Alaves vs. Real Sociedad Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Alaves vs. Real Sociedad La Liga match on December 6, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
Real Sociedad
0
1
Estadio Mendizorrotza
Alaves
Estadio Mendizorrotza
AlavesALA
Score Summary
Real SociedadRSO
L. Boye (pen.) (45')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Alaves
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Real Sociedad
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Alaves: Yusi replaces D. Suarez
  2. 87'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Sociedad: M. Goti Lopez replaces C. Soler
  3. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Sociedad: A. Zakharyan replaces J. Gorrotxategi
  4. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Sociedad: J. Karrikaburu replaces T. Kubo
  5. 76'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Alaves: M. Diarra replaces A. Guevara
  6. 76'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Alaves: C. Alena replaces A. Rebbach
  7. 69'
    Yellow Card
    N. Tenaglia (Alaves) cautioned
  8. 62'
    Yellow Card
    A. Guevara (Alaves) cautioned
  9. 56'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Sociedad: A. Barrenetxea replaces U. Sadiq
  10. 56'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Sociedad: D. Caleta-Car replaces A. Elustondo
  11. 51'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Alaves: C. Vicente replaces Calebe
  12. 45'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Alaves by L. Boye (pen.)
    0-1
  13. 39'
    Yellow Card
    J. Aramburu (Real Sociedad) cautioned
  14. 29'
    Yellow Card
    J. Gorrotxategi (Real Sociedad) cautioned

Alaves vs. Real Sociedad: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Alaves vs. Real Sociedad
  • Date: Saturday, December 6, 2025
  • Time: 10:15 AM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Mendizorrotza

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Alaves +175, Real Sociedad +190, draw +200
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+145/-200)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Alaves: 34.0%
  • Real Sociedad: 36.8%
  • Draw: 29.2%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Alaves 1-1 Real Sociedad (13.4%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win Alaves vs. Real Sociedad? Prediction & correct score

Real Sociedad is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 36.8%.

The most likely correct score is Alaves 1-1 Real Sociedad.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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