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MLS
Houston vs. Dallas Prediction, Picks and Odds
Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Houston vs. Dallas MLS match on March 21, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
FINAL
MLS
FINAL
MLS
3
4
Mar 21, 8:30 PM ET Toyota Stadium
Mar 21, 8:30 PM ET Toyota Stadium
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Pre-Game PredictionsPre-Game
Pro Bets
Score Summary
L. Farrington (6')
L. Farrington (14')
E. Sviatchenko (o.g.) (54')
P. Musa (86')
Guilherme (29')
E. Sviatchenko (31')
L. Ennali (33')
E. Sviatchenko (68')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
- Dallas
- Houston
Win Probability
Match Timeline
Substitution for FC Dallas: S. Ibeagha replaces L. Farrington
Goal scored for FC Dallas by P. Musa, assisted by J. Valiente
3-4
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: A. Bouzat replaces H. Herrera
Substitution for FC Dallas: R. Binyamin replaces Kaick
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: A. Resch replaces L. Ennali
Substitution for FC Dallas: P. Delgado replaces N. Norris
E. Sviatchenko (Houston Dynamo) sent off for a second yellow card
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: O. Lingr replaces E. Ponce
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: I. Aliyu replaces D. Holmes
Kaick (FC Dallas) cautioned
Goal scored for FC Dallas by E. Sviatchenko (o.g.)
3-3
Substitution for FC Dallas: P. Musa replaces C. Cappis
D. Holmes (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
E. Sviatchenko (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
E. Ponce (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
Goal scored for Houston Dynamo by L. Ennali, assisted by Guilherme
3-2
Goal scored for Houston Dynamo by E. Sviatchenko, assisted by Guilherme
2-2
Goal scored for Houston Dynamo by Guilherme
1-2
O. Urhoghide (FC Dallas) cautioned
Goal scored for FC Dallas by L. Farrington
0-2
Goal scored for FC Dallas by L. Farrington
0-1
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Houston vs. Dallas: Match prediction & analysis
Match overview
- Teams: Houston vs. Dallas
- Date: Saturday, March 21, 2026
- Time: 8:30 PM ET
- Venue: Toyota Stadium
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Houston +180, Dallas +145, draw +260
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-141/+120)
Dimers' win & correct score probabilities
- Houston: 27.9%
- Dallas: 47.9%
- Draw: 24.2%
These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.
Most likely correct score: Houston 1-1 Dallas (11.3%)
Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.
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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.
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- Today's best bets
- Moneyline probabilities
- Total goals probabilities
- Correct score probabilities
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Who will win Houston vs. Dallas? Prediction & correct score
Dallas is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 47.9%.
The most likely correct score is Houston 1-1 Dallas.
But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.
Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.
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Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Houston vs. Dallas, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.
