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Rayo Vallecano vs. Mallorca Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Rayo Vallecano vs. Mallorca at the La Liga on January 11, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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LA LIGA
Mallorca
1
2
Jan 11, 1PM Campo de Futbol de Vallecas
Rayo Vallecano
Jan 11, 1PM Campo de Futbol de Vallecas
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Rayo VallecanoRVC
Score Summary
MallorcaMCA
J. de Frutos (4')
Soccer ball icon
I. Palazon (pen.) (42')
Soccer ball icon
O. Valentin (80')
Red Card icon
V. Muriqi (30')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
RVC
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
MCA
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
85'
Yellow Card
P. Torre (Mallorca) cautioned
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Mallorca: J. Llabres replaces Samu Costa
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Mallorca: A. Prats replaces P. Maffeo
80'
Red Card
O. Valentin (Rayo Vallecano) sent off with a straight red card
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: R. Nteka replaces A. Garcia
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: F. Perez replaces C. Martin
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Mallorca: S. Darder replaces A. Sanchez
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Mallorca: P. Torre replaces O. Mascarell
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: G. Gumbau replaces P. Diaz
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: Pacha replaces J. de Frutos
61'
Yellow Card
P. Maffeo (Mallorca) cautioned
59'
Substitution
Substitution for Mallorca: M. Joseph replaces T. Lato
58'
Yellow Card
T. Lato (Mallorca) cautioned
46'
Yellow Card
J. de Frutos (Rayo Vallecano) cautioned
42'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Rayo Vallecano by I. Palazon (pen.)
1-2
40'
Yellow Card
M. Valjent (Mallorca) cautioned
38'
Substitution
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: I. Balliu replaces A. Ratiu
30'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Mallorca by V. Muriqi, assisted by T. Lato
1-1
15'
Yellow Card
J. Mojica (Mallorca) cautioned
4'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Rayo Vallecano by J. de Frutos, assisted by A. Garcia
0-1

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Rayo Vallecano vs. Mallorca: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Rayo Vallecano vs. Mallorca prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all La Liga matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Rayo Vallecano vs. Mallorca
  • Date: Sunday, January 11, 2026
  • Time: 8:00 AM ET
  • Venue: Campo de Futbol de Vallecas
  • Tournament: La Liga

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Rayo Vallecano -110, Mallorca +380, draw +220
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+140/-200)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Rayo Vallecano: 46.6%
  • Mallorca: 25.7%
  • Draw: 27.7%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Rayo Vallecano 1-0 Mallorca, with a probability of 14%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Rayo Vallecano is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 46.6% probability, while Mallorca sits at 25.7%, with the draw at 27.7%.

For full access to La Liga predictions, probabilities, and tools such as La Liga best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Rayo Vallecano vs. Mallorca prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the La Liga and the latest La Liga news.

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