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Wizards vs. Heat Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Wizards vs. Heat NBA game on March 10, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
129
150
Mar 10, 11:30PM Kaseya Center
Mar 10, 11:30PM Kaseya Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Wizards | 29 | 33 | 35 | 32 | 129 |
Heat | 40 | 36 | 37 | 37 | 150 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
<1%
>99%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Wizards | 29 | 33 | 35 | 32 | 129 |
Heat | 40 | 36 | 37 | 37 | 150 |
Q4 00:24 Wizards makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:48 Vladislav Goldin misses two point tip layup
Q4 1:19 Bub Carrington makes two point driving layup (Bilal Coulibaly assists)
Q4 3:02 Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:10 Jaden Hardy misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:26 Bam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Dru Smith assists)
Q4 3:44 Will Riley makes three point jump shot
Q4 3:55 Simone Fontecchio makes two point putback layup
Q4 3:59 Bam Adebayo misses three point pullup jump shot
Q4 4:51 Wizards makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Heat turnover (shot clock violation)
End of 4th Quarter.
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
122-148
Kasparas Jakucionis turnover (bad pass) (Will Riley steals)
Kasparas Jakucionis defensive rebound
Vladislav Goldin misses two point tip layup
Bub Carrington misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Heat lineup change (Vladislav Goldin, Myron Gardner, Trevor Keels, Kasparas Jakucionis, Keshad Johnson)
+1
Bub Carrington makes regular free throw 2 of 2
122-148
Kasparas Jakucionis turnover
Kasparas Jakucionis personal foul (Bub Carrington draws the foul)
Kasparas Jakucionis turnover
Wizards offensive rebound
Heat lineup change (Vladislav Goldin, Myron Gardner, Trevor Keels, Kasparas Jakucionis, Keshad Johnson)
+2
Bub Carrington makes two point driving layup (Bilal Coulibaly assists)
122-148
Heat turnover
Wizards turnover
Heat personal foul
+1
Bilal Coulibaly makes regular free throw 2 of 2
122-148
Keshad Johnson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Heat offensive rebound
Keshad Johnson misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Jaden Hardy personal foul (Keshad Johnson draws the foul)
Wizards personal foul
Dru Smith personal foul
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
119-146
Wizards personal foul
Wizards turnover
Heat turnover
Anthony Gill shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
Instant replay (Challenge: Ruling Upheld)
Jaden Hardy turnover
Instant replay (Challenge: Ruling Upheld)
Heat personal foul
Bam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Dru Smith, Myron Gardner, Kasparas Jakucionis, Keshad Johnson)
Instant replay
Heat misses three point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Jaden Hardy misses three point jump shot
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Dru Smith assists)
119-143
Will Riley personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 1
122-148
+3
Will Riley makes three point jump shot
122-148
+2
Simone Fontecchio makes two point putback layup
119-143
Bam Adebayo misses three point pullup jump shot
Heat turnover
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
114-139
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Wizards offensive rebound
Jaden Hardy misses three point fadeaway jump shot
Wizards personal foul
Heat personal foul
Bilal Coulibaly personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
Wizards personal foul
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Anthony Gill misses two point floating jump shot
Jump ball. Bam Adebayo vs. Bilal Coulibaly (Dru Smith gains possession)
Bilal Coulibaly misses two point jump shot
Heat misses three point jump shot
Jaden Hardy offensive rebound
Bilal Coulibaly misses three point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
108-133
Wizards turnover
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Will Riley defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Jaden Hardy personal foul
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Bam Adebayo blocks Will Riley's two point driving layup
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Dru Smith assists)
114-139
+3
Wizards makes three point jump shot
114-139
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
114-139
Jaden Hardy turnover
Jaden Hardy misses two point layup
Wizards lineup change (Will Riley, Bilal Coulibaly, Bub Carrington, Jaden Hardy, Anthony Gill)
Wizards offensive rebound
Bilal Coulibaly misses two point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
102-118
+1
Justin Champagnie makes regular free throw 2 of 2
114-139
Simone Fontecchio personal foul (Justin Champagnie draws the foul)
Will Riley defensive rebound
Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point cutting layup
Heat personal foul
Wizards personal foul
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
114-139
End of 3rd Quarter.
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Dru Smith assists)
108-133
Wizards turnover
Bam Adebayo turnover
Bam Adebayo personal foul (Sharife Cooper draws the foul)
Wizards personal foul
Bam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Heat offensive rebound
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
122-148
Heat lineup change (Simone Fontecchio, Bam Adebayo, Dru Smith, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Keshad Johnson)
+2
Anthony Gill makes two point jump shot (Will Riley assists)
108-133
Sharife Cooper defensive rebound
Anthony Gill personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
122-148
Bam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Anthony Gill offensive rebound
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
122-148
Wizards misses three point jump shot
Jaden Hardy defensive rebound
Jaden Hardy blocks Dru Smith's two point running layup
Kasparas Jakucionis defensive rebound
Wizards misses three point jump shot
Wizards defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Wizards makes three point jump shot
122-148
Justin Champagnie defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Simone Fontecchio defensive rebound
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
122-148
Dru Smith shooting foul (Sharife Cooper draws the foul)
Sharife Cooper misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Heat violation
Bam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Heat lineup change (Simone Fontecchio, Bam Adebayo, Dru Smith, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kasparas Jakucionis)
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
83-109
Justin Champagnie personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
Heat offensive rebound
Jaime Jaquez Jr. shooting foul (Will Riley draws the foul)
+1
Will Riley makes regular free throw 2 of 2
83-108
+1
Will Riley makes regular free throw 1 of 2
114-139
Jaden Hardy turnover (lost ball) (Kasparas Jakucionis steals)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
83-108
Wizards 60 second timeout
Wizards violation
Wizards lineup change (Sharife Cooper, Will Riley, Jaden Hardy, Justin Champagnie, Anthony Gill)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
83-108
Simone Fontecchio offensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses two point fadeaway jump shot
+2
Bub Carrington makes two point driving finger roll layup
83-108
Tristan Vukcevic personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
Wizards lineup change (Tre Johnson, Bub Carrington, Jaden Hardy, Justin Champagnie, Anthony Gill)
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
114-139
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
114-139
+3
Tre Johnson makes three point running pullup jump shot
83-108
Bub Carrington defensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses three point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Tristan Vukcevic misses two point floating jump shot
Tristan Vukcevic shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
119-146
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
119-146
Myron Gardner shooting foul (Bilal Coulibaly draws the foul)
Wizards personal foul
+1
Bilal Coulibaly makes regular free throw 2 of 2
83-108
Bilal Coulibaly misses regular free throw 1 of 2
+1
Bam Adebayo makes technical free throw 1 of 1
108-133
Wizards offensive rebound
Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Simone Fontecchio, Bam Adebayo, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kasparas Jakucionis)
Myron Gardner defensive rebound
Wizards lineup change (Bilal Coulibaly, Tristan Vukcevic, Tre Johnson, Bub Carrington, Justin Champagnie)
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Myron Gardner assists)
119-146
Wizards 60 second timeout
Tre Johnson misses three point jump shot
Bilal Coulibaly shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 1
83-108
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
119-146
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
83-108
Kasparas Jakucionis personal foul
Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Bam Adebayo, Myron Gardner, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kasparas Jakucionis)
Wizards lineup change (Will Riley, Bilal Coulibaly, Tristan Vukcevic, Tre Johnson, Bub Carrington)
Tre Johnson misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Tre Johnson defensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses two point fadeaway jump shot
Heat defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Bub Carrington misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
Davion Mitchell turnover (bad pass) (Tre Johnson steals)
Davion Mitchell defensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Alex Sarr defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Alex Sarr turnover (bad pass) (Davion Mitchell steals)
+3
Bam Adebayo makes three point jump shot
73-95
+3
Wizards makes three point jump shot
114-139
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
108-130
Davion Mitchell defensive rebound
Wizards misses three point jump shot
Myron Gardner offensive rebound
+2
Myron Gardner makes two point jump shot
75-96
Heat misses two point jump shot
Instant replay (Challenge: Ruling Overturned)
Wizards defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat 60 second timeout
+1
Kasparas Jakucionis makes regular free throw 1 of 2
83-108
Tre Johnson shooting foul (Kasparas Jakucionis draws the foul)
Kasparas Jakucionis misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Tre Johnson turnover (Pelle Larsson steals)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Will Riley personal foul
+1
Davion Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
75-99
+1
Davion Mitchell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
75-99
+2
Tre Johnson makes two point stepback jump shot
70-85
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
75-99
Wizards personal foul
+1
Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 1 of 1
75-99
+3
Wizards makes three point jump shot (Bub Carrington assists)
70-85
Wizards offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Tre Johnson misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
75-99
Myron Gardner personal foul
+1
Bilal Coulibaly makes regular free throw 2 of 2
70-85
Bilal Coulibaly misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Wizards offensive rebound
Myron Gardner personal foul (Bilal Coulibaly draws the foul)
Myron Gardner turnover (offensive foul)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Myron Gardner defensive rebound
Wizards misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
70-85
Davion Mitchell offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Myron Gardner defensive rebound
Wizards misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
70-85
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
70-85
Heat misses three point jump shot
Bub Carrington defensive rebound
Myron Gardner defensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Bam Adebayo misses three point pullup jump shot
End of 1st Half.
Heat offensive rebound
Wizards lineup change (Alex Sarr, Will Riley, Bilal Coulibaly, Tre Johnson, Bub Carrington)
+3
Wizards makes three point jump shot
53-67
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
53-67
Bub Carrington turnover (lost ball) (Kasparas Jakucionis steals)
Alex Sarr defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Wizards turnover
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
53-67
Wizards personal foul
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 1
53-67
+2
Bilal Coulibaly makes two point jump shot (Alex Sarr assists)
53-67
Wizards personal foul
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
53-67
Wizards lineup change (Alex Sarr, Sharife Cooper, Will Riley, Bilal Coulibaly, Bub Carrington)
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
53-67
+2
Bilal Coulibaly makes two point pullup jump shot
53-67
+2
Pelle Larsson makes two point jump shot
53-67
Heat personal foul
+1
Bilal Coulibaly makes regular free throw 1 of 2
53-67
+1
Bilal Coulibaly makes regular free throw 2 of 2
53-67
Wizards lineup change (Sharife Cooper, Will Riley, Bilal Coulibaly, Bub Carrington, Anthony Gill)
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point jump shot
53-67
+3
Wizards makes three point jump shot
53-67
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Sharife Cooper shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
50-64
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
53-67
Kasparas Jakucionis defensive rebound
Alex Sarr misses two point jump shot
Alex Sarr defensive rebound
Davion Mitchell offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Bam Adebayo misses three point jump shot
Tre Johnson personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
Wizards lineup change (Alex Sarr, Sharife Cooper, Will Riley, Bilal Coulibaly, Bub Carrington)
Davion Mitchell defensive rebound
Wizards misses three point jump shot
Bilal Coulibaly defensive rebound
Alex Sarr blocks Bam Adebayo's two point jump shot
Bub Carrington turnover (bad pass) (Myron Gardner steals)
Davion Mitchell turnover
Myron Gardner defensive rebound
Alex Sarr misses three point jump shot
Heat turnover
Wizards misses three point jump shot
Davion Mitchell defensive rebound
Alex Sarr defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Alex Sarr makes two point tip layup
50-63
Tre Johnson offensive rebound
Wizards misses three point jump shot
+2
Davion Mitchell makes two point jump shot
50-63
Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Bam Adebayo, Myron Gardner, Kasparas Jakucionis, Pelle Larsson)
+2
Will Riley makes two point cutting layup (Tre Johnson assists)
50-63
Myron Gardner personal foul (Will Riley draws the foul)
+1
Will Riley makes regular free throw 1 of 1
50-64
Bub Carrington defensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses three point jump shot
Wizards turnover
Wizards lineup change (Alex Sarr, Will Riley, Bilal Coulibaly, Tre Johnson, Bub Carrington)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
43-58
+2
Justin Champagnie makes two point jump shot
50-63
Alex Sarr shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Heat offensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Bam Adebayo, Myron Gardner, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kasparas Jakucionis)
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
50-63
Keshad Johnson misses three point jump shot
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
45-61
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
43-58
Jaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound
Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot
Davion Mitchell offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat 60 second timeout
Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Simone Fontecchio, Bam Adebayo, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Keshad Johnson)
Wizards lineup change (Alex Sarr, Bilal Coulibaly, Tre Johnson, Bub Carrington, Justin Champagnie)
+3
Wizards makes three point jump shot
41-55
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
38-55
Dru Smith defensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Heat turnover
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
38-53
Tre Johnson defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Justin Champagnie offensive rebound
+2
Justin Champagnie makes two point jump shot
36-53
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Wizards personal foul
+1
Simone Fontecchio makes regular free throw 1 of 3
34-51
+1
Simone Fontecchio makes regular free throw 2 of 3
34-52
+1
Simone Fontecchio makes regular free throw 3 of 3
34-53
Jaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Heat turnover
Wizards lineup change (Will Riley, Tre Johnson, Bub Carrington, Justin Champagnie, Anthony Gill)
+3
Wizards makes three point jump shot
34-50
Justin Champagnie defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Wizards misses three point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
31-50
Wizards turnover
Wizards 60 second timeout
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
31-47
Wizards turnover
Anthony Gill defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Simone Fontecchio defensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Anthony Gill defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Wizards turnover
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
31-45
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
31-42
Heat personal foul
+1
Will Riley makes regular free throw 1 of 2
30-40
+1
Will Riley makes regular free throw 2 of 2
31-40
Wizards misses three point jump shot
Wizards offensive rebound
End of 1st Quarter.
Heat lineup change (Simone Fontecchio, Dru Smith, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Pelle Larsson, Keshad Johnson)
Wizards personal foul
Wizards personal foul
Bam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Heat offensive rebound
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
29-40
Wizards lineup change (Sharife Cooper, Will Riley, Jaden Hardy, Justin Champagnie, Anthony Gill)
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
29-39
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
27-39
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Heat personal foul
Bam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)
+3
Wizards makes three point jump shot
27-37
Wizards personal foul
Instant replay
Heat offensive rebound
Pelle Larsson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
+1
Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
24-37
Wizards turnover
Heat turnover
Wizards turnover
Tristan Vukcevic defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
24-36
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
22-36
Pelle Larsson defensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Wizards personal foul
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
22-32
Heat lineup change (Simone Fontecchio, Bam Adebayo, Dru Smith, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Pelle Larsson)
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
22-33
Wizards turnover
Myron Gardner offensive rebound
+2
Myron Gardner makes two point tip layup
22-31
Heat misses two point jump shot
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Tristan Vukcevic turnover (lost ball) (Myron Gardner steals)
Heat misses two point jump shot
Wizards turnover
Justin Champagnie defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Kasparas Jakucionis offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Wizards misses three point jump shot
Wizards personal foul
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
22-28
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 1
22-29
Wizards lineup change (Sharife Cooper, Tristan Vukcevic, Jaden Hardy, Justin Champagnie, Anthony Gill)
Wizards personal foul
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Wizards misses three point jump shot
Wizards lineup change (Sharife Cooper, Tristan Vukcevic, Bub Carrington, Jaden Hardy, Justin Champagnie)
Heat turnover
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Dru Smith, Myron Gardner, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kasparas Jakucionis)
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
22-26
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
20-26
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
20-23
Heat personal foul
Wizards 60 second timeout
Wizards lineup change (Sharife Cooper, Bilal Coulibaly, Tristan Vukcevic, Tre Johnson, Bub Carrington)
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
18-23
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
18-20
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
16-20
+3
Wizards makes three point jump shot
16-18
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
13-18
Wizards turnover
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Bam Adebayo, Myron Gardner, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kasparas Jakucionis)
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
13-16
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
13-13
Wizards personal foul
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
11-12
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
11-13
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Wizards misses three point jump shot
Will Riley defensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Wizards offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat 60 second timeout
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
11-11
Wizards violation
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
9-11
Wizards turnover
Bub Carrington defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Alex Sarr offensive rebound
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
9-9
Wizards misses three point jump shot
Wizards personal foul
+1
Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
7-8
+1
Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
7-9
Kasparas Jakucionis defensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Myron Gardner offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Wizards defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Wizards defensive rebound
Wizards turnover
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
7-7
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
5-7
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
5-5
Alex Sarr defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Wizards turnover
Heat turnover
Wizards personal foul
+3
Wizards makes three point jump shot
3-5
Heat personal foul
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
0-5
Pelle Larsson defensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Bilal Coulibaly defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Wizards misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
0-2
Start of 1st Quarter
Wizards lineup change (Alex Sarr, Will Riley, Bilal Coulibaly, Tre Johnson, Bub Carrington)
Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Bam Adebayo, Myron Gardner, Kasparas Jakucionis, Pelle Larsson)
(Davion Mitchell gains possession)
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Wizards vs. Heat: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Wizards vs. Heat
- Date: Tuesday, March 10, 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM ET
- Venue: Kaseya Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Heat favored at -15.5
- Total (Over/Under): 235.5
- Moneyline Odds: Wizards +800, Heat -1000
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Wizards: 13%
- Heat: 87%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Wizards 111-125 Heat.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Wizards a win probability of 13%, while the Heat have a win probability of 87%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Heat are more likely to beat the Wizards in the NBA game at Kaseya Center on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Wizards vs. Heat predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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