Lakers vs. Thunder Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Lakers vs. Thunder NBA game on May 5, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NBA
Lakers
90
108
May 6, 12:30 AM Paycom Center
Thunder
May 6, 12:30 AM Paycom Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Pro Bets
TEAM12 3 4 T
Lakers
26 27 19 18 90
Thunder
31 30 23 24 108
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
LakersLAL
Win %
5%
95%
ThunderOKC
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Lakers
26 27 19 18 90
Thunder
31 30 23 24 108
Q4 00:20 Lakers makes three point jump shot
Q4 00:41 Thunder makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:15 Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:29 Lakers misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:44 Thunder makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:53 Lakers misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:12 Thunder makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:39 Lakers makes three point jump shot
Q4 2:49 Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 3:15 Lakers misses two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Q4 00:00
End of 4th Quarter.
Q4 00:20
+3
Lakers makes three point jump shot
90-108
Q4 00:41
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
87-108
Q4 00:51
Lakers turnover
Q4 1:13
Nick Smith Jr. defensive rebound
Q4 1:15
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:26
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Q4 1:29
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:44
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
87-105
Q4 1:45
Lakers 60 second timeout
Q4 1:45
Lakers lineup change (Dalton Knecht, Adou Thiero, Bronny James, Nick Smith Jr., Jake LaRavia)
Q4 1:45
Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Jared McCain, Kenrich Williams, Isaiah Joe)
Q4 1:49
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Q4 1:53
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:12
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
87-103
Q4 2:39
+3
Lakers makes three point jump shot
87-101
Q4 2:49
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:49
Thunder offensive rebound
Q4 2:50
Thunder turnover
Q4 3:05
Lakers personal foul
Q4 3:14
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q4 3:14
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q4 3:14
Thunder lineup change (Ajay Mitchell, Isaiah Hartenstein, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace)
Q4 3:14
Lakers lineup change (Austin Reaves, Marcus Smart, LeBron James, Rui Hachimura, Luke Kennard)
Q4 3:15
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Q4 3:26
LeBron James defensive rebound
Q4 3:30
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:40
Jared McCain defensive rebound
Q4 3:43
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Q4 3:49
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 3:49
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Jared McCain, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace)
Q4 3:49
Thunder lineup change (Jared McCain, Isaiah Hartenstein, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace)
Q4 3:56
LeBron James defensive rebound
Q4 3:59
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 4:24
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
84-101
Q4 4:43
Lakers defensive rebound
Q4 4:43
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 4:43
Lakers lineup change (Austin Reaves, LeBron James, Luke Kennard, Deandre Ayton, Jake LaRavia)
Q4 4:45
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 4:54
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q4 4:57
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Q4 5:16
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
82-101
Q4 5:33
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Q4 5:36
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Q4 5:46
Jaylin Williams offensive rebound
Q4 5:46
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
82-98
Q4 5:51
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 6:08
+3
Lakers makes three point jump shot
82-96
Q4 6:08
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q4 6:08
Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Chet Holmgren, Jared McCain, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort)
Q4 6:17
Austin Reaves defensive rebound
Q4 6:20
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 6:23
Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
Q4 6:26
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 6:43
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q4 6:45
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Q4 6:50
Jake LaRavia defensive rebound
Q4 6:54
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 7:05
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 7:05
Thunder offensive rebound
Q4 7:05
Lakers personal foul
Q4 7:05
Lakers lineup change (Austin Reaves, Rui Hachimura, Luke Kennard, Deandre Ayton, Jake LaRavia)
Q4 7:12
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q4 7:14
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Q4 7:23
Thunder personal foul
Q4 7:23
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Jared McCain, Isaiah Hartenstein, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort)
Q4 7:28
Rui Hachimura defensive rebound
Q4 7:31
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 7:47
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
79-96
Q4 8:00
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
77-96
Q4 8:03
Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
Q4 8:06
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 8:22
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
77-94
Q4 8:36
Thunder personal foul
Q4 8:36
Lakers lineup change (Austin Reaves, LeBron James, Rui Hachimura, Luke Kennard, Deandre Ayton)
Q4 8:56
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
75-94
Q4 9:01
Lakers turnover
Q4 9:23
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
75-91
Q4 9:31
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q4 9:35
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Q4 9:40
Austin Reaves defensive rebound
Q4 9:41
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 9:57
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
75-88
Q4 10:04
Marcus Smart defensive rebound
Q4 10:10
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 10:10
Ajay Mitchell turnover (bad pass)
Q4 10:24
Thunder defensive rebound
Q4 10:24
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 10:24
Stoppage (Blood rule)
Q4 10:25
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Q4 10:41
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
73-88
Q4 10:41
Lakers 60 second timeout
Q4 10:41
Lakers lineup change (Austin Reaves, Marcus Smart, LeBron James, Rui Hachimura, Deandre Ayton)
Q4 10:44
Lakers turnover
Q4 10:59
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
73-86
Q4 11:08
Lakers personal foul
Q4 11:22
Alex Caruso defensive rebound
Q4 11:24
Thunder personal foul
Q4 11:24
+1
Rui Hachimura makes regular free throw 1 of 2
73-84
Q4 11:24
Rui Hachimura misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q4 11:29
Deandre Ayton defensive rebound
Q4 11:34
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 11:44
Lakers turnover
Q3 00:00
Lakers offensive rebound
Q3 00:00
End of 3rd Quarter.
Q4 12:00
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Chet Holmgren, Jared McCain, Ajay Mitchell, Isaiah Hartenstein)
Q4 12:00
Lakers lineup change (Marcus Smart, LeBron James, Rui Hachimura, Luke Kennard, Deandre Ayton)
Q3 00:01
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Q3 00:08
Thunder personal foul
Q3 00:12
+3
Ajay Mitchell makes three point jump shot
72-83
Q3 00:12
Lakers personal foul
Q3 00:12
Lakers lineup change (Austin Reaves, Marcus Smart, LeBron James, Luke Kennard, Jaxson Hayes)
Q3 00:12
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Ajay Mitchell, Isaiah Hartenstein, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace)
Q3 00:12
+1
Ajay Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 1
72-84
Q3 00:22
Ajay Mitchell defensive rebound
Q3 00:25
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Q3 00:33
Jump ball. (Luke Kennard gains possession)
Q3 00:33
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander turnover (lost ball)
Q3 00:35
Lakers turnover
Q3 00:42
LeBron James defensive rebound
Q3 00:44
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 1:04
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
72-80
Q3 1:06
LeBron James offensive rebound
Q3 1:10
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Q3 1:35
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
70-80
Q3 1:47
Ajay Mitchell offensive rebound
Q3 1:47
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q3 1:47
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Ajay Mitchell, Isaiah Hartenstein, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Joe)
Q3 1:51
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 2:08
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
70-78
Q3 2:22
Thunder personal foul
Q3 2:22
Thunder personal foul
Q3 2:22
+1
Luke Kennard makes technical free throw 1 of 1
68-78
Q3 2:40
Thunder turnover
Q3 2:40
Jaylin Williams personal foul (Austin Reaves draws the foul)
Q3 2:40
Lakers lineup change (Marcus Smart, LeBron James, Luke Kennard, Jake LaRavia, Jaxson Hayes)
Q3 2:47
Lakers turnover
Q3 3:13
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
67-78
Q3 3:13
Lakers violation
Q3 3:24
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
69-76
Q3 3:24
Thunder personal foul
Q3 3:24
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q3 3:24
Instant replay
Q3 3:24
Jaxson Hayes turnover (offensive foul)
Q3 3:24
Thunder challenge timeout
Q3 3:24
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Jaylin Williams, Ajay Mitchell, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Joe)
Q3 3:29
Austin Reaves defensive rebound
Q3 3:34
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 3:40
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Q3 3:42
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Q3 3:47
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Q3 3:48
Lakers offensive rebound
Q3 3:48
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q3 4:01
Thunder personal foul
Q3 4:01
Cason Wallace turnover (offensive foul)
Q3 4:01
Lakers lineup change (Austin Reaves, Rui Hachimura, Luke Kennard, Jake LaRavia, Jaxson Hayes)
Q3 4:01
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Jaylin Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Joe)
Q3 4:16
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
67-76
Q3 4:35
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
65-76
Q3 4:35
Lakers 60 second timeout
Q3 4:35
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Jaylin Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace)
Q3 4:39
Lakers turnover
Q3 4:56
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
65-74
Q3 5:03
Jaxson Hayes offensive rebound
Q3 5:03
Lakers turnover
Q3 5:03
Lakers lineup change (Austin Reaves, LeBron James, Rui Hachimura, Luke Kennard, Jaxson Hayes)
Q3 5:08
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Q3 5:22
Thunder turnover
Q3 5:25
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q3 5:27
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Q3 5:33
Rui Hachimura defensive rebound
Q3 5:36
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 5:50
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Q3 5:53
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Q3 6:20
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
65-71
Q3 6:28
Lakers personal foul
Q3 6:28
Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace)
Q3 6:40
+3
Lakers makes three point jump shot
65-69
Q3 6:52
Jaxson Hayes defensive rebound
Q3 6:55
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 7:07
Stoppage (Other)
Q3 7:09
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
62-69
Q3 7:15
Thunder turnover
Q3 7:27
Jump ball. (Ajay Mitchell gains possession)
Q3 7:36
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q3 7:38
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Q3 7:53
Lakers personal foul
Q3 7:53
+1
Isaiah Hartenstein makes regular free throw 1 of 2
60-68
Q3 7:53
+1
Isaiah Hartenstein makes regular free throw 2 of 2
60-69
Q3 7:53
Lakers lineup change (Austin Reaves, Marcus Smart, LeBron James, Rui Hachimura, Jaxson Hayes)
Q3 8:03
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q3 8:04
+3
Lakers makes three point jump shot
60-67
Q3 8:20
Deandre Ayton defensive rebound
Q3 8:23
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 8:34
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q3 8:37
Marcus Smart offensive rebound
Q3 8:37
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Q3 8:42
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Q3 9:06
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
57-67
Q3 9:20
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
57-65
Q3 9:29
Deandre Ayton defensive rebound
Q3 9:31
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 9:45
Lakers turnover
Q3 10:02
Thunder offensive rebound
Q3 10:04
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 10:04
Thunder turnover
Q3 10:18
Lakers violation
Q3 10:30
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
55-65
Q3 10:45
Austin Reaves defensive rebound
Q3 10:50
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 11:01
Lakers turnover
Q3 11:19
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
53-65
Q3 11:20
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Q3 11:22
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Q3 11:22
Deandre Ayton offensive rebound
Q3 11:25
Deandre Ayton offensive rebound
Q3 11:25
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Q3 11:29
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Q3 11:29
Deandre Ayton misses two point tip layup
Q3 11:29
Deandre Ayton offensive rebound
Q3 11:33
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q3 11:48
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
53-63
Q2 00:00
Lakers offensive rebound
Q2 00:00
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 00:00
Instant replay
Q2 00:00
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Jaylin Williams, Chet Holmgren, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace)
Q2 00:00
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Q2 00:00
Lakers offensive rebound
Q2 00:00
End of 1st Half.
Q3 12:00
Lakers lineup change (Austin Reaves, Marcus Smart, LeBron James, Rui Hachimura, Deandre Ayton)
Q3 12:00
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Ajay Mitchell, Isaiah Hartenstein, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort)
Q2 00:02
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Q2 00:06
Austin Reaves offensive rebound
Q2 00:09
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Q2 00:20
Thunder personal foul
Q2 00:20
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Chet Holmgren, Ajay Mitchell, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort)
Q2 00:40
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
53-61
Q2 00:41
Jaylin Williams offensive rebound
Q2 00:43
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 00:54
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
53-58
Q2 1:00
Luke Kennard defensive rebound
Q2 1:03
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 1:12
Lakers personal foul
Q2 1:12
Lakers lineup change (Austin Reaves, Marcus Smart, LeBron James, Rui Hachimura, Luke Kennard)
Q2 1:20
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
51-58
Q2 1:20
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q2 1:20
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Jaylin Williams, Ajay Mitchell, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort)
Q2 1:22
Thunder turnover
Q2 1:38
+3
Lakers makes three point jump shot
49-58
Q2 1:50
Thunder turnover
Q2 1:50
Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace)
Q2 1:50
Lakers lineup change (Austin Reaves, Marcus Smart, LeBron James, Luke Kennard, Deandre Ayton)
Q2 1:53
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q2 1:57
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Q2 2:14
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
46-58
Q2 2:32
+3
Lakers makes three point jump shot
46-56
Q2 2:55
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
43-56
Q2 3:01
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Q2 3:04
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Q2 3:21
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
43-54
Q2 3:22
Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
Q2 3:23
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 3:24
Cason Wallace offensive rebound
Q2 3:27
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 3:32
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
Q2 3:35
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Q2 3:45
Thunder turnover
Q2 4:00
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q2 4:01
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Q2 4:02
Jaxson Hayes offensive rebound
Q2 4:02
Thunder personal foul
Q2 4:02
+1
Jaxson Hayes makes regular free throw 1 of 2
42-52
Q2 4:02
Jaxson Hayes misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q2 4:14
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
42-52
Q2 4:14
Lakers 60 second timeout
Q2 4:14
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Joe)
Q2 4:28
Lakers personal foul
Q2 4:28
Austin Reaves turnover (offensive foul)
Q2 4:28
Lakers lineup change (Austin Reaves, Marcus Smart, Rui Hachimura, Luke Kennard, Jaxson Hayes)
Q2 4:39
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
42-50
Q2 4:50
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Q2 4:53
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Q2 5:00
Marcus Smart defensive rebound
Q2 5:03
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 5:23
+3
Lakers makes three point jump shot
42-48
Q2 5:25
Jaxson Hayes offensive rebound
Q2 5:25
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 5:26
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Q2 5:37
Lakers offensive rebound
Q2 5:37
Thunder personal foul
Q2 5:38
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Q2 5:51
Lakers 60 second timeout
Q2 5:51
Lakers lineup change (Austin Reaves, Marcus Smart, LeBron James, Rui Hachimura, Jaxson Hayes)
Q2 5:51
Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace)
Q2 5:57
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
39-48
Q2 6:02
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Q2 6:05
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Q2 6:20
Thunder turnover
Q2 6:20
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Ajay Mitchell, Isaiah Hartenstein, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace)
Q2 6:33
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
39-46
Q2 6:57
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
37-46
Q2 7:08
Deandre Ayton offensive rebound
Q2 7:08
Lakers turnover
Q2 7:11
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Q2 7:27
+2
Ajay Mitchell makes two point jump shot
37-43
Q2 7:33
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 7:34
Thunder offensive rebound
Q2 7:34
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 7:34
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Chet Holmgren, Ajay Mitchell, Isaiah Hartenstein, Cason Wallace)
Q2 7:46
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
37-41
Q2 7:51
Austin Reaves defensive rebound
Q2 7:54
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 8:01
Lakers personal foul
Q2 8:01
Lakers lineup change (Austin Reaves, LeBron James, Rui Hachimura, Jarred Vanderbilt, Deandre Ayton)
Q2 8:07
Lakers turnover
Q2 8:27
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
35-41
Q2 8:33
Jared McCain offensive rebound
Q2 8:35
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 8:49
Thunder personal foul
Q2 8:49
+1
Luke Kennard makes regular free throw 1 of 3
33-38
Q2 8:49
+1
Luke Kennard makes regular free throw 2 of 3
34-38
Q2 8:49
Lakers lineup change (Austin Reaves, LeBron James, Luke Kennard, Jarred Vanderbilt, Deandre Ayton)
Q2 8:49
+1
Luke Kennard makes regular free throw 3 of 3
35-38
Q2 8:49
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Jared McCain, Ajay Mitchell, Isaiah Hartenstein, Cason Wallace)
Q2 8:55
Luke Kennard defensive rebound
Q2 8:57
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 9:12
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
32-38
Q2 9:31
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
30-38
Q2 9:45
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
30-36
Q2 9:53
Jarred Vanderbilt defensive rebound
Q2 9:55
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 10:15
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
28-36
Q2 10:36
Lakers 60 second timeout
Q2 10:38
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
26-36
Q2 10:43
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q2 10:46
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Q2 11:05
Lakers personal foul
Q2 11:05
+1
Ajay Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
26-32
Q2 11:05
+1
Ajay Mitchell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
26-33
Q2 11:21
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q2 11:24
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Q2 11:39
Luke Kennard defensive rebound
Q2 11:45
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 00:00
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
26-31
Q1 00:00
End of 1st Quarter.
Q2 12:00
Lakers lineup change (Marcus Smart, LeBron James, Luke Kennard, Jarred Vanderbilt, Deandre Ayton)
Q2 12:00
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Aaron Wiggins, Jared McCain, Ajay Mitchell, Isaiah Hartenstein)
Q1 00:13
Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
Q1 00:17
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Q1 00:38
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
26-28
Q1 00:38
Lakers personal foul
Q1 00:38
Lakers lineup change (Marcus Smart, LeBron James, Luke Kennard, Jake LaRavia, Jaxson Hayes)
Q1 00:38
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 1
26-29
Q1 00:38
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Jaylin Williams, Ajay Mitchell, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Joe)
Q1 00:48
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
26-26
Q1 00:59
Thunder turnover
Q1 1:02
Lakers turnover
Q1 1:16
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
24-26
Q1 1:21
Alex Caruso defensive rebound
Q1 1:23
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Q1 1:44
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
24-24
Q1 1:58
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
24-22
Q1 2:18
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
22-22
Q1 2:22
Jaylin Williams offensive rebound
Q1 2:25
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 2:37
Thunder personal foul
Q1 2:37
Lakers 60 second timeout
Q1 2:37
+1
Marcus Smart makes regular free throw 1 of 2
21-19
Q1 2:37
+1
Marcus Smart makes regular free throw 2 of 2
22-19
Q1 2:48
Jaxson Hayes defensive rebound
Q1 2:52
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 2:58
Lakers turnover
Q1 3:03
Thunder turnover
Q1 3:09
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Q1 3:11
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Q1 3:22
Thunder personal foul
Q1 3:22
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Jaylin Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Joe)
Q1 3:22
Lakers lineup change (Marcus Smart, Rui Hachimura, Luke Kennard, Jake LaRavia, Jaxson Hayes)
Q1 3:37
Luke Kennard defensive rebound
Q1 3:40
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 3:51
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Q1 3:53
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Q1 4:14
Lakers personal foul
Q1 4:14
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
20-18
Q1 4:14
Lakers lineup change (Austin Reaves, Rui Hachimura, Luke Kennard, Jake LaRavia, Jaxson Hayes)
Q1 4:14
Thunder lineup change (Alex Caruso, Jaylin Williams, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Cason Wallace)
Q1 4:14
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
20-19
Q1 4:25
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
20-17
Q1 4:27
Deandre Ayton defensive rebound
Q1 4:29
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 4:37
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Q1 4:40
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Q1 4:48
Deandre Ayton defensive rebound
Q1 4:50
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 5:04
Lakers turnover
Q1 5:08
Thunder turnover
Q1 5:18
Lakers turnover
Q1 5:30
Deandre Ayton defensive rebound
Q1 5:32
Lakers personal foul
Q1 5:32
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
18-17
Q1 5:32
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q1 5:40
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
18-16
Q1 6:00
Luke Kennard defensive rebound
Q1 6:04
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 6:20
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
Q1 6:23
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Q1 6:36
Thunder turnover
Q1 6:56
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
16-16
Q1 6:56
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q1 6:56
Lakers lineup change (Austin Reaves, LeBron James, Rui Hachimura, Luke Kennard, Deandre Ayton)
Q1 7:13
Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
Q1 7:13
Lakers personal foul
Q1 7:13
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
14-15
Q1 7:13
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
14-16
Q1 7:13
Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace)
Q1 7:16
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 7:27
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q1 7:29
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Q1 7:41
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
14-14
Q1 7:51
Lakers personal foul
Q1 7:52
+3
Lakers makes three point jump shot
14-12
Q1 7:53
Marcus Smart offensive rebound
Q1 7:58
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Q1 8:17
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
11-12
Q1 8:35
Thunder personal foul
Q1 8:35
+1
Austin Reaves makes regular free throw 1 of 2
10-9
Q1 8:35
+1
Austin Reaves makes regular free throw 2 of 2
11-9
Q1 8:35
Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Chet Holmgren, Ajay Mitchell, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort)
Q1 8:48
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
9-9
Q1 8:56
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q1 8:59
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Q1 9:06
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q1 9:24
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
9-7
Q1 9:39
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
9-5
Q1 9:54
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
7-5
Q1 10:08
Ajay Mitchell defensive rebound
Q1 10:11
Lakers misses three point jump shot
Q1 10:30
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
7-3
Q1 10:51
+3
Lakers makes three point jump shot
7-0
Q1 10:56
Deandre Ayton defensive rebound
Q1 10:58
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 11:16
Deandre Ayton offensive rebound
Q1 11:16
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
4-0
Q1 11:19
Lakers misses two point jump shot
Q1 11:26
Marcus Smart defensive rebound
Q1 11:29
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 11:43
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q1 11:46
+2
Lakers makes two point jump shot
2-0
Q1 11:46
Thunder personal foul
Q1 11:46
LeBron James misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Q1 12:00
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Ajay Mitchell, Isaiah Hartenstein, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort)
Q1 12:00
(Rui Hachimura gains possession)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
Lakers
PosPlayerPts
Thunder
PosPlayerPts

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Lakers vs. Thunder: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Lakers vs. Thunder
  • Date: Tuesday, May 5, 2026
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Paycom Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Thunder favored at -15.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 213.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Lakers +658, Thunder -641

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Lakers: 12%
  • Thunder: 88%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Lakers 99-113 Thunder.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Lakers a win probability of 12%, while the Thunder have a win probability of 88%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Thunder are more likely to beat the Lakers in the NBA game at Paycom Center on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Lakers vs. Thunder predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.