St Louis City vs. LA Galaxy Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the St Louis City vs. LA Galaxy MLS match on July 22, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS
St Louis City
3
1
Dignity Health Sports Park
LA Galaxy
Dignity Health Sports Park
LA GalaxyLAG
Score Summary
St Louis CitySTL
C. Garces (49')
Red Card icon
T. Elgersma (86')
Soccer ball icon
L. MacNaughton (42')
Soccer ball icon
M. Hartel (45')
Soccer ball icon
S. Becher (68')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • LA Galaxy
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • St Louis City
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 86'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Los Angeles Galaxy by T. Elgersma
    3-1
  2. 86'
    Substitution
    Substitution for St. Louis City: P. Ault replaces S. Becher
  3. 86'
    Substitution
    Substitution for St. Louis City: M. Perez replaces D. Edelman
  4. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Los Angeles Galaxy: T. Elgersma replaces J. Paintsil
  5. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Los Angeles Galaxy: M. Yoshida replaces E. Wynder
  6. 71'
    Yellow Card
    J. Glesnes (Los Angeles Galaxy) cautioned
  7. 68'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for St. Louis City by S. Becher, assisted by M. Hartel
    3-0
  8. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Los Angeles Galaxy: I. Parente replaces L. Sanabria
  9. 64'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Los Angeles Galaxy: J. Aude replaces J. Nelson
  10. 62'
    Substitution
    Substitution for St. Louis City: S. Jeong replaces E. Lowen
  11. 62'
    Substitution
    Substitution for St. Louis City: J. Orozco replaces L. MacNaughton
  12. 62'
    Substitution
    Substitution for St. Louis City: Rafael Santos replaces M. Joyner
  13. 59'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Los Angeles Galaxy: R. Taylor replaces M. Reus
  14. 56'
    Yellow Card
    L. MacNaughton (St. Louis City) cautioned
  15. 49'
    Red Card
    C. Garces (Los Angeles Galaxy) sent off for a second yellow card
  16. 45'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for St. Louis City by M. Hartel, assisted by T. Totland
    2-0
  17. 45'
    Yellow Card
    C. Garces (Los Angeles Galaxy) cautioned
  18. 45'
    Yellow Card
    M. Reus (Los Angeles Galaxy) cautioned
  19. 42'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for St. Louis City by L. MacNaughton, assisted by M. Hartel
    1-0

St Louis City vs. LA Galaxy: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: St Louis City vs. LA Galaxy
  • Date: Wednesday, July 22, 2026
  • Time: 10:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Dignity Health Sports Park

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: St Louis City +250, LA Galaxy +125, draw +270
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-162/+130)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • St Louis City: 29.9%
  • LA Galaxy: 46.8%
  • Draw: 23.3%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: St Louis City 1-1 LA Galaxy (10.6%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win St Louis City vs. LA Galaxy? Prediction & correct score

LA Galaxy is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 46.8%.

The most likely correct score is St Louis City 1-1 LA Galaxy.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Get Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

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