Orlando vs. San Jose Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Orlando vs. San Jose MLS match on July 22, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS sport icon
MLS
Orlando
4
0
PayPal Park
San Jose
PayPal Park
San JoseSJ
Score Summary
OrlandoORL
D. Brekalo (7')
Soccer ball icon
I. Angulo (29')
Soccer ball icon
A. Griezmann (48')
Soccer ball icon
B. Ojeda (73')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • San Jose
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Orlando
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    D. Munie (San Jose Earthquakes) cautioned
  2. 86'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: I. Harkes replaces B. Leroux
  3. 84'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Orlando City: Z. Taifi replaces J. Ellis
  4. 81'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: J. A. Gonzalez Mendoza replaces R. Vieira
  5. 80'
    Yellow Card
    H. Sarajian (Orlando City) cautioned
  6. 79'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Orlando City: B. Rhein replaces A. Gomez
  7. 79'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Orlando City: Luis Otavio replaces E. Atuesta
  8. 79'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Orlando City: H. Sarajian replaces I. Angulo
  9. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: P. Marie replaces J. Ricketts
  10. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: D. Johnson replaces T. Werner
  11. 73'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Orlando City by B. Ojeda, assisted by E. Atuesta
    4-0
  12. 67'
    Yellow Card
    P. Judd (San Jose Earthquakes) cautioned
  13. 59'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Orlando City: T. Spicer replaces Tiago
  14. 52'
    Yellow Card
    R. Vieira (San Jose Earthquakes) cautioned
  15. 48'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Orlando City by A. Griezmann, assisted by J. Ellis
    3-0
  16. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: J. Skahan replaces N. Fernandez
  17. 45'
    Yellow Card
    T. Werner (San Jose Earthquakes) cautioned
  18. 36'
    Yellow Card
    E. Atuesta (Orlando City) cautioned
  19. 29'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Orlando City by I. Angulo, assisted by E. Atuesta
    2-0
  20. 7'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Orlando City by D. Brekalo, assisted by E. Atuesta
    1-0

Orlando vs. San Jose: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Orlando vs. San Jose
  • Date: Wednesday, July 22, 2026
  • Time: 10:30 PM ET
  • Venue: PayPal Park

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Orlando +400, San Jose -149, draw +360

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Orlando: 17.6%
  • San Jose: 65.4%
  • Draw: 17.0%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Orlando 1-2 San Jose (8.5%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win Orlando vs. San Jose? Prediction & correct score

San Jose is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 65.4%.

The most likely correct score is Orlando 1-2 San Jose.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Get Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

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