Bets 
NBA first basket picks and predictions for Game 5 of 2026 Finals
NBA
Thunder vs. Spurs Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Thunder vs. Spurs NBA game on May 22, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
28
31
May 23, 12:30AM Frost Bank Center
May 23, 12:30AM Frost Bank Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Bets
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Thunder | 26 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 28 |
Spurs | 31 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 31 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
2%
98%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Thunder | 26 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 28 |
Spurs | 31 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 31 |
Q4 00:12 Spurs makes three point jump shot
Q4 00:25 Thunder makes three point jump shot
Q4 00:47 Spurs makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:05 Thunder makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:10 Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:34 Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:07 Spurs misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:28 Thunder makes three point jump shot
Q4 2:44 Spurs makes two point jump shot
Q4 3:16 Spurs misses three point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
28-31
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
28-31
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
28-31
Kenrich Williams offensive rebound
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
28-31
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Spurs personal foul
Kelly Olynyk turnover (offensive foul)
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Joe, Nikola Topic, Jaylin Williams, Kenrich Williams, Aaron Wiggins)
Jordan McLaughlin defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Spurs turnover
Spurs personal foul
+1
Jared McCain makes regular free throw 1 of 2
28-31
Spurs lineup change (Bismack Biyombo, Mason Plumlee, Kelly Olynyk, Lindy Waters III, Jordan McLaughlin)
+1
Jared McCain makes regular free throw 2 of 2
28-31
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
28-31
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
28-31
Spurs personal foul
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
28-31
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
28-31
Spurs personal foul
Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Stephon Castle, Victor Wembanyama, Julian Champagnie, Devin Vassell)
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Spurs defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs 60 second timeout
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
28-31
Thunder 60 second timeout
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Isaiah Hartenstein, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain, Cason Wallace)
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
28-31
Thunder personal foul
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 1
28-31
Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Victor Wembanyama, Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie, Devin Vassell)
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Jared McCain defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
De'Aaron Fox offensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Spurs offensive rebound
Thunder personal foul
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Dylan Harper defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Jared McCain defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
28-31
Spurs personal foul
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain, Cason Wallace, Jaylin Williams)
Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Victor Wembanyama, Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie, Devin Vassell)
+1
Jaylin Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 1
28-31
Alex Caruso defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
28-31
Luke Kornet offensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
28-31
Devin Vassell offensive rebound
Thunder 60 second timeout
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain, Chet Holmgren, Jaylin Williams)
Spurs lineup change (Victor Wembanyama, Dylan Harper, Luke Kornet, Julian Champagnie, Devin Vassell)
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
28-31
Spurs personal foul
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 3
28-31
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 3
28-31
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 3 of 3
28-31
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Thunder offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs personal foul
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Jaylin Williams)
Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Victor Wembanyama, Luke Kornet, Julian Champagnie, Devin Vassell)
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
28-31
De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Spurs turnover
Spurs defensive rebound
Thunder personal foul
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Jaylin Williams)
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Luke Kornet defensive rebound
Spurs turnover
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren)
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
28-31
Devin Vassell offensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
28-31
+2
De'Aaron Fox makes two point jump shot
28-31
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs 60 second timeout
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
28-31
Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Victor Wembanyama, Luke Kornet, Julian Champagnie, Devin Vassell)
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Stephon Castle defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
Stephon Castle misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Spurs offensive rebound
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
28-31
Thunder turnover
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
28-31
Spurs turnover
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Thunder offensive rebound
End of 3rd Quarter.
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Isaiah Hartenstein, Jared McCain, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren)
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
28-31
Thunder offensive rebound
Spurs personal foul
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
28-31
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren)
Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Victor Wembanyama, Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie, Devin Vassell)
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
28-31
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
28-31
Spurs personal foul
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
28-31
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
28-31
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Victor Wembanyama, Keldon Johnson, Julian Champagnie, Devin Vassell)
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
28-31
Victor Wembanyama personal foul
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
28-31
Thunder personal foul
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 1
28-31
Spurs personal foul
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
28-31
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Jared McCain, Chet Holmgren, Jaylin Williams)
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
28-31
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
28-31
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
28-31
Thunder 60 second timeout
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Isaiah Hartenstein, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Jared McCain)
Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Stephon Castle, Victor Wembanyama, Keldon Johnson, Julian Champagnie)
Spurs personal foul
Alex Caruso misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Thunder offensive rebound
+1
Alex Caruso makes regular free throw 2 of 2
28-31
Thunder personal foul
+1
Keldon Johnson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
28-31
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Isaiah Hartenstein, Isaiah Joe, Jared McCain, Cason Wallace)
Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Victor Wembanyama, Dylan Harper, Keldon Johnson, Julian Champagnie)
+1
Keldon Johnson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
28-31
Spurs personal foul
+1
Cason Wallace makes regular free throw 1 of 2
28-31
Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Victor Wembanyama, Dylan Harper, Keldon Johnson, Devin Vassell)
+1
Cason Wallace makes regular free throw 2 of 2
28-31
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Isaiah Hartenstein, Isaiah Joe, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace)
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
28-31
Luguentz Dort offensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
28-31
Spurs personal foul
Isaiah Hartenstein misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Thunder offensive rebound
+1
Isaiah Hartenstein makes regular free throw 2 of 2
28-31
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
28-31
Thunder personal foul
+1
Devin Vassell makes regular free throw 1 of 1
28-31
De'Aaron Fox offensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Isaiah Joe, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace)
Carter Bryant personal foul
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
28-31
Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Dylan Harper, Luke Kornet, Carter Bryant, Devin Vassell)
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren)
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Jared McCain, Cason Wallace)
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
28-31
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Devin Vassell defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Dylan Harper defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Thunder personal foul
+1
Dylan Harper makes regular free throw 1 of 2
28-31
Dylan Harper misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
28-31
Thunder personal foul
Spurs 60 second timeout
Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Victor Wembanyama, Dylan Harper, Carter Bryant, Devin Vassell)
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Jaylin Williams)
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
28-31
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
28-31
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
28-31
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs personal foul
Instant replay
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 1
28-31
Thunder violation
Spurs personal foul
Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Victor Wembanyama, Carter Bryant, Julian Champagnie, Devin Vassell)
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain, Chet Holmgren, Jaylin Williams)
Spurs violation
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
28-31
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Spurs personal foul
Thunder personal foul
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
28-31
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
28-31
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
28-31
Thunder personal foul
Stephon Castle misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Spurs offensive rebound
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
28-31
Thunder personal foul
Instant replay
Spurs personal foul
Ajay Mitchell technical foul (Double)
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
28-31
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Jared McCain, Chet Holmgren)
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
28-31
Thunder turnover
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
28-31
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
Stephon Castle misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Spurs offensive rebound
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
28-31
Thunder turnover
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
28-31
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
28-31
Spurs turnover
Thunder personal foul
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
28-31
Thunder personal foul
+1
Devin Vassell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
28-31
+1
Devin Vassell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
28-31
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Ajay Mitchell, Chet Holmgren)
Thunder turnover
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Spurs defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Stephon Castle defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
28-31
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Thunder offensive rebound
End of 1st Half.
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Ajay Mitchell, Chet Holmgren)
Ajay Mitchell defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
28-31
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
Spurs personal foul
+1
Alex Caruso makes regular free throw 1 of 2
28-31
Alex Caruso misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Ajay Mitchell, Jaylin Williams)
Devin Vassell defensive rebound
Thunder personal foul
+1
Devin Vassell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
28-31
+1
Devin Vassell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
28-31
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Ajay Mitchell, Chet Holmgren)
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Ajay Mitchell defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
28-31
Thunder personal foul
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
28-31
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Ajay Mitchell, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren)
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
28-31
De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Stephon Castle offensive rebound
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander personal foul
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
28-31
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
28-31
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Thunder turnover
Thunder 60 second timeout
Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Stephon Castle, Victor Wembanyama, Julian Champagnie, Devin Vassell)
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Stephon Castle, Victor Wembanyama, Keldon Johnson, Julian Champagnie)
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
28-31
Jump ball. (Cason Wallace gains possession)
De'Aaron Fox turnover (lost ball)
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Isaiah Joe, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace)
Thunder personal foul
Jared McCain turnover (offensive foul)
Spurs violation
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Isaiah Joe, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain, Cason Wallace)
Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Stephon Castle, Luke Kornet, Keldon Johnson, Julian Champagnie)
Luke Kornet kicked ball violation
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
28-31
Thunder personal foul
Spurs personal foul
Spurs personal foul
Spurs personal foul
Keldon Johnson turnover (offensive foul)
Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Luke Kornet, Keldon Johnson, Julian Champagnie, Devin Vassell)
Spurs personal foul
+1
Alex Caruso makes regular free throw 1 of 2
28-31
+1
Alex Caruso makes regular free throw 2 of 2
28-31
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
28-31
Spurs personal foul
Stephon Castle turnover (offensive foul)
Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Luke Kornet, Keldon Johnson, Julian Champagnie, Devin Vassell)
Spurs personal foul
Dylan Harper defensive rebound
Spurs turnover
Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Luke Kornet, Keldon Johnson, Devin Vassell)
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Ajay Mitchell defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Devin Vassell defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
28-31
Thunder personal foul
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Spurs offensive rebound
Thunder personal foul
Thunder personal foul
Spurs 60 second timeout
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Isaiah Hartenstein, Isaiah Joe, Ajay Mitchell, Jared McCain)
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
28-31
Thunder personal foul
Victor Wembanyama misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Spurs offensive rebound
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Isaiah Hartenstein, Ajay Mitchell, Jared McCain, Chet Holmgren)
Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Victor Wembanyama, Harrison Barnes, Dylan Harper, Devin Vassell)
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
28-31
Carter Bryant defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
28-31
Dylan Harper offensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
28-31
Thunder defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Jared McCain, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren)
Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Victor Wembanyama, Harrison Barnes, Dylan Harper, Carter Bryant)
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
28-31
Cason Wallace offensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
28-31
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
28-31
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
28-31
Stephon Castle defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
28-31
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
28-31
Spurs turnover
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
28-31
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
28-31
Spurs personal foul
Victor Wembanyama turnover (offensive foul)
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Jaylin Williams)
Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Stephon Castle, Victor Wembanyama, Carter Bryant, Julian Champagnie)
End of 1st Quarter.
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Jaylin Williams)
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Jaylin Williams)
Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Stephon Castle, Victor Wembanyama, Carter Bryant, Julian Champagnie)
Spurs defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Isaiah Joe, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace)
Thunder 60 second timeout
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Isaiah Hartenstein, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace)
Instant replay
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Isaiah Joe, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Cason Wallace, Jaylin Williams)
Spurs personal foul
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Isaiah Hartenstein, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace)
Victor Wembanyama turnover
+1
Jaylin Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
25-31
+1
Jaylin Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
26-31
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace, Jaylin Williams)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder challenge timeout
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
24-31
Devin Vassell defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
Victor Wembanyama misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Spurs offensive rebound
Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Victor Wembanyama, Luke Kornet, Julian Champagnie, Devin Vassell)
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Isaiah Joe, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Cason Wallace, Jaylin Williams)
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
24-28
Thunder turnover
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Keldon Johnson offensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
24-27
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Victor Wembanyama turnover (lost ball)
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
22-27
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
20-27
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Spurs personal foul
Chet Holmgren misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Thunder offensive rebound
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
20-24
Spurs personal foul
Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Victor Wembanyama, Dylan Harper, Keldon Johnson, Julian Champagnie)
Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Victor Wembanyama, Carter Bryant, Keldon Johnson, Julian Champagnie)
Devin Vassell offensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Spurs personal foul
Thunder defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Ajay Mitchell defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Spurs offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Victor Wembanyama, Dylan Harper, Keldon Johnson, Devin Vassell)
Thunder lineup change (Ajay Mitchell, Jared McCain, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Jaylin Williams)
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
19-24
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
17-24
Spurs personal foul
Cason Wallace misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Thunder offensive rebound
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Jared McCain, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Jaylin Williams)
+1
Cason Wallace makes regular free throw 2 of 2
17-21
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
16-21
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
13-21
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
13-19
Alex Caruso offensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Spurs turnover
Spurs 60 second timeout
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
10-19
Jared McCain defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
7-19
Jared McCain offensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain, Cason Wallace, Jaylin Williams)
Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Luke Kornet, Keldon Johnson, Devin Vassell)
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
4-19
Thunder turnover
Spurs turnover
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
4-17
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
2-17
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
2-15
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Alex Caruso defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Thunder offensive rebound
Thunder turnover
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Isaiah Hartenstein, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Ajay Mitchell)
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
0-15
De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
De'Aaron Fox makes two point jump shot
0-12
Thunder turnover
Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point jump shot
Thunder 60 second timeout
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
0-10
Devin Vassell defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Spurs personal foul
Stephon Castle offensive rebound
Thunder personal foul
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
0-6
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
0-7
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Thunder turnover
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
0-5
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Chet Holmgren misses two point jump shot
+2
De'Aaron Fox makes two point jump shot
0-2
Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Stephon Castle, Victor Wembanyama, Julian Champagnie, Devin Vassell)
Chet Holmgren vs. Victor Wembanyama (Stephon Castle gains possession)
Start of 1st Quarter
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Ajay Mitchell, Chet Holmgren)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pos | Player | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
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Thunder vs. Spurs: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Thunder vs. Spurs
- Date: Friday, May 22, 2026
- Time: 8:30 PM ET
- Venue: Frost Bank Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Spurs favored at -2.5
- Total (Over/Under): 219.5
- Moneyline Odds: Thunder +135, Spurs -130
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Thunder: 39%
- Spurs: 61%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Thunder 108-111 Spurs.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Thunder a win probability of 39%, while the Spurs have a win probability of 61%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Spurs are more likely to beat the Thunder in the NBA game at Frost Bank Center on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Thunder vs. Spurs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
