Wizards vs. Heat Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Wizards vs. Heat NBA game on March 10, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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Wizards
129
150
Kaseya Center
Heat
Kaseya Center
TEAM1234T
Wizards
29 33 35 32 129
Heat
40 36 37 37 150
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Wizards
    <1%
  • Heat
    >99%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Wizards
29 33 35 32 129
Heat
40 36 37 37 150
Q4 00:24 Wizards makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:48 Vladislav Goldin misses two point tip layup
Q4 1:19 Bub Carrington makes two point driving layup (Bilal Coulibaly assists)
Q4 3:02 Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:10 Jaden Hardy misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:26 Bam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Dru Smith assists)
Q4 3:44 Will Riley makes three point jump shot
Q4 3:55 Simone Fontecchio makes two point putback layup
Q4 3:59 Bam Adebayo misses three point pullup jump shot
Q4 4:51 Wizards makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
  1. Q4 00:00
    Heat turnover (shot clock violation)
  2. Q4 00:00
    End of 4th Quarter.
  3. Q4 00:24
    +2
    Wizards makes two point jump shot
    122-148
  4. Q4 00:35
    Kasparas Jakucionis turnover (bad pass) (Will Riley steals)
  5. Q4 00:37
    Kasparas Jakucionis defensive rebound
  6. Q4 00:48
    Vladislav Goldin misses two point tip layup
  7. Q4 1:13
    Bub Carrington misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  8. Q4 1:13
    Heat lineup change (Vladislav Goldin, Myron Gardner, Trevor Keels, Kasparas Jakucionis, Keshad Johnson)
  9. Q4 1:13
    +1
    Bub Carrington makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    122-148
  10. Q4 1:13
    Kasparas Jakucionis turnover
  11. Q4 1:14
    Kasparas Jakucionis personal foul (Bub Carrington draws the foul)
  12. Q4 1:14
    Kasparas Jakucionis turnover
  13. Q4 1:14
    Wizards offensive rebound
  14. Q4 1:14
    Heat lineup change (Vladislav Goldin, Myron Gardner, Trevor Keels, Kasparas Jakucionis, Keshad Johnson)
  15. Q4 1:19
    +2
    Bub Carrington makes two point driving layup (Bilal Coulibaly assists)
    122-148
  16. Q4 1:21
    Heat turnover
  17. Q4 1:21
    Wizards turnover
  18. Q4 1:24
    Heat personal foul
  19. Q4 1:24
    +1
    Bilal Coulibaly makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    122-148
  20. Q4 1:25
    Keshad Johnson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  21. Q4 1:25
    Heat offensive rebound
  22. Q4 1:25
    Keshad Johnson misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  23. Q4 1:25
    Jaden Hardy personal foul (Keshad Johnson draws the foul)
  24. Q4 1:35
    Wizards personal foul
  25. Q4 1:35
    Dru Smith personal foul
  26. Q4 1:37
    +1
    Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    119-146
  27. Q4 1:37
    Wizards personal foul
  28. Q4 1:44
    Wizards turnover
  29. Q4 1:44
    Heat turnover
  30. Q4 2:05
    Anthony Gill shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
  31. Q4 2:05
    Instant replay (Challenge: Ruling Upheld)
  32. Q4 2:32
    Jaden Hardy turnover
  33. Q4 2:56
    Instant replay (Challenge: Ruling Upheld)
  34. Q4 2:56
    Heat personal foul
  35. Q4 2:56
    Bam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)
  36. Q4 2:56
    Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Dru Smith, Myron Gardner, Kasparas Jakucionis, Keshad Johnson)
  37. Q4 2:56
    Instant replay
  38. Q4 3:02
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  39. Q4 3:06
    Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
  40. Q4 3:10
    Jaden Hardy misses three point jump shot
  41. Q4 3:26
    +2
    Bam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Dru Smith assists)
    119-143
  42. Q4 3:26
    Will Riley personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
  43. Q4 3:26
    +1
    Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    122-148
  44. Q4 3:44
    +3
    Will Riley makes three point jump shot
    122-148
  45. Q4 3:55
    +2
    Simone Fontecchio makes two point putback layup
    119-143
  46. Q4 3:59
    Bam Adebayo misses three point pullup jump shot
  47. Q4 4:34
    Heat turnover
  48. Q4 4:51
    +2
    Wizards makes two point jump shot
    114-139
  49. Q4 4:57
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  50. Q4 4:58
    Wizards offensive rebound
  51. Q4 5:03
    Jaden Hardy misses three point fadeaway jump shot
  52. Q4 5:21
    Wizards personal foul
  53. Q4 5:29
    Heat personal foul
  54. Q4 5:46
    Bilal Coulibaly personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
  55. Q4 6:43
    Wizards personal foul
  56. Q4 6:45
    Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
  57. Q4 6:47
    Anthony Gill misses two point floating jump shot
  58. Q4 7:12
    Jump ball. Bam Adebayo vs. Bilal Coulibaly (Dru Smith gains possession)
  59. Q4 7:16
    Bilal Coulibaly misses two point jump shot
  60. Q4 7:25
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  61. Q4 7:30
    Jaden Hardy offensive rebound
  62. Q4 7:34
    Bilal Coulibaly misses three point jump shot
  63. Q4 7:49
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    108-133
  64. Q4 8:04
    Wizards turnover
  65. Q4 8:04
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  66. Q4 8:14
    Will Riley defensive rebound
  67. Q4 8:18
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  68. Q4 8:18
    Jaden Hardy personal foul
  69. Q4 8:19
    Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
  70. Q4 8:24
    Bam Adebayo blocks Will Riley's two point driving layup
  71. Q4 9:05
    +2
    Bam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Dru Smith assists)
    114-139
  72. Q4 9:18
    +3
    Wizards makes three point jump shot
    114-139
  73. Q4 9:42
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    114-139
  74. Q4 9:49
    Jaden Hardy turnover
  75. Q4 9:54
    Jaden Hardy misses two point layup
  76. Q4 9:55
    Wizards lineup change (Will Riley, Bilal Coulibaly, Bub Carrington, Jaden Hardy, Anthony Gill)
  77. Q4 9:55
    Wizards offensive rebound
  78. Q4 10:24
    Bilal Coulibaly misses two point jump shot
  79. Q4 10:43
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    102-118
  80. Q4 10:52
    +1
    Justin Champagnie makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    114-139
  81. Q4 10:52
    Simone Fontecchio personal foul (Justin Champagnie draws the foul)
  82. Q4 10:56
    Will Riley defensive rebound
  83. Q4 10:58
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point cutting layup
  84. Q4 11:37
    Heat personal foul
  85. Q4 11:47
    Wizards personal foul
  86. Q4 11:47
    +1
    Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    114-139
  87. Q3 00:00
    End of 3rd Quarter.
  88. Q3 00:22
    +2
    Bam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Dru Smith assists)
    108-133
  89. Q3 00:23
    Wizards turnover
  90. Q3 00:26
    Bam Adebayo turnover
  91. Q3 00:38
    Bam Adebayo personal foul (Sharife Cooper draws the foul)
  92. Q3 00:47
    Wizards personal foul
  93. Q3 00:47
    Bam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  94. Q3 00:47
    Heat offensive rebound
  95. Q3 00:47
    +1
    Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    122-148
  96. Q3 00:47
    Heat lineup change (Simone Fontecchio, Bam Adebayo, Dru Smith, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Keshad Johnson)
  97. Q3 00:58
    +2
    Anthony Gill makes two point jump shot (Will Riley assists)
    108-133
  98. Q3 1:15
    Sharife Cooper defensive rebound
  99. Q3 1:17
    Anthony Gill personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
  100. Q3 1:17
    +1
    Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    122-148
  101. Q3 1:17
    Bam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  102. Q3 1:21
    Anthony Gill offensive rebound
  103. Q3 1:21
    +2
    Wizards makes two point jump shot
    122-148
  104. Q3 1:27
    Wizards misses three point jump shot
  105. Q3 1:34
    Jaden Hardy defensive rebound
  106. Q3 1:34
    Jaden Hardy blocks Dru Smith's two point running layup
  107. Q3 1:38
    Kasparas Jakucionis defensive rebound
  108. Q3 1:43
    Wizards misses three point jump shot
  109. Q3 1:53
    Wizards defensive rebound
  110. Q3 1:53
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  111. Q3 1:55
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  112. Q3 2:14
    +3
    Wizards makes three point jump shot
    122-148
  113. Q3 2:25
    Justin Champagnie defensive rebound
  114. Q3 2:28
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  115. Q3 2:36
    Simone Fontecchio defensive rebound
  116. Q3 2:40
    +2
    Wizards makes two point jump shot
    122-148
  117. Q3 2:40
    Dru Smith shooting foul (Sharife Cooper draws the foul)
  118. Q3 2:40
    Sharife Cooper misses regular free throw 1 of 1
  119. Q3 2:44
    Heat violation
  120. Q3 2:55
    Bam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  121. Q3 2:55
    Heat lineup change (Simone Fontecchio, Bam Adebayo, Dru Smith, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kasparas Jakucionis)
  122. Q3 2:55
    +1
    Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    83-109
  123. Q3 2:55
    Justin Champagnie personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
  124. Q3 2:55
    Heat offensive rebound
  125. Q3 3:08
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. shooting foul (Will Riley draws the foul)
  126. Q3 3:08
    +1
    Will Riley makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    83-108
  127. Q3 3:08
    +1
    Will Riley makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    114-139
  128. Q3 3:22
    Jaden Hardy turnover (lost ball) (Kasparas Jakucionis steals)
  129. Q3 3:22
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    83-108
  130. Q3 3:22
    Wizards 60 second timeout
  131. Q3 3:22
    Wizards violation
  132. Q3 3:22
    Wizards lineup change (Sharife Cooper, Will Riley, Jaden Hardy, Justin Champagnie, Anthony Gill)
  133. Q3 3:28
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    83-108
  134. Q3 3:29
    Simone Fontecchio offensive rebound
  135. Q3 3:33
    Bam Adebayo misses two point fadeaway jump shot
  136. Q3 3:46
    +2
    Bub Carrington makes two point driving finger roll layup
    83-108
  137. Q3 3:59
    Tristan Vukcevic personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
  138. Q3 3:59
    Wizards lineup change (Tre Johnson, Bub Carrington, Jaden Hardy, Justin Champagnie, Anthony Gill)
  139. Q3 3:59
    +1
    Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    114-139
  140. Q3 3:59
    +1
    Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    114-139
  141. Q3 4:11
    +3
    Tre Johnson makes three point running pullup jump shot
    83-108
  142. Q3 4:14
    Bub Carrington defensive rebound
  143. Q3 4:18
    Bam Adebayo misses three point jump shot
  144. Q3 4:21
    Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
  145. Q3 4:25
    Tristan Vukcevic misses two point floating jump shot
  146. Q3 4:37
    Tristan Vukcevic shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
  147. Q3 4:37
    +1
    Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    119-146
  148. Q3 4:37
    +1
    Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    119-146
  149. Q3 4:49
    Myron Gardner shooting foul (Bilal Coulibaly draws the foul)
  150. Q3 4:49
    Wizards personal foul
  151. Q3 4:49
    +1
    Bilal Coulibaly makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    83-108
  152. Q3 4:49
    Bilal Coulibaly misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  153. Q3 4:49
    +1
    Bam Adebayo makes technical free throw 1 of 1
    108-133
  154. Q3 4:49
    Wizards offensive rebound
  155. Q3 4:49
    Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Simone Fontecchio, Bam Adebayo, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kasparas Jakucionis)
  156. Q3 5:03
    Myron Gardner defensive rebound
  157. Q3 5:03
    Wizards lineup change (Bilal Coulibaly, Tristan Vukcevic, Tre Johnson, Bub Carrington, Justin Champagnie)
  158. Q3 5:03
    +2
    Bam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Myron Gardner assists)
    119-146
  159. Q3 5:03
    Wizards 60 second timeout
  160. Q3 5:09
    Tre Johnson misses three point jump shot
  161. Q3 5:31
    Bilal Coulibaly shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
  162. Q3 5:31
    +1
    Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    83-108
  163. Q3 5:31
    +1
    Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    119-146
  164. Q3 5:45
    Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
  165. Q3 5:49
    +2
    Wizards makes two point jump shot
    83-108
  166. Q3 5:49
    Kasparas Jakucionis personal foul
  167. Q3 5:49
    Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Bam Adebayo, Myron Gardner, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kasparas Jakucionis)
  168. Q3 5:49
    Wizards lineup change (Will Riley, Bilal Coulibaly, Tristan Vukcevic, Tre Johnson, Bub Carrington)
  169. Q3 5:49
    Tre Johnson misses regular free throw 1 of 1
  170. Q3 5:55
    Tre Johnson defensive rebound
  171. Q3 5:58
    Bam Adebayo misses two point fadeaway jump shot
  172. Q3 6:14
    Heat defensive rebound
  173. Q3 6:14
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  174. Q3 6:15
    Bub Carrington misses three point jump shot
  175. Q3 6:31
    Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
  176. Q3 6:31
    Davion Mitchell turnover (bad pass) (Tre Johnson steals)
  177. Q3 6:31
    Davion Mitchell defensive rebound
  178. Q3 6:36
    Wizards misses two point jump shot
  179. Q3 6:39
    Alex Sarr defensive rebound
  180. Q3 6:42
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  181. Q3 6:48
    Alex Sarr turnover (bad pass) (Davion Mitchell steals)
  182. Q3 7:06
    +3
    Bam Adebayo makes three point jump shot
    73-95
  183. Q3 7:15
    +3
    Wizards makes three point jump shot
    114-139
  184. Q3 7:31
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    108-130
  185. Q3 7:36
    Davion Mitchell defensive rebound
  186. Q3 7:40
    Wizards misses three point jump shot
  187. Q3 7:48
    Myron Gardner offensive rebound
  188. Q3 7:48
    +2
    Myron Gardner makes two point jump shot
    75-96
  189. Q3 7:52
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  190. Q3 7:57
    Instant replay (Challenge: Ruling Overturned)
  191. Q3 7:57
    Wizards defensive rebound
  192. Q3 7:57
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  193. Q3 7:57
    Heat 60 second timeout
  194. Q3 7:59
    +1
    Kasparas Jakucionis makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    83-108
  195. Q3 7:59
    Tre Johnson shooting foul (Kasparas Jakucionis draws the foul)
  196. Q3 7:59
    Kasparas Jakucionis misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  197. Q3 8:01
    Tre Johnson turnover (Pelle Larsson steals)
  198. Q3 8:10
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  199. Q3 8:22
    Will Riley personal foul
  200. Q3 8:22
    +1
    Davion Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    75-99
  201. Q3 8:22
    +1
    Davion Mitchell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    75-99
  202. Q3 8:31
    +2
    Tre Johnson makes two point stepback jump shot
    70-85
  203. Q3 8:49
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    75-99
  204. Q3 8:49
    Wizards personal foul
  205. Q3 8:49
    +1
    Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    75-99
  206. Q3 8:58
    +3
    Wizards makes three point jump shot (Bub Carrington assists)
    70-85
  207. Q3 9:00
    Wizards offensive rebound
  208. Q3 9:00
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  209. Q3 9:02
    Tre Johnson misses two point jump shot
  210. Q3 9:09
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  211. Q3 9:26
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    75-99
  212. Q3 9:35
    Myron Gardner personal foul
  213. Q3 9:35
    +1
    Bilal Coulibaly makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    70-85
  214. Q3 9:35
    Bilal Coulibaly misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  215. Q3 9:35
    Wizards offensive rebound
  216. Q3 9:43
    Myron Gardner personal foul (Bilal Coulibaly draws the foul)
  217. Q3 9:43
    Myron Gardner turnover (offensive foul)
  218. Q3 9:49
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  219. Q3 9:51
    Myron Gardner defensive rebound
  220. Q3 9:56
    Wizards misses three point jump shot
  221. Q3 10:14
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    70-85
  222. Q3 10:21
    Davion Mitchell offensive rebound
  223. Q3 10:24
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  224. Q3 10:30
    Myron Gardner defensive rebound
  225. Q3 10:34
    Wizards misses three point jump shot
  226. Q3 10:51
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    70-85
  227. Q3 11:16
    +2
    Wizards makes two point jump shot
    70-85
  228. Q3 11:32
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  229. Q3 11:32
    Bub Carrington defensive rebound
  230. Q3 11:40
    Myron Gardner defensive rebound
  231. Q3 11:43
    Wizards misses two point jump shot
  232. Q2 00:00
    Bam Adebayo misses three point pullup jump shot
  233. Q2 00:00
    End of 1st Half.
  234. Q2 00:00
    Heat offensive rebound
  235. Q3 12:00
    Wizards lineup change (Alex Sarr, Will Riley, Bilal Coulibaly, Tre Johnson, Bub Carrington)
  236. Q2 00:04
    +3
    Wizards makes three point jump shot
    53-67
  237. Q2 00:18
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    53-67
  238. Q2 00:19
    Bub Carrington turnover (lost ball) (Kasparas Jakucionis steals)
  239. Q2 00:19
    Alex Sarr defensive rebound
  240. Q2 00:26
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  241. Q2 00:32
    Wizards turnover
  242. Q2 00:41
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    53-67
  243. Q2 00:41
    Wizards personal foul
  244. Q2 00:41
    +1
    Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    53-67
  245. Q2 00:54
    +2
    Bilal Coulibaly makes two point jump shot (Alex Sarr assists)
    53-67
  246. Q2 1:11
    Wizards personal foul
  247. Q2 1:11
    +1
    Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    53-67
  248. Q2 1:11
    Wizards lineup change (Alex Sarr, Sharife Cooper, Will Riley, Bilal Coulibaly, Bub Carrington)
  249. Q2 1:11
    +1
    Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    53-67
  250. Q2 1:23
    +2
    Bilal Coulibaly makes two point pullup jump shot
    53-67
  251. Q2 1:38
    +2
    Pelle Larsson makes two point jump shot
    53-67
  252. Q2 1:47
    Heat personal foul
  253. Q2 1:47
    +1
    Bilal Coulibaly makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    53-67
  254. Q2 1:47
    +1
    Bilal Coulibaly makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    53-67
  255. Q2 1:47
    Wizards lineup change (Sharife Cooper, Will Riley, Bilal Coulibaly, Bub Carrington, Anthony Gill)
  256. Q2 1:57
    +2
    Bam Adebayo makes two point jump shot
    53-67
  257. Q2 2:09
    +3
    Wizards makes three point jump shot
    53-67
  258. Q2 2:15
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  259. Q2 2:27
    Sharife Cooper shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
  260. Q2 2:27
    +1
    Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    50-64
  261. Q2 2:27
    +1
    Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    53-67
  262. Q2 2:34
    Kasparas Jakucionis defensive rebound
  263. Q2 2:36
    Alex Sarr misses two point jump shot
  264. Q2 2:44
    Alex Sarr defensive rebound
  265. Q2 2:49
    Davion Mitchell offensive rebound
  266. Q2 2:49
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  267. Q2 2:54
    Bam Adebayo misses three point jump shot
  268. Q2 2:59
    Tre Johnson personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
  269. Q2 2:59
    Wizards lineup change (Alex Sarr, Sharife Cooper, Will Riley, Bilal Coulibaly, Bub Carrington)
  270. Q2 3:01
    Davion Mitchell defensive rebound
  271. Q2 3:05
    Wizards misses three point jump shot
  272. Q2 3:14
    Bilal Coulibaly defensive rebound
  273. Q2 3:19
    Alex Sarr blocks Bam Adebayo's two point jump shot
  274. Q2 3:27
    Bub Carrington turnover (bad pass) (Myron Gardner steals)
  275. Q2 3:34
    Davion Mitchell turnover
  276. Q2 3:40
    Myron Gardner defensive rebound
  277. Q2 3:45
    Alex Sarr misses three point jump shot
  278. Q2 3:53
    Heat turnover
  279. Q2 3:53
    Wizards misses three point jump shot
  280. Q2 3:53
    Davion Mitchell defensive rebound
  281. Q2 4:05
    Alex Sarr defensive rebound
  282. Q2 4:08
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  283. Q2 4:19
    +2
    Alex Sarr makes two point tip layup
    50-63
  284. Q2 4:27
    Tre Johnson offensive rebound
  285. Q2 4:30
    Wizards misses three point jump shot
  286. Q2 4:36
    +2
    Davion Mitchell makes two point jump shot
    50-63
  287. Q2 4:48
    Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Bam Adebayo, Myron Gardner, Kasparas Jakucionis, Pelle Larsson)
  288. Q2 4:48
    +2
    Will Riley makes two point cutting layup (Tre Johnson assists)
    50-63
  289. Q2 4:48
    Myron Gardner personal foul (Will Riley draws the foul)
  290. Q2 4:48
    +1
    Will Riley makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    50-64
  291. Q2 4:55
    Bub Carrington defensive rebound
  292. Q2 5:01
    Bam Adebayo misses three point jump shot
  293. Q2 5:09
    Wizards turnover
  294. Q2 5:09
    Wizards lineup change (Alex Sarr, Will Riley, Bilal Coulibaly, Tre Johnson, Bub Carrington)
  295. Q2 5:22
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    43-58
  296. Q2 5:37
    +2
    Justin Champagnie makes two point jump shot
    50-63
  297. Q2 5:53
    Alex Sarr shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
  298. Q2 5:53
    Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
  299. Q2 5:53
    Heat offensive rebound
  300. Q2 5:53
    Bam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  301. Q2 5:53
    Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Bam Adebayo, Myron Gardner, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kasparas Jakucionis)
  302. Q2 5:53
    +1
    Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    50-63
  303. Q2 5:56
    Keshad Johnson misses three point jump shot
  304. Q2 6:18
    +2
    Wizards makes two point jump shot
    45-61
  305. Q2 6:38
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    43-58
  306. Q2 6:40
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound
  307. Q2 6:43
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot
  308. Q2 6:44
    Davion Mitchell offensive rebound
  309. Q2 6:47
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  310. Q2 7:02
    Heat 60 second timeout
  311. Q2 7:02
    Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Simone Fontecchio, Bam Adebayo, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Keshad Johnson)
  312. Q2 7:02
    Wizards lineup change (Alex Sarr, Bilal Coulibaly, Tre Johnson, Bub Carrington, Justin Champagnie)
  313. Q2 7:08
    +3
    Wizards makes three point jump shot
    41-55
  314. Q2 7:24
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    38-55
  315. Q2 7:28
    Dru Smith defensive rebound
  316. Q2 7:30
    Wizards misses two point jump shot
  317. Q2 7:36
    Heat turnover
  318. Q2 7:46
    +2
    Wizards makes two point jump shot
    38-53
  319. Q2 8:02
    Tre Johnson defensive rebound
  320. Q2 8:04
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  321. Q2 8:16
    Justin Champagnie offensive rebound
  322. Q2 8:16
    +2
    Justin Champagnie makes two point jump shot
    36-53
  323. Q2 8:23
    Wizards misses two point jump shot
  324. Q2 8:34
    Wizards personal foul
  325. Q2 8:34
    +1
    Simone Fontecchio makes regular free throw 1 of 3
    34-51
  326. Q2 8:34
    +1
    Simone Fontecchio makes regular free throw 2 of 3
    34-52
  327. Q2 8:34
    +1
    Simone Fontecchio makes regular free throw 3 of 3
    34-53
  328. Q2 8:35
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound
  329. Q2 8:38
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  330. Q2 8:42
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
  331. Q2 8:45
    Wizards misses two point jump shot
  332. Q2 9:00
    Heat turnover
  333. Q2 9:00
    Wizards lineup change (Will Riley, Tre Johnson, Bub Carrington, Justin Champagnie, Anthony Gill)
  334. Q2 9:09
    +3
    Wizards makes three point jump shot
    34-50
  335. Q2 9:14
    Justin Champagnie defensive rebound
  336. Q2 9:16
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  337. Q2 9:25
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
  338. Q2 9:30
    Wizards misses three point jump shot
  339. Q2 9:47
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    31-50
  340. Q2 10:00
    Wizards turnover
  341. Q2 10:14
    Wizards 60 second timeout
  342. Q2 10:15
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    31-47
  343. Q2 10:22
    Wizards turnover
  344. Q2 10:26
    Anthony Gill defensive rebound
  345. Q2 10:30
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  346. Q2 10:32
    Simone Fontecchio defensive rebound
  347. Q2 10:36
    Wizards misses two point jump shot
  348. Q2 10:44
    Anthony Gill defensive rebound
  349. Q2 10:53
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  350. Q2 10:58
    Wizards turnover
  351. Q2 11:18
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    31-45
  352. Q2 11:19
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
  353. Q2 11:23
    Wizards misses two point jump shot
  354. Q2 11:31
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    31-42
  355. Q2 11:43
    Heat personal foul
  356. Q2 11:43
    +1
    Will Riley makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    30-40
  357. Q2 11:43
    +1
    Will Riley makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    31-40
  358. Q1 00:00
    Wizards misses three point jump shot
  359. Q1 00:00
    Wizards offensive rebound
  360. Q1 00:00
    End of 1st Quarter.
  361. Q2 12:00
    Heat lineup change (Simone Fontecchio, Dru Smith, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Pelle Larsson, Keshad Johnson)
  362. Q1 00:06
    Wizards personal foul
  363. Q1 00:06
    Wizards personal foul
  364. Q1 00:06
    Bam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  365. Q1 00:06
    Heat offensive rebound
  366. Q1 00:06
    +1
    Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    29-40
  367. Q1 00:06
    Wizards lineup change (Sharife Cooper, Will Riley, Jaden Hardy, Justin Champagnie, Anthony Gill)
  368. Q1 00:14
    +2
    Wizards makes two point jump shot
    29-39
  369. Q1 00:30
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    27-39
  370. Q1 00:31
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
  371. Q1 00:34
    Wizards misses two point jump shot
  372. Q1 00:41
    Heat personal foul
  373. Q1 00:41
    Bam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)
  374. Q1 00:46
    +3
    Wizards makes three point jump shot
    27-37
  375. Q1 1:03
    Wizards personal foul
  376. Q1 1:03
    Instant replay
  377. Q1 1:03
    Heat offensive rebound
  378. Q1 1:03
    Pelle Larsson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  379. Q1 1:03
    Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
  380. Q1 1:03
    +1
    Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    24-37
  381. Q1 1:11
    Wizards turnover
  382. Q1 1:13
    Heat turnover
  383. Q1 1:22
    Wizards turnover
  384. Q1 1:25
    Tristan Vukcevic defensive rebound
  385. Q1 1:29
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  386. Q1 1:38
    +2
    Wizards makes two point jump shot
    24-36
  387. Q1 2:01
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    22-36
  388. Q1 2:04
    Pelle Larsson defensive rebound
  389. Q1 2:08
    Wizards misses two point jump shot
  390. Q1 2:17
    Wizards personal foul
  391. Q1 2:17
    +1
    Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    22-32
  392. Q1 2:17
    Heat lineup change (Simone Fontecchio, Bam Adebayo, Dru Smith, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Pelle Larsson)
  393. Q1 2:17
    +1
    Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    22-33
  394. Q1 2:19
    Wizards turnover
  395. Q1 2:28
    Myron Gardner offensive rebound
  396. Q1 2:28
    +2
    Myron Gardner makes two point tip layup
    22-31
  397. Q1 2:31
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  398. Q1 2:36
    Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
  399. Q1 2:38
    Tristan Vukcevic turnover (lost ball) (Myron Gardner steals)
  400. Q1 2:40
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  401. Q1 2:52
    Wizards turnover
  402. Q1 2:57
    Justin Champagnie defensive rebound
  403. Q1 3:01
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  404. Q1 3:11
    Kasparas Jakucionis offensive rebound
  405. Q1 3:14
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  406. Q1 3:17
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
  407. Q1 3:22
    Wizards misses three point jump shot
  408. Q1 3:35
    Wizards personal foul
  409. Q1 3:35
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    22-28
  410. Q1 3:35
    +1
    Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    22-29
  411. Q1 3:35
    Wizards lineup change (Sharife Cooper, Tristan Vukcevic, Jaden Hardy, Justin Champagnie, Anthony Gill)
  412. Q1 3:41
    Wizards personal foul
  413. Q1 3:43
    Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
  414. Q1 3:47
    Wizards misses three point jump shot
  415. Q1 4:01
    Wizards lineup change (Sharife Cooper, Tristan Vukcevic, Bub Carrington, Jaden Hardy, Justin Champagnie)
  416. Q1 4:01
    Heat turnover
  417. Q1 4:01
    Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Dru Smith, Myron Gardner, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kasparas Jakucionis)
  418. Q1 4:12
    +2
    Wizards makes two point jump shot
    22-26
  419. Q1 4:25
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    20-26
  420. Q1 4:38
    +2
    Wizards makes two point jump shot
    20-23
  421. Q1 4:55
    Heat personal foul
  422. Q1 4:57
    Wizards 60 second timeout
  423. Q1 4:57
    Wizards lineup change (Sharife Cooper, Bilal Coulibaly, Tristan Vukcevic, Tre Johnson, Bub Carrington)
  424. Q1 4:58
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    18-23
  425. Q1 5:06
    +2
    Wizards makes two point jump shot
    18-20
  426. Q1 5:20
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    16-20
  427. Q1 5:33
    +3
    Wizards makes three point jump shot
    16-18
  428. Q1 5:39
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    13-18
  429. Q1 5:47
    Wizards turnover
  430. Q1 5:48
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  431. Q1 5:48
    Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Bam Adebayo, Myron Gardner, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kasparas Jakucionis)
  432. Q1 6:07
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    13-16
  433. Q1 6:22
    +2
    Wizards makes two point jump shot
    13-13
  434. Q1 6:35
    Wizards personal foul
  435. Q1 6:35
    +1
    Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    11-12
  436. Q1 6:35
    +1
    Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    11-13
  437. Q1 6:42
    Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
  438. Q1 6:46
    Wizards misses three point jump shot
  439. Q1 6:54
    Will Riley defensive rebound
  440. Q1 6:54
    Wizards misses two point jump shot
  441. Q1 6:54
    Wizards offensive rebound
  442. Q1 6:54
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  443. Q1 6:54
    Heat 60 second timeout
  444. Q1 7:00
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  445. Q1 7:14
    +2
    Wizards makes two point jump shot
    11-11
  446. Q1 7:25
    Wizards violation
  447. Q1 7:26
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    9-11
  448. Q1 7:33
    Wizards turnover
  449. Q1 7:41
    Bub Carrington defensive rebound
  450. Q1 7:45
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  451. Q1 7:57
    Alex Sarr offensive rebound
  452. Q1 7:57
    +2
    Wizards makes two point jump shot
    9-9
  453. Q1 8:04
    Wizards misses three point jump shot
  454. Q1 8:16
    Wizards personal foul
  455. Q1 8:16
    +1
    Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    7-8
  456. Q1 8:16
    +1
    Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    7-9
  457. Q1 8:17
    Kasparas Jakucionis defensive rebound
  458. Q1 8:20
    Wizards misses two point jump shot
  459. Q1 8:32
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  460. Q1 8:33
    Myron Gardner offensive rebound
  461. Q1 8:33
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  462. Q1 8:33
    Wizards defensive rebound
  463. Q1 8:37
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  464. Q1 8:43
    Wizards defensive rebound
  465. Q1 8:43
    Wizards turnover
  466. Q1 8:44
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  467. Q1 8:54
    +2
    Wizards makes two point jump shot
    7-7
  468. Q1 9:09
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    5-7
  469. Q1 9:26
    +2
    Wizards makes two point jump shot
    5-5
  470. Q1 9:32
    Alex Sarr defensive rebound
  471. Q1 9:35
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  472. Q1 9:43
    Wizards turnover
  473. Q1 9:54
    Heat turnover
  474. Q1 10:01
    Wizards personal foul
  475. Q1 10:13
    +3
    Wizards makes three point jump shot
    3-5
  476. Q1 10:22
    Heat personal foul
  477. Q1 10:34
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    0-5
  478. Q1 10:45
    Pelle Larsson defensive rebound
  479. Q1 10:50
    Wizards misses two point jump shot
  480. Q1 11:04
    Bilal Coulibaly defensive rebound
  481. Q1 11:08
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  482. Q1 11:22
    Heat defensive rebound
  483. Q1 11:22
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  484. Q1 11:25
    Wizards misses two point jump shot
  485. Q1 11:43
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    0-2
  486. Q1 12:00
    Start of 1st Quarter
  487. Q1 12:00
    Wizards lineup change (Alex Sarr, Will Riley, Bilal Coulibaly, Tre Johnson, Bub Carrington)
  488. Q1 12:00
    Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Bam Adebayo, Myron Gardner, Kasparas Jakucionis, Pelle Larsson)
  489. Q1 12:00
    (Davion Mitchell gains possession)
Box Score
Wizards
PosPlayerPts
Heat
PosPlayerPts

Wizards vs. Heat: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Wizards vs. Heat
  • Date: Tuesday, March 10, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Kaseya Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Heat favored at -15.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 235.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Wizards +800, Heat -1000

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Wizards: 13%
  • Heat: 87%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Wizards 111-125 Heat.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Wizards a win probability of 13%, while the Heat have a win probability of 87%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Heat are more likely to beat the Wizards in the NBA game at Kaseya Center on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Wizards vs. Heat predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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