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Heat vs. 76ers Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Heat vs. 76ers NBA game on February 26, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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LIVE
1st 1:56
NBA
Updating LIVE
LIVE
1st 1:56
Updating LIVE
NBA
27
:
28
Feb 27, 12AM Xfinity Mobile Arena
Feb 27, 12AM Xfinity Mobile Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Heat | 27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27 |
76ers | 28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 28 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
44%
56%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Heat | 27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27 |
76ers | 28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 28 |
Q1 2:05 76ers misses three point jump shot
Q1 2:20 Heat makes two point jump shot
Q1 2:37 76ers misses two point jump shot
Q1 2:53 Heat misses two point jump shot
Q1 3:11 76ers makes two point jump shot
Q1 3:39 76ers misses two point jump shot
Q1 3:50 Heat makes two point jump shot
Q1 4:03 76ers misses three point jump shot
Q1 4:29 76ers makes three point jump shot
Q1 4:36 Heat misses three point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
76ers personal foul
Heat 60 second timeout
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
76ers misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
27-28
76ers turnover
Trendon Watford offensive rebound
76ers misses two point jump shot
Adem Bona defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
76ers makes two point jump shot
25-27
Heat personal foul
+1
Tyrese Maxey makes regular free throw 1 of 1
25-28
76ers personal foul
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 2
24-25
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kel'el Ware, Kasparas Jakucionis, Pelle Larsson)
76ers lineup change (Cameron Payne, Jabari Walker, Trendon Watford, Tyrese Maxey, Adem Bona)
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 2
25-25
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
76ers misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
23-25
Davion Mitchell defensive rebound
76ers misses three point jump shot
76ers personal foul
+1
Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 1 of 2
20-25
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kel'el Ware, Davion Mitchell, Andrew Wiggins)
76ers lineup change (VJ Edgecombe, Trendon Watford, Tyrese Maxey, Dominick Barlow, Adem Bona)
+1
Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 2 of 2
21-25
+3
76ers makes three point jump shot
19-25
VJ Edgecombe defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
76ers makes two point jump shot
19-22
Heat personal foul
76ers personal foul
+1
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
18-20
+1
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
19-20
76ers turnover
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point tip dunk
17-20
Heat misses two point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
76ers misses two point jump shot
Heat turnover
76ers turnover
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
14-20
76ers personal foul
+1
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 1
15-20
76ers lineup change (VJ Edgecombe, Tyrese Maxey, Joel Embiid, Dominick Barlow, Quentin Grimes)
+3
76ers makes three point jump shot
12-20
Heat turnover
Heat lineup change (Norman Powell, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Andrew Wiggins)
Heat personal foul
76ers 60 second timeout
+1
Joel Embiid makes regular free throw 1 of 2
12-16
+1
Joel Embiid makes regular free throw 2 of 2
12-17
76ers lineup change (Kelly Oubre Jr., VJ Edgecombe, Tyrese Maxey, Joel Embiid, Quentin Grimes)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
12-15
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
76ers misses three point jump shot
Kelly Oubre Jr. defensive rebound
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
10-15
76ers personal foul
Bam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 1
+2
76ers makes two point jump shot
8-15
Joel Embiid defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
76ers misses three point jump shot
76ers personal foul
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
7-13
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
8-13
+3
76ers makes three point jump shot
6-13
Heat turnover
+3
76ers makes three point jump shot
6-10
Dominick Barlow defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Norman Powell defensive rebound
76ers misses two point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
6-7
+3
76ers makes three point jump shot
3-7
VJ Edgecombe defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Norman Powell defensive rebound
76ers misses two point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
3-4
+2
76ers makes two point jump shot
0-4
Heat turnover
76ers personal foul
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
76ers misses three point jump shot
Kelly Oubre Jr. defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Norman Powell defensive rebound
76ers misses three point jump shot
Kelly Oubre Jr. defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
76ers personal foul
+2
76ers makes two point jump shot
0-2
Dominick Barlow defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
76ers misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat lineup change (Norman Powell, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Pelle Larsson, Andrew Wiggins)
Bam Adebayo vs. Dominick Barlow (76ers gains possession)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 25 | K. Jakucionis | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| C | 7 | K. Ware | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| G | 14 | T. Herro | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| G | 11 | J. Jaquez Jr. | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| F | 9 | P. Larsson | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 33 | J. Walker | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| G | 20 | C. Payne | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| G-F | 12 | T. Watford | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| G | 0 | T. Maxey | 12 | 0 | 3 |
| F | 30 | A. Bona | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Game Prediction Article
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Heat vs. 76ers: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Heat vs. 76ers
- Date: Thursday, February 26, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Xfinity Mobile Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: 76ers favored at -2.5
- Total (Over/Under): 240.5
- Moneyline Odds: Heat +120, 76ers -130
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Heat: 40%
- 76ers: 60%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Heat 118-121 76ers.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Heat a win probability of 40%, while the 76ers have a win probability of 60%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the 76ers are more likely to beat the Heat in the NBA game at Xfinity Mobile Arena on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Heat vs. 76ers predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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