Thunder vs. Spurs Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Thunder vs. Spurs NBA game on May 24, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NBA
Thunder
82
103
Frost Bank Center
Spurs
Frost Bank Center
TEAM1234T
Thunder
19 19 22 22 82
Spurs
28 22 28 25 103
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Thunder
    <1%
  • Spurs
    >99%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Thunder
19 19 22 22 82
Spurs
28 22 28 25 103
Q4 00:28 Thunder makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:38 Spurs makes three point jump shot
Q4 00:55 Thunder makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:01 Spurs misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:13 Thunder makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:30 Spurs misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:54 Spurs makes three point jump shot
Q4 2:11 Spurs makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:41 Spurs misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:44 Spurs misses two point jump shot
Play by Play
  1. Q4 00:00
    End of 4th Quarter.
  2. Q4 00:03
    Spurs turnover
  3. Q4 00:28
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    82-103
  4. Q4 00:38
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    80-103
  5. Q4 00:55
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    80-100
  6. Q4 00:58
    Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
  7. Q4 1:01
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  8. Q4 1:13
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    78-100
  9. Q4 1:28
    Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
  10. Q4 1:30
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  11. Q4 1:38
    Thunder turnover
  12. Q4 1:54
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    75-100
  13. Q4 1:58
    Thunder turnover
  14. Q4 2:11
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    75-97
  15. Q4 2:24
    Thunder turnover
  16. Q4 2:36
    Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
  17. Q4 2:41
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  18. Q4 2:43
    Jordan McLaughlin offensive rebound
  19. Q4 2:44
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  20. Q4 2:52
    Kelly Olynyk defensive rebound
  21. Q4 2:55
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  22. Q4 3:03
    Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
  23. Q4 3:05
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  24. Q4 3:32
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  25. Q4 3:32
    Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Kelly Olynyk, Carter Bryant, Lindy Waters III, Jordan McLaughlin)
  26. Q4 3:33
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    75-95
  27. Q4 3:45
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    73-94
  28. Q4 3:45
    Thunder personal foul
  29. Q4 3:45
    Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, De'Aaron Fox, Carter Bryant, Luke Kornet, Jordan McLaughlin)
  30. Q4 3:45
    Thunder lineup change (Kenrich Williams, Isaiah Joe, Nikola Topic, Jaylin Williams, Aaron Wiggins)
  31. Q4 3:45
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  32. Q4 3:45
    +1
    De'Aaron Fox makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    73-95
  33. Q4 3:57
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    73-92
  34. Q4 4:01
    Spurs turnover
  35. Q4 4:07
    Dylan Harper defensive rebound
  36. Q4 4:08
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  37. Q4 4:21
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    70-92
  38. Q4 4:34
    Luke Kornet defensive rebound
  39. Q4 4:36
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  40. Q4 4:43
    Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
  41. Q4 4:46
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  42. Q4 5:04
    Thunder personal foul
  43. Q4 5:04
    Spurs personal foul
  44. Q4 5:04
    +1
    Kenrich Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    69-90
  45. Q4 5:04
    +1
    Kenrich Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    70-90
  46. Q4 5:16
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    68-90
  47. Q4 5:30
    Dylan Harper defensive rebound
  48. Q4 5:32
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  49. Q4 5:40
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  50. Q4 5:41
    Thunder offensive rebound
  51. Q4 5:41
    Spurs personal foul
  52. Q4 5:41
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Julian Champagnie, Dylan Harper, De'Aaron Fox, Luke Kornet)
  53. Q4 5:49
    Jaylin Williams offensive rebound
  54. Q4 5:51
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  55. Q4 6:00
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  56. Q4 6:00
    Thunder offensive rebound
  57. Q4 6:00
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  58. Q4 6:00
    Spurs challenge timeout
  59. Q4 6:00
    Instant replay
  60. Q4 6:00
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  61. Q4 6:06
    Spurs turnover
  62. Q4 6:14
    Devin Vassell defensive rebound
  63. Q4 6:17
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  64. Q4 6:29
    Thunder personal foul
  65. Q4 6:29
    +1
    Dylan Harper makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    68-87
  66. Q4 6:29
    Thunder lineup change (Kenrich Williams, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace, Jaylin Williams, Aaron Wiggins)
  67. Q4 6:29
    +1
    Dylan Harper makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    68-88
  68. Q4 6:29
    Thunder lineup change (Kenrich Williams, Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Joe, Jaylin Williams, Aaron Wiggins)
  69. Q4 6:32
    Luke Kornet defensive rebound
  70. Q4 6:37
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  71. Q4 6:43
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  72. Q4 6:43
    Thunder offensive rebound
  73. Q4 6:43
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  74. Q4 6:50
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  75. Q4 6:52
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  76. Q4 7:08
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    68-86
  77. Q4 7:08
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  78. Q4 7:08
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Julian Champagnie, Dylan Harper, De'Aaron Fox, Luke Kornet)
  79. Q4 7:08
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Julian Champagnie, Dylan Harper, Stephon Castle, Luke Kornet)
  80. Q4 7:24
    Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
  81. Q4 7:26
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  82. Q4 7:36
    Dylan Harper defensive rebound
  83. Q4 7:41
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  84. Q4 7:48
    Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
  85. Q4 7:49
    Luke Kornet offensive rebound
  86. Q4 7:49
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  87. Q4 7:52
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  88. Q4 8:15
    Spurs personal foul
  89. Q4 8:15
    +1
    Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    65-86
  90. Q4 8:15
    +1
    Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    66-86
  91. Q4 8:18
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  92. Q4 8:18
    Thunder offensive rebound
  93. Q4 8:18
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  94. Q4 8:32
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    64-86
  95. Q4 8:43
    Thunder personal foul
  96. Q4 8:43
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Dylan Harper, Keldon Johnson, De'Aaron Fox, Luke Kornet)
  97. Q4 8:43
    Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Kenrich Williams, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace, Aaron Wiggins)
  98. Q4 9:02
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    64-84
  99. Q4 9:11
    Spurs turnover
  100. Q4 9:16
    Spurs offensive rebound
  101. Q4 9:16
    Jump ball. (Harrison Barnes gains possession)
  102. Q4 9:18
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  103. Q4 9:38
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    62-84
  104. Q4 10:00
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    60-84
  105. Q4 10:05
    Thunder turnover
  106. Q4 10:24
    Harrison Barnes offensive rebound
  107. Q4 10:24
    Thunder personal foul
  108. Q4 10:24
    +1
    Harrison Barnes makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    60-81
  109. Q4 10:24
    +1
    Harrison Barnes makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    60-82
  110. Q4 10:26
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  111. Q4 10:26
    Isaiah Joe turnover (lost ball)
  112. Q4 10:35
    Thunder personal foul
  113. Q4 10:35
    Thunder lineup change (Kenrich Williams, Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Joe, Isaiah Hartenstein, Aaron Wiggins)
  114. Q4 10:40
    Thunder personal foul
  115. Q4 10:46
    Harrison Barnes defensive rebound
  116. Q4 10:48
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  117. Q4 10:51
    Luguentz Dort offensive rebound
  118. Q4 10:55
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  119. Q4 11:06
    Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
  120. Q4 11:10
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  121. Q4 11:14
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  122. Q4 11:15
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  123. Q4 11:35
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    60-80
  124. Q3 00:00
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  125. Q3 00:00
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  126. Q3 00:00
    Victor Wembanyama turnover (lost ball)
  127. Q3 00:00
    Instant replay
  128. Q3 00:00
    End of 3rd Quarter.
  129. Q4 12:00
    Thunder lineup change (Kenrich Williams, Luguentz Dort, Jared McCain, Isaiah Joe, Isaiah Hartenstein)
  130. Q4 12:00
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Keldon Johnson, Stephon Castle, Harrison Barnes, Victor Wembanyama)
  131. Q3 00:02
    Victor Wembanyama turnover (lost ball)
  132. Q3 00:10
    Jared McCain defensive rebound
  133. Q3 00:12
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  134. Q3 00:34
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    60-78
  135. Q3 00:45
    Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
  136. Q3 00:47
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  137. Q3 1:05
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    57-78
  138. Q3 1:27
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    54-78
  139. Q3 1:34
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  140. Q3 1:34
    Spurs defensive rebound
  141. Q3 1:34
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  142. Q3 1:51
    Thunder personal foul
  143. Q3 1:51
    Victor Wembanyama misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  144. Q3 1:51
    Spurs offensive rebound
  145. Q3 1:51
    +1
    Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    54-75
  146. Q3 1:59
    Harrison Barnes offensive rebound
  147. Q3 2:00
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  148. Q3 2:06
    Thunder turnover
  149. Q3 2:15
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    54-74
  150. Q3 2:25
    +2
    Jared McCain makes two point jump shot
    54-72
  151. Q3 2:32
    Thunder offensive rebound
  152. Q3 2:32
    Stoppage (Blood rule)
  153. Q3 2:32
    Stoppage (Court cleanup)
  154. Q3 2:32
    Thunder lineup change (Kenrich Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain, Isaiah Joe, Jaylin Williams)
  155. Q3 2:36
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  156. Q3 2:41
    Spurs turnover
  157. Q3 2:51
    De'Aaron Fox offensive rebound
  158. Q3 2:54
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  159. Q3 3:00
    Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
  160. Q3 3:02
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  161. Q3 3:14
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  162. Q3 3:14
    Spurs personal foul
  163. Q3 3:14
    Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
  164. Q3 3:14
    Spurs personal foul
  165. Q3 3:14
    Instant replay
  166. Q3 3:14
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    52-72
  167. Q3 3:14
    Spurs lineup change (Julian Champagnie, Keldon Johnson, De'Aaron Fox, Harrison Barnes, Victor Wembanyama)
  168. Q3 3:28
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    51-72
  169. Q3 3:28
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  170. Q3 3:28
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Julian Champagnie, Keldon Johnson, De'Aaron Fox, Luke Kornet)
  171. Q3 3:32
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
  172. Q3 3:34
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  173. Q3 3:54
    Spurs personal foul
  174. Q3 3:54
    +1
    Jared McCain makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    48-72
  175. Q3 3:54
    +1
    Jared McCain makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    49-72
  176. Q3 4:01
    Carter Bryant turnover (offensive foul)
  177. Q3 4:01
    Spurs personal foul
  178. Q3 4:01
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Julian Champagnie, De'Aaron Fox, Carter Bryant, Luke Kornet)
  179. Q3 4:04
    De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
  180. Q3 4:07
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  181. Q3 4:20
    Dylan Harper offensive rebound
  182. Q3 4:20
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    47-72
  183. Q3 4:25
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  184. Q3 4:33
    Carter Bryant defensive rebound
  185. Q3 4:35
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  186. Q3 4:53
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
  187. Q3 4:57
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  188. Q3 5:09
    Thunder personal foul
  189. Q3 5:09
    +1
    Dylan Harper makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    45-71
  190. Q3 5:09
    +1
    Dylan Harper makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    45-72
  191. Q3 5:21
    Thunder personal foul
  192. Q3 5:21
    +1
    Devin Vassell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    45-69
  193. Q3 5:21
    Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain, Isaiah Joe, Jaylin Williams)
  194. Q3 5:21
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Dylan Harper, De'Aaron Fox, Carter Bryant, Luke Kornet)
  195. Q3 5:21
    +1
    Devin Vassell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    45-70
  196. Q3 5:30
    Thunder turnover
  197. Q3 5:39
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    45-68
  198. Q3 5:54
    De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
  199. Q3 5:57
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  200. Q3 6:01
    Alex Caruso defensive rebound
  201. Q3 6:03
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  202. Q3 6:19
    Spurs personal foul
  203. Q3 6:19
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    44-65
  204. Q3 6:19
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    45-65
  205. Q3 6:19
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Dylan Harper, De'Aaron Fox, Harrison Barnes, Victor Wembanyama)
  206. Q3 6:24
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  207. Q3 6:24
    Thunder offensive rebound
  208. Q3 6:24
    Spurs personal foul
  209. Q3 6:43
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  210. Q3 6:43
    Thunder defensive rebound
  211. Q3 6:43
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  212. Q3 6:54
    Dylan Harper defensive rebound
  213. Q3 6:58
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  214. Q3 7:17
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    43-65
  215. Q3 7:17
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  216. Q3 7:21
    Thunder turnover
  217. Q3 7:24
    Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
  218. Q3 7:25
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  219. Q3 7:48
    Thunder personal foul
  220. Q3 7:48
    +1
    Harrison Barnes makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    43-62
  221. Q3 7:48
    Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain, Jaylin Williams)
  222. Q3 7:48
    +1
    Harrison Barnes makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    43-63
  223. Q3 7:55
    Thunder turnover
  224. Q3 8:06
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    43-61
  225. Q3 8:11
    Thunder turnover
  226. Q3 8:26
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  227. Q3 8:26
    Stephon Castle offensive rebound
  228. Q3 8:26
    Thunder personal foul
  229. Q3 8:26
    +1
    Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    43-58
  230. Q3 8:26
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Dylan Harper, Stephon Castle, Harrison Barnes, Victor Wembanyama)
  231. Q3 8:26
    +1
    Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    43-59
  232. Q3 8:35
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  233. Q3 8:37
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  234. Q3 8:41
    Alex Caruso defensive rebound
  235. Q3 8:43
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  236. Q3 9:02
    De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
  237. Q3 9:06
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  238. Q3 9:19
    Spurs personal foul
  239. Q3 9:19
    Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Hartenstein, Aaron Wiggins)
  240. Q3 9:23
    Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
  241. Q3 9:25
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  242. Q3 9:34
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  243. Q3 9:34
    Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
  244. Q3 9:34
    Thunder offensive rebound
  245. Q3 9:34
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  246. Q3 9:34
    Thunder turnover
  247. Q3 9:55
    Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
  248. Q3 9:57
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  249. Q3 10:04
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  250. Q3 10:24
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    43-57
  251. Q3 10:32
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  252. Q3 10:32
    Thunder offensive rebound
  253. Q3 10:32
    Spurs personal foul
  254. Q3 10:45
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    41-57
  255. Q3 10:45
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  256. Q3 10:53
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  257. Q3 10:55
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  258. Q3 11:09
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    41-55
  259. Q3 11:14
    Devin Vassell defensive rebound
  260. Q3 11:16
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  261. Q3 11:30
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    41-52
  262. Q3 11:30
    Thunder personal foul
  263. Q3 11:30
    +1
    Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    41-53
  264. Q3 11:30
    Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Hartenstein, Aaron Wiggins)
  265. Q3 11:42
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    41-50
  266. Q2 00:00
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    38-50
  267. Q2 00:00
    End of 1st Half.
  268. Q2 00:00
    Instant replay
  269. Q3 12:00
    Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Hartenstein)
  270. Q2 00:06
    Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
  271. Q2 00:14
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  272. Q2 00:29
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    38-47
  273. Q2 00:39
    Jump ball. (De'Aaron Fox gains possession)
  274. Q2 00:44
    Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
  275. Q2 00:48
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  276. Q2 00:58
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  277. Q2 00:58
    Spurs defensive rebound
  278. Q2 00:58
    Thunder personal foul
  279. Q2 00:58
    +1
    Devin Vassell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    38-44
  280. Q2 00:58
    Thunder lineup change (Kenrich Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain, Cason Wallace, Jaylin Williams)
  281. Q2 00:58
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Julian Champagnie, De'Aaron Fox, Stephon Castle, Victor Wembanyama)
  282. Q2 00:58
    +1
    Devin Vassell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    38-45
  283. Q2 1:10
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  284. Q2 1:12
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  285. Q2 1:37
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    38-43
  286. Q2 1:47
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    36-43
  287. Q2 1:47
    Victor Wembanyama offensive rebound
  288. Q2 1:52
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  289. Q2 2:04
    Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
  290. Q2 2:04
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    36-41
  291. Q2 2:07
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  292. Q2 2:12
    Cason Wallace defensive rebound
  293. Q2 2:14
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  294. Q2 2:22
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    34-41
  295. Q2 2:48
    Devin Vassell defensive rebound
  296. Q2 2:48
    Thunder personal foul
  297. Q2 2:48
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  298. Q2 2:48
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Julian Champagnie, Dylan Harper, De'Aaron Fox, Victor Wembanyama)
  299. Q2 2:48
    Devin Vassell misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  300. Q2 2:48
    Spurs offensive rebound
  301. Q2 2:48
    +1
    Devin Vassell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    32-41
  302. Q2 2:50
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  303. Q2 3:00
    Spurs turnover
  304. Q2 3:05
    Victor Wembanyama offensive rebound
  305. Q2 3:05
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  306. Q2 3:05
    Stephon Castle offensive rebound
  307. Q2 3:06
    Victor Wembanyama offensive rebound
  308. Q2 3:06
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  309. Q2 3:08
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  310. Q2 3:19
    Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
  311. Q2 3:22
    Spurs personal foul
  312. Q2 3:22
    +1
    Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    32-40
  313. Q2 3:22
    Chet Holmgren misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  314. Q2 3:27
    Jared McCain defensive rebound
  315. Q2 3:33
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  316. Q2 3:43
    Spurs personal foul
  317. Q2 3:43
    Chet Holmgren misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  318. Q2 3:43
    Thunder offensive rebound
  319. Q2 3:43
    Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain, Cason Wallace, Jaylin Williams)
  320. Q2 3:43
    +1
    Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    31-40
  321. Q2 3:43
    Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Kenrich Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain, Cason Wallace)
  322. Q2 3:56
    Thunder personal foul
  323. Q2 3:56
    +1
    Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    30-39
  324. Q2 3:56
    +1
    Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    30-40
  325. Q2 3:57
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  326. Q2 3:57
    Spurs offensive rebound
  327. Q2 4:04
    Thunder turnover
  328. Q2 4:09
    Spurs personal foul
  329. Q2 4:14
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  330. Q2 4:16
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  331. Q2 4:21
    Spurs offensive rebound
  332. Q2 4:21
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  333. Q2 4:21
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Dylan Harper, Keldon Johnson, Stephon Castle, Victor Wembanyama)
  334. Q2 4:23
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  335. Q2 4:30
    De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
  336. Q2 4:32
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  337. Q2 4:56
    Thunder defensive rebound
  338. Q2 4:56
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  339. Q2 4:57
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  340. Q2 5:03
    Devin Vassell defensive rebound
  341. Q2 5:04
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  342. Q2 5:16
    Thunder personal foul
  343. Q2 5:16
    Spurs personal foul
  344. Q2 5:16
    Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain, Jaylin Williams)
  345. Q2 5:16
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, De'Aaron Fox, Stephon Castle, Harrison Barnes, Victor Wembanyama)
  346. Q2 5:35
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    30-38
  347. Q2 5:35
    Victor Wembanyama offensive rebound
  348. Q2 5:38
    Victor Wembanyama misses two point jump shot
  349. Q2 5:57
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    30-36
  350. Q2 6:11
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
  351. Q2 6:14
    Thunder personal foul
  352. Q2 6:14
    +1
    Harrison Barnes makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    28-36
  353. Q2 6:14
    Harrison Barnes misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  354. Q2 6:14
    Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain, Isaiah Hartenstein, Aaron Wiggins)
  355. Q2 6:19
    Thunder personal foul
  356. Q2 6:28
    Thunder personal foul
  357. Q2 6:28
    Luguentz Dort turnover (offensive foul)
  358. Q2 6:28
    Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain, Isaiah Hartenstein, Aaron Wiggins)
  359. Q2 6:45
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  360. Q2 6:45
    Thunder defensive rebound
  361. Q2 6:45
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  362. Q2 6:45
    Victor Wembanyama turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
  363. Q2 7:03
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    28-35
  364. Q2 7:12
    Spurs turnover
  365. Q2 7:14
    Harrison Barnes offensive rebound
  366. Q2 7:19
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  367. Q2 7:32
    Thunder turnover
  368. Q2 7:32
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  369. Q2 7:32
    Thunder challenge timeout
  370. Q2 7:32
    Instant replay
  371. Q2 7:32
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  372. Q2 7:32
    Spurs lineup change (Julian Champagnie, De'Aaron Fox, Stephon Castle, Harrison Barnes, Victor Wembanyama)
  373. Q2 7:40
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    26-35
  374. Q2 7:58
    Thunder personal foul
  375. Q2 8:02
    Thunder turnover
  376. Q2 8:17
    Thunder offensive rebound
  377. Q2 8:17
    Cason Wallace misses two point jump shot
  378. Q2 8:17
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  379. Q2 8:17
    Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Hartenstein, Aaron Wiggins)
  380. Q2 8:17
    Spurs lineup change (Julian Champagnie, Dylan Harper, Stephon Castle, Harrison Barnes, Victor Wembanyama)
  381. Q2 8:20
    Spurs turnover
  382. Q2 8:24
    Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
  383. Q2 8:24
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    26-33
  384. Q2 8:27
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  385. Q2 8:39
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    24-33
  386. Q2 8:40
    Luke Kornet offensive rebound
  387. Q2 8:42
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  388. Q2 8:51
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  389. Q2 8:51
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  390. Q2 8:51
    Spurs offensive rebound
  391. Q2 8:51
    Spurs lineup change (Julian Champagnie, Dylan Harper, Stephon Castle, Harrison Barnes, Luke Kornet)
  392. Q2 9:02
    De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
  393. Q2 9:06
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  394. Q2 9:07
    Cason Wallace offensive rebound
  395. Q2 9:12
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  396. Q2 9:26
    Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
  397. Q2 9:29
    Thunder personal foul
  398. Q2 9:29
    Dylan Harper misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  399. Q2 9:29
    Spurs offensive rebound
  400. Q2 9:29
    Dylan Harper misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  401. Q2 9:33
    Luke Kornet defensive rebound
  402. Q2 9:34
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  403. Q2 9:39
    Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
  404. Q2 9:41
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  405. Q2 9:50
    Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
  406. Q2 9:55
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  407. Q2 10:06
    Thunder personal foul
  408. Q2 10:06
    Dylan Harper misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  409. Q2 10:06
    Spurs offensive rebound
  410. Q2 10:06
    Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Jared McCain, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Joe, Isaiah Hartenstein)
  411. Q2 10:06
    +1
    Dylan Harper makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    24-31
  412. Q2 10:16
    Luke Kornet defensive rebound
  413. Q2 10:18
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  414. Q2 10:37
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    24-30
  415. Q2 10:53
    Spurs personal foul
  416. Q2 10:53
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    23-28
  417. Q2 10:53
    Spurs lineup change (Julian Champagnie, Dylan Harper, De'Aaron Fox, Harrison Barnes, Luke Kornet)
  418. Q2 10:53
    +1
    Isaiah Joe makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    24-28
  419. Q2 10:59
    Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
  420. Q2 11:01
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  421. Q2 11:25
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    21-28
  422. Q2 11:35
    Spurs turnover
  423. Q2 11:41
    Thunder turnover
  424. Q2 11:42
    Jared McCain offensive rebound
  425. Q2 11:46
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  426. Q1 00:00
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  427. Q1 00:00
    End of 1st Quarter.
  428. Q1 00:00
    Spurs offensive rebound
  429. Q2 12:00
    Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Chet Holmgren, Jared McCain, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Joe)
  430. Q2 12:00
    Spurs lineup change (Julian Champagnie, De'Aaron Fox, Stephon Castle, Carter Bryant, Luke Kornet)
  431. Q1 00:02
    Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
  432. Q1 00:02
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    19-28
  433. Q1 00:04
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  434. Q1 00:22
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  435. Q1 00:25
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  436. Q1 00:33
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  437. Q1 00:33
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Julian Champagnie, De'Aaron Fox, Stephon Castle, Victor Wembanyama)
  438. Q1 00:33
    Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Cason Wallace, Jaylin Williams, Aaron Wiggins)
  439. Q1 00:36
    Devin Vassell defensive rebound
  440. Q1 00:38
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  441. Q1 00:50
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  442. Q1 00:51
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  443. Q1 1:06
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    17-28
  444. Q1 1:10
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
  445. Q1 1:12
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  446. Q1 1:18
    De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
  447. Q1 1:20
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  448. Q1 1:46
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    14-28
  449. Q1 1:57
    Spurs personal foul
  450. Q1 1:57
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    13-25
  451. Q1 1:57
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    14-25
  452. Q1 2:17
    +2
    Luke Kornet makes two point jump shot
    12-25
  453. Q1 2:28
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    12-23
  454. Q1 2:39
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  455. Q1 2:39
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  456. Q1 2:39
    Thunder defensive rebound
  457. Q1 2:47
    Luke Kornet defensive rebound
  458. Q1 2:50
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  459. Q1 2:59
    Spurs personal foul
  460. Q1 2:59
    Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Kenrich Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jaylin Williams, Aaron Wiggins)
  461. Q1 2:59
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Julian Champagnie, De'Aaron Fox, Stephon Castle, Luke Kornet)
  462. Q1 3:06
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  463. Q1 3:07
    Thunder defensive rebound
  464. Q1 3:07
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  465. Q1 3:08
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  466. Q1 3:23
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    10-23
  467. Q1 3:35
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  468. Q1 3:37
    Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
  469. Q1 3:37
    Thunder personal foul
  470. Q1 3:37
    Keldon Johnson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  471. Q1 3:37
    Spurs offensive rebound
  472. Q1 3:37
    Spurs lineup change (Julian Champagnie, Dylan Harper, Keldon Johnson, De'Aaron Fox, Victor Wembanyama)
  473. Q1 3:37
    Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Kenrich Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain, Aaron Wiggins)
  474. Q1 3:37
    Keldon Johnson misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  475. Q1 3:38
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  476. Q1 3:45
    Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
  477. Q1 3:50
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  478. Q1 4:00
    Thunder turnover
  479. Q1 4:19
    Thunder personal foul
  480. Q1 4:19
    +1
    Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    8-22
  481. Q1 4:19
    +1
    Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    8-23
  482. Q1 4:19
    Spurs lineup change (Julian Champagnie, Dylan Harper, Keldon Johnson, Stephon Castle, Victor Wembanyama)
  483. Q1 4:27
    Thunder turnover
  484. Q1 4:39
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  485. Q1 4:39
    Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Chet Holmgren, Kenrich Williams, Jared McCain, Isaiah Hartenstein)
  486. Q1 4:40
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    8-21
  487. Q1 4:43
    Devin Vassell defensive rebound
  488. Q1 4:45
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  489. Q1 4:52
    Jared McCain defensive rebound
  490. Q1 4:56
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  491. Q1 4:56
    Keldon Johnson turnover (lost ball)
  492. Q1 5:07
    Thunder personal foul
  493. Q1 5:15
    Thunder turnover
  494. Q1 5:27
    Spurs personal foul
  495. Q1 5:27
    Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Kenrich Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain, Jaylin Williams)
  496. Q1 5:40
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    8-19
  497. Q1 5:43
    Stephon Castle defensive rebound
  498. Q1 5:45
    Jaylin Williams misses three point jump shot
  499. Q1 6:09
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    8-16
  500. Q1 6:13
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  501. Q1 6:13
    Keldon Johnson offensive rebound
  502. Q1 6:13
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  503. Q1 6:13
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  504. Q1 6:29
    Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
  505. Q1 6:30
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  506. Q1 6:52
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    8-13
  507. Q1 6:58
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  508. Q1 7:00
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  509. Q1 7:04
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  510. Q1 7:26
    Thunder personal foul
  511. Q1 7:26
    +1
    Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    8-10
  512. Q1 7:26
    Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain, Jaylin Williams)
  513. Q1 7:26
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Dylan Harper, Keldon Johnson, Stephon Castle, Victor Wembanyama)
  514. Q1 7:26
    +1
    Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    8-11
  515. Q1 7:32
    De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
  516. Q1 7:34
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  517. Q1 7:49
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    8-9
  518. Q1 8:02
    De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
  519. Q1 8:04
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  520. Q1 8:16
    Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
  521. Q1 8:20
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  522. Q1 8:31
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    8-7
  523. Q1 8:41
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  524. Q1 8:58
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    6-7
  525. Q1 9:08
    Spurs defensive rebound
  526. Q1 9:08
    Thunder personal foul
  527. Q1 9:11
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  528. Q1 9:21
    Spurs personal foul
  529. Q1 9:26
    Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
  530. Q1 9:28
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  531. Q1 9:36
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    6-5
  532. Q1 9:53
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    4-5
  533. Q1 10:08
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    4-3
  534. Q1 10:22
    Cason Wallace defensive rebound
  535. Q1 10:25
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  536. Q1 10:32
    Luguentz Dort offensive rebound
  537. Q1 10:33
    Thunder turnover
  538. Q1 10:35
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  539. Q1 10:45
    Cason Wallace offensive rebound
  540. Q1 10:48
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  541. Q1 11:00
    Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
  542. Q1 11:02
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  543. Q1 11:20
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    2-3
  544. Q1 11:36
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    0-3
  545. Q1 11:37
    De'Aaron Fox offensive rebound
  546. Q1 11:39
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  547. Q1 12:00
    Chet Holmgren vs. Victor Wembanyama (De'Aaron Fox gains possession)
Box Score
Thunder
PosPlayerPts
Spurs
PosPlayerPts

Thunder vs. Spurs: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Thunder vs. Spurs
  • Date: Sunday, May 24, 2026
  • Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Frost Bank Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Spurs favored at -3.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 218.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Thunder 43¢, Spurs 58¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Thunder: 39%
  • Spurs: 61%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Thunder 108-111 Spurs.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Thunder a win probability of 39%, while the Spurs have a win probability of 61%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Spurs are more likely to beat the Thunder in the NBA game at Frost Bank Center on Monday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Thunder vs. Spurs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.