Alaves vs. Real Sociedad Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Alaves vs. Real Sociedad La Liga match on December 6, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
Real Sociedad
0
1
Dec 6, 10:15 AM ET Estadio Mendizorrotza
Alaves
Dec 6, 10:15 AM ET Estadio Mendizorrotza
AlavesALA
Score Summary
Real SociedadRSO
L. Boye (pen.) (45')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Alaves
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Real Sociedad
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: Yusi replaces D. Suarez
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Sociedad: M. Goti Lopez replaces C. Soler
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Sociedad: A. Zakharyan replaces J. Gorrotxategi
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Sociedad: J. Karrikaburu replaces T. Kubo
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: M. Diarra replaces A. Guevara
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: C. Alena replaces A. Rebbach
69'
Yellow Card
N. Tenaglia (Alaves) cautioned
62'
Yellow Card
A. Guevara (Alaves) cautioned
56'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Sociedad: A. Barrenetxea replaces U. Sadiq
56'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Sociedad: D. Caleta-Car replaces A. Elustondo
51'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: C. Vicente replaces Calebe
45'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Alaves by L. Boye (pen.)
0-1
39'
Yellow Card
J. Aramburu (Real Sociedad) cautioned
29'
Yellow Card
J. Gorrotxategi (Real Sociedad) cautioned

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Alaves vs. Real Sociedad: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Alaves vs. Real Sociedad
  • Date: Saturday, December 6, 2025
  • Time: 10:15 AM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Mendizorrotza

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Alaves +175, Real Sociedad +190, draw +200
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+145/-200)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Alaves: 34.0%
  • Real Sociedad: 36.8%
  • Draw: 29.2%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Alaves 1-1 Real Sociedad (13.4%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Alaves vs. Real Sociedad? Prediction & correct score

Real Sociedad is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 36.8%.

The most likely correct score is Alaves 1-1 Real Sociedad.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Alaves vs. Real Sociedad, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.