Portland vs. Montreal Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Portland vs. Montreal MLS match on May 13, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS
Portland
2
:
2
Saputo Stadium
Montreal
Saputo Stadium
MontrealMTL
Score Summary
PortlandPOR
D. Rios (11')
Soccer ball icon
W. Carmona (45')
Soccer ball icon
K. Kelsy (21')
Soccer ball icon
C. Bassett (77')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Montreal
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Portland
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    P. Eullaffroy (CF Montreal) cautioned
  2. 90'
    Yellow Card
    D. Rios (CF Montreal) cautioned
  3. 88'
    Substitution
    Substitution for CF Montreal: M. Opoku replaces N. Streit
  4. 88'
    Substitution
    Substitution for CF Montreal: D. Bugaj replaces D. Thorhallsson
  5. 83'
    Yellow Card
    C. Bassett (Portland Timbers) cautioned
  6. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Portland Timbers: F. Mora replaces K. Kelsy
  7. 81'
    Yellow Card
    M. Longstaff (CF Montreal) cautioned
  8. 79'
    Yellow Card
    P. Owusu (CF Montreal) cautioned
  9. 77'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Portland Timbers by C. Bassett
    2-2
  10. 69'
    Substitution
    Substitution for CF Montreal: P. Owusu replaces D. Rios
  11. 69'
    Substitution
    Substitution for CF Montreal: Ivan Jaime replaces W. Carmona
  12. 68'
    Yellow Card
    J. Neal (CF Montreal) cautioned
  13. 59'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Portland Timbers: Antony replaces A. Aravena
  14. 59'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Portland Timbers: I. Smith replaces J. Fory
  15. 45'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for CF Montreal by W. Carmona, assisted by M. Longstaff
    1-2
  16. 35'
    Substitution
    Substitution for CF Montreal: S. Piette replaces O. Escobar
  17. 21'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Portland Timbers by K. Kelsy, assisted by K. Velde
    1-1
  18. 11'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for CF Montreal by D. Rios, assisted by M. Longstaff
    0-1
  19. 9'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Portland Timbers: D. Chara replaces J. Caicedo

Portland vs. Montreal: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Portland vs. Montreal
  • Date: Wednesday, May 13, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Saputo Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Portland +230, Montreal +125, draw +280
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-160/+135)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Portland: 33.6%
  • Montreal: 42.9%
  • Draw: 23.5%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Portland 1-1 Montreal (10.6%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win Portland vs. Montreal? Prediction & correct score

Montreal is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 42.9%.

The most likely correct score is Portland 1-1 Montreal.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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