San Diego FC vs. San Jose Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the San Diego FC vs. San Jose MLS match on April 4, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS sport icon
MLS
San Diego FC
0
3
PayPal Park
San Jose
PayPal Park
San JoseSJ
Score Summary
San Diego FCSD
N. Tsakiris (13')
Soccer ball icon
N. Tsakiris (pen.) (34')
Soccer ball icon
P. Judd (45')
Soccer ball icon
M. Duah (32')
Red Card icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • San Jose
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • San Diego FC
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    N. Tsakiris (San Jose Earthquakes) cautioned
  2. 86'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: I. Harkes replaces R. Vieira
  3. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Diego FC: A. Mighten replaces O. Valakari
  4. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Diego FC: W. Kumado replaces O. Verhoeven
  5. 77'
    Yellow Card
    J. A. Gonzalez Mendoza (San Jose Earthquakes) cautioned
  6. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: J. A. Gonzalez Mendoza replaces B. Leroux
  7. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: N. Fernandez replaces O. Bouda
  8. 69'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: D. Romney replaces J. Ricketts
  9. 59'
    Yellow Card
    J. Tverskov (San Diego FC) cautioned
  10. 57'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: P. Marie replaces J. Skahan
  11. 57'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Diego FC: B. B. Zamble replaces L. Morgan
  12. 57'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Diego FC: A. Godoy replaces M. Ingvartsen
  13. 52'
    Yellow Card
    O. Soe (San Diego FC) cautioned
  14. 45'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for San Jose Earthquakes by P. Judd, assisted by B. Leroux
    0-3
  15. 40'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Diego FC: W. Eisner replaces D. Vazquez
  16. 34'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for San Jose Earthquakes by N. Tsakiris (pen.)
    0-2
  17. 32'
    Red Card
    M. Duah (San Diego FC) sent off with a straight red card
  18. 13'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for San Jose Earthquakes by N. Tsakiris, assisted by P. Judd
    0-1
  19. 11'
    Yellow Card
    O. Bouda (San Jose Earthquakes) cautioned

San Diego FC vs. San Jose: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: San Diego FC vs. San Jose
  • Date: Saturday, April 4, 2026
  • Time: 10:30 PM ET
  • Venue: PayPal Park

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: San Diego FC +185, San Jose +135, draw +290

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • San Diego FC: 32.4%
  • San Jose: 43.4%
  • Draw: 24.2%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: San Diego FC 1-1 San Jose (11.2%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win San Diego FC vs. San Jose? Prediction & correct score

San Jose is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 43.4%.

The most likely correct score is San Diego FC 1-1 San Jose.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Get Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

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