Bets 
NBA first basket picks and predictions for Game 4 of 2026 Finals
NBA
Nets vs. Bucks Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Nets vs. Bucks NBA game on April 10, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
108
125
Apr 11, 12AM Fiserv Forum
Apr 11, 12AM Fiserv Forum
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Bets
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nets | 49 | 19 | 16 | 24 | 108 |
Bucks | 60 | 29 | 10 | 26 | 125 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
<1%
>99%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nets | 49 | 19 | 16 | 24 | 108 |
Bucks | 60 | 29 | 10 | 26 | 125 |
Q4 00:40 Bucks makes three point jump shot
Q4 00:50 Nets makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:06 Cormac Ryan misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
Q4 1:18 Nets misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:31 Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:45 Nets makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:52 Nets misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:58 Cormac Ryan makes two point putback layup
Q4 2:06 Ben Saraf blocks Cormac Ryan's two point driving layup
Q4 2:16 Nets misses three point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
Nets turnover
Nets personal foul
+1
AJ Green makes regular free throw 1 of 2
108-124
+1
AJ Green makes regular free throw 2 of 2
108-125
Nets personal foul
Bucks personal foul
+1
Tyson Etienne makes regular free throw 1 of 2
107-123
+1
Tyson Etienne makes regular free throw 2 of 2
108-123
Bucks lineup change (Cormac Ryan, AJ Green, Jericho Sims, Ousmane Dieng, Andre Jackson Jr.)
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
106-123
+3
Nets makes three point jump shot
106-120
Malachi Smith defensive rebound
Cormac Ryan misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
Taurean Prince defensive rebound
Nets misses three point jump shot
Trevon Scott defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
+2
Nets makes two point jump shot
108-123
Trevon Scott offensive rebound
Nets misses two point jump shot
+2
Cormac Ryan makes two point putback layup
106-123
Cormac Ryan offensive rebound
Ben Saraf blocks Cormac Ryan's two point driving layup
Taurean Prince defensive rebound
Nets misses three point jump shot
Tyson Etienne defensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Taurean Prince defensive rebound
Nets misses three point jump shot
Malachi Smith defensive rebound
Nets 60 second timeout
Bucks lineup change (Taurean Prince, Cormac Ryan, AJ Green, Jericho Sims, Ousmane Dieng)
Bucks misses three point jump shot
+2
Nets makes two point jump shot
106-123
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
106-123
Jericho Sims offensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Ousmane Dieng defensive rebound
Nets misses two point jump shot
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
106-123
+2
Nets makes two point jump shot
106-123
Malachi Smith defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Jericho Sims offensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Nets turnover
Ousmane Dieng defensive rebound
Bucks turnover
Nets misses three point jump shot
Tyson Etienne defensive rebound
Ousmane Dieng misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+1
Ousmane Dieng makes regular free throw 1 of 2
106-123
Nets personal foul
Nets personal foul
Ousmane Dieng technical foul (Double)
+3
Nets makes three point jump shot
106-123
Ben Saraf defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
+2
Ben Saraf makes two point driving layup
106-123
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
106-123
Nets turnover
Bucks lineup change (Taurean Prince, AJ Green, Jericho Sims, Ousmane Dieng, Myles Turner)
Bucks personal foul
Malachi Smith defensive rebound
Ousmane Dieng misses two point driving floating jump shot
Bucks personal foul
Bucks 60 second timeout
Instant replay
Nets misses two point jump shot
Jericho Sims defensive rebound
AJ Green personal foul (Jalen Wilson draws the foul)
Ousmane Dieng misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Bucks offensive rebound
+1
Ousmane Dieng makes regular free throw 2 of 2
106-123
Nets personal foul
Bucks offensive rebound
Nets lineup change (Jalen Wilson, Malachi Smith, Tyson Etienne, Trevon Scott, Ben Saraf)
+3
Nets makes three point jump shot
106-123
Bucks turnover
+2
Nets makes two point jump shot
106-123
Nets defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Nets turnover
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
106-123
AJ Green defensive rebound
Nets misses three point jump shot
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
106-123
Bucks defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Nets misses three point jump shot
+2
Cormac Ryan makes two point jump shot
106-123
Instant replay (Request: Ruling Overturned)
Jericho Sims personal foul (E.J. Liddell draws the foul)
Nets personal foul
E.J. Liddell turnover (offensive foul)
Jericho Sims misses flagrant free throw 1 of 2
Bucks offensive rebound
+1
Jericho Sims makes flagrant free throw 2 of 2
106-123
Nets lineup change (Jalen Wilson, Tyson Etienne, Nolan Traore, Trevon Scott, Ben Saraf)
Bucks lineup change (Taurean Prince, Cormac Ryan, AJ Green, Jericho Sims, Ousmane Dieng)
Bucks turnover
Bucks personal foul
Bucks lineup change (Taurean Prince, Cormac Ryan, AJ Green, Jericho Sims, Kyle Kuzma)
Nets lineup change (Jalen Wilson, E.J. Liddell, Tyson Etienne, Nolan Traore, Ben Saraf)
Taurean Prince defensive rebound
Nets misses three point jump shot
Bucks turnover
Taurean Prince defensive rebound
Nets misses three point jump shot
Bucks turnover
+3
Nets makes three point jump shot
106-123
Bucks turnover
Nets lineup change (E.J. Liddell, Malachi Smith, Tyson Etienne, Nolan Traore, Ben Saraf)
Jalen Wilson misses heave shot
End of 3rd Quarter.
Nets offensive rebound
Jalen Wilson defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
+3
Nets makes three point jump shot
84-99
Jalen Wilson offensive rebound
Nets misses two point jump shot
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
106-123
+2
Nets makes two point jump shot
97-112
Trevon Scott defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Jericho Sims defensive rebound
Nets misses two point jump shot
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
106-123
+2
Nets makes two point jump shot
106-123
Malachi Smith defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
+2
Jalen Wilson makes two point jump shot
84-99
Nets lineup change (Jalen Wilson, E.J. Liddell, Malachi Smith, Nolan Traore, Trevon Scott)
Bucks lineup change (Taurean Prince, Cormac Ryan, Jericho Sims, Andre Jackson Jr., Kyle Kuzma)
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Jalen Wilson defensive rebound
Nets 60 second timeout
+2
Nets makes two point jump shot
106-123
Bucks turnover
Jericho Sims offensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
+3
Nets makes three point jump shot
97-112
Tyson Etienne offensive rebound
Nets misses three point jump shot
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
84-99
Bucks lineup change (AJ Green, Jericho Sims, Ousmane Dieng, Andre Jackson Jr., Kyle Kuzma)
Nets personal foul
AJ Green offensive rebound
Myles Turner misses three point jump shot
+2
Nets makes two point jump shot
97-112
Nets personal foul
Jericho Sims misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Bucks offensive rebound
+1
Jericho Sims makes regular free throw 2 of 2
97-112
AJ Green defensive rebound
Nets misses three point jump shot
Bucks personal foul
Ousmane Dieng turnover (offensive foul)
Nets turnover
Bucks lineup change (AJ Green, Jericho Sims, Ousmane Dieng, Myles Turner, Kyle Kuzma)
+3
Taurean Prince makes three point jump shot
84-99
Nets turnover
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
97-112
Bucks personal foul
+1
Jalen Wilson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
97-112
+1
Jalen Wilson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
97-112
Nets lineup change (Jalen Wilson, Malachi Smith, Tyson Etienne, Trevon Scott, Ben Saraf)
E.J. Liddell defensive rebound
Ousmane Dieng misses three point stepback jump shot
Trevon Scott offensive rebound
Bucks personal foul
Bucks 60 second timeout
Trevon Scott misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Nets offensive rebound
+1
Trevon Scott makes regular free throw 2 of 2
97-112
Trevon Scott misses two point jump shot
Bucks turnover
Nets turnover (shot clock violation)
Nets lineup change (Jalen Wilson, E.J. Liddell, Malachi Smith, Trevon Scott, Ben Saraf)
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
97-112
+3
Nets makes three point jump shot
97-112
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
97-112
+2
Nets makes two point jump shot
97-112
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
97-112
Nets personal foul
Myles Turner defensive rebound
Trevon Scott misses two point jump shot
+2
Myles Turner makes two point cutting layup (Cormac Ryan assists)
84-99
+3
Nets makes three point jump shot
68-89
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
68-89
Myles Turner defensive rebound
Nets misses three point jump shot
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
84-99
+2
Nets makes two point jump shot
84-99
E.J. Liddell defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Bucks personal foul
Trevon Scott misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Nets offensive rebound
+1
Trevon Scott makes regular free throw 2 of 2
84-99
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
84-99
Cormac Ryan defensive rebound
E.J. Liddell misses three point jump shot
Nets misses three point jump shot
Nets offensive rebound
End of 1st Half.
Nets lineup change (E.J. Liddell, Malachi Smith, Tyson Etienne, Trevon Scott, Ben Saraf)
Bucks lineup change (Taurean Prince, Cormac Ryan, AJ Green, Ousmane Dieng, Myles Turner)
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
68-89
E.J. Liddell turnover (bad pass) (AJ Green steals)
Malachi Smith defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
+2
Nets makes two point jump shot
68-89
Malachi Smith shooting foul (Kyle Kuzma draws the foul)
+1
Kyle Kuzma makes regular free throw 1 of 2
55-68
Cormac Ryan turnover (lane violation)
Cormac Ryan turnover (lane violation)
Cormac Ryan turnover (lane violation)
Kyle Kuzma defensive rebound
Nets misses two point jump shot
Bucks personal foul
Jalen Wilson defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Taurean Prince defensive rebound
Nets misses three point jump shot
E.J. Liddell offensive rebound
Nets misses three point jump shot
+2
Kyle Kuzma makes two point driving finger roll layup
55-68
+3
Nets makes three point jump shot
68-89
Bucks 60 second timeout
Nets lineup change (Jalen Wilson, E.J. Liddell, Malachi Smith, Nolan Traore, Ben Saraf)
Malachi Smith offensive rebound
Nets misses two point jump shot
Jalen Wilson offensive rebound
Nets misses three point jump shot
Nolan Traore defensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Nolan Traore defensive rebound
+2
Nets makes two point jump shot
49-60
Bucks violation
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Nolan Traore blocks Cormac Ryan's two point cutting layup
Bucks offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Nets personal foul
Nets lineup change (Jalen Wilson, E.J. Liddell, Malachi Smith, Tyson Etienne, Nolan Traore)
Nets turnover
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
68-89
+1
Nolan Traore makes regular free throw 2 of 2
54-66
Bucks personal foul
+1
Nolan Traore makes regular free throw 1 of 2
68-89
Bucks turnover
Nets lineup change (Jalen Wilson, Tyson Etienne, Nolan Traore, Trevon Scott, Ben Saraf)
Bucks lineup change (Taurean Prince, Cormac Ryan, AJ Green, Ousmane Dieng, Myles Turner)
Bucks lineup change (Taurean Prince, Cormac Ryan, AJ Green, Myles Turner, Kyle Kuzma)
+3
Nets makes three point jump shot
55-68
Ben Saraf defensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
+3
Nets makes three point jump shot
42-57
Malachi Smith offensive rebound
Myles Turner blocks Jalen Wilson's two point driving floating jump shot
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
55-68
Ousmane Dieng defensive rebound
Nets misses three point jump shot
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
55-68
+2
Nets makes two point jump shot
55-68
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
55-68
+2
Nets makes two point jump shot
55-68
Jalen Wilson defensive rebound
Nets 60 second timeout
Bucks lineup change (Taurean Prince, AJ Green, Jericho Sims, Ousmane Dieng, Myles Turner)
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Andre Jackson Jr. defensive rebound
Nets misses three point jump shot
Jalen Wilson defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
+3
Nets makes three point jump shot
54-66
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
54-66
+3
Nets makes three point jump shot
54-66
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
54-66
Jericho Sims defensive rebound
Nets misses three point jump shot
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
54-66
Jericho Sims offensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
+3
Nets makes three point jump shot
54-66
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
54-66
Jericho Sims defensive rebound
Nets misses two point jump shot
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
54-66
Bucks personal foul
+1
E.J. Liddell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
54-66
+1
E.J. Liddell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
54-66
Jalen Wilson defensive rebound
AJ Green offensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Ousmane Dieng misses three point pullup jump shot
Jericho Sims offensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Jericho Sims defensive rebound
Nets misses two point jump shot
Nets misses three point jump shot
Nets offensive rebound
End of 1st Quarter.
Nets lineup change (Jalen Wilson, E.J. Liddell, Malachi Smith, Trevon Scott, Ben Saraf)
Bucks lineup change (AJ Green, Jericho Sims, Ousmane Dieng, Andre Jackson Jr., Kyle Kuzma)
Bucks turnover
Cormac Ryan defensive rebound
Nolan Traore misses three point stepback jump shot
Bucks turnover
+2
Nets makes two point jump shot
49-60
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
49-60
Ousmane Dieng defensive rebound
Nets misses three point jump shot
Bucks turnover
+2
Nolan Traore makes two point jump shot
19-33
Bucks personal foul
+1
Nolan Traore makes regular free throw 1 of 1
47-60
Tyson Etienne shooting foul (Cormac Ryan draws the foul)
+1
Cormac Ryan makes regular free throw 1 of 3
47-60
+1
Cormac Ryan makes regular free throw 2 of 3
47-60
+1
Cormac Ryan makes regular free throw 3 of 3
47-60
Nets lineup change (Jalen Wilson, E.J. Liddell, Malachi Smith, Nolan Traore, Trevon Scott)
+2
Nets makes two point jump shot
47-60
E.J. Liddell defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
+3
Nets makes three point jump shot
42-57
Bucks personal foul
+1
Tyson Etienne makes regular free throw 1 of 1
42-57
Bucks 60 second timeout
Nets lineup change (Jalen Wilson, E.J. Liddell, Malachi Smith, Tyson Etienne, Nolan Traore)
Bucks lineup change (Cormac Ryan, Jericho Sims, Ousmane Dieng, Andre Jackson Jr., Kyle Kuzma)
Bucks lineup change (Cormac Ryan, AJ Green, Jericho Sims, Myles Turner, Kyle Kuzma)
AJ Green defensive rebound
Ben Saraf turnover (bad pass)
Ben Saraf misses two point driving layup
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Nets defensive rebound
Ousmane Dieng misses two point driving layup
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pos | Player | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
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Nets vs. Bucks: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Nets vs. Bucks
- Date: Friday, April 10, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET
- Venue: Fiserv Forum
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Bucks favored at -9.5
- Total (Over/Under): 217.5
- Moneyline Odds: Nets +400, Bucks -388
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Nets: 21%
- Bucks: 79%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Nets 104-114 Bucks.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Nets a win probability of 21%, while the Bucks have a win probability of 79%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Bucks are more likely to beat the Nets in the NBA game at Fiserv Forum on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Nets vs. Bucks predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
