LA Galaxy vs. San Diego FC Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the LA Galaxy vs. San Diego FC MLS match on August 29, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
MLS
FINAL
MLS sport icon
MLS
LA Galaxy
1
3
Snapdragon Stadium
San Diego FC
Snapdragon Stadium
San Diego FCSD
Score Summary
LA GalaxyLAG
E. Achouri (11')
Soccer ball icon
K. Sargeant (48')
Soccer ball icon
J. Tverskov (50')
Red Card icon
A. Pellegrino (70')
Soccer ball icon
H. Lozano (55')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • San Diego FC
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • LA Galaxy
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 89'
    Yellow Card
    dos Santos CJ (San Diego FC) cautioned
  2. 87'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Diego FC: I. Pilcher replaces O. Valakari
  3. 87'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Los Angeles Galaxy: C. Garces replaces J. Haak
  4. 73'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Los Angeles Galaxy: J. Nelson replaces J. Aude
  5. 73'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Los Angeles Galaxy: R. Taylor replaces H. Miller
  6. 70'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for San Diego FC by A. Pellegrino, assisted by A. Dreyer
    1-3
  7. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Diego FC: A. Pellegrino replaces E. Achouri
  8. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Diego FC: C. McVey replaces I. Murphy
  9. 65'
    Yellow Card
    J. Paintsil (Los Angeles Galaxy) cautioned
  10. 56'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Los Angeles Galaxy: S. Roberto replaces M. Yoshida
  11. 56'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Los Angeles Galaxy: E. Thommy replaces I. Parente
  12. 55'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Los Angeles Galaxy by H. Lozano
    1-2
  13. 52'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Diego FC: A. Alvarado Jr replaces Gabriel Pirani
  14. 50'
    Red Card
    J. Tverskov (San Diego FC) sent off for a second yellow card
  15. 48'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for San Diego FC by K. Sargeant, assisted by A. Dreyer
    0-2
  16. 39'
    Yellow Card
    A. Godoy (San Diego FC) cautioned
  17. 30'
    Yellow Card
    Gabriel Pirani (San Diego FC) cautioned
  18. 23'
    Yellow Card
    J. Tverskov (San Diego FC) cautioned
  19. 21'
    Yellow Card
    M. Reus (Los Angeles Galaxy) cautioned
  20. 11'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for San Diego FC by E. Achouri, assisted by A. Dreyer
    0-1

LA Galaxy vs. San Diego FC: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: LA Galaxy vs. San Diego FC
  • Date: Saturday, August 29, 2026
  • Time: 10:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Snapdragon Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: LA Galaxy 24¢, San Diego FC 55¢, draw 22¢
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (69¢/32¢)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • LA Galaxy: 21.4%
  • San Diego FC: 57.5%
  • Draw: 21.1%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: LA Galaxy 1-2 San Diego FC (9.8%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win LA Galaxy vs. San Diego FC? Prediction & correct score

San Diego FC is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 57.5%.

The most likely correct score is LA Galaxy 1-2 San Diego FC.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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