Portland vs. Houston Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Portland vs. Houston MLS match on March 14, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS
Portland
2
3
Mar 14, 8:30 PM ET Shell Energy Stadium
Houston
Mar 14, 8:30 PM ET Shell Energy Stadium
HoustonHOU
Score Summary
PortlandPOR
Guilherme (62')
Soccer ball icon
Felipe Andrade (77')
Soccer ball icon
N. Markanich (90')
Red Card icon
M. Bogusz (90')
Soccer ball icon
G. Guerra (45')
Soccer ball icon
K. Velde (80')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Houston
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Portland
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Red Card
N. Markanich (Houston Dynamo) sent off with a straight red card
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: I. Aliyu replaces L. Ennali
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Portland Timbers: K. Kelsy replaces G. Guerra
90'
Yellow Card
Guilherme (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Houston Dynamo by M. Bogusz, assisted by J. McGlynn
2-3
85'
Yellow Card
F. Mora (Portland Timbers) cautioned
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: N. Markanich replaces D. Holmes
80'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Portland Timbers by K. Velde, assisted by F. Surman
2-2
77'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Houston Dynamo by Felipe Andrade, assisted by Guilherme
1-2
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Portland Timbers: F. Mora replaces A. Lassiter
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Portland Timbers: I. Smith replaces A. Aravena
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: A. Resch replaces Lucas Halter
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: O. Lingr replaces D. Samassekou
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Portland Timbers: J. Ortiz replaces D. Da Costa
62'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Houston Dynamo by Guilherme
1-1
58'
Yellow Card
J. Fory (Portland Timbers) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: H. Herrera replaces E. Ponce
45'
Yellow Card
E. Ponce (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
45'
Penalty missed by K. Velde for Portland Timbers
45'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Portland Timbers by G. Guerra
1-0
45'
Yellow Card
A. Lassiter (Portland Timbers) cautioned
45'
Yellow Card
B. Olsen (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
24'
Yellow Card
K. Miller (Portland Timbers) cautioned

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Portland vs. Houston: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Portland vs. Houston
  • Date: Saturday, March 14, 2026
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Shell Energy Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Portland +450, Houston -159, draw +340
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-188/+140)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Portland: 22.8%
  • Houston: 54.2%
  • Draw: 23.0%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Portland 1-1 Houston (10.8%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

  • Today's best bets
  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Portland vs. Houston? Prediction & correct score

Houston is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 54.2%.

The most likely correct score is Portland 1-1 Houston.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Portland vs. Houston, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.