Rockies vs. Padres Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Rockies vs. Padres MLB game on April 11, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Rockies
Ryan Feltner 1-0, 4.32 ERA
5
9
Apr 11, 8:40 PM ET Petco Park
Padres
Germán Márquez 1-1, 4.50 ERA
Apr 11, 8:40 PM ET Petco Park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Rockies
2 0 2 0 0 0 0 1 0 5 9 1
Padres
0 0 3 3 0 3 0 0 X 9 10 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Rockies
    0%
  • Padres
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Ezequiel Tovar pops out to shallow center field to Fernando Tatis.
Quick Box Score
Rockies Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 E. Julien 2B3221121.6672.467
2 E. Tovar SS5110000.2000.600
3 M. Moniak CF4234201.7503.000
4 H. Goodman DH4000003.0000.000
5 T. Johnston 1B4000001.0000.000
6 W. Castro PH1000001.0000.000
7 B. Sullivan C4010001.2500.750
8 T. Rumfield PH10100001.0002.000
9 T. Freeman RF2010000.5001.000
Padres Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 R. Laureano LF3323120.6672.800
2 F. Tatis 2B4031011.7501.800
3 J. Merrill CF4113011.2500.900
4 M. Machado 3B5112100.2001.000
5 B. Johnson RF0000000.0000.000
6 G. Sheets 1B4000002.0000.000
7 M. Andujar DH4120000.5001.250
8 F. Fermin C2200010.0000.500
9 J. Cronenworth SS3100011.0000.250

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Rockies vs. Padres: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Rockies vs. Padres
  • Date: Saturday, April 11, 2026
  • Time: 8:40 PM ET
  • Venue: Petco Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Padres favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Rockies +150, Padres -147

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Rockies: 40%
  • Padres: 60%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Rockies a win probability of 40%, while the Padres have a win probability of 60%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Padres are more likely to beat the Rockies in the MLB game at Petco Park on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Rockies vs. Padres predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.