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Heat vs. 76ers Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Heat vs. 76ers NBA game on February 26, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
117
124
Feb 27, 12AM Xfinity Mobile Arena
Feb 27, 12AM Xfinity Mobile Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Heat | 35 | 22 | 34 | 26 | 117 |
76ers | 36 | 37 | 26 | 25 | 124 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
<1%
>99%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Heat | 35 | 22 | 34 | 26 | 117 |
76ers | 36 | 37 | 26 | 25 | 124 |
Q4 00:16 Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:29 76ers makes three point jump shot
Q4 00:53 Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:06 Tyrese Maxey makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:31 Bam Adebayo misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:52 Kelly Oubre Jr. makes three point jump shot (Tyrese Maxey assists)
Q4 2:11 Heat misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:44 Heat makes three point jump shot
Q4 3:19 Heat makes two point jump shot
Q4 3:32 76ers makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
Tyrese Maxey defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Kelly Oubre Jr. personal foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)
Heat 60 second timeout
+3
76ers makes three point jump shot
117-124
VJ Edgecombe defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Tyrese Maxey makes two point jump shot
117-124
Instant replay (Request: Ruling Upheld)
76ers turnover
76ers lineup change (Kelly Oubre Jr., VJ Edgecombe, Tyrese Maxey, Joel Embiid, Dominick Barlow)
Dominick Barlow defensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses three point jump shot
+3
Kelly Oubre Jr. makes three point jump shot (Tyrese Maxey assists)
117-121
Adem Bona defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Andrew Wiggins personal foul (Tyrese Maxey draws the foul)
+1
Tyrese Maxey makes regular free throw 1 of 2
117-124
+1
Tyrese Maxey makes regular free throw 2 of 2
117-124
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
117-116
VJ Edgecombe turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
114-116
Heat 60 second timeout
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo, Pelle Larsson, Andrew Wiggins)
+2
76ers makes two point jump shot
117-116
Tyrese Maxey defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
76ers makes two point jump shot
117-116
76ers personal foul
+1
Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 1 of 2
117-121
+1
Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 2 of 2
117-121
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
76ers misses two point jump shot
Tyrese Maxey defensive rebound
Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point jump shot
76ers misses three point jump shot
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Jump ball. Pelle Larsson (76ers gains possession)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kel'el Ware, Pelle Larsson, Andrew Wiggins)
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kel'el Ware, Pelle Larsson, Andrew Wiggins)
+3
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)
110-112
+3
Kelly Oubre Jr. makes three point jump shot (VJ Edgecombe assists)
110-112
+3
Kel'el Ware makes three point jump shot
110-112
+2
VJ Edgecombe makes two point jump shot
110-112
76ers lineup change (Kelly Oubre Jr., VJ Edgecombe, Tyrese Maxey, Dominick Barlow, Adem Bona)
76ers 60 second timeout
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kel'el Ware, Kasparas Jakucionis, Pelle Larsson)
+3
Pelle Larsson makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)
104-107
Jaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound
Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot
Kasparas Jakucionis turnover
Quentin Grimes personal foul
+2
Dominick Barlow makes two point layup
117-116
Heat personal foul
Kasparas Jakucionis defensive rebound
76ers misses two point jump shot
+2
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)
110-112
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Cameron Payne misses three point jump shot
Cameron Payne defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Jaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
VJ Edgecombe makes two point jump shot
110-112
Kasparas Jakucionis shooting foul (VJ Edgecombe draws the foul)
+1
VJ Edgecombe makes regular free throw 1 of 1
117-121
Heat misses two point jump shot
Andrew Wiggins personal foul (Joel Embiid draws the foul)
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kasparas Jakucionis, Bam Adebayo, Pelle Larsson)
Joel Embiid defensive rebound
Kasparas Jakucionis defensive rebound
Joel Embiid misses two point bank jump shot
Heat offensive rebound
Simone Fontecchio personal foul (Loose ball) (Cameron Payne draws the foul)
76ers personal foul
Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot
+3
76ers makes three point jump shot
117-116
Joel Embiid defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
76ers turnover
+2
Andrew Wiggins makes two point jump shot
110-112
Jump ball. Simone Fontecchio vs. VJ Edgecombe (Bam Adebayo gains possession)
VJ Edgecombe turnover (lost ball) (Simone Fontecchio steals)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
96-99
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
76ers misses three point jump shot
VJ Edgecombe offensive rebound
Joel Embiid misses two point hook shot
VJ Edgecombe personal foul
+1
Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 2 of 2
110-112
+1
Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 1 of 2
117-116
Kel'el Ware misses two point tip dunk
Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
Cameron Payne offensive foul (Kasparas Jakucionis draws the foul)
Quentin Grimes defensive rebound
Cameron Payne turnover (offensive foul)
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Simone Fontecchio, Kasparas Jakucionis, Bam Adebayo, Andrew Wiggins)
Simone Fontecchio misses three point jump shot
Kasparas Jakucionis defensive rebound
Dominick Barlow misses three point jump shot
+2
76ers makes two point jump shot
91-98
Adem Bona offensive rebound
Tyrese Maxey personal foul
76ers lineup change (Cameron Payne, VJ Edgecombe, Joel Embiid, Dominick Barlow, Quentin Grimes)
Tyrese Maxey personal foul
Heat offensive rebound
End of 3rd Quarter.
+1
Simone Fontecchio makes technical free throw 1 of 1
117-116
Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point pullup jump shot
76ers misses two point jump shot
Jaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (Tyrese Maxey steals)
+3
Dominick Barlow makes three point jump shot
110-112
+2
Kel'el Ware makes two point jump shot
110-112
Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
Kel'el Ware misses two point jump shot
Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+3
Cameron Payne makes three point jump shot
110-112
Cameron Payne defensive rebound
Kasparas Jakucionis misses three point running jump shot
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
76ers misses three point jump shot
Simone Fontecchio personal foul (Tyrese Maxey draws the foul)
Heat turnover
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kel'el Ware, Simone Fontecchio, Kasparas Jakucionis, Andrew Wiggins)
+2
76ers makes two point jump shot
99-102
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
99-102
Kasparas Jakucionis defensive rebound
76ers misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
99-102
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Simone Fontecchio, Kasparas Jakucionis, Bam Adebayo, Andrew Wiggins)
+2
76ers makes two point jump shot
91-98
Heat 60 second timeout
76ers lineup change (Cameron Payne, Tyrese Maxey, Dominick Barlow, Quentin Grimes, Adem Bona)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
91-98
Kelly Oubre Jr. turnover (Tyler Herro steals)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
91-98
+2
Kelly Oubre Jr. makes two point jump shot
91-98
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
76ers lineup change (Kelly Oubre Jr., VJ Edgecombe, Tyrese Maxey, Quentin Grimes, Adem Bona)
+2
Tyrese Maxey makes two point jump shot
91-98
76ers misses two point jump shot
76ers offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Simone Fontecchio, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell)
Joel Embiid defensive rebound
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
76ers makes three point jump shot
91-98
+3
Bam Adebayo makes three point jump shot
67-77
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
76ers misses two point jump shot
+2
Tyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot (Pelle Larsson assists)
67-77
+3
Quentin Grimes makes three point jump shot (Joel Embiid assists)
67-77
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
67-77
VJ Edgecombe turnover
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
67-77
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
76ers misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Stoppage (Court cleanup)
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
67-77
76ers 60 second timeout
Joel Embiid turnover
76ers lineup change (Kelly Oubre Jr., VJ Edgecombe, Tyrese Maxey, Joel Embiid, Quentin Grimes)
+3
Tyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)
67-77
Andrew Wiggins offensive rebound
Tyler Herro misses three point jump shot
+2
Dominick Barlow makes two point jump shot
67-77
Joel Embiid defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Joel Embiid offensive rebound
+2
76ers makes two point jump shot
91-98
Tyrese Maxey misses two point jump shot
+3
Pelle Larsson makes three point jump shot
67-77
VJ Edgecombe personal foul (Davion Mitchell draws the foul)
Davion Mitchell defensive rebound
76ers misses three point jump shot
Joel Embiid defensive rebound
Pelle Larsson misses two point running layup
Pelle Larsson defensive rebound
Tyrese Maxey misses two point running layup
Joel Embiid defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Pelle Larsson defensive rebound
Joel Embiid misses three point jump shot
Joel Embiid defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Kelly Oubre Jr. misses two point jump shot
76ers personal foul
Heat defensive rebound
Kelly Oubre Jr. offensive rebound
76ers misses three point jump shot
Heat turnover
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
76ers misses two point jump shot
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point jump shot
67-77
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Joel Embiid misses two point jump shot
Kelly Oubre Jr. defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
76ers misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
67-77
76ers misses three point jump shot
76ers offensive rebound
End of 1st Half.
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Pelle Larsson, Andrew Wiggins)
76ers lineup change (Kelly Oubre Jr., VJ Edgecombe, Tyrese Maxey, Joel Embiid, Dominick Barlow)
Heat turnover
76ers lineup change (Kelly Oubre Jr., VJ Edgecombe, Tyrese Maxey, Joel Embiid, Quentin Grimes)
+3
76ers makes three point jump shot
57-73
Trendon Watford offensive rebound
76ers misses three point jump shot
Trendon Watford defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat personal foul
+1
Joel Embiid makes regular free throw 1 of 2
57-69
+1
Joel Embiid makes regular free throw 2 of 2
57-70
76ers personal foul
Pelle Larsson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Heat offensive rebound
+1
Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
57-68
Heat personal foul
+1
Joel Embiid makes regular free throw 1 of 3
56-66
+1
Joel Embiid makes regular free throw 2 of 3
56-67
+1
Joel Embiid makes regular free throw 3 of 3
56-68
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
55-65
76ers personal foul
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo, Pelle Larsson, Andrew Wiggins)
76ers lineup change (Kelly Oubre Jr., Trendon Watford, Tyrese Maxey, Joel Embiid, Quentin Grimes)
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 1
56-65
76ers turnover
Heat turnover
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
76ers misses three point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
53-65
Heat personal foul
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Andrew Wiggins)
+1
Kelly Oubre Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
50-64
76ers lineup change (Kelly Oubre Jr., Tyrese Maxey, Joel Embiid, Dominick Barlow, Quentin Grimes)
+1
Kelly Oubre Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
50-65
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
50-63
+2
76ers makes two point jump shot
47-63
VJ Edgecombe offensive rebound
76ers misses three point jump shot
Joel Embiid defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Kelly Oubre Jr. offensive rebound
+2
76ers makes two point jump shot
47-61
76ers misses two point jump shot
Quentin Grimes defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
76ers misses two point jump shot
Kelly Oubre Jr. defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Davion Mitchell blocks Kelly Oubre Jr.'s two point jump shot
Heat defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
76ers lineup change (Kelly Oubre Jr., VJ Edgecombe, Tyrese Maxey, Joel Embiid, Quentin Grimes)
76ers lineup change (Kelly Oubre Jr., VJ Edgecombe, Tyrese Maxey, Joel Embiid, Quentin Grimes)
Kelly Oubre Jr. misses two point driving layup
Heat defensive rebound
76ers lineup change (Kelly Oubre Jr., VJ Edgecombe, Tyrese Maxey, Joel Embiid, Quentin Grimes)
Kelly Oubre Jr. turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
Quentin Grimes defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
76ers makes two point jump shot
47-59
Heat 60 second timeout
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Pelle Larsson, Andrew Wiggins)
Heat turnover
Simone Fontecchio defensive rebound
76ers misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
47-57
+3
76ers makes three point jump shot
45-57
Quentin Grimes offensive rebound
76ers misses three point jump shot
Heat turnover
Tyrese Maxey defensive rebound
+2
76ers makes two point jump shot
45-54
76ers lineup change (Kelly Oubre Jr., VJ Edgecombe, Tyrese Maxey, Dominick Barlow, Quentin Grimes)
76ers lineup change (Kelly Oubre Jr., VJ Edgecombe, Tyrese Maxey, Dominick Barlow, Quentin Grimes)
Heat lineup change (Norman Powell, Kel'el Ware, Simone Fontecchio, Davion Mitchell, Andrew Wiggins)
76ers lineup change (Kelly Oubre Jr., VJ Edgecombe, Tyrese Maxey, Dominick Barlow, Quentin Grimes)
Heat lineup change (Norman Powell, Kel'el Ware, Simone Fontecchio, Davion Mitchell, Andrew Wiggins)
Heat 60 second timeout
Heat lineup change (Norman Powell, Kel'el Ware, Simone Fontecchio, Davion Mitchell, Andrew Wiggins)
76ers lineup change (Kelly Oubre Jr., VJ Edgecombe, Tyrese Maxey, Dominick Barlow, Quentin Grimes)
76ers lineup change (Kelly Oubre Jr., VJ Edgecombe, Tyrese Maxey, Dominick Barlow, Quentin Grimes)
Heat misses three point jump shot
76ers personal foul
Adem Bona turnover (offensive foul)
Heat lineup change (Norman Powell, Kel'el Ware, Simone Fontecchio, Kasparas Jakucionis, Andrew Wiggins)
Kelly Oubre Jr. defensive rebound
76ers personal foul
Bam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Heat offensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
76ers misses three point jump shot
76ers 60 second timeout
Heat lineup change (Norman Powell, Kel'el Ware, Kasparas Jakucionis, Bam Adebayo, Andrew Wiggins)
76ers lineup change (Kelly Oubre Jr., VJ Edgecombe, Tyrese Maxey, Dominick Barlow, Adem Bona)
Heat lineup change (Norman Powell, Kel'el Ware, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Andrew Wiggins)
76ers lineup change (Kelly Oubre Jr., VJ Edgecombe, Tyrese Maxey, Dominick Barlow, Adem Bona)
Heat lineup change (Norman Powell, Kel'el Ware, Kasparas Jakucionis, Bam Adebayo, Andrew Wiggins)
76ers lineup change (Kelly Oubre Jr., VJ Edgecombe, Tyrese Maxey, Dominick Barlow, Adem Bona)
76ers lineup change (Kelly Oubre Jr., VJ Edgecombe, Tyrese Maxey, Dominick Barlow, Adem Bona)
Heat lineup change (Norman Powell, Kel'el Ware, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Andrew Wiggins)
76ers lineup change (Kelly Oubre Jr., VJ Edgecombe, Tyrese Maxey, Dominick Barlow, Adem Bona)
Heat lineup change (Norman Powell, Kel'el Ware, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Andrew Wiggins)
Heat lineup change (Norman Powell, Kel'el Ware, Kasparas Jakucionis, Bam Adebayo, Andrew Wiggins)
76ers lineup change (Kelly Oubre Jr., VJ Edgecombe, Tyrese Maxey, Dominick Barlow, Adem Bona)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
45-52
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
76ers misses two point jump shot
Joel Embiid defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
76ers makes two point jump shot
43-52
Andrew Wiggins offensive rebound
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
43-50
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
76ers makes two point jump shot
41-49
Heat personal foul
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kasparas Jakucionis, Bam Adebayo, Andrew Wiggins)
+1
VJ Edgecombe makes regular free throw 1 of 1
41-50
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Andrew Wiggins)
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Andrew Wiggins)
VJ Edgecombe defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Kelly Oubre Jr. offensive rebound
+2
76ers makes two point jump shot
41-47
76ers misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
41-45
+2
VJ Edgecombe makes two point jump shot (Trendon Watford assists)
39-45
Trendon Watford defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Trendon Watford offensive rebound
+2
76ers makes two point jump shot
39-43
76ers misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
39-41
Pelle Larsson offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
76ers makes two point jump shot
37-41
Heat turnover
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
76ers misses three point jump shot
76ers personal foul
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
36-39
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
37-39
+2
76ers makes two point jump shot
35-39
Heat turnover
Heat personal foul
Joel Embiid misses regular free throw 1 of 2
76ers offensive rebound
+1
Joel Embiid makes regular free throw 2 of 2
35-37
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kasparas Jakucionis, Bam Adebayo, Pelle Larsson)
Cameron Payne defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
76ers misses three point jump shot
Kasparas Jakucionis defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat offensive rebound
End of 1st Quarter.
76ers lineup change (Cameron Payne, Kelly Oubre Jr., VJ Edgecombe, Trendon Watford, Joel Embiid)
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kel'el Ware, Davion Mitchell, Pelle Larsson)
76ers lineup change (Cameron Payne, Kelly Oubre Jr., VJ Edgecombe, Trendon Watford, Joel Embiid)
76ers lineup change (Cameron Payne, Kelly Oubre Jr., VJ Edgecombe, Trendon Watford, Joel Embiid)
Kasparas Jakucionis misses two point jump shot
Kasparas Jakucionis misses heave shot
+3
Tyler Herro makes three point jump shot
35-36
Heat personal foul
+1
Tyrese Maxey makes regular free throw 1 of 2
32-35
+1
Tyrese Maxey makes regular free throw 2 of 2
32-36
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
32-34
+3
76ers makes three point jump shot
29-34
76ers personal foul
Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Heat offensive rebound
+1
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
29-31
+3
76ers makes three point jump shot
28-31
Trendon Watford defensive rebound
76ers personal foul
Heat 60 second timeout
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 2
28-28
Tyler Herro misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
76ers misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
27-28
76ers turnover
Trendon Watford offensive rebound
76ers misses two point jump shot
Adem Bona defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
76ers makes two point jump shot
25-27
Heat personal foul
+1
Tyrese Maxey makes regular free throw 1 of 1
25-28
76ers personal foul
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 2
24-25
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kel'el Ware, Kasparas Jakucionis, Pelle Larsson)
76ers lineup change (Cameron Payne, Jabari Walker, Trendon Watford, Tyrese Maxey, Adem Bona)
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 2
25-25
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
76ers misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
23-25
Davion Mitchell defensive rebound
76ers misses three point jump shot
76ers personal foul
+1
Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 1 of 2
20-25
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kel'el Ware, Davion Mitchell, Andrew Wiggins)
76ers lineup change (VJ Edgecombe, Trendon Watford, Tyrese Maxey, Dominick Barlow, Adem Bona)
+1
Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 2 of 2
21-25
+3
76ers makes three point jump shot
19-25
VJ Edgecombe defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
76ers makes two point jump shot
19-22
Heat personal foul
76ers personal foul
+1
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
18-20
+1
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
19-20
76ers turnover
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point tip dunk
17-20
Heat misses two point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
76ers misses two point jump shot
Heat turnover
76ers turnover
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
14-20
76ers personal foul
+1
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 1
15-20
76ers lineup change (VJ Edgecombe, Tyrese Maxey, Joel Embiid, Dominick Barlow, Quentin Grimes)
+3
76ers makes three point jump shot
12-20
Heat turnover
Heat lineup change (Norman Powell, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Andrew Wiggins)
Heat personal foul
76ers 60 second timeout
+1
Joel Embiid makes regular free throw 1 of 2
12-16
+1
Joel Embiid makes regular free throw 2 of 2
12-17
76ers lineup change (Kelly Oubre Jr., VJ Edgecombe, Tyrese Maxey, Joel Embiid, Quentin Grimes)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
12-15
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
76ers misses three point jump shot
Kelly Oubre Jr. defensive rebound
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
10-15
76ers personal foul
Bam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 1
+2
76ers makes two point jump shot
8-15
Joel Embiid defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
76ers misses three point jump shot
76ers personal foul
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
7-13
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
8-13
+3
76ers makes three point jump shot
6-13
Heat turnover
+3
76ers makes three point jump shot
6-10
Dominick Barlow defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Norman Powell defensive rebound
76ers misses two point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
6-7
+3
76ers makes three point jump shot
3-7
VJ Edgecombe defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Norman Powell defensive rebound
76ers misses two point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
3-4
+2
76ers makes two point jump shot
0-4
Heat turnover
76ers personal foul
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
76ers misses three point jump shot
Kelly Oubre Jr. defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Norman Powell defensive rebound
76ers misses three point jump shot
Kelly Oubre Jr. defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
76ers personal foul
+2
76ers makes two point jump shot
0-2
Dominick Barlow defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
76ers misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat lineup change (Norman Powell, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Pelle Larsson, Andrew Wiggins)
Bam Adebayo vs. Dominick Barlow (76ers gains possession)
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Heat vs. 76ers: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Heat vs. 76ers
- Date: Thursday, February 26, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Xfinity Mobile Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: 76ers favored at -2.5
- Total (Over/Under): 240.5
- Moneyline Odds: Heat +120, 76ers -130
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Heat: 40%
- 76ers: 60%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Heat 118-121 76ers.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Heat a win probability of 40%, while the 76ers have a win probability of 60%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the 76ers are more likely to beat the Heat in the NBA game at Xfinity Mobile Arena on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Heat vs. 76ers predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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