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Jazz vs. Thunder Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Jazz vs. Thunder NBA game on April 5, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
111
146
Apr 5, 11PM Paycom Center
Apr 5, 11PM Paycom Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Bets
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jazz | 25 | 29 | 27 | 30 | 111 |
Thunder | 40 | 35 | 33 | 38 | 146 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
<1%
>99%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jazz | 25 | 29 | 27 | 30 | 111 |
Thunder | 40 | 35 | 33 | 38 | 146 |
Q4 00:29 Jazz misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:41 Thunder makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:50 Jazz makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:05 Thunder makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:18 Jazz makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:33 Thunder makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:42 Jazz makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:48 Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:56 Jazz makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:18 Thunder misses two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
Thunder turnover
Thunder defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jazz misses two point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
111-146
+3
Jazz makes three point jump shot
111-144
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
108-144
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
108-141
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
106-141
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
106-138
Cody Williams defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
104-138
Thunder turnover
Jazz turnover
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Kyle Filipowski defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Branden Carlson offensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Kenrich Williams offensive rebound
Jazz personal foul
Jazz lineup change (Kennedy Chandler, Ace Bailey, Cody Williams, Kyle Filipowski, Brice Sensabaugh)
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
Jazz 60 second timeout
+1
Brice Sensabaugh makes regular free throw 1 of 2
101-138
Jazz lineup change (Kennedy Chandler, Svi Mykhailiuk, Ace Bailey, Kyle Filipowski, Brice Sensabaugh)
+1
Brice Sensabaugh makes regular free throw 2 of 2
102-138
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
100-138
Nikola Topic offensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
100-136
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
98-136
+3
Jazz makes three point jump shot
98-134
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
95-134
Thunder personal foul
+1
Brice Sensabaugh makes regular free throw 1 of 2
94-132
+1
Brice Sensabaugh makes regular free throw 2 of 2
95-132
Jazz personal foul
+1
Nikola Topic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
93-131
+1
Nikola Topic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
93-132
Jazz lineup change (Kennedy Chandler, Svi Mykhailiuk, Cody Williams, Kyle Filipowski, Brice Sensabaugh)
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
93-130
Thunder turnover
Thunder personal foul
+1
Brice Sensabaugh makes regular free throw 1 of 2
90-130
+1
Brice Sensabaugh makes regular free throw 2 of 2
91-130
John Konchar offensive rebound
Jazz misses three point jump shot
John Konchar offensive rebound
Jazz misses two point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
89-130
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
89-128
Thunder turnover
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
87-128
Jazz misses two point jump shot
Kyle Filipowski offensive rebound
Jazz offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jazz misses two point jump shot
Cody Williams defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Nikola Topic offensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Thunder defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder 60 second timeout
Jazz lineup change (Kennedy Chandler, Cody Williams, John Konchar, Kyle Filipowski, Brice Sensabaugh)
Jazz misses three point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
85-128
Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
Jazz misses two point jump shot
Kyle Filipowski defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
85-125
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jazz lineup change (Ace Bailey, Cody Williams, John Konchar, Kyle Filipowski, Brice Sensabaugh)
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
83-125
Branden Carlson defensive rebound
Thunder personal foul
Oscar Tshiebwe misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Jazz offensive rebound
Thunder lineup change (Branden Carlson, Nikola Topic, Aaron Wiggins, Jared McCain, Kenrich Williams)
Oscar Tshiebwe misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
83-122
Jazz turnover
John Konchar defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
Jazz misses two point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
83-119
Thunder personal foul
+1
Cody Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
82-117
+1
Cody Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
83-117
Jazz lineup change (Oscar Tshiebwe, Ace Bailey, Cody Williams, John Konchar, Brice Sensabaugh)
Thunder turnover
Alex Caruso defensive rebound
Jazz misses two point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
81-117
Jazz personal foul
Jazz turnover
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
81-114
Alex Caruso defensive rebound
Jazz misses three point jump shot
John Konchar defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Jazz turnover
Jazz lineup change (Kennedy Chandler, Oscar Tshiebwe, Ace Bailey, Cody Williams, John Konchar)
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
81-111
Jazz turnover
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
81-108
End of 3rd Quarter.
Jazz lineup change (Kennedy Chandler, Svi Mykhailiuk, Oscar Tshiebwe, Ace Bailey, John Konchar)
Jazz turnover
Jazz personal foul
+1
Isaiah Joe makes regular free throw 1 of 2
81-106
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Svi Mykhailiuk defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Alex Caruso defensive rebound
Jazz misses two point jump shot
Kyle Filipowski offensive rebound
Jazz misses three point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
81-105
Jazz turnover
John Konchar offensive rebound
Thunder personal foul
Jazz misses three point jump shot
Jazz misses two point jump shot
Kyle Filipowski offensive rebound
Jazz misses two point jump shot
Jazz offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder personal foul
Isaiah Joe turnover (offensive foul)
Thunder 60 second timeout
Instant replay
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Jazz misses three point jump shot
Svi Mykhailiuk defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Jazz turnover
Brice Sensabaugh defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Kyle Filipowski offensive rebound
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
81-102
Jazz misses two point jump shot
Kyle Filipowski defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Thunder 60 second timeout
Jazz lineup change (Kennedy Chandler, Svi Mykhailiuk, John Konchar, Kyle Filipowski, Brice Sensabaugh)
+3
Jazz makes three point jump shot
79-102
John Konchar defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
Jazz misses three point jump shot
Thunder turnover
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
76-102
Kyle Filipowski defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+3
Jazz makes three point jump shot
74-102
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
71-102
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
71-100
Kyle Filipowski defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Thunder 60 second timeout
Jazz lineup change (Svi Mykhailiuk, Cody Williams, John Konchar, Kyle Filipowski, Brice Sensabaugh)
Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Ajay Mitchell, Alex Caruso, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Joe)
+3
Jazz makes three point jump shot
69-100
Thunder turnover
Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Jazz misses three point jump shot
Brice Sensabaugh defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+3
Jazz makes three point jump shot
66-100
Jazz defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses three point jump shot
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Jazz misses two point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
Jazz personal foul
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
63-99
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
63-100
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
63-98
Kyle Filipowski offensive rebound
Jazz misses three point jump shot
Thunder turnover
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Jazz misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
61-97
Jazz personal foul
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 1
61-98
Ace Bailey offensive rebound
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
61-95
Jazz misses two point jump shot
Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
Jazz personal foul
Chet Holmgren misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Thunder offensive rebound
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
59-95
Jazz lineup change (Svi Mykhailiuk, Ace Bailey, Cody Williams, Kyle Filipowski, Brice Sensabaugh)
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Jazz misses three point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
59-94
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Jazz misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
59-91
Jazz 60 second timeout
Jazz lineup change (Svi Mykhailiuk, Oscar Tshiebwe, Ace Bailey, Cody Williams, Brice Sensabaugh)
Jazz turnover
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
59-89
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
59-87
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
57-87
Jazz turnover
Jazz personal foul
+1
Isaiah Hartenstein makes regular free throw 1 of 2
57-83
+1
Isaiah Hartenstein makes regular free throw 2 of 2
57-84
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Jazz misses two point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
57-82
Jazz personal foul
Kyle Filipowski turnover (offensive foul)
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
57-80
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Jazz misses two point jump shot
Oscar Tshiebwe defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+3
Jazz makes three point jump shot
57-78
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
54-78
Cody Williams defensive rebound
End of 1st Half.
Jazz lineup change (Oscar Tshiebwe, Ace Bailey, Cody Williams, Kyle Filipowski, Brice Sensabaugh)
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Chet Holmgren, Luguentz Dort, Jalen Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Jazz personal foul
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Luguentz Dort, Ajay Mitchell, Jalen Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Jazz misses two point jump shot
Jazz offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder 60 second timeout
Instant replay
Thunder challenge timeout
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
54-75
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
54-72
Jalen Williams offensive rebound
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
52-72
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Jazz turnover
Thunder turnover
Jazz lineup change (Svi Mykhailiuk, Ace Bailey, Cody Williams, Kyle Filipowski, Brice Sensabaugh)
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
52-70
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
50-70
+3
Jazz makes three point jump shot
50-67
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
47-67
+3
Jazz makes three point jump shot
47-65
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
44-65
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Jazz misses two point jump shot
Cody Williams defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
John Konchar misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Jazz offensive rebound
+1
John Konchar makes regular free throw 2 of 2
44-62
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace, Jalen Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Kyle Filipowski defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
43-62
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
41-62
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
41-59
Ace Bailey defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Jazz misses three point jump shot
Ace Bailey defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Jazz misses two point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
39-59
Jazz 60 second timeout
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace, Jared McCain, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
Jazz misses two point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot (Ajay Mitchell assists)
39-57
Jazz turnover
John Konchar defensive rebound
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
39-56
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
39-54
Thunder turnover
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Jazz misses three point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
37-54
Thunder personal foul
+1
John Konchar makes regular free throw 1 of 2
36-51
Jazz lineup change (Ace Bailey, Cody Williams, John Konchar, Kyle Filipowski, Brice Sensabaugh)
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Ajay Mitchell, Cason Wallace, Jared McCain, Jalen Williams)
+1
John Konchar makes regular free throw 2 of 2
37-51
Thunder turnover
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Jazz misses two point jump shot
Jazz misses two point jump shot
Jazz offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
35-51
Jared McCain defensive rebound
Jazz misses two point jump shot
Oscar Tshiebwe misses two point tip layup
Jared McCain defensive rebound
Jazz personal foul
+1
Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
35-48
Jazz lineup change (Svi Mykhailiuk, Oscar Tshiebwe, Cody Williams, John Konchar, Brice Sensabaugh)
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Ajay Mitchell, Cason Wallace, Jared McCain, Jalen Williams)
+1
Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
35-49
Jazz turnover
Thunder turnover
+3
Jazz makes three point jump shot
35-47
Oscar Tshiebwe defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Alex Caruso defensive rebound
Jazz misses three point jump shot
Thunder turnover
Ajay Mitchell defensive rebound
Jazz misses two point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
32-47
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
32-45
Svi Mykhailiuk offensive rebound
Jazz misses three point jump shot
Thunder turnover
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Ajay Mitchell, Alex Caruso, Jared McCain, Jalen Williams)
+3
Jazz makes three point jump shot
30-45
John Konchar offensive rebound
Jazz misses three point jump shot
Jazz 60 second timeout
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
27-45
Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
27-42
Thunder personal foul
John Konchar defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
Jazz misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
25-42
Jazz turnover
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
25-40
Instant replay
End of 1st Quarter.
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Ajay Mitchell, Alex Caruso, Isaiah Joe, Jalen Williams)
Jazz lineup change (Kennedy Chandler, Svi Mykhailiuk, Oscar Tshiebwe, John Konchar, Brice Sensabaugh)
Jazz personal foul
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Thunder offensive rebound
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
25-38
+3
Jazz makes three point jump shot
25-37
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
22-37
+3
Jazz makes three point jump shot
22-34
Ace Bailey defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Kyle Filipowski offensive rebound
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
19-34
Jazz misses two point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
17-34
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Jazz misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
17-32
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
Jazz personal foul
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
17-30
Thunder personal foul
Jazz 60 second timeout
Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Ajay Mitchell, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Joe, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Jazz lineup change (Kennedy Chandler, Svi Mykhailiuk, Ace Bailey, John Konchar, Kyle Filipowski)
Kyle Filipowski misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Svi Mykhailiuk defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Isaiah Joe offensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
Jazz misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
15-30
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Jazz misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Joe, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Jazz lineup change (Kennedy Chandler, Svi Mykhailiuk, Ace Bailey, Kyle Filipowski, Brice Sensabaugh)
Brice Sensabaugh defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Jazz misses three point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
15-28
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Jazz misses two point jump shot
Thunder turnover
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
15-25
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
13-25
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Jazz misses three point jump shot
Jazz personal foul
+1
Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
13-22
Jazz lineup change (Svi Mykhailiuk, Ace Bailey, Cody Williams, Kyle Filipowski, Brice Sensabaugh)
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Luguentz Dort, Cason Wallace, Jalen Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
+1
Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
13-23
Jazz turnover
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
13-21
+3
Jazz makes three point jump shot
13-19
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
10-19
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Jazz misses three point jump shot
Jazz misses two point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
Thunder 60 second timeout
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
10-16
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Jazz misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
10-13
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
10-11
Kyle Filipowski defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Jazz turnover
Oscar Tshiebwe defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Jazz misses two point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
8-11
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
8-9
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
6-9
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Jazz misses two point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
6-7
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Jazz misses three point jump shot
Thunder turnover
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
6-5
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
4-5
Thunder turnover
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Kyle Filipowski turnover (lost ball)
Jazz misses two point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
4-3
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
4-0
Jazz misses two point jump shot
Jazz offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Brice Sensabaugh defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
2-0
Kyle Filipowski offensive rebound
Jazz misses two point jump shot
Oscar Tshiebwe vs. Chet Holmgren (Luguentz Dort gains possession)
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Chet Holmgren, Luguentz Dort, Jalen Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pos | Player | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
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Jazz vs. Thunder: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Jazz vs. Thunder
- Date: Sunday, April 5, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Paycom Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Thunder favored at -24.5
- Total (Over/Under): 239.5
- Moneyline Odds: Jazz +4778, Thunder -4778
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Jazz: 4%
- Thunder: 96%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Jazz 108-130 Thunder.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Jazz a win probability of 4%, while the Thunder have a win probability of 96%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Thunder are more likely to beat the Jazz in the NBA game at Paycom Center on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Jazz vs. Thunder predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
