Heat vs. Raptors Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Heat vs. Raptors NBA game on April 9, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NBA
Heat
114
128
Apr 9, 11PM Scotiabank Arena
Raptors
Apr 9, 11PM Scotiabank Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Bets
TEAM12 3 4 T
Heat
26 24 40 24 114
Raptors
32 37 33 26 128
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
HeatMIA
Win %
<1%
>99%
RaptorsTOR
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Heat
26 24 40 24 114
Raptors
32 37 33 26 128
Q4 00:22 Heat makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:45 Raptors misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:50 Raptors misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:58 Heat makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:05 Raptors misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:26 Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:01 Heat makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:06 Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:12 Raptors misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:37 Heat makes three point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Q4 00:00
End of 4th Quarter.
Q4 00:22
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
114-128
Q4 00:32
Raptors offensive rebound
Q4 00:32
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 00:33
Heat turnover
Q4 00:33
Heat personal foul
Q4 00:33
A.J. Lawson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q4 00:33
Raptors offensive rebound
Q4 00:33
A.J. Lawson misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q4 00:42
Keshad Johnson defensive rebound
Q4 00:45
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:48
Jamison Battle offensive rebound
Q4 00:50
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:58
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
112-128
Q4 1:02
Myron Gardner defensive rebound
Q4 1:05
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:22
A.J. Lawson defensive rebound
Q4 1:26
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:35
Heat turnover
Q4 1:35
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 1:48
Raptors turnover
Q4 2:01
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
110-128
Q4 2:02
Vladislav Goldin offensive rebound
Q4 2:06
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:10
Vladislav Goldin defensive rebound
Q4 2:12
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:37
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
108-128
Q4 2:48
Heat personal foul
Q4 2:48
Jamison Battle misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q4 2:48
Raptors offensive rebound
Q4 2:48
+1
Jamison Battle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
105-128
Q4 3:02
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
105-127
Q4 3:09
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
102-127
Q4 3:09
Heat 60 second timeout
Q4 3:09
Heat lineup change (Trevor Keels, Jahmir Young, Keshad Johnson, Vladislav Goldin, Myron Gardner)
Q4 3:09
Raptors lineup change (Jamison Battle, Alijah Martin, Jonathan Mogbo, Gradey Dick, A.J. Lawson)
Q4 3:23
Heat turnover
Q4 3:35
+3
Raptors makes three point jump shot
102-125
Q4 3:51
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
102-122
Q4 4:06
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
100-122
Q4 4:29
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
100-120
Q4 4:36
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Q4 4:39
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Q4 5:02
Brandon Ingram defensive rebound
Q4 5:05
Raptors personal foul
Q4 5:05
Davion Mitchell misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q4 5:05
Heat offensive rebound
Q4 5:05
Davion Mitchell misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q4 5:10
Raptors turnover
Q4 5:11
Raptors lineup change (Collin Murray-Boyles, Brandon Ingram, Sandro Mamukelashvili, RJ Barrett, Jamal Shead)
Q4 5:33
Ja'Kobe Walter defensive rebound
Q4 5:36
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q4 5:48
Raptors violation
Q4 6:04
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
98-119
Q4 6:04
Heat personal foul
Q4 6:04
+1
Collin Murray-Boyles makes regular free throw 1 of 1
98-120
Q4 6:13
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
98-117
Q4 6:13
Raptors 60 second timeout
Q4 6:17
Raptors turnover
Q4 6:19
Heat personal foul
Q4 6:19
Raptors lineup change (Collin Murray-Boyles, Brandon Ingram, Ja'Kobe Walter, Sandro Mamukelashvili, Jamal Shead)
Q4 6:28
Collin Murray-Boyles defensive rebound
Q4 6:32
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 6:43
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
96-117
Q4 6:50
Raptors offensive rebound
Q4 6:50
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 6:50
Raptors lineup change (Collin Murray-Boyles, Brandon Ingram, Ja'Kobe Walter, Jakob Poeltl, Jamal Shead)
Q4 6:53
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Q4 7:09
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
96-115
Q4 7:14
Davion Mitchell defensive rebound
Q4 7:18
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Q4 7:40
Heat turnover
Q4 8:01
Heat personal foul
Q4 8:01
Ja'Kobe Walter misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q4 8:01
Raptors offensive rebound
Q4 8:01
Raptors lineup change (Brandon Ingram, Ja'Kobe Walter, Scottie Barnes, Jakob Poeltl, Jamal Shead)
Q4 8:01
+1
Ja'Kobe Walter makes regular free throw 2 of 2
94-115
Q4 8:02
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Q4 8:02
Raptors offensive rebound
Q4 8:02
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 8:35
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
94-114
Q4 8:44
Heat 60 second timeout
Q4 8:44
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Tyler Herro, Pelle Larsson, Davion Mitchell, Andrew Wiggins)
Q4 8:45
+3
Raptors makes three point jump shot
92-114
Q4 8:55
Immanuel Quickley defensive rebound
Q4 8:58
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 9:09
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
92-111
Q4 9:33
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
92-109
Q4 9:56
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
90-109
Q4 9:56
Heat violation
Q4 10:13
Ja'Kobe Walter defensive rebound
Q4 10:16
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 10:31
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Q4 10:34
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Q4 10:47
Scottie Barnes defensive rebound
Q4 10:50
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 11:10
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
90-107
Q4 11:10
Heat 60 second timeout
Q4 11:11
Jakob Poeltl defensive rebound
Q4 11:14
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q4 11:29
+3
Raptors makes three point jump shot
90-105
Q4 11:41
Scottie Barnes defensive rebound
Q4 11:45
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q3 00:00
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
90-102
Q3 00:00
Instant replay
Q3 00:00
End of 3rd Quarter.
Q4 12:00
Raptors lineup change (Ja'Kobe Walter, Scottie Barnes, Immanuel Quickley, RJ Barrett, Jakob Poeltl)
Q3 00:11
+3
Raptors makes three point jump shot
87-102
Q3 00:32
Raptors personal foul
Q3 00:32
+1
Norman Powell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
86-99
Q3 00:32
+1
Norman Powell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
87-99
Q3 00:32
Heat lineup change (Norman Powell, Kel'el Ware, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Pelle Larsson, Davion Mitchell)
Q3 00:51
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
85-99
Q3 1:12
Heat turnover
Q3 1:28
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
85-97
Q3 1:28
Heat 60 second timeout
Q3 1:28
Raptors lineup change (Brandon Ingram, Ja'Kobe Walter, Sandro Mamukelashvili, Scottie Barnes, Immanuel Quickley)
Q3 1:28
Heat lineup change (Norman Powell, Bam Adebayo, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Pelle Larsson, Davion Mitchell)
Q3 1:34
RJ Barrett defensive rebound
Q3 1:37
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q3 1:55
Heat personal foul
Q3 1:55
+1
RJ Barrett makes regular free throw 1 of 2
85-94
Q3 1:55
+1
RJ Barrett makes regular free throw 2 of 2
85-95
Q3 1:55
Raptors lineup change (Brandon Ingram, Sandro Mamukelashvili, Scottie Barnes, Immanuel Quickley, RJ Barrett)
Q3 2:18
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
85-93
Q3 2:21
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Q3 2:23
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q3 2:39
Heat personal foul
Q3 2:39
+1
RJ Barrett makes regular free throw 1 of 2
83-92
Q3 2:39
Heat lineup change (Norman Powell, Bam Adebayo, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Pelle Larsson, Kasparas Jakucionis)
Q3 2:39
Raptors lineup change (Collin Murray-Boyles, Brandon Ingram, Sandro Mamukelashvili, Immanuel Quickley, RJ Barrett)
Q3 2:39
+1
RJ Barrett makes regular free throw 2 of 2
83-93
Q3 2:44
Heat turnover
Q3 2:54
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
83-91
Q3 3:11
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
83-89
Q3 3:30
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
81-89
Q3 3:49
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
81-87
Q3 4:08
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
78-87
Q3 4:26
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
78-85
Q3 4:41
+3
Raptors makes three point jump shot
75-85
Q3 4:51
Heat turnover
Q3 4:51
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Tyler Herro, Davion Mitchell, Andrew Wiggins)
Q3 4:56
Pelle Larsson defensive rebound
Q3 4:59
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Q3 5:16
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
75-82
Q3 5:20
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Q3 5:22
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Q3 5:38
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
72-82
Q3 5:42
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Q3 5:45
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q3 5:56
Raptors personal foul
Q3 5:56
Collin Murray-Boyles turnover (offensive foul)
Q3 6:06
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
69-82
Q3 6:21
Heat personal foul
Q3 6:21
RJ Barrett misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q3 6:21
Raptors offensive rebound
Q3 6:21
+1
RJ Barrett makes regular free throw 2 of 2
66-82
Q3 6:21
Raptors lineup change (Collin Murray-Boyles, Brandon Ingram, Ja'Kobe Walter, RJ Barrett, Jamal Shead)
Q3 6:25
RJ Barrett defensive rebound
Q3 6:28
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q3 6:44
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
66-81
Q3 7:04
Raptors personal foul
Q3 7:04
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
65-79
Q3 7:04
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
66-79
Q3 7:13
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Q3 7:16
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Q3 7:35
Raptors 60 second timeout
Q3 7:35
Instant replay
Q3 7:35
Raptors personal foul
Q3 7:35
Raptors lineup change (Collin Murray-Boyles, Brandon Ingram, Scottie Barnes, RJ Barrett, Jamal Shead)
Q3 7:35
+1
Bam Adebayo makes technical free throw 1 of 1
64-79
Q3 7:36
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
63-79
Q3 7:44
Davion Mitchell defensive rebound
Q3 7:48
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Q3 7:57
Immanuel Quickley defensive rebound
Q3 7:59
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q3 8:12
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Q3 8:15
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Q3 8:21
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Q3 8:21
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
60-79
Q3 8:24
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q3 8:36
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Q3 8:38
Raptors offensive rebound
Q3 8:38
Raptors turnover
Q3 8:45
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q3 9:04
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
58-79
Q3 9:23
+3
Raptors makes three point jump shot
56-79
Q3 9:40
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
56-76
Q3 9:49
Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
Q3 9:53
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Q3 10:07
Stoppage (Other)
Q3 10:09
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
53-76
Q3 10:20
Raptors personal foul
Q3 10:20
Raptors 60 second timeout
Q3 10:20
Instant replay
Q3 10:43
+3
Raptors makes three point jump shot
50-76
Q3 10:49
Brandon Ingram defensive rebound
Q3 10:52
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q3 11:07
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
50-73
Q3 11:30
Heat personal foul
Q3 11:30
Bam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)
Q3 11:46
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
50-71
Q2 00:00
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Q2 00:00
Raptors offensive rebound
Q2 00:00
End of 1st Half.
Q3 12:00
Raptors lineup change (Brandon Ingram, Scottie Barnes, Immanuel Quickley, RJ Barrett, Jakob Poeltl)
Q3 12:00
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Tyler Herro, Pelle Larsson, Davion Mitchell, Andrew Wiggins)
Q2 00:01
Scottie Barnes defensive rebound
Q2 00:03
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q2 00:18
Heat personal foul
Q2 00:18
+1
Brandon Ingram makes regular free throw 1 of 2
50-68
Q2 00:18
+1
Brandon Ingram makes regular free throw 2 of 2
50-69
Q2 00:18
Raptors lineup change (Brandon Ingram, Sandro Mamukelashvili, Scottie Barnes, RJ Barrett, Jamal Shead)
Q2 00:23
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 00:26
Sandro Mamukelashvili offensive rebound
Q2 00:27
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Q2 00:32
Heat turnover
Q2 00:36
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
50-67
Q2 00:52
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
50-65
Q2 1:11
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Q2 1:13
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Q2 1:27
Heat violation
Q2 1:31
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Q2 1:31
Raptors offensive rebound
Q2 1:31
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 1:47
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
48-65
Q2 1:58
Heat personal foul
Q2 1:58
+1
Brandon Ingram makes regular free throw 1 of 2
46-63
Q2 1:58
Heat lineup change (Norman Powell, Bam Adebayo, Kel'el Ware, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Davion Mitchell)
Q2 1:58
Heat personal foul
Q2 1:58
+1
Brandon Ingram makes technical free throw 1 of 1
46-64
Q2 1:58
+1
Brandon Ingram makes regular free throw 2 of 2
46-65
Q2 2:06
RJ Barrett defensive rebound
Q2 2:09
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q2 2:14
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 2:14
Raptors lineup change (Brandon Ingram, Sandro Mamukelashvili, Scottie Barnes, Immanuel Quickley, RJ Barrett)
Q2 2:37
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
46-62
Q2 2:44
Heat turnover
Q2 2:54
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
46-60
Q2 3:00
Sandro Mamukelashvili defensive rebound
Q2 3:04
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q2 3:18
Heat 60 second timeout
Q2 3:18
Raptors lineup change (Collin Murray-Boyles, Brandon Ingram, Sandro Mamukelashvili, Immanuel Quickley, RJ Barrett)
Q2 3:19
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
46-58
Q2 3:34
Collin Murray-Boyles defensive rebound
Q2 3:36
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q2 3:47
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
46-56
Q2 4:02
Collin Murray-Boyles defensive rebound
Q2 4:04
Raptors personal foul
Q2 4:04
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
46-54
Q2 4:04
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Tyler Herro, Pelle Larsson, Davion Mitchell)
Q2 4:04
Raptors lineup change (Collin Murray-Boyles, Brandon Ingram, Sandro Mamukelashvili, RJ Barrett, Jamal Shead)
Q2 4:04
Stoppage (Court cleanup)
Q2 4:04
Bam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q2 4:19
+3
Raptors makes three point jump shot
45-54
Q2 4:23
Collin Murray-Boyles offensive rebound
Q2 4:26
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Q2 4:34
Sandro Mamukelashvili defensive rebound
Q2 4:36
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q2 4:36
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Q2 4:41
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q2 4:56
+3
Raptors makes three point jump shot
45-51
Q2 5:13
Raptors personal foul
Q2 5:13
Davion Mitchell misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q2 5:13
Heat offensive rebound
Q2 5:13
+1
Davion Mitchell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
45-48
Q2 5:24
Brandon Ingram offensive rebound
Q2 5:24
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
44-47
Q2 5:24
Heat personal foul
Q2 5:24
+1
Brandon Ingram makes regular free throw 1 of 1
44-48
Q2 5:24
Raptors lineup change (Collin Murray-Boyles, Brandon Ingram, Ja'Kobe Walter, Sandro Mamukelashvili, Jamal Shead)
Q2 5:25
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Q2 5:46
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
44-45
Q2 5:52
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Q2 5:54
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Q2 6:06
Raptors 60 second timeout
Q2 6:06
Raptors lineup change (Collin Murray-Boyles, Brandon Ingram, Ja'Kobe Walter, Scottie Barnes, Jamal Shead)
Q2 6:07
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
42-45
Q2 6:16
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Q2 6:19
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Q2 6:39
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
39-45
Q2 6:46
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Q2 6:49
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Q2 7:02
Heat offensive rebound
Q2 7:02
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 7:02
Heat turnover
Q2 7:03
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q2 7:26
Heat personal foul
Q2 7:26
Raptors offensive rebound
Q2 7:26
Scottie Barnes misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q2 7:26
+1
Scottie Barnes makes regular free throw 2 of 2
37-45
Q2 7:34
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
37-44
Q2 7:45
Heat personal foul
Q2 7:45
+1
RJ Barrett makes regular free throw 1 of 2
35-43
Q2 7:45
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Tyler Herro, Keshad Johnson, Davion Mitchell)
Q2 7:45
+1
RJ Barrett makes regular free throw 2 of 2
35-44
Q2 7:45
Raptors lineup change (Collin Murray-Boyles, Brandon Ingram, Scottie Barnes, RJ Barrett, Jamal Shead)
Q2 7:52
Heat personal foul
Q2 8:04
Heat personal foul
Q2 8:15
Scottie Barnes defensive rebound
Q2 8:18
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q2 8:30
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
35-42
Q2 8:48
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
35-40
Q2 8:48
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Q2 8:51
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q2 9:10
+3
Raptors makes three point jump shot
33-40
Q2 9:10
Heat 60 second timeout
Q2 9:10
Raptors lineup change (Collin Murray-Boyles, Ja'Kobe Walter, Scottie Barnes, RJ Barrett, Jamal Shead)
Q2 9:12
Raptors turnover
Q2 9:12
Heat turnover
Q2 9:13
Pelle Larsson defensive rebound
Q2 9:16
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Q2 9:23
Collin Murray-Boyles defensive rebound
Q2 9:25
Raptors personal foul
Q2 9:25
+1
Norman Powell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
33-37
Q2 9:25
Heat lineup change (Norman Powell, Bam Adebayo, Keshad Johnson, Pelle Larsson, Kasparas Jakucionis)
Q2 9:25
Raptors lineup change (Collin Murray-Boyles, Ja'Kobe Walter, Scottie Barnes, Immanuel Quickley, RJ Barrett)
Q2 9:25
Norman Powell misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q2 9:30
Keshad Johnson defensive rebound
Q2 9:31
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Q2 9:40
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
32-37
Q2 9:52
+3
Raptors makes three point jump shot
30-37
Q2 9:57
Raptors offensive rebound
Q2 9:57
Heat personal foul
Q2 9:59
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Q2 10:12
RJ Barrett defensive rebound
Q2 10:16
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
30-34
Q2 10:16
Raptors personal foul
Q2 10:16
Norman Powell misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Q2 10:23
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Q2 10:26
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Q2 10:41
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
28-34
Q2 10:53
Raptors personal foul
Q2 10:53
Raptors lineup change (Ja'Kobe Walter, Sandro Mamukelashvili, Scottie Barnes, Immanuel Quickley, RJ Barrett)
Q2 10:59
Raptors personal foul
Q2 10:59
Jakob Poeltl turnover (offensive foul)
Q2 11:15
Ja'Kobe Walter defensive rebound
Q2 11:18
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q2 11:40
Heat personal foul
Q2 11:40
+1
RJ Barrett makes regular free throw 1 of 2
26-33
Q2 11:40
+1
RJ Barrett makes regular free throw 2 of 2
26-34
Q2 11:40
Heat lineup change (Norman Powell, Bam Adebayo, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Keshad Johnson, Kasparas Jakucionis)
Q1 00:00
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q1 00:00
Heat offensive rebound
Q1 00:00
End of 1st Quarter.
Q2 12:00
Raptors lineup change (Ja'Kobe Walter, Scottie Barnes, Immanuel Quickley, RJ Barrett, Jakob Poeltl)
Q2 12:00
Heat lineup change (Norman Powell, Bam Adebayo, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kasparas Jakucionis, Andrew Wiggins)
Q1 00:06
Raptors personal foul
Q1 00:06
Raptors lineup change (Collin Murray-Boyles, Brandon Ingram, RJ Barrett, Jakob Poeltl, Jamal Shead)
Q1 00:21
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
26-32
Q1 00:34
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
26-30
Q1 00:45
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Q1 00:48
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Q1 00:50
Collin Murray-Boyles offensive rebound
Q1 00:52
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Q1 1:17
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
24-30
Q1 1:29
+3
Raptors makes three point jump shot
22-30
Q1 1:36
Sandro Mamukelashvili defensive rebound
Q1 1:40
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q1 1:53
Heat turnover
Q1 1:53
Heat personal foul
Q1 1:53
+1
Collin Murray-Boyles makes regular free throw 1 of 2
22-26
Q1 1:53
+1
Collin Murray-Boyles makes regular free throw 2 of 2
22-27
Q1 2:06
Raptors violation
Q1 2:06
Heat lineup change (Norman Powell, Bam Adebayo, Kel'el Ware, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kasparas Jakucionis)
Q1 2:06
Raptors lineup change (Collin Murray-Boyles, Brandon Ingram, Sandro Mamukelashvili, Immanuel Quickley, RJ Barrett)
Q1 2:11
Brandon Ingram offensive rebound
Q1 2:11
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
22-25
Q1 2:13
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Q1 2:32
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
22-23
Q1 2:43
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Q1 2:47
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Q1 3:01
Jamal Shead defensive rebound
Q1 3:05
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q1 3:13
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Q1 3:16
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Q1 3:31
Collin Murray-Boyles defensive rebound
Q1 3:35
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q1 3:53
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Q1 3:53
Collin Murray-Boyles offensive rebound
Q1 3:53
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
20-23
Q1 3:53
Heat 60 second timeout
Q1 4:00
Brandon Ingram defensive rebound
Q1 4:02
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q1 4:19
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
20-21
Q1 4:27
Heat turnover
Q1 4:28
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
20-18
Q1 4:28
Heat personal foul
Q1 4:28
+1
Brandon Ingram makes regular free throw 1 of 1
20-19
Q1 4:28
Heat lineup change (Norman Powell, Kel'el Ware, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Pelle Larsson, Davion Mitchell)
Q1 4:42
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
20-16
Q1 4:46
Pelle Larsson defensive rebound
Q1 4:48
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Q1 5:07
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
18-16
Q1 5:18
Heat personal foul
Q1 5:18
+1
Brandon Ingram makes regular free throw 1 of 2
16-15
Q1 5:18
+1
Brandon Ingram makes regular free throw 2 of 2
16-16
Q1 5:28
Brandon Ingram defensive rebound
Q1 5:31
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q1 5:38
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Q1 5:40
Heat personal foul
Q1 5:40
+1
Brandon Ingram makes regular free throw 1 of 2
16-14
Q1 5:40
Raptors lineup change (Collin Murray-Boyles, Brandon Ingram, Ja'Kobe Walter, Sandro Mamukelashvili, Jamal Shead)
Q1 5:40
Heat lineup change (Kel'el Ware, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Tyler Herro, Pelle Larsson, Davion Mitchell)
Q1 5:40
Brandon Ingram misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q1 5:44
Jamal Shead defensive rebound
Q1 5:48
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q1 5:54
Raptors personal foul
Q1 5:54
Raptors lineup change (Brandon Ingram, Ja'Kobe Walter, Sandro Mamukelashvili, RJ Barrett, Jamal Shead)
Q1 6:04
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
16-13
Q1 6:18
RJ Barrett defensive rebound
Q1 6:22
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q1 6:38
+3
Raptors makes three point jump shot
16-11
Q1 6:55
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
16-8
Q1 7:06
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
14-8
Q1 7:22
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
14-6
Q1 7:30
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Q1 7:33
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Q1 7:41
Heat personal foul
Q1 7:41
Raptors lineup change (Brandon Ingram, Ja'Kobe Walter, RJ Barrett, Jakob Poeltl, Jamal Shead)
Q1 7:44
Heat turnover
Q1 7:52
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Q1 7:54
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Q1 8:16
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
15-6
Q1 8:16
Raptors lineup change (Brandon Ingram, Ja'Kobe Walter, Immanuel Quickley, RJ Barrett, Jakob Poeltl)
Q1 8:24
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q1 8:24
Heat offensive rebound
Q1 8:24
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q1 8:24
Instant replay
Q1 8:24
Raptors lineup change (Brandon Ingram, Scottie Barnes, Immanuel Quickley, RJ Barrett, Jakob Poeltl)
Q1 8:31
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q1 8:36
Raptors personal foul
Q1 8:36
Raptors lineup change (Brandon Ingram, Ja'Kobe Walter, Immanuel Quickley, RJ Barrett, Jakob Poeltl)
Q1 8:43
Heat personal foul
Q1 8:43
+1
Scottie Barnes makes regular free throw 1 of 2
12-5
Q1 8:43
+1
Scottie Barnes makes regular free throw 2 of 2
12-6
Q1 8:53
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
12-4
Q1 8:58
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q1 8:58
Heat offensive rebound
Q1 8:58
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q1 8:58
Heat turnover (shot clock violation)
Q1 9:11
Raptors personal foul
Q1 9:14
Davion Mitchell offensive rebound
Q1 9:17
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q1 9:24
RJ Barrett offensive rebound
Q1 9:24
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
9-4
Q1 9:29
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Q1 9:32
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q1 9:41
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
9-2
Q1 9:53
Jakob Poeltl offensive rebound
Q1 9:53
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
7-2
Q1 9:57
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Q1 10:08
Immanuel Quickley offensive rebound
Q1 10:08
Heat personal foul
Q1 10:10
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Q1 10:25
Raptors 60 second timeout
Q1 10:26
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
7-0
Q1 10:34
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Q1 10:36
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Q1 11:02
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
4-0
Q1 11:17
Pelle Larsson defensive rebound
Q1 11:21
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Q1 11:40
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
2-0
Q1 12:00
Bam Adebayo vs. Jakob Poeltl (Tyler Herro gains possession)
Q1 12:00
Raptors lineup change (Brandon Ingram, Scottie Barnes, Immanuel Quickley, RJ Barrett, Jakob Poeltl)
Q1 12:00
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Tyler Herro, Pelle Larsson, Davion Mitchell, Andrew Wiggins)
Q1 12:00
Start of 1st Quarter
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
Heat
PosPlayerPts
Raptors
PosPlayerPts

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Heat vs. Raptors: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Heat vs. Raptors
  • Date: Thursday, April 9, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Scotiabank Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Raptors favored at -4.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 236.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Heat +163, Raptors -153

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Heat: 34%
  • Raptors: 66%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Heat 116-120 Raptors.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Heat a win probability of 34%, while the Raptors have a win probability of 66%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Raptors are more likely to beat the Heat in the NBA game at Scotiabank Arena on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Heat vs. Raptors predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.