Portland vs. Houston Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Portland vs. Houston MLS match on March 14, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
MLS
FINAL
MLS sport icon
MLS
Portland
2
3
Shell Energy Stadium
Houston
Shell Energy Stadium
HoustonHOU
Score Summary
PortlandPOR
Guilherme (62')
Soccer ball icon
Felipe Andrade (77')
Soccer ball icon
N. Markanich (90')
Red Card icon
M. Bogusz (90')
Soccer ball icon
G. Guerra (45')
Soccer ball icon
K. Velde (80')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Houston
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Portland
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Red Card
    N. Markanich (Houston Dynamo) sent off with a straight red card
  2. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Houston Dynamo: I. Aliyu replaces L. Ennali
  3. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Portland Timbers: K. Kelsy replaces G. Guerra
  4. 90'
    Yellow Card
    Guilherme (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
  5. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Houston Dynamo by M. Bogusz, assisted by J. McGlynn
    2-3
  6. 85'
    Yellow Card
    F. Mora (Portland Timbers) cautioned
  7. 81'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Houston Dynamo: N. Markanich replaces D. Holmes
  8. 80'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Portland Timbers by K. Velde, assisted by F. Surman
    2-2
  9. 77'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Houston Dynamo by Felipe Andrade, assisted by Guilherme
    1-2
  10. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Portland Timbers: F. Mora replaces A. Lassiter
  11. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Portland Timbers: I. Smith replaces A. Aravena
  12. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Houston Dynamo: A. Resch replaces Lucas Halter
  13. 69'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Houston Dynamo: O. Lingr replaces D. Samassekou
  14. 63'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Portland Timbers: J. Ortiz replaces D. Da Costa
  15. 62'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Houston Dynamo by Guilherme
    1-1
  16. 58'
    Yellow Card
    J. Fory (Portland Timbers) cautioned
  17. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Houston Dynamo: H. Herrera replaces E. Ponce
  18. 45'
    Yellow Card
    E. Ponce (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
  19. 45'
    Penalty missed by K. Velde for Portland Timbers
  20. 45'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Portland Timbers by G. Guerra
    1-0
  21. 45'
    Yellow Card
    A. Lassiter (Portland Timbers) cautioned
  22. 45'
    Yellow Card
    B. Olsen (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
  23. 24'
    Yellow Card
    K. Miller (Portland Timbers) cautioned

Portland vs. Houston: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Portland vs. Houston
  • Date: Saturday, March 14, 2026
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Shell Energy Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Portland +450, Houston -159, draw +340
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-188/+140)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Portland: 22.8%
  • Houston: 54.2%
  • Draw: 23.0%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Portland 1-1 Houston (10.8%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Portland vs. Houston? Prediction & correct score

Houston is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 54.2%.

The most likely correct score is Portland 1-1 Houston.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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