Bets 
Spurs vs. Knicks prediction: New York to win, Victor Wembanyama projected for big game in Game 3 of 2026 Finals
NBA
Spurs vs. Timberwolves Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Spurs vs. Timberwolves NBA game on May 15, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
139
109
May 16, 1:30AM Target Center
May 16, 1:30AM Target Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Bets
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Spurs | 36 | 38 | 36 | 29 | 139 |
Timberwolves | 27 | 32 | 25 | 25 | 109 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
>99%
<1%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Spurs | 36 | 38 | 36 | 29 | 139 |
Timberwolves | 27 | 32 | 25 | 25 | 109 |
Q4 00:52 Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:03 Spurs misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:14 Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:23 Spurs makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:25 Spurs misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:39 Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:53 Spurs makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:16 Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:31 Spurs misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:45 Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
Spurs turnover
Timberwolves personal foul
Mason Plumlee defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Timberwolves defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Jordan McLaughlin defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Lindy Waters III offensive rebound
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
139-109
Spurs misses two point jump shot
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
137-109
Spurs personal foul
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
137-106
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
135-106
Jaylen Clark defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
135-104
Joan Beringer defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Mason Plumlee defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Timberwolves offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs turnover
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
135-102
Spurs turnover
Kelly Olynyk defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Bones Hyland offensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Spurs turnover
Timberwolves turnover
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
135-99
Spurs personal foul
+1
Jaylen Clark makes regular free throw 1 of 2
132-98
+1
Jaylen Clark makes regular free throw 2 of 2
132-99
Spurs lineup change (Bismack Biyombo, Mason Plumlee, Jordan McLaughlin, Lindy Waters III, Kelly Olynyk)
Jaylen Clark defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
132-97
Joan Beringer offensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
132-95
Spurs defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Spurs personal foul
Luke Kornet turnover (offensive foul)
Spurs lineup change (Bismack Biyombo, Jordan McLaughlin, Harrison Barnes, Lindy Waters III, Kelly Olynyk)
Harrison Barnes offensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Kelly Olynyk defensive rebound
Bones Hyland misses three point jump shot
Jaylen Clark defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Kelly Olynyk defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
130-95
Kelly Olynyk defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
128-95
Timberwolves 60 second timeout
Timberwolves lineup change (Bones Hyland, Jaylen Clark, Kyle Anderson, Joan Beringer, Julian Phillips)
Spurs lineup change (Luke Kornet, Jordan McLaughlin, Harrison Barnes, Lindy Waters III, Kelly Olynyk)
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
126-95
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
126-92
Harrison Barnes defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
123-92
Stephon Castle defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Timberwolves defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Stephon Castle offensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
120-92
Timberwolves 60 second timeout
Spurs lineup change (Luke Kornet, Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Harrison Barnes, Julian Champagnie)
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
120-90
Stephon Castle defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
118-90
Harrison Barnes offensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Harrison Barnes offensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
115-90
Spurs violation
Spurs turnover
Timberwolves personal foul
Timberwolves lineup change (Ayo Dosunmu, Naz Reid, Terrence Shannon Jr., Julius Randle, Anthony Edwards)
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
115-88
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
115-86
Spurs personal foul
+1
Ayo Dosunmu makes regular free throw 1 of 2
112-85
+1
Ayo Dosunmu makes regular free throw 2 of 2
112-86
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
112-84
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Timberwolves offensive rebound
End of 3rd Quarter.
Spurs lineup change (Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Harrison Barnes, Julian Champagnie)
Timberwolves lineup change (Ayo Dosunmu, Jaden McDaniels, Naz Reid, Terrence Shannon Jr., Julius Randle)
Timberwolves defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs lineup change (Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie, Devin Vassell, Carter Bryant)
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
110-84
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Spurs personal foul
+1
Anthony Edwards makes regular free throw 1 of 2
108-84
Anthony Edwards misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
Dylan Harper makes regular free throw 1 of 2
107-83
Spurs lineup change (Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie, Devin Vassell)
Timberwolves lineup change (Ayo Dosunmu, Rudy Gobert, Jaden McDaniels, Naz Reid, Anthony Edwards)
+1
Dylan Harper makes regular free throw 2 of 2
108-83
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
106-83
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
106-80
Luke Kornet defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Naz Reid defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Naz Reid defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
104-80
Naz Reid defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Luke Kornet defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Spurs turnover
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Dylan Harper defensive rebound
Spurs personal foul
Instant replay
+1
Anthony Edwards makes regular free throw 1 of 2
104-77
Anthony Edwards misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
104-76
Timberwolves 60 second timeout
Timberwolves lineup change (Rudy Gobert, Jaden McDaniels, Naz Reid, Anthony Edwards, Mike Conley)
Devin Vassell defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
102-76
Dylan Harper defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
99-76
Carter Bryant defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Naz Reid defensive rebound
Luke Kornet offensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Spurs defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Timberwolves defensive rebound
Spurs personal foul
Spurs lineup change (Luke Kornet, Dylan Harper, De'Aaron Fox, Devin Vassell, Carter Bryant)
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Timberwolves turnover
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
97-76
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Carter Bryant defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Carter Bryant defensive rebound
Anthony Edwards misses two point running reverse layup
Spurs turnover
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
94-75
Spurs personal foul
+1
Jaden McDaniels makes regular free throw 1 of 1
94-76
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
94-73
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
91-72
Spurs personal foul
Spurs lineup change (Luke Kornet, Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Devin Vassell, Carter Bryant)
+1
Terrence Shannon Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 1
91-73
Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Naz Reid, Terrence Shannon Jr., Anthony Edwards, Mike Conley)
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
91-70
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
88-70
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
87-67
Spurs lineup change (Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Devin Vassell, Carter Bryant)
Timberwolves lineup change (Ayo Dosunmu, Jaden McDaniels, Naz Reid, Terrence Shannon Jr., Anthony Edwards)
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
88-67
Dylan Harper offensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Timberwolves violation
Spurs lineup change (Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie, Devin Vassell)
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Terrence Shannon Jr. defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Devin Vassell defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
86-67
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
84-67
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
84-65
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
82-65
Timberwolves personal foul
Stephon Castle misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Spurs offensive rebound
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
82-63
Stephon Castle defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
+2
Victor Wembanyama makes two point jump shot
81-63
Timberwolves 60 second timeout
Timberwolves lineup change (Ayo Dosunmu, Naz Reid, Terrence Shannon Jr., Julius Randle, Anthony Edwards)
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Julius Randle defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Stephon Castle defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
78-63
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
79-63
Timberwolves lineup change (Ayo Dosunmu, Rudy Gobert, Terrence Shannon Jr., Julius Randle, Anthony Edwards)
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
77-63
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
77-61
Timberwolves personal foul
Spurs defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Ayo Dosunmu defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Naz Reid offensive rebound
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
74-61
End of 1st Half.
Spurs lineup change (Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle, De'Aaron Fox, Julian Champagnie, Devin Vassell)
Timberwolves lineup change (Ayo Dosunmu, Rudy Gobert, Jaden McDaniels, Julius Randle, Anthony Edwards)
Spurs personal foul
Instant replay
+1
Anthony Edwards makes regular free throw 1 of 2
74-59
Spurs lineup change (Luke Kornet, Victor Wembanyama, Keldon Johnson, Julian Champagnie, Devin Vassell)
Anthony Edwards misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
74-59
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
71-58
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
Julian Champagnie makes regular free throw 1 of 2
70-56
+1
Julian Champagnie makes regular free throw 2 of 2
71-56
Timberwolves lineup change (Naz Reid, Terrence Shannon Jr., Julius Randle, Anthony Edwards, Mike Conley)
Stephon Castle defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Timberwolves defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Timberwolves offensive rebound
Spurs personal foul
+1
Terrence Shannon Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
69-55
+1
Terrence Shannon Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
69-56
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
Julian Champagnie makes regular free throw 1 of 2
68-54
Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Naz Reid, Terrence Shannon Jr., Julius Randle, Anthony Edwards)
Spurs lineup change (Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie, Devin Vassell)
+1
Julian Champagnie makes regular free throw 2 of 2
69-54
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Anthony Edwards offensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Julius Randle defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Julius Randle offensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Julius Randle defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Spurs 60 second timeout
Spurs lineup change (Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle, De'Aaron Fox, Julian Champagnie, Devin Vassell)
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
67-54
Spurs turnover
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
67-51
Julius Randle defensive rebound
Timberwolves personal foul
Victor Wembanyama misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Spurs offensive rebound
Victor Wembanyama misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Naz Reid, Julius Randle, Anthony Edwards, Mike Conley)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs lineup change (Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle, Keldon Johnson, De'Aaron Fox, Devin Vassell)
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
67-49
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
67-47
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
65-47
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
64-44
Spurs lineup change (Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle, Keldon Johnson, Dylan Harper, Devin Vassell)
Timberwolves lineup change (Rudy Gobert, Jaden McDaniels, Naz Reid, Anthony Edwards, Mike Conley)
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
65-44
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
63-44
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
63-42
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Timberwolves offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Naz Reid defensive rebound
Spurs personal foul
Spurs lineup change (Victor Wembanyama, Keldon Johnson, Dylan Harper, De'Aaron Fox, Devin Vassell)
Spurs misses two point jump shot
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
60-42
Terrence Shannon Jr. offensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Timberwolves offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs lineup change (Luke Kornet, Keldon Johnson, Dylan Harper, De'Aaron Fox, Devin Vassell)
Spurs turnover
Spurs lineup change (Luke Kornet, Dylan Harper, De'Aaron Fox, Devin Vassell, Carter Bryant)
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
60-39
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
60-37
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
58-37
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
De'Aaron Fox makes regular free throw 1 of 2
57-35
+1
De'Aaron Fox makes regular free throw 2 of 2
58-35
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
56-34
Spurs personal foul
+1
Naz Reid makes regular free throw 1 of 1
56-34
Naz Reid defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
56-32
Spurs 60 second timeout
Spurs lineup change (Luke Kornet, Stephon Castle, De'Aaron Fox, Devin Vassell, Carter Bryant)
Spurs turnover
Devin Vassell defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Spurs personal foul
Victor Wembanyama turnover (offensive foul)
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
56-29
Spurs personal foul
+1
Terrence Shannon Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 1
56-30
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
56-27
Victor Wembanyama offensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Stephon Castle defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Rudy Gobert offensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Timberwolves personal foul
Spurs personal foul
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
53-27
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
54-27
Spurs defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
52-27
Timberwolves 60 second timeout
Timberwolves lineup change (Rudy Gobert, Naz Reid, Terrence Shannon Jr., Anthony Edwards, Mike Conley)
Devin Vassell defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
50-27
Carter Bryant offensive rebound
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
Carter Bryant makes regular free throw 1 of 2
47-27
Timberwolves lineup change (Rudy Gobert, Terrence Shannon Jr., Julius Randle, Anthony Edwards, Mike Conley)
Spurs lineup change (Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Devin Vassell, Carter Bryant)
Carter Bryant misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Julius Randle defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Carter Bryant defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Timberwolves lineup change (Ayo Dosunmu, Rudy Gobert, Julius Randle, Anthony Edwards, Mike Conley)
Stephon Castle offensive rebound
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
45-27
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 1
46-27
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Timberwolves personal foul
Carter Bryant defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Timberwolves 60 second timeout
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
43-27
Carter Bryant defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
40-27
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 1
41-27
De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Timberwolves offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs lineup change (Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle, De'Aaron Fox, Julian Champagnie, Carter Bryant)
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
38-27
Dylan Harper defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Jaden McDaniels offensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Timberwolves offensive rebound
End of 1st Quarter.
Spurs lineup change (Victor Wembanyama, Dylan Harper, De'Aaron Fox, Julian Champagnie, Carter Bryant)
Timberwolves lineup change (Ayo Dosunmu, Jaden McDaniels, Naz Reid, Julius Randle, Anthony Edwards)
Timberwolves defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
36-27
Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
36-25
Spurs defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs lineup change (Victor Wembanyama, Keldon Johnson, Dylan Harper, De'Aaron Fox, Julian Champagnie)
Timberwolves lineup change (Rudy Gobert, Jaden McDaniels, Naz Reid, Terrence Shannon Jr., Mike Conley)
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Luke Kornet offensive rebound
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
34-25
Spurs misses two point jump shot
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
32-25
Spurs turnover
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Timberwolves lineup change (Ayo Dosunmu, Rudy Gobert, Jaden McDaniels, Naz Reid, Mike Conley)
Luke Kornet defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
32-22
Timberwolves turnover
Naz Reid defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Spurs personal foul
+1
Jaden McDaniels makes regular free throw 1 of 2
30-21
+1
Jaden McDaniels makes regular free throw 2 of 2
30-22
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
Luke Kornet makes regular free throw 1 of 2
29-20
+1
Luke Kornet makes regular free throw 2 of 2
30-20
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs offensive rebound
Timberwolves lineup change (Rudy Gobert, Jaden McDaniels, Naz Reid, Terrence Shannon Jr., Mike Conley)
Spurs misses two point jump shot
De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Timberwolves offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs lineup change (Luke Kornet, Keldon Johnson, Dylan Harper, De'Aaron Fox, Julian Champagnie)
Timberwolves lineup change (Rudy Gobert, Naz Reid, Terrence Shannon Jr., Anthony Edwards, Mike Conley)
Anthony Edwards defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Luke Kornet defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
28-20
Timberwolves personal foul
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs 60 second timeout
Spurs lineup change (Luke Kornet, Stephon Castle, Keldon Johnson, Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie)
Timberwolves lineup change (Naz Reid, Terrence Shannon Jr., Julius Randle, Anthony Edwards, Mike Conley)
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
25-20
Spurs turnover
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
25-17
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
25-15
Timberwolves turnover
Timberwolves defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs lineup change (Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle, Keldon Johnson, Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie)
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
23-15
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
22-12
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 1
23-12
Dylan Harper defensive rebound
Julius Randle offensive rebound
Spurs personal foul
+1
Julius Randle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
20-12
Julius Randle misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
20-11
Devin Vassell defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Timberwolves offensive rebound
Timberwolves 60 second timeout
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs lineup change (Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle, Keldon Johnson, Dylan Harper, Devin Vassell)
Timberwolves lineup change (Ayo Dosunmu, Naz Reid, Terrence Shannon Jr., Julius Randle, Anthony Edwards)
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Anthony Edwards defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Victor Wembanyama turnover (lost ball)
Timberwolves personal foul
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
18-10
Spurs personal foul
+1
Anthony Edwards makes regular free throw 1 of 1
18-11
Spurs personal foul
Spurs lineup change (Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie, Devin Vassell)
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
18-8
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
15-8
Spurs turnover
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
+3
Devin Vassell makes three point jump shot
15-6
+2
Anthony Edwards makes two point jump shot
12-6
Timberwolves offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
12-4
Stephon Castle defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Spurs personal foul
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
10-4
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
8-4
Spurs violation
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
8-2
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
5-2
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
5-0
Spurs offensive rebound
Timberwolves personal foul
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Stephon Castle defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
3-0
Timberwolves turnover
Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Timberwolves lineup change (Ayo Dosunmu, Rudy Gobert, Jaden McDaniels, Julius Randle, Anthony Edwards)
Start of 1st Quarter
Victor Wembanyama vs. Rudy Gobert (De'Aaron Fox gains possession)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pos | Player | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
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Spurs vs. Timberwolves: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Spurs vs. Timberwolves
- Date: Friday, May 15, 2026
- Time: 9:30 PM ET
- Venue: Target Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Spurs favored at -6.5
- Total (Over/Under): 218.5
- Moneyline Odds: Spurs -217, Timberwolves +217
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Spurs: 73%
- Timberwolves: 27%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Spurs 113-106 Timberwolves.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Spurs a win probability of 73%, while the Timberwolves have a win probability of 27%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Spurs are more likely to beat the Timberwolves in the NBA game at Target Center on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Spurs vs. Timberwolves predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
