Phillies vs. Diamondbacks: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Phillies vs. Diamondbacks MLB game on Monday, August 31, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Phillies
Aaron Nola 5-10, 5.04 ERA
2
1
Chase Field
D-Backs
Brandon Pfaadt 7-1, 3.51 ERA
Chase Field
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Phillies
0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 6 0
D-Backs
0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 9 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Phillies
    100%
  • D-Backs
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Gabriel Moreno grounds out to shortstop, Trea Turner to Alec Bohm.
Quick Box Score
Phillies Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 K. Schwarber DH3000010.0000.250
2 T. Turner SS3000011.0000.250
3 B. Harper RF4021000.5001.250
4 L. Arraez 2B4010000.2500.500
5 A. Bohm 1B3000010.0000.250
6 B. Stott 3B4111100.2501.250
7 B. Marsh LF4000001.0000.000
8 J. Crawford CF4010001.2500.500
9 G. Stubbs C4110000.2500.500
D-Backs Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 G. Perdomo SS4110012.2500.650
2 C. Carroll RF5010000.2000.400
3 G. Moreno C5021001.4001.000
4 K. Marte DH3010010.3330.833
5 J. Lawlar CF0000010.0001.000
6 N. Arenado 3B4010001.2500.500
7 T. Tawa 1B4000003.0000.000
8 I. Vargas 2B4010001.2500.500
9 R. Waldschmidt LF4020001.5001.000

Phillies vs. Diamondbacks: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Monday

  • Teams: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
  • Date: Monday, August 31, 2026
  • Time: 9:40PM ET
  • Venue: Chase Field

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Phillies (-1.5, +150), Diamondbacks (+1.5, -153)
  • Moneyline: Phillies -115, Diamondbacks +113
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5 runs (+108/-113)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Phillies: 51.8%
  • Diamondbacks: 48.2%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Phillies a win probability of 51.8%, while the Diamondbacks have a win probability of 48.2%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Phillies are more likely to beat the Diamondbacks in the MLB game at Chase Field on Monday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Phillies vs. Diamondbacks predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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