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Mavericks vs. Pacers Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Mavericks vs. Pacers NBA game on February 22, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
134
130
Feb 22, 10PM Gainbridge Fieldhouse
Feb 22, 10PM Gainbridge Fieldhouse
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mavericks | 36 | 35 | 32 | 31 | 134 |
Pacers | 33 | 33 | 29 | 35 | 130 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
99%
1%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mavericks | 36 | 35 | 32 | 31 | 134 |
Pacers | 33 | 33 | 29 | 35 | 130 |
Q4 00:09 Pacers misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:21 Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:27 Pacers makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:30 Pacers misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:43 Pacers makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:53 Mavericks makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:59 Pacers misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:08 Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:43 Jarace Walker makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:23 Pacers makes three point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
Naji Marshall defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Jarace Walker defensive rebound
Pacers personal foul
Mavericks offensive rebound
Naji Marshall misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Naji Marshall misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Jarace Walker defensive rebound
Mavericks personal foul
+1
Jarace Walker makes regular free throw 1 of 2
134-129
+1
Jarace Walker makes regular free throw 2 of 2
134-130
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Pascal Siakam offensive rebound
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
134-128
Mavericks violation
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Pacers personal foul
+1
Max Christie makes regular free throw 1 of 2
133-126
+1
Max Christie makes regular free throw 2 of 2
134-126
Pacers lineup change (Ben Sheppard, Pascal Siakam, Jarace Walker, Andrew Nembhard, Jay Huff)
Pacers 60 second timeout
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
132-126
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
132-124
Khris Middleton defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Jarace Walker defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Pacers personal foul
Pascal Siakam turnover (offensive foul)
Pacers 60 second timeout
Instant replay
Mavericks turnover
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
+2
Jarace Walker makes two point jump shot
130-124
Mavericks personal foul
Jarace Walker misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Pacers personal foul
+1
P.J. Washington makes regular free throw 1 of 2
129-122
+1
P.J. Washington makes regular free throw 2 of 2
130-122
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
128-122
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
128-119
Marvin Bagley III defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Mavericks turnover
Khris Middleton defensive rebound
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Pacers lineup change (Pascal Siakam, Kam Jones, Jarace Walker, Andrew Nembhard, Jay Huff)
Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, Max Christie, Khris Middleton, Marvin Bagley III, P.J. Washington)
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Quenton Jackson defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Khris Middleton defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Mavericks personal foul
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
126-119
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
123-119
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
123-116
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
121-116
+2
Brandon Williams makes two point jump shot
121-114
Pacers turnover
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
119-114
Mavericks personal foul
+1
Ben Sheppard makes regular free throw 1 of 2
117-113
+1
Ben Sheppard makes regular free throw 2 of 2
117-114
Pacers lineup change (Ben Sheppard, Jarace Walker, Andrew Nembhard, Quenton Jackson, Jay Huff)
Jarace Walker defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
117-112
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
117-110
Pacers personal foul
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Khris Middleton, Brandon Williams, P.J. Washington, Daniel Gafford)
Pacers lineup change (Ben Sheppard, Kam Jones, Jarace Walker, Quenton Jackson, Jay Huff)
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
115-110
Micah Potter offensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Micah Potter defensive rebound
Marvin Bagley III misses two point putback layup
Marvin Bagley III offensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
115-107
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
113-107
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
113-104
Pacers turnover
Pacers 60 second timeout
Mavericks lineup change (Tyus Jones, Max Christie, Khris Middleton, Marvin Bagley III, P.J. Washington)
Pacers lineup change (Micah Potter, Ben Sheppard, Kam Jones, Jarace Walker, Quenton Jackson)
P.J. Washington offensive rebound
+2
P.J. Washington makes two point jump shot
111-104
P.J. Washington offensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
109-104
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
109-101
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
107-101
Pacers personal foul
P.J. Washington misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Mavericks offensive rebound
+1
P.J. Washington makes regular free throw 2 of 2
107-99
Mavericks offensive rebound
Marvin Bagley III defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Pacers personal foul
Mavericks personal foul
Mavericks personal foul
+1
Pascal Siakam makes technical free throw 1 of 1
106-99
Mavericks lineup change (Tyus Jones, Caleb Martin, Max Christie, Marvin Bagley III, P.J. Washington)
Mavericks turnover
Klay Thompson defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Pascal Siakam defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
106-98
Pascal Siakam defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Marvin Bagley III defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Pascal Siakam defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
106-95
Mavericks defensive rebound
End of 3rd Quarter.
Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, Tyus Jones, Caleb Martin, Marvin Bagley III, Klay Thompson)
Pacers misses three point jump shot
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
103-95
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
100-95
Pacers 60 second timeout
Pacers lineup change (Micah Potter, Ben Sheppard, Pascal Siakam, Kam Jones, Quenton Jackson)
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
100-93
Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
98-93
Brandon Williams defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Mavericks turnover
Daniel Gafford offensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Klay Thompson defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Ben Sheppard defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
96-93
Kobe Brown defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Pacers turnover
Micah Potter defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
96-90
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, Caleb Martin, Brandon Williams, Daniel Gafford, Klay Thompson)
Pacers lineup change (Kobe Brown, Micah Potter, Ben Sheppard, Kam Jones, Quenton Jackson)
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
94-90
Jarace Walker defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Klay Thompson defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Kobe Brown offensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Kobe Brown defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot (Jarace Walker assists)
94-87
Jarace Walker offensive rebound
Micah Potter misses two point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
94-84
Marvin Bagley III defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Pacers personal foul
Brandon Williams misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Mavericks offensive rebound
+1
Brandon Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
92-84
Klay Thompson defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Pacers personal foul
Brandon Williams misses regular free throw 1 of 2
+1
Brandon Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
91-84
Mavericks offensive rebound
Pacers lineup change (Kobe Brown, Micah Potter, Ben Sheppard, Jarace Walker, Andrew Nembhard)
Mavericks lineup change (Caleb Martin, Marvin Bagley III, Brandon Williams, P.J. Washington, Klay Thompson)
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Pacers personal foul
+1
Brandon Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
89-84
Pacers lineup change (Kobe Brown, Ben Sheppard, Jarace Walker, Andrew Nembhard, Jay Huff)
+1
Brandon Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
90-84
Khris Middleton defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
88-84
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
86-84
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
86-81
Mavericks personal foul
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Instant replay
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Khris Middleton, Marvin Bagley III, Brandon Williams, P.J. Washington)
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
84-81
Pascal Siakam turnover (lost ball)
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
82-81
Jarace Walker defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
82-79
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
82-77
Mavericks offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
80-76
Mavericks personal foul
+1
Jay Huff makes regular free throw 1 of 1
80-77
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
80-74
Mavericks offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
78-74
Mavericks turnover
Max Christie defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
78-72
Khris Middleton defensive rebound
Mavericks personal foul
Jarace Walker misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Pacers offensive rebound
Jarace Walker misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
75-72
Mavericks personal foul
+1
Andrew Nembhard makes regular free throw 1 of 2
73-71
+1
Andrew Nembhard makes regular free throw 2 of 2
73-72
Jarace Walker defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
73-70
Pascal Siakam defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Max Christie defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
73-68
Pacers personal foul
Mavericks personal foul
+1
Pascal Siakam makes regular free throw 1 of 2
71-67
+1
Pascal Siakam makes regular free throw 2 of 2
71-68
Micah Potter offensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Pacers offensive rebound
End of 1st Half.
Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, Max Christie, Khris Middleton, P.J. Washington, Daniel Gafford)
Pacers lineup change (Pascal Siakam, Kam Jones, Jarace Walker, Andrew Nembhard, Jay Huff)
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Mavericks personal foul
Mavericks lineup change (Caleb Martin, Max Christie, Khris Middleton, Marvin Bagley III, P.J. Washington)
Quenton Jackson defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Marvin Bagley III defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
71-66
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
68-66
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
68-64
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
66-64
Quenton Jackson defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pacers lineup change (Micah Potter, Pascal Siakam, Jarace Walker, Andrew Nembhard, Quenton Jackson)
Pacers turnover
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
66-61
Pacers personal foul
Pacers personal foul
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
64-61
+1
Andrew Nembhard makes technical free throw 1 of 1
64-59
Mavericks personal foul
Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, Max Christie, Khris Middleton, Marvin Bagley III, P.J. Washington)
Pacers lineup change (Kobe Brown, Micah Potter, Pascal Siakam, Jarace Walker, Andrew Nembhard)
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
65-58
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
62-58
Pacers 60 second timeout
Mavericks lineup change (Caleb Martin, Khris Middleton, Marvin Bagley III, Brandon Williams, P.J. Washington)
Pacers lineup change (Kobe Brown, Pascal Siakam, Jarace Walker, Andrew Nembhard, Jay Huff)
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
62-56
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Kobe Brown offensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Pacers misses two point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
60-56
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
58-56
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
55-56
Jarace Walker defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
55-54
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
55-51
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
53-51
Jarace Walker defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Pacers offensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Pacers turnover
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Mavericks lineup change (Caleb Martin, Khris Middleton, Brandon Williams, P.J. Washington, Daniel Gafford)
Mavericks lineup change (Caleb Martin, Khris Middleton, Brandon Williams, P.J. Washington, Daniel Gafford)
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
53-49
Pacers turnover
Pacers 60 second timeout
Pacers lineup change (Kobe Brown, Kam Jones, Jarace Walker, Andrew Nembhard, Jay Huff)
Pacers personal foul
P.J. Washington misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Mavericks offensive rebound
+1
P.J. Washington makes regular free throw 2 of 2
51-49
Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, Khris Middleton, Brandon Williams, P.J. Washington, Daniel Gafford)
Khris Middleton offensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
50-49
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
50-46
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Mavericks offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, Khris Middleton, Marvin Bagley III, Brandon Williams, P.J. Washington)
Marvin Bagley III offensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
+2
Kobe Brown makes two point turnaround hook shot
48-46
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
48-44
Marvin Bagley III defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
46-44
Mavericks turnover
Pacers turnover
Micah Potter turnover (bad pass)
Mavericks offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pacers lineup change (Kobe Brown, Micah Potter, Ben Sheppard, Kam Jones, Jarace Walker)
Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, Marvin Bagley III, Brandon Williams, P.J. Washington, Klay Thompson)
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
44-44
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
44-41
Marvin Bagley III defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
42-41
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
40-41
Micah Potter defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Naji Marshall offensive rebound
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
53-49
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Pacers turnover
Pascal Siakam defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
40-39
Pacers personal foul
Naji Marshall misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Mavericks offensive rebound
+1
Naji Marshall makes regular free throw 2 of 2
40-36
Pacers lineup change (Micah Potter, Ben Sheppard, Pascal Siakam, Jarace Walker, Quenton Jackson)
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
39-36
Jay Huff defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Pacers turnover
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
39-33
Marvin Bagley III defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Pacers offensive rebound
End of 1st Quarter.
Pacers lineup change (Ben Sheppard, Pascal Siakam, Jarace Walker, Quenton Jackson, Jay Huff)
Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, Tyus Jones, Max Christie, Marvin Bagley III, Klay Thompson)
Pacers lineup change (Ben Sheppard, Pascal Siakam, Jarace Walker, Quenton Jackson, Jay Huff)
Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, Tyus Jones, Max Christie, Marvin Bagley III, Klay Thompson)
Pacers personal foul
Daniel Gafford misses regular free throw 1 of 2
+1
Daniel Gafford makes regular free throw 2 of 2
36-33
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
35-33
Kobe Brown defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Mavericks personal foul
+1
Kobe Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 2
35-29
+1
Kobe Brown makes regular free throw 2 of 2
35-30
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
35-28
Pacers personal foul
Quenton Jackson turnover (offensive foul)
Pacers personal foul
Daniel Gafford misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Mavericks offensive rebound
+1
Daniel Gafford makes regular free throw 2 of 2
32-28
Pacers lineup change (Kobe Brown, Ben Sheppard, Pascal Siakam, Quenton Jackson, Jay Huff)
Mavericks lineup change (Tyus Jones, Caleb Martin, Max Christie, P.J. Washington, Daniel Gafford)
Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Pacers offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pacers misses three point jump shot
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
31-28
Tyus Jones defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Pascal Siakam defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
P.J. Washington offensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
28-28
Kobe Brown defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Mavericks offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pacers 60 second timeout
Mavericks lineup change (Tyus Jones, Caleb Martin, Max Christie, P.J. Washington, Daniel Gafford)
Pacers lineup change (Kobe Brown, Ben Sheppard, Pascal Siakam, Kam Jones, Jay Huff)
Mavericks lineup change (Tyus Jones, Caleb Martin, Max Christie, Daniel Gafford, Klay Thompson)
Pacers lineup change (Kobe Brown, Ben Sheppard, Pascal Siakam, Kam Jones, Jay Huff)
Mavericks defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pacers misses three point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
28-25
Pacers turnover
Pacers personal foul
Mavericks offensive rebound
Marvin Bagley III misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Pacers lineup change (Kobe Brown, Ben Sheppard, Kam Jones, Quenton Jackson, Jay Huff)
+1
Marvin Bagley III makes regular free throw 2 of 2
26-25
Kobe Brown offensive rebound
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
25-25
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Ben Sheppard defensive rebound
Pacers personal foul
+1
Marvin Bagley III makes regular free throw 1 of 2
25-23
Marvin Bagley III misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+2
Ben Sheppard makes two point jump shot (Quenton Jackson assists)
24-23
Quenton Jackson offensive rebound
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
25-23
Quenton Jackson misses two point running dunk
Mavericks turnover
Brandon Williams defensive rebound
Micah Potter turnover (lost ball)
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Pacers personal foul
+1
P.J. Washington makes regular free throw 1 of 2
23-21
+1
P.J. Washington makes regular free throw 2 of 2
24-21
Mavericks lineup change (Caleb Martin, Marvin Bagley III, Brandon Williams, P.J. Washington, Klay Thompson)
Marvin Bagley III defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
22-21
Pacers turnover
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
20-21
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
18-21
Ben Sheppard defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
18-19
+3
Khris Middleton makes three point jump shot
18-16
Pacers personal foul
Pacers 60 second timeout
Mavericks lineup change (Khris Middleton, Marvin Bagley III, Brandon Williams, P.J. Washington, Klay Thompson)
Pacers lineup change (Kobe Brown, Micah Potter, Ben Sheppard, Andrew Nembhard, Quenton Jackson)
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
15-16
Mavericks turnover
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
15-14
Pacers personal foul
+1
Brandon Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
14-11
Pacers lineup change (Micah Potter, Pascal Siakam, Jarace Walker, Andrew Nembhard, Quenton Jackson)
+1
Brandon Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
15-11
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Pacers turnover
Pacers offensive rebound
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Khris Middleton, Marvin Bagley III, Brandon Williams, P.J. Washington)
Pacers lineup change (Micah Potter, Pascal Siakam, Kam Jones, Jarace Walker, Andrew Nembhard)
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
13-11
Daniel Gafford offensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
11-11
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
11-9
Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Mavericks personal foul
Naji Marshall turnover (offensive foul)
Mavericks lineup change (Max Christie, Khris Middleton, Brandon Williams, P.J. Washington, Daniel Gafford)
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
9-9
Mavericks violation
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
9-7
Pacers violation
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
7-7
Mavericks turnover
Mavericks personal foul
Instant replay
Pascal Siakam misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Pacers offensive rebound
+1
Pascal Siakam makes regular free throw 2 of 2
7-5
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
6-4
Mavericks personal foul
+1
Andrew Nembhard makes regular free throw 1 of 2
4-3
+1
Andrew Nembhard makes regular free throw 2 of 2
4-4
Pacers personal foul
+1
Naji Marshall makes regular free throw 1 of 2
3-2
+1
Naji Marshall makes regular free throw 2 of 2
4-2
Mavericks defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Pascal Siakam defensive rebound
Daniel Gafford misses two point jump shot
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
2-2
Mavericks turnover
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
3-0
P.J. Washington offensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Daniel Gafford vs. Jay Huff (P.J. Washington gains possession)
Pacers lineup change (Pascal Siakam, Kam Jones, Jarace Walker, Andrew Nembhard, Jay Huff)
Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, Max Christie, Khris Middleton, P.J. Washington, Daniel Gafford)
Start of 1st Quarter
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 20 | K. Middleton | 25 | 7 | 7 |
| G | 0 | M. Christie | 16 | 2 | 4 |
| G | 13 | N. Marshall | 17 | 2 | 2 |
| F | 25 | P. Washington | 23 | 9 | 2 |
| F | 35 | M. Bagley III | 12 | 11 | 1 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 2 | A. Nembhard | 22 | 1 | 11 |
| G | 26 | B. Sheppard | 13 | 3 | 2 |
| C | 32 | J. Huff | 9 | 1 | 1 |
| F | 5 | J. Walker | 18 | 9 | 6 |
| F | 43 | P. Siakam | 30 | 8 | 3 |
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Mavericks vs. Pacers: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Mavericks vs. Pacers
- Date: Sunday, February 22, 2026
- Time: 5:00 PM ET
- Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Mavericks favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 237.5
- Moneyline Odds: Mavericks -114, Pacers +100
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Mavericks: 56%
- Pacers: 44%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Mavericks 119-117 Pacers.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Mavericks a win probability of 56%, while the Pacers have a win probability of 44%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Mavericks are more likely to beat the Pacers in the NBA game at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Mavericks vs. Pacers predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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