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Heat vs. Bucks Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Heat vs. Bucks NBA game on February 24, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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Heat
117
128
Feb 25, 1AM Fiserv Forum
Bucks
Feb 25, 1AM Fiserv Forum
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM12 3 4 T
Heat
58 51 7 0 117
Bucks
60 47 15 0 128
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
HeatMIA
Win %
<1%
>99%
BucksMIL
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Heat
58 51 7 0 117
Bucks
60 47 15 0 128
Q4 00:47 Andrew Wiggins misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:56 Bucks makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:18 Bucks makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:40 Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:51 Ryan Rollins makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:03 Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:16 Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:32 Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:42 Bucks makes two point jump shot
Q4 3:02 Bucks misses three point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Q4 00:00
End of 4th Quarter.
Q4 00:06
Bucks turnover
Q4 00:30
Norman Powell turnover
Q4 00:34
+1
AJ Green makes regular free throw 2 of 2
116-122
Q4 00:34
Bam Adebayo personal foul
Q4 00:34
+1
AJ Green makes regular free throw 1 of 2
116-122
Q4 00:45
Kevin Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Q4 00:47
Andrew Wiggins misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:56
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
116-122
Q4 1:14
Jericho Sims personal foul (Norman Powell draws the foul)
Q4 1:14
Heat offensive rebound
Q4 1:14
Norman Powell misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q4 1:14
Heat lineup change (Andrew Wiggins, Norman Powell, Bam Adebayo, Tyler Herro, Davion Mitchell)
Q4 1:14
+1
Norman Powell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
116-122
Q4 1:18
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
116-122
Q4 1:18
Heat 60 second timeout
Q4 1:35
Ryan Rollins defensive rebound
Q4 1:40
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:51
+2
Ryan Rollins makes two point jump shot
116-122
Q4 1:57
Kevin Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Q4 2:03
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:15
Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
Q4 2:16
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:31
Ryan Rollins defensive rebound
Q4 2:32
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:42
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
116-122
Q4 2:50
Ryan Rollins defensive rebound
Q4 2:55
Bucks personal foul
Q4 2:55
Andrew Wiggins misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q4 2:55
Andrew Wiggins misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q4 2:55
Heat offensive rebound
Q4 2:55
Heat lineup change (Andrew Wiggins, Norman Powell, Pelle Larsson, Bam Adebayo, Tyler Herro)
Q4 2:58
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Q4 3:02
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:20
Jericho Sims defensive rebound
Q4 3:23
Andrew Wiggins misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:47
+1
Kevin Porter Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 1
116-114
Q4 3:47
Davion Mitchell personal foul
Q4 3:47
+3
Kevin Porter Jr. makes three point jump shot (Ryan Rollins assists)
116-122
Q4 4:09
Ryan Rollins defensive rebound
Q4 4:09
Jericho Sims personal foul (Norman Powell draws the foul)
Q4 4:09
Norman Powell misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q4 4:09
+1
Norman Powell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
116-122
Q4 4:09
Bucks 60 second timeout
Q4 4:09
Bucks lineup change (Bobby Portis, Jericho Sims, AJ Green, Ryan Rollins, Kevin Porter Jr.)
Q4 4:22
+2
Kevin Porter Jr. makes two point driving finger roll layup
116-122
Q4 4:40
Ryan Rollins personal foul (Norman Powell draws the foul)
Q4 4:40
Bucks 60 second timeout
Q4 4:40
+1
Norman Powell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
116-122
Q4 4:40
+1
Norman Powell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
116-122
Q4 4:40
Bucks lineup change (Ousmane Dieng, Jericho Sims, AJ Green, Ryan Rollins, Kevin Porter Jr.)
Q4 4:42
Davion Mitchell defensive rebound
Q4 4:46
Kyle Kuzma misses three point jump shot
Q4 4:56
Ousmane Dieng personal foul (Norman Powell draws the foul)
Q4 4:56
+1
Norman Powell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
116-122
Q4 4:56
+1
Norman Powell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
116-122
Q4 5:05
+2
Jericho Sims makes two point jump shot (Kevin Porter Jr. assists)
111-112
Q4 5:17
Jericho Sims defensive rebound
Q4 5:17
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q4 5:35
+2
Kevin Porter Jr. makes two point driving layup
111-110
Q4 5:42
Norman Powell personal foul (Ousmane Dieng draws the foul)
Q4 5:42
Instant replay
Q4 5:42
Heat 60 second timeout
Q4 5:48
Davion Mitchell personal foul (AJ Green draws the foul)
Q4 5:48
Bucks lineup change (Ousmane Dieng, Jericho Sims, Kyle Kuzma, Ryan Rollins, Kevin Porter Jr.)
Q4 6:03
Bucks personal foul
Q4 6:03
+1
Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
116-122
Q4 6:03
+1
Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
116-122
Q4 6:20
+2
Kevin Porter Jr. makes two point driving layup
109-107
Q4 6:20
+1
Kevin Porter Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 1
116-122
Q4 6:20
Heat personal foul
Q4 6:20
Bucks lineup change (Jericho Sims, Kyle Kuzma, AJ Green, Ryan Rollins, Kevin Porter Jr.)
Q4 6:34
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
116-122
Q4 6:37
Andrew Wiggins offensive rebound
Q4 6:41
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 6:56
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q4 6:56
Pelle Larsson defensive rebound
Q4 7:12
Kel'el Ware personal foul (Ryan Rollins draws the foul)
Q4 7:12
Heat lineup change (Andrew Wiggins, Norman Powell, Pelle Larsson, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell)
Q4 7:12
Bucks lineup change (Bobby Portis, Jericho Sims, AJ Green, Ryan Rollins, Kevin Porter Jr.)
Q4 7:12
Ryan Rollins defensive rebound
Q4 7:14
Kel'el Ware misses two point hook shot
Q4 7:15
Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
Q4 7:17
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q4 7:30
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
106-106
Q4 7:41
+2
Tyler Herro makes two point jump shot
116-122
Q4 7:45
Ryan Rollins turnover (bad pass) (Dru Smith steals)
Q4 7:58
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point jump shot
109-107
Q4 7:58
Stoppage (Other)
Q4 8:08
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Q4 8:09
Bobby Portis misses three point jump shot
Q4 8:23
AJ Green defensive rebound
Q4 8:33
Bam Adebayo misses three point jump shot
Q4 8:34
Bucks turnover
Q4 8:34
Jericho Sims defensive rebound
Q4 8:38
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 8:50
+3
Ousmane Dieng makes three point jump shot (Jericho Sims assists)
116-122
Q4 8:57
Ousmane Dieng defensive rebound
Q4 9:01
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 9:18
Heat 60 second timeout
Q4 9:18
Heat lineup change (Dru Smith, Kel'el Ware, Pelle Larsson, Bam Adebayo, Tyler Herro)
Q4 9:19
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
116-122
Q4 9:22
Jericho Sims defensive rebound
Q4 9:26
Pelle Larsson misses three point jump shot
Q4 9:50
+3
AJ Green makes three point stepback jump shot
93-89
Q4 10:09
AJ Green defensive rebound
Q4 10:13
Cam Thomas shooting foul (Kel'el Ware draws the foul)
Q4 10:13
Kel'el Ware misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q4 10:13
Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
Q4 10:13
+1
Kel'el Ware makes regular free throw 1 of 2
116-122
Q4 10:13
Bucks lineup change (Ousmane Dieng, Bobby Portis, Jericho Sims, AJ Green, Ryan Rollins)
Q4 10:16
Dru Smith misses three point jump shot
Q4 10:27
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
93-89
Q4 10:43
+3
Kel'el Ware makes three point jump shot
93-89
Q4 10:49
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q4 10:50
Jaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound
Q4 10:50
Bobby Portis personal foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)
Q4 10:54
Pelle Larsson defensive rebound
Q4 10:57
Cam Thomas misses three point jump shot
Q4 11:14
+3
Tyler Herro makes three point jump shot
116-122
Q4 11:30
Bobby Portis turnover
Q4 11:30
Heat turnover
Q4 11:32
+3
Ousmane Dieng makes three point jump shot (Ryan Rollins assists)
116-122
Q4 11:48
+1
Kel'el Ware makes regular free throw 2 of 2
93-89
Q4 11:48
Bucks personal foul
Q4 11:48
+1
Kel'el Ware makes regular free throw 1 of 2
116-122
Q3 00:00
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q3 00:00
End of 3rd Quarter.
Q3 00:00
Pelle Larsson offensive rebound
Q3 00:21
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Q3 00:23
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q3 00:33
Tyler Herro turnover
Q3 00:46
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
116-122
Q3 1:02
+2
Kel'el Ware makes two point jump shot
87-84
Q3 1:10
Bucks turnover
Q3 1:15
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q3 1:34
+1
Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
116-122
Q3 1:34
Kel'el Ware turnover
Q3 1:34
Kevin Porter Jr. personal foul
Q3 1:34
Bucks violation
Q3 1:34
Bucks lineup change (Cam Thomas, Ousmane Dieng, Bobby Portis, Jericho Sims, Ryan Rollins)
Q3 1:34
+1
Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
116-122
Q3 1:34
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Dru Smith, Kel'el Ware, Pelle Larsson, Tyler Herro)
Q3 1:38
+2
Pelle Larsson makes two point cutting layup (Tyler Herro assists)
93-89
Q3 1:41
Kevin Porter Jr. offensive rebound
Q3 1:44
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q3 1:53
Cam Thomas defensive rebound
Q3 1:56
Tyler Herro misses three point running jump shot
Q3 1:59
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Q3 2:04
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q3 2:25
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
116-122
Q3 2:33
Pelle Larsson defensive rebound
Q3 2:33
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q3 2:39
Heat turnover
Q3 2:49
+2
Jericho Sims makes two point jump shot (Cam Thomas assists)
116-122
Q3 3:03
Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
Q3 3:08
+2
Kel'el Ware makes two point tip layup
116-122
Q3 3:10
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q3 3:23
Heat personal foul
Q3 3:23
+1
Kevin Porter Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
116-122
Q3 3:23
+1
Kevin Porter Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
116-122
Q3 3:23
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kel'el Ware, Pelle Larsson, Kasparas Jakucionis, Tyler Herro)
Q3 3:44
+2
Norman Powell makes two point driving floating jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)
93-89
Q3 3:44
Ousmane Dieng personal foul (Norman Powell draws the foul)
Q3 3:44
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kel'el Ware, Norman Powell, Kasparas Jakucionis, Tyler Herro)
Q3 3:44
+1
Norman Powell makes regular free throw 1 of 1
116-122
Q3 3:50
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
116-122
Q3 3:58
Ousmane Dieng defensive rebound
Q3 4:02
Bam Adebayo misses three point jump shot
Q3 4:18
Jericho Sims personal foul (Norman Powell draws the foul)
Q3 4:18
Bucks lineup change (Cam Thomas, Ousmane Dieng, Bobby Portis, Jericho Sims, Kevin Porter Jr.)
Q3 4:29
Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
Q3 4:34
Kyle Kuzma misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q3 4:34
Andrew Wiggins personal foul
Q3 4:34
+1
Kyle Kuzma makes regular free throw 1 of 2
116-122
Q3 4:54
+3
Andrew Wiggins makes three point running jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)
93-89
Q3 4:57
Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
Q3 5:02
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q3 5:22
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Andrew Wiggins, Norman Powell, Bam Adebayo, Tyler Herro)
Q3 5:22
AJ Green shooting foul (Andrew Wiggins draws the foul)
Q3 5:22
+1
Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 1 of 2
116-122
Q3 5:22
Bucks lineup change (Cam Thomas, Ousmane Dieng, Jericho Sims, Kyle Kuzma, Kevin Porter Jr.)
Q3 5:22
+1
Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 2 of 2
116-122
Q3 5:30
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
116-122
Q3 5:46
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
116-122
Q3 5:48
Norman Powell offensive rebound
Q3 5:51
Norman Powell misses two point jump shot
Q3 5:56
Davion Mitchell defensive rebound
Q3 5:59
Kyle Kuzma misses two point driving finger roll layup
Q3 6:01
Andrew Wiggins turnover (lost ball) (Ryan Rollins steals)
Q3 6:01
Jump ball. Ryan Rollins vs. Norman Powell (Kevin Porter Jr. gains possession)
Q3 6:07
Norman Powell turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
Q3 6:20
AJ Green misses three point jump shot
Q3 6:22
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Andrew Wiggins, Norman Powell, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell)
Q3 6:22
Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
Q3 6:23
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Andrew Wiggins, Norman Powell, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell)
Q3 6:23
Jump ball. Kevin Porter Jr. vs. Davion Mitchell (Kyle Kuzma gains possession)
Q3 6:23
Bucks offensive rebound
Q3 6:27
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Andrew Wiggins, Norman Powell, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell)
Q3 6:29
Kyle Kuzma misses three point jump shot
Q3 6:36
Heat turnover
Q3 6:45
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Q3 6:46
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q3 6:58
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
73-75
Q3 7:14
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Q3 7:16
AJ Green misses three point jump shot
Q3 7:28
AJ Green defensive rebound
Q3 7:31
+1
Norman Powell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
71-75
Q3 7:31
Bucks personal foul
Q3 7:31
Norman Powell misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q3 7:32
Davion Mitchell defensive rebound
Q3 7:36
Ryan Rollins misses two point jump shot
Q3 7:40
Myles Turner defensive rebound
Q3 7:41
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q3 7:56
Heat 60 second timeout
Q3 7:56
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
116-122
Q3 8:00
AJ Green defensive rebound
Q3 8:03
Norman Powell misses three point jump shot
Q3 8:19
+2
Ryan Rollins makes two point running layup (Kevin Porter Jr. assists)
93-89
Q3 8:23
Kevin Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Q3 8:26
Andrew Wiggins misses two point layup
Q3 8:27
Bam Adebayo misses three point jump shot
Q3 8:27
Andrew Wiggins offensive rebound
Q3 8:38
+3
Kyle Kuzma makes three point jump shot (AJ Green assists)
93-89
Q3 8:53
+3
Bam Adebayo makes three point pullup jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)
116-122
Q3 9:02
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
116-122
Q3 9:14
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
116-122
Q3 9:32
Pelle Larsson shooting foul (Kevin Porter Jr. draws the foul)
Q3 9:32
+1
Kevin Porter Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
116-122
Q3 9:32
+1
Kevin Porter Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
116-122
Q3 9:42
Pelle Larsson turnover (lost ball) (Kyle Kuzma steals)
Q3 9:50
Ryan Rollins turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)
Q3 10:02
+2
Pelle Larsson makes two point jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)
65-63
Q3 10:05
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Q3 10:06
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q3 10:31
+2
Davion Mitchell makes two point jump shot (Andrew Wiggins assists)
116-122
Q3 10:31
Bucks 60 second timeout
Q3 10:46
Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
Q3 10:49
Kevin Porter Jr. misses two point jump shot
Q3 11:11
Norman Powell misses three point jump shot
Q3 11:11
Davion Mitchell personal foul (Loose ball) (Ryan Rollins draws the foul)
Q3 11:11
Ryan Rollins defensive rebound
Q3 11:12
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Q3 11:13
Bam Adebayo misses two point tip layup
Q3 11:14
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Q3 11:18
Bam Adebayo misses two point running layup
Q3 11:18
Norman Powell defensive rebound
Q3 11:22
Kyle Kuzma misses two point jump shot
Q3 11:34
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
63-63
Q3 11:40
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Q3 11:45
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q2 00:00
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
109-107
Q2 00:00
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q2 00:00
Heat offensive rebound
Q2 00:00
End of 1st Half.
Q3 12:00
Heat lineup change (Andrew Wiggins, Norman Powell, Pelle Larsson, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell)
Q3 12:00
Bucks lineup change (Myles Turner, Kyle Kuzma, AJ Green, Ryan Rollins, Kevin Porter Jr.)
Q2 00:19
Heat turnover
Q2 00:36
Heat personal foul
Q2 00:36
+2
Cam Thomas makes two point running layup
58-60
Q2 00:36
+1
Cam Thomas makes regular free throw 1 of 1
109-107
Q2 00:40
Cam Thomas defensive rebound
Q2 00:44
Bam Adebayo misses three point jump shot
Q2 00:52
AJ Green personal foul (Pelle Larsson draws the foul)
Q2 00:52
Heat lineup change (Andrew Wiggins, Norman Powell, Bam Adebayo, Tyler Herro, Davion Mitchell)
Q2 00:52
Norman Powell defensive rebound
Q2 00:52
Bucks lineup change (Cam Thomas, Bobby Portis, Myles Turner, Kyle Kuzma, Kevin Porter Jr.)
Q2 00:55
Kyle Kuzma misses two point running layup
Q2 1:00
Heat turnover
Q2 1:07
+2
Kevin Porter Jr. makes two point jump shot (Cam Thomas assists)
63-63
Q2 1:21
Myles Turner defensive rebound
Q2 1:25
Pelle Larsson misses three point running jump shot
Q2 1:31
Bucks turnover
Q2 1:49
+3
Norman Powell makes three point jump shot (Pelle Larsson assists)
58-56
Q2 1:55
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
63-63
Q2 1:58
Kevin Porter Jr. misses two point jump shot
Q2 1:58
Kevin Porter Jr. offensive rebound
Q2 2:25
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point jump shot
63-63
Q2 2:35
Davion Mitchell defensive rebound
Q2 2:39
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q2 2:40
Kevin Porter Jr. offensive rebound
Q2 2:43
Kyle Kuzma misses three point jump shot
Q2 2:46
Heat personal foul
Q2 2:46
Bucks lineup change (Cam Thomas, Bobby Portis, Myles Turner, Kyle Kuzma, Kevin Porter Jr.)
Q2 3:01
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
87-84
Q2 3:08
Bucks turnover
Q2 3:19
Heat turnover
Q2 3:33
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 3:33
Bucks lineup change (Myles Turner, Kyle Kuzma, AJ Green, Ryan Rollins, Kevin Porter Jr.)
Q2 3:33
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q2 3:33
Heat offensive rebound
Q2 3:33
Heat lineup change (Andrew Wiggins, Norman Powell, Pelle Larsson, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell)
Q2 3:33
Heat lineup change (Andrew Wiggins, Norman Powell, Pelle Larsson, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell)
Q2 3:42
+2
Kyle Kuzma makes two point putback dunk
63-63
Q2 3:42
Kyle Kuzma offensive rebound
Q2 3:49
Ryan Rollins misses two point running pullup jump shot
Q2 4:02
Myles Turner defensive rebound
Q2 4:03
Ryan Rollins blocks Tyler Herro's two point floating jump shot
Q2 4:15
+2
Ryan Rollins makes two point driving layup (Bobby Portis assists)
58-56
Q2 4:31
+2
Andrew Wiggins makes two point jump shot
71-75
Q2 4:35
Davion Mitchell defensive rebound
Q2 4:39
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q2 4:46
Kevin Porter Jr. offensive rebound
Q2 4:49
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q2 5:04
Bucks 60 second timeout
Q2 5:04
Bucks lineup change (Bobby Portis, Myles Turner, Kyle Kuzma, Ryan Rollins, Kevin Porter Jr.)
Q2 5:04
Heat lineup change (Andrew Wiggins, Norman Powell, Bam Adebayo, Tyler Herro, Davion Mitchell)
Q2 5:05
+3
Tyler Herro makes three point jump shot
48-50
Q2 5:07
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Q2 5:11
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q2 5:36
+3
Tyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)
45-50
Q2 5:45
+2
Jericho Sims makes two point jump shot
45-50
Q2 6:05
+3
Davion Mitchell makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)
45-50
Q2 6:12
Myron Gardner defensive rebound
Q2 6:16
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q2 6:30
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
45-50
Q2 6:46
+3
Ousmane Dieng makes three point stepback jump shot
45-50
Q2 6:50
Ousmane Dieng defensive rebound
Q2 6:54
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q2 7:06
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
58-60
Q2 7:18
Heat turnover
Q2 7:23
Bucks personal foul
Q2 7:23
+1
Tyler Herro makes technical free throw 1 of 1
58-60
Q2 7:38
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
58-60
Q2 7:38
Heat 60 second timeout
Q2 7:38
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Myron Gardner, Bam Adebayo, Tyler Herro, Davion Mitchell)
Q2 7:39
Ousmane Dieng defensive rebound
Q2 7:44
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q2 7:58
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
58-60
Q2 8:04
Jericho Sims offensive rebound
Q2 8:06
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q2 8:26
Jericho Sims defensive rebound
Q2 8:26
Tyler Herro misses two point running jump shot
Q2 8:30
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Q2 8:34
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q2 8:38
Jericho Sims offensive rebound
Q2 8:41
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q2 9:01
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
58-60
Q2 9:10
+2
Ryan Rollins makes two point driving floating jump shot
48-50
Q2 9:23
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
33-36
Q2 9:27
Pelle Larsson offensive rebound
Q2 9:32
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q2 9:47
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q2 9:47
Heat defensive rebound
Q2 9:47
Bucks personal foul
Q2 10:04
Bucks defensive rebound
Q2 10:04
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 10:06
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q2 10:20
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
58-60
Q2 10:38
+2
Tyler Herro makes two point jump shot (Kasparas Jakucionis assists)
48-50
Q2 10:46
Kasparas Jakucionis defensive rebound
Q2 10:47
Ousmane Dieng misses two point jump shot
Q2 11:03
Heat personal foul
Q2 11:03
Bucks lineup change (Ousmane Dieng, Bobby Portis, Jericho Sims, Ryan Rollins, Kevin Porter Jr.)
Q2 11:09
Jericho Sims defensive rebound
Q2 11:11
Pelle Larsson misses three point jump shot
Q2 11:37
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
48-50
Q1 00:00
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q1 00:00
Heat offensive rebound
Q1 00:00
End of 1st Quarter.
Q1 00:12
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
58-60
Q1 00:25
Bobby Portis misses two point tip layup
Q1 00:25
Ousmane Dieng offensive rebound
Q1 00:26
Bobby Portis offensive rebound
Q1 00:27
Cam Thomas misses two point jump shot
Q1 00:30
Kevin Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Q1 00:33
Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point running jump shot
Q1 00:39
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Q1 00:43
Cam Thomas misses three point jump shot
Q1 1:08
+2
Kasparas Jakucionis makes two point floating jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)
33-36
Q1 1:17
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Q1 1:18
Kevin Porter Jr. misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
Q1 1:28
Jericho Sims defensive rebound
Q1 1:29
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q1 1:29
Jericho Sims defensive rebound
Q1 1:30
Tyler Herro misses two point turnaround jump shot
Q1 1:38
Bucks lineup change (Cam Thomas, Ousmane Dieng, Bobby Portis, Jericho Sims, Kevin Porter Jr.)
Q1 1:38
Bucks lineup change (Cam Thomas, Ousmane Dieng, Bobby Portis, Jericho Sims, Kevin Porter Jr.)
Q1 1:38
Heat offensive rebound
Q1 1:38
Heat offensive rebound
Q1 1:38
Kasparas Jakucionis offensive rebound
Q1 1:38
Kasparas Jakucionis misses two point jump shot
Q1 1:38
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q1 1:38
Bucks lineup change (Cam Thomas, Ousmane Dieng, Bobby Portis, Jericho Sims, Kevin Porter Jr.)
Q1 1:38
Bucks lineup change (Cam Thomas, Ousmane Dieng, Bobby Portis, Jericho Sims, Kevin Porter Jr.)
Q1 1:38
Bucks lineup change (Cam Thomas, Ousmane Dieng, Bobby Portis, Jericho Sims, Kevin Porter Jr.)
Q1 1:40
Kasparas Jakucionis misses two point tip layup
Q1 1:41
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q1 1:50
Kyle Kuzma misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q1 1:50
Heat personal foul
Q1 1:50
Bucks offensive rebound
Q1 1:50
+1
Kyle Kuzma makes regular free throw 2 of 2
58-60
Q1 1:58
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
2-2
Q1 2:06
Jericho Sims turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Q1 2:11
Ousmane Dieng defensive rebound
Q1 2:14
Tyler Herro misses two point jump shot
Q1 2:21
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Q1 2:25
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q1 2:28
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q1 2:28
Bucks offensive rebound
Q1 2:28
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q1 2:31
Heat turnover
Q1 2:46
Heat 60 second timeout
Q1 2:46
+1
Kevin Porter Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
2-2
Q1 2:46
+1
Kevin Porter Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
35-38
Q1 11:13
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point tip layup
17-16
Q1 11:14
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
Heat
PosPlayerPts Reb Ast
F22 A. Wiggins 16 8 5
C13 B. Adebayo 18 9 2
G45 D. Mitchell 8 6 8
G24 N. Powell 26 6 0
G14 T. Herro 14 2 6
Bucks
PosPlayerPts Reb Ast
F20 A. Green 8 5 4
C0 J. Sims 8 10 5
F9 B. Portis 21 2 1
G7 K. Porter Jr. 32 7 7
G13 R. Rollins 21 4 5

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Heat vs. Bucks: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Heat vs. Bucks
  • Date: Tuesday, February 24, 2026
  • Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Fiserv Forum

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Heat favored at -5.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 228.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Heat -218, Bucks +200

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Heat: 68%
  • Bucks: 32%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Heat 117-112 Bucks.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Heat a win probability of 68%, while the Bucks have a win probability of 32%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Heat are more likely to beat the Bucks in the NBA game at Fiserv Forum on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Heat vs. Bucks predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.

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