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Grizzlies vs. Nuggets Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Grizzlies vs. Nuggets NBA game on April 8, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
119
136
Apr 9, 1AM Ball Arena
Apr 9, 1AM Ball Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Bets
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Grizzlies | 33 | 39 | 22 | 25 | 119 |
Nuggets | 37 | 31 | 39 | 29 | 136 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
<1%
>99%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Grizzlies | 33 | 39 | 22 | 25 | 119 |
Nuggets | 37 | 31 | 39 | 29 | 136 |
Q4 00:18 Nuggets makes three point jump shot
Q4 00:34 Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:41 Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:54 Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:21 Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:33 Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:47 Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:05 Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:14 Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:20 Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
119-136
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
119-133
Cedric Coward defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
116-133
Nuggets personal foul
+1
Cedric Coward makes regular free throw 1 of 1
117-133
Nuggets turnover
DaRon Holmes II offensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
KJ Simpson defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Lucas Williamson defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
DaRon Holmes II defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Cedric Coward defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
DaRon Holmes II offensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
DaRon Holmes II defensive rebound
Nuggets personal foul
Cedric Coward misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+1
Cedric Coward makes regular free throw 1 of 2
114-133
Grizzlies 60 second timeout
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
113-133
Nuggets personal foul
+1
Walter Clayton Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
112-130
Nuggets lineup change (Curtis Jones, Jalen Pickett, Zeke Nnaji, DaRon Holmes II, KJ Simpson)
+1
Walter Clayton Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
113-130
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
111-130
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
111-128
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
108-128
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
108-126
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
105-126
Jonas Valanciunas defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
105-123
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
105-121
Walter Clayton Jr. defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Nuggets personal foul
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Grizzlies lineup change (Taylor Hendricks, Adama Bal, Lucas Williamson, Walter Clayton Jr., Cedric Coward)
Nuggets lineup change (Jonas Valanciunas, Jalen Pickett, Zeke Nnaji, Julian Strawther, Bruce Brown)
+1
Cedric Coward makes regular free throw 1 of 2
101-121
+1
Cedric Coward makes regular free throw 2 of 2
102-121
Cedric Coward defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Bruce Brown defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
100-121
Grizzlies turnover
Dariq Whitehead defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Jamal Murray defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Walter Clayton Jr. defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Nuggets personal foul
+1
Adama Bal makes regular free throw 1 of 2
99-119
Grizzlies lineup change (Taylor Hendricks, Adama Bal, Dariq Whitehead, Walter Clayton Jr., Cedric Coward)
+1
Adama Bal makes regular free throw 2 of 2
100-119
Bruce Brown turnover
Jahmai Mashack offensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
98-119
Grizzlies turnover
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
98-117
Grizzlies personal foul
Instant replay
+1
Jonas Valanciunas makes regular free throw 1 of 2
98-115
Jonas Valanciunas misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Nuggets lineup change (Jonas Valanciunas, Julian Strawther, Jamal Murray, Cameron Johnson, Bruce Brown)
Nuggets offensive rebound
Cameron Johnson defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Adama Bal offensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Nuggets turnover
Tim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
98-113
Grizzlies personal foul
+1
Jonas Valanciunas makes regular free throw 1 of 1
98-114
Jonas Valanciunas defensive rebound
Nuggets personal foul
Grizzlies offensive rebound
Jahmai Mashack misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Jahmai Mashack misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
98-111
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
98-109
Nuggets personal foul
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
95-109
Jonas Valanciunas offensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Jonas Valanciunas offensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Nuggets offensive rebound
Grizzlies personal foul
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Jamal Murray defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Nuggets turnover
Grizzlies personal foul
Tim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound
Nuggets personal foul
+1
Toby Okani makes regular free throw 1 of 2
95-107
Toby Okani misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Dariq Whitehead defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Lucas Williamson defensive rebound
Grizzlies offensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
End of 3rd Quarter.
Nuggets lineup change (Jonas Valanciunas, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray, Cameron Johnson, Bruce Brown)
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Adama Bal defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
94-107
Nuggets violation
Nikola Jokic offensive rebound
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
92-107
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Bruce Brown defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
92-105
Cameron Johnson defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
92-102
Grizzlies 60 second timeout
Nuggets lineup change (Julian Strawther, Tim Hardaway Jr., Nikola Jokic, Cameron Johnson, Bruce Brown)
Bruce Brown defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
92-100
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
92-97
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
89-97
Nuggets personal foul
+1
Adama Bal makes regular free throw 1 of 2
88-95
+1
Adama Bal makes regular free throw 2 of 2
89-95
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
87-95
Bruce Brown offensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Nuggets turnover
Nuggets personal foul
Nuggets lineup change (Christian Braun, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Bruce Brown)
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
87-93
Adama Bal defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
85-93
Jamal Murray defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Nikola Jokic offensive rebound
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
85-90
Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
85-88
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
83-88
Grizzlies personal foul
+1
Jamal Murray makes technical free throw 1 of 1
83-85
Stoppage (Court cleanup)
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
83-84
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Grizzlies 60 second timeout
Nuggets lineup change (Christian Braun, Aaron Gordon, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic)
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
81-84
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
81-82
Jamal Murray defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Cameron Johnson offensive rebound
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
81-80
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
81-78
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
81-76
Nuggets personal foul
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
78-76
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Grizzlies personal foul
+1
Aaron Gordon makes regular free throw 1 of 2
78-73
Grizzlies lineup change (Toby Okani, Jahmai Mashack, Adama Bal, Dariq Whitehead, Lucas Williamson)
+1
Aaron Gordon makes regular free throw 2 of 2
78-74
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
78-72
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
78-70
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
76-70
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Taylor Hendricks defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Grizzlies personal foul
Grizzlies personal foul
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
76-68
Walter Clayton Jr. defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Aaron Gordon defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Taylor Hendricks defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
74-68
Taylor Hendricks offensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Nuggets offensive rebound
End of 1st Half.
Grizzlies lineup change (Toby Okani, Jahmai Mashack, Taylor Hendricks, Walter Clayton Jr., Cedric Coward)
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
72-68
Grizzlies defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
69-68
Nuggets personal foul
+1
Lucas Williamson makes regular free throw 1 of 1
70-68
+3
Cameron Johnson makes three point jump shot (Aaron Gordon assists)
66-68
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
66-65
Jahmai Mashack defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Taj Gibson offensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
63-65
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
63-63
Grizzlies 60 second timeout
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
60-63
Grizzlies turnover
Grizzlies personal foul
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 2
60-60
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 2
60-61
Aaron Gordon defensive rebound
Nuggets personal foul
Toby Okani misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Grizzlies offensive rebound
Toby Okani misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
60-59
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Nuggets turnover
Nuggets lineup change (Christian Braun, Aaron Gordon, Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Cameron Johnson)
Jamal Murray defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
60-57
Christian Braun defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Lucas Williamson defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
60-55
Taj Gibson defensive rebound
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
58-55
Grizzlies personal foul
Bruce Brown misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Grizzlies lineup change (Toby Okani, Jahmai Mashack, Adama Bal, Lucas Williamson, Taj Gibson)
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
58-53
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
56-53
Grizzlies personal foul
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Nuggets defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
56-50
Grizzlies personal foul
Christian Braun misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Dariq Whitehead defensive rebound
Grizzlies turnover
Adama Bal defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
56-48
Lucas Williamson offensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
53-48
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
53-46
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Nuggets lineup change (Christian Braun, Aaron Gordon, Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Bruce Brown)
Grizzlies lineup change (Toby Okani, Jahmai Mashack, Adama Bal, Dariq Whitehead, Lucas Williamson)
Nuggets turnover
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
50-46
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
47-46
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
46-44
Nuggets personal foul
+1
Walter Clayton Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 1
47-44
Nuggets personal foul
Jonas Valanciunas turnover (offensive foul)
Nuggets lineup change (Zeke Nnaji, Julian Strawther, Jamal Murray, Cameron Johnson, Bruce Brown)
Nuggets personal foul
+1
Taylor Hendricks makes regular free throw 1 of 2
43-44
+1
Taylor Hendricks makes regular free throw 2 of 2
44-44
Grizzlies personal foul
Nuggets personal foul
Jonas Valanciunas turnover (offensive foul)
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
42-44
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
40-44
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Grizzlies lineup change (Taylor Hendricks, Adama Bal, Lucas Williamson, Walter Clayton Jr., Cedric Coward)
Nuggets lineup change (Jonas Valanciunas, Julian Strawther, Jamal Murray, Cameron Johnson, Bruce Brown)
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
40-42
Nuggets personal foul
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Grizzlies defensive rebound
Nuggets personal foul
Tim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Nuggets turnover
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
38-42
Dariq Whitehead defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Tim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound
Nuggets personal foul
Nuggets personal foul
+1
Dariq Whitehead makes regular free throw 1 of 2
36-42
Dariq Whitehead misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Cedric Coward defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
35-42
Nuggets personal foul
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
33-42
Bruce Brown defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Adama Bal offensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
33-39
Julian Strawther defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Nuggets offensive rebound
End of 1st Quarter.
Nuggets lineup change (Jonas Valanciunas, Julian Strawther, Tim Hardaway Jr., Cameron Johnson, Bruce Brown)
Grizzlies lineup change (Taylor Hendricks, Adama Bal, Dariq Whitehead, Walter Clayton Jr., Cedric Coward)
Julian Strawther defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
33-37
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
33-35
Cedric Coward defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
30-35
Nikola Jokic offensive rebound
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
27-35
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Bruce Brown defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Grizzlies personal foul
+1
Bruce Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 2
27-32
+1
Bruce Brown makes regular free throw 2 of 2
27-33
Bruce Brown defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Dariq Whitehead offensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Grizzlies personal foul
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
27-30
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
27-31
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
27-29
Grizzlies personal foul
Grizzlies 60 second timeout
Grizzlies personal foul
Nuggets lineup change (Julian Strawther, Tim Hardaway Jr., Nikola Jokic, Cameron Johnson, Bruce Brown)
Grizzlies lineup change (Taylor Hendricks, Dariq Whitehead, Lucas Williamson, Walter Clayton Jr., Cedric Coward)
Nikola Jokic misses technical free throw 1 of 1
Nuggets offensive rebound
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
25-28
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
25-29
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
25-27
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
22-27
Jamal Murray defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Adama Bal defensive rebound
Grizzlies personal foul
+1
Bruce Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 2
22-24
Bruce Brown misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Grizzlies turnover
Jahmai Mashack defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
22-23
Lucas Williamson offensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Nuggets violation
Adama Bal defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Nuggets personal foul
Grizzlies personal foul
Nuggets lineup change (Christian Braun, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Bruce Brown)
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
19-23
Dariq Whitehead defensive rebound
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
17-25
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Tim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
17-23
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
17-20
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
14-20
Nuggets offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Nuggets lineup change (Christian Braun, Aaron Gordon, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic)
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Nikola Jokic offensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
14-17
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
12-17
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Nuggets defensive rebound
Lucas Williamson offensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
12-15
Grizzlies personal foul
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Grizzlies personal foul
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 2
12-12
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 2
12-13
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Grizzlies lineup change (Toby Okani, Jahmai Mashack, Adama Bal, Dariq Whitehead, Lucas Williamson)
Grizzlies turnover
Taylor Hendricks offensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
12-11
Cedric Coward offensive rebound
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
12-9
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Nuggets turnover
Stoppage (Other)
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
10-9
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
7-9
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
7-7
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
5-7
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
5-5
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
3-5
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
3-2
Taylor Hendricks defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
0-2
Grizzlies personal foul
Jamal Murray defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Nuggets turnover
Taylor Hendricks vs. Nikola Jokic (Aaron Gordon gains possession)
Start of 1st Quarter
Nuggets lineup change (Christian Braun, Aaron Gordon, Jamal Murray, Nikola Jokic, Cameron Johnson)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pos | Player | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
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Grizzlies vs. Nuggets: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Grizzlies vs. Nuggets
- Date: Wednesday, April 8, 2026
- Time: 9:00 PM ET
- Venue: Ball Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Nuggets favored at -23.5
- Total (Over/Under): 247.5
- Moneyline Odds: Grizzlies +3674, Nuggets -3674
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Grizzlies: 5%
- Nuggets: 95%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Grizzlies 112-132 Nuggets.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Grizzlies a win probability of 5%, while the Nuggets have a win probability of 95%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Nuggets are more likely to beat the Grizzlies in the NBA game at Ball Arena on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Grizzlies vs. Nuggets predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
