Sevilla vs. Real Sociedad Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Sevilla vs. Real Sociedad La Liga match on May 4, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
Real Sociedad
0
1
Sevilla
SevillaSEV
Score Summary
Real SociedadRSO
A. Sanchez (50')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Sevilla
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Real Sociedad
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sevilla: Peque replaces N. Maupay
  2. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sevilla: Oso replaces C. Ejuke
  3. 88'
    Yellow Card
    J. A. Carmona (Sevilla) cautioned
  4. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sevilla: B. Mendy replaces N. Gudelj
  5. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Sociedad: Wesley replaces J. Aramburu
  6. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Sociedad: L. Sucic replaces A. Barrenetxea
  7. 75'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sevilla: J. Sanchez replaces R. Vargas
  8. 75'
    Yellow Card
    A. Sanchez (Sevilla) cautioned
  9. 69'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Sociedad: Y. Herrera replaces B. Turrientes
  10. 58'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Sociedad: T. Kubo replaces P. Marin
  11. 50'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Sevilla by A. Sanchez, assisted by N. Maupay
    0-1
  12. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sevilla: A. Sanchez replaces I. Romero
  13. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Sociedad: O. Oskarsson replaces J. Gorrotxategi
  14. 28'
    Yellow Card
    J. Aramburu (Real Sociedad) cautioned
  15. 28'
    Yellow Card
    L. Garcia (Sevilla) cautioned

Sevilla vs. Real Sociedad: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Sevilla vs. Real Sociedad
  • Date: Monday, May 4, 2026
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Sevilla +150, Real Sociedad +210, draw +240
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+110/-125)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Sevilla: 39.3%
  • Real Sociedad: 34.4%
  • Draw: 26.3%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Sevilla 1-1 Real Sociedad (12.5%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win Sevilla vs. Real Sociedad? Prediction & correct score

Sevilla is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 39.3%.

The most likely correct score is Sevilla 1-1 Real Sociedad.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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