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Portland vs. Houston Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our prediction and analysis for Portland vs. Houston at the MLS on March 14, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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FINAL
MLS
FINAL
MLS
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Mar 15, 12:30AM Shell Energy Stadium
Mar 15, 12:30AM Shell Energy Stadium
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets Score Summary
Guilherme (62')
Felipe Andrade (77')
N. Markanich (90')
M. Bogusz (90')
G. Guerra (45')
K. Velde (80')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
N. Markanich (Houston Dynamo) sent off with a straight red card
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: I. Aliyu replaces L. Ennali
Substitution for Portland Timbers: K. Kelsy replaces G. Guerra
Guilherme (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
Goal scored for Houston Dynamo by M. Bogusz, assisted by J. McGlynn
2-3
F. Mora (Portland Timbers) cautioned
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: N. Markanich replaces D. Holmes
Goal scored for Portland Timbers by K. Velde, assisted by F. Surman
2-2
Goal scored for Houston Dynamo by Felipe Andrade, assisted by Guilherme
1-2
Substitution for Portland Timbers: F. Mora replaces A. Lassiter
Substitution for Portland Timbers: I. Smith replaces A. Aravena
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: A. Resch replaces Lucas Halter
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: O. Lingr replaces D. Samassekou
Substitution for Portland Timbers: J. Ortiz replaces D. Da Costa
Goal scored for Houston Dynamo by Guilherme
1-1
J. Fory (Portland Timbers) cautioned
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: H. Herrera replaces E. Ponce
E. Ponce (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
Penalty missed by K. Velde for Portland Timbers
Goal scored for Portland Timbers by G. Guerra
1-0
A. Lassiter (Portland Timbers) cautioned
B. Olsen (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
K. Miller (Portland Timbers) cautioned
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Portland vs. Houston: Detailed breakdown
Dimers' Portland vs. Houston prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.
Match overview
- Teams: Portland vs. Houston
- Date: Saturday, March 14, 2026
- Time: 8:30 PM ET
- Venue: Shell Energy Stadium
- Tournament: MLS
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Portland +450, Houston -159, draw +340
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-188/+140)
Dimers' win probabilities
- Portland: 22.8%
- Houston: 54.2%
- Draw: 23.0%
These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.
Projected score
The most likely correct score for this matchup is Portland 1-1 Houston, with a probability of 11%.
Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.
Our prediction: Who wins?
Portland is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 22.8% probability, while Houston sits at 54.2%, with the draw at 23.0%.
For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.
Summary
Dimers' Portland vs. Houston prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.
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