mathurin defensive rebound
Nikola Jovic misses two point driving layup
Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
Heat personal foul
+2
Bennedict Mathurin makes two point jump shot
116-140
Bennedict Mathurin misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Tony Bradley offensive rebound
Bennedict Mathurin misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
116-140
Tony Bradley offensive rebound
Heat personal foul
Tony Bradley misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Pacers offensive rebound
+1
Tony Bradley makes regular free throw 2 of 2
116-140
Heat lineup change (Dru Smith, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Andrew Wiggins, Kasparas Jakucionis, Nikola Jovic)
Aaron Nesmith misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
116-140
+3
Bennedict Mathurin makes three point jump shot (Andrew Nembhard assists)
80-82
Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Norman Powell, Kasparas Jakucionis, Nikola Jovic)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat turnover
+3
Bennedict Mathurin makes three point jump shot
80-82
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
80-82
Jarace Walker turnover
+1
Norman Powell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
80-82
Pacers personal foul
+1
Norman Powell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
116-140
Bennedict Mathurin defensive rebound
Pacers turnover
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
116-140
Andrew Nembhard shooting foul (Norman Powell draws the foul)
+1
Norman Powell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
116-140
Pacers lineup change (Jarace Walker, Andrew Nembhard, Aaron Nesmith, Tony Bradley, Bennedict Mathurin)
Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Norman Powell, Kasparas Jakucionis, Kel'el Ware)
+1
Norman Powell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
116-140
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
116-140
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
116-140
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
116-140
Tony Bradley defensive rebound
Norman Powell misses two point driving hook shot
Pelle Larsson personal foul (Bennedict Mathurin draws the foul)
+1
Bennedict Mathurin makes regular free throw 1 of 2
116-140
Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Pelle Larsson, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Norman Powell, Kel'el Ware)
Pacers lineup change (Pascal Siakam, Andrew Nembhard, Aaron Nesmith, Tony Bradley, Bennedict Mathurin)
+1
Bennedict Mathurin makes regular free throw 2 of 2
116-140
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
116-138
Andrew Nembhard turnover (Davion Mitchell steals)
Johnny Furphy defensive rebound
Norman Powell misses three point jump shot
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Johnny Furphy personal foul
+1
Norman Powell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
116-140
+1
Norman Powell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
116-140
Pacers personal foul
Andrew Nembhard turnover
Johnny Furphy offensive foul (Charge) (Pelle Larsson draws the foul)
Instant replay (Challenge)
Pelle Larsson shooting foul (Johnny Furphy draws the foul)
+1
Johnny Furphy makes regular free throw 1 of 1
80-82
Johnny Furphy turnover (offensive foul)
Pacers 60 second timeout
+2
Johnny Furphy makes two point running layup
116-140
Johnny Furphy defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Pascal Siakam makes two point jump shot
68-69
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
111-122
Davion Mitchell offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Andrew Nembhard makes two point jump shot
80-82
+3
Pelle Larsson makes three point jump shot
80-82
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat offensive rebound
Pacers personal foul
+2
Andrew Nembhard makes two point jump shot
116-140
Bennedict Mathurin defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Johnny Furphy makes two point jump shot
80-82
Pacers 60 second timeout
+3
Andrew Wiggins makes three point pullup jump shot
116-138
Andrew Nembhard turnover (bad pass) (Andrew Wiggins steals)
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
Pacers personal foul
Jay Huff defensive rebound
Davion Mitchell misses three point jump shot
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
+2
Andrew Wiggins makes two point jump shot
80-82
End of 1st Half.
Pacers lineup change (Pascal Siakam, Andrew Nembhard, Jay Huff, Johnny Furphy, Bennedict Mathurin)
Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Pelle Larsson, Andrew Wiggins, Norman Powell, Kel'el Ware)
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
116-140
Jarace Walker defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Norman Powell defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Bennedict Mathurin defensive rebound
Kel'el Ware misses two point driving layup
Heat personal foul
+1
Jarace Walker makes regular free throw 1 of 2
116-140
+1
Jarace Walker makes regular free throw 2 of 2
116-140
Heat turnover
Pacers turnover
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
116-140
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
116-140
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pacers 60 second timeout
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Andrew Wiggins, Norman Powell, Kasparas Jakucionis, Kel'el Ware)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
60-61
Norman Powell defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
+2
Kel'el Ware makes two point jump shot
60-61
Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
53-53
Heat turnover
Heat lineup change (Dru Smith, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Andrew Wiggins, Norman Powell, Kel'el Ware)
+2
Pascal Siakam makes two point running pullup jump shot
80-82
Pascal Siakam defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
60-61
Jaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
60-61
Kel'el Ware misses two point jump shot
+3
Pascal Siakam makes three point jump shot (Andrew Nembhard assists)
60-59
Aaron Nesmith shooting foul (Norman Powell draws the foul)
+2
Norman Powell makes two point jump shot
60-59
Pacers lineup change (Jarace Walker, Pascal Siakam, Andrew Nembhard, Jay Huff, Bennedict Mathurin)
+1
Norman Powell makes regular free throw 1 of 1
116-140
Aaron Nesmith turnover
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
60-61
Jaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound
Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point driving layup
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
60-61
+2
Kel'el Ware makes two point jump shot (Pelle Larsson assists)
60-59
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Andrew Nembhard misses three point running pullup jump shot
Micah Potter defensive rebound
Dru Smith misses two point driving finger roll layup
+3
Aaron Nesmith makes three point jump shot (Pascal Siakam assists)
60-59
Instant replay
Heat 60 second timeout
Pacers offensive rebound
Heat personal foul
Pacers lineup change (Jarace Walker, Pascal Siakam, Andrew Nembhard, Aaron Nesmith, Micah Potter)
Heat lineup change (Pelle Larsson, Dru Smith, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Norman Powell, Kel'el Ware)
Pascal Siakam misses two point running layup
Heat turnover
Davion Mitchell defensive rebound
Andrew Nembhard misses three point jump shot
Aaron Nesmith offensive rebound
Kel'el Ware blocks Micah Potter's two point putback layup
Micah Potter offensive rebound
Pascal Siakam misses three point jump shot
Micah Potter offensive rebound
Aaron Nesmith misses three point jump shot
Norman Powell turnover
Bennedict Mathurin turnover (offensive foul)
Bennedict Mathurin offensive foul (Pelle Larsson draws the foul)
Pacers offensive rebound
Heat personal foul
Pacers misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
91-92
Pelle Larsson defensive rebound
Aaron Nesmith misses three point jump shot
Aaron Nesmith defensive rebound
Norman Powell misses two point running jump shot
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Heat personal foul
Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Pelle Larsson, Norman Powell, Nikola Jovic, Kel'el Ware)
Aaron Nesmith defensive rebound
Bennedict Mathurin personal foul (Pelle Larsson draws the foul)
+1
Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
91-92
Pelle Larsson misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
91-92
Pacers lineup change (Pascal Siakam, Andrew Nembhard, Aaron Nesmith, Micah Potter, Bennedict Mathurin)
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
91-92
Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Pelle Larsson, Andrew Wiggins, Nikola Jovic, Kel'el Ware)
+2
Pelle Larsson makes two point jump shot
41-50
Pacers 60 second timeout
Instant replay
Instant replay
Pacers lineup change (Pascal Siakam, Andrew Nembhard, Aaron Nesmith, Micah Potter, Bennedict Mathurin)
Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Pelle Larsson, Andrew Wiggins, Nikola Jovic, Kel'el Ware)
Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Pelle Larsson, Andrew Wiggins, Kasparas Jakucionis, Nikola Jovic)
Pacers lineup change (Ethan Thompson, Quenton Jackson, Jay Huff, Johnny Furphy, Bennedict Mathurin)
Ethan Thompson turnover (bad pass) (Davion Mitchell steals)
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
41-50
+2
Jay Huff makes two point jump shot
41-50
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
36-44
Kasparas Jakucionis defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Heat turnover
Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Pelle Larsson, Andrew Wiggins, Kasparas Jakucionis, Nikola Jovic)
+2
Jay Huff makes two point jump shot (Quenton Jackson assists)
36-44
Heat turnover
Pacers turnover
Johnny Furphy defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Dru Smith personal foul (Quenton Jackson draws the foul)
+1
Quenton Jackson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
21-27
+1
Quenton Jackson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
36-44
Heat lineup change (Pelle Larsson, Dru Smith, Andrew Wiggins, Kasparas Jakucionis, Nikola Jovic)
+2
Nikola Jovic makes two point jump shot (Andrew Wiggins assists)
21-27
Jump ball. (Heat gains possession)
Johnny Furphy turnover
Johnny Furphy defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Quenton Jackson personal foul (Nikola Jovic draws the foul)
Dru Smith defensive rebound
Bennedict Mathurin misses three point running pullup jump shot
Ethan Thompson defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Dru Smith defensive rebound
Pascal Siakam misses two point driving floating bank jump shot
Pacers lineup change (Ethan Thompson, Quenton Jackson, Jay Huff, Johnny Furphy, Bennedict Mathurin)
End of 1st Quarter.
Dru Smith offensive rebound
Heat turnover (shot clock violation)
Kasparas Jakucionis misses three point jump shot
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
21-27
Pascal Siakam defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Pascal Siakam makes three point jump shot
21-27
+2
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point driving layup
21-27
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
21-27
Pacers personal foul
Pacers lineup change (Jarace Walker, Pascal Siakam, Aaron Nesmith, Quenton Jackson, Jay Huff)
Pacers lineup change (Jarace Walker, Ethan Thompson, Pascal Siakam, Quenton Jackson, Jay Huff)
+1
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
36-44
+1
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
36-44
+2
Tony Bradley makes two point jump shot
21-25
+2
Andrew Wiggins makes two point jump shot
21-27
Andrew Wiggins offensive rebound
Nikola Jovic misses three point jump shot
Andrew Wiggins offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Jarace Walker turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Jarace Walker defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Pascal Siakam turnover (lost ball) (Kasparas Jakucionis steals)
Heat personal foul
Pacers lineup change (Jarace Walker, Pascal Siakam, Aaron Nesmith, Quenton Jackson, Tony Bradley)
+2
Nikola Jovic makes two point jump shot
19-23
Aaron Nesmith turnover (lost ball) (Dru Smith steals)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
19-21
Pacers 60 second timeout
Heat lineup change (Dru Smith, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Andrew Wiggins, Kasparas Jakucionis, Nikola Jovic)
Pacers lineup change (Pascal Siakam, Aaron Nesmith, Quenton Jackson, Tony Bradley, Johnny Furphy)
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
19-19
Heat turnover
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
17-19
Norman Powell defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Aaron Nesmith defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
17-17
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
14-17
Pacers personal foul
Tony Bradley turnover (offensive foul)
Heat lineup change (Dru Smith, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Norman Powell, Kasparas Jakucionis, Kel'el Ware)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jarace Walker defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat 60 second timeout
Pacers lineup change (Jarace Walker, Andrew Nembhard, Aaron Nesmith, Tony Bradley, Johnny Furphy)
Pacers turnover
Bennedict Mathurin defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Norman Powell defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Bennedict Mathurin defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
14-15
Jaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Pacers personal foul
Pacers lineup change (Jarace Walker, Andrew Nembhard, Jay Huff, Johnny Furphy, Bennedict Mathurin)
Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Norman Powell, Kasparas Jakucionis, Kel'el Ware)
Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Norman Powell, Kasparas Jakucionis, Kel'el Ware)
Pacers lineup change (Jarace Walker, Andrew Nembhard, Aaron Nesmith, Jay Huff, Bennedict Mathurin)
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
14-12
Andrew Nembhard offensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Johnny Furphy defensive rebound
Pelle Larsson offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat misses three point jump shot
Pacers turnover
Bennedict Mathurin defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
12-12
Johnny Furphy defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Andrew Nembhard defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Andrew Wiggins offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat offensive rebound
Pacers personal foul
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
10-12
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
8-12
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
8-10
Pacers personal foul
+1
Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
6-9
+1
Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
6-10
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
6-8
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
4-8
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Bennedict Mathurin misses three point jump shot
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Pacers vs. Heat: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Pacers vs. Heat
- Date: Saturday, December 27, 2025
- Time: 8:00 PM ET
- Venue: Kaseya Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Heat favored at -6.5
- Total (Over/Under): 233.5
- Moneyline Odds: Pacers +222, Heat -260
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Pacers: 30%
- Heat: 70%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Pacers 114-119 Heat.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Pacers a win probability of 30%, while the Heat have a win probability of 70%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Heat are more likely to beat the Pacers in the NBA game at Kaseya Center on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Pacers vs. Heat predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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