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San Diego FC vs. Dallas Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for San Diego FC vs. Dallas at the MLS on March 14, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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MLS
San Diego FC
3
:
3
Mar 15, 12:30AM Toyota Stadium
Dallas
Mar 15, 12:30AM Toyota Stadium
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
DallasFCD
Score Summary
San Diego FCSD
P. Musa (41')
Soccer ball icon
P. Musa (pen.) (54')
Soccer ball icon
P. Musa (90')
Soccer ball icon
O. Valakari (pen.) (21')
Soccer ball icon
M. Ingvartsen (pen.) (31')
Soccer ball icon
O. Valakari (51')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
FCD
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
SD
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for FC Dallas by P. Musa, assisted by B. Kamungo
3-3
90'
Yellow Card
L. Farrington (FC Dallas) cautioned
86'
Yellow Card
L. Bombino (San Diego FC) cautioned
85'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Dallas: R. Binyamin replaces S. Ibeagha
77'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Dallas: L. Deedson replaces J. Valiente
77'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Dallas: P. Delgado replaces Ramiro
71'
Substitution
Substitution for San Diego FC: C. McVey replaces O. Soe
67'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Dallas: L. Farrington replaces C. Cappis
58'
Substitution
Substitution for San Diego FC: A. Dreyer replaces D. Vazquez
58'
Substitution
Substitution for San Diego FC: A. Pellegrino replaces A. Mighten
54'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for FC Dallas by P. Musa (pen.)
3-2
51'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for San Diego FC by O. Valakari, assisted by A. Mighten
3-1
46'
Substitution
Substitution for San Diego FC: O. Verhoeven replaces I. Pilcher
46'
Substitution
Substitution for San Diego FC: J. Tverskov replaces P. Soma
41'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for FC Dallas by P. Musa
2-1
40'
Yellow Card
P. Soma (San Diego FC) cautioned
31'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for San Diego FC by M. Ingvartsen (pen.)
2-0
30'
Yellow Card
H. Johansson (FC Dallas) cautioned
23'
Yellow Card
C. Cappis (FC Dallas) cautioned
21'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for San Diego FC by O. Valakari (pen.)
1-0

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San Diego FC vs. Dallas: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' San Diego FC vs. Dallas prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: San Diego FC vs. Dallas
  • Date: Saturday, March 14, 2026
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Toyota Stadium
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: San Diego FC +210, Dallas +125, draw +280
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-145/+128)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • San Diego FC: 33.7%
  • Dallas: 40.3%
  • Draw: 25.9%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is San Diego FC 1-1 Dallas, with a probability of 12%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

San Diego FC is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 33.7% probability, while Dallas sits at 40.3%, with the draw at 25.9%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' San Diego FC vs. Dallas prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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