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Alaves vs. Real Sociedad Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Alaves vs. Real Sociedad La Liga game on December 6, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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LA LIGA
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LA LIGA
Real Sociedad
0
1
Dec 6, 3:15PM Estadio Mendizorrotza
Alaves
Dec 6, 3:15PM Estadio Mendizorrotza
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
AlavesALA
Score Summary
Real SociedadRSO
L. Boye (pen.) (45')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
ALA
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
RSO
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: Yusi replaces D. Suarez
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Sociedad: M. Goti Lopez replaces C. Soler
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Sociedad: A. Zakharyan replaces J. Gorrotxategi
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Sociedad: J. Karrikaburu replaces T. Kubo
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: M. Diarra replaces A. Guevara
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: C. Alena replaces A. Rebbach
69'
Yellow Card
N. Tenaglia (Alaves) cautioned
62'
Yellow Card
A. Guevara (Alaves) cautioned
56'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Sociedad: A. Barrenetxea replaces U. Sadiq
56'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Sociedad: D. Caleta-Car replaces A. Elustondo
51'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: C. Vicente replaces Calebe
45'
Goal scored for Alaves by L. Boye (pen.)
0-1
39'
Yellow Card
J. Aramburu (Real Sociedad) cautioned
29'
Yellow Card
J. Gorrotxategi (Real Sociedad) cautioned

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Alaves vs. Real Sociedad: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Alaves vs. Real Sociedad
  • Date: Saturday, December 6, 2025
  • Time: 10:15 AM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Mendizorrotza

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Alaves +175, Real Sociedad +190, Draw +200
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (+145/-200)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Alaves: 34.0%
  • Real Sociedad: 36.8%
  • Draw: 29.2%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this La Liga game is Alaves 1-1 Real Sociedad, which has a correct score probability of 13%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Alaves a win probability of 34.0%, while Real Sociedad has a win probability of 36.8%. The chance of a draw is 29.2%.

Summary

Our Alaves vs. Real Sociedad predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert La Liga predictions and the best La Liga bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes La Liga futures, La Liga odds, and the latest La Liga news.

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