Aston Villa vs. Liverpool Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Aston Villa vs. Liverpool Premier League match on May 15, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Liverpool
2
4
Villa Park
Aston Villa
Villa Park
Aston VillaVIL
Score Summary
LiverpoolLFC
M. Rogers (42')
Soccer ball icon
O. Watkins (57')
Soccer ball icon
O. Watkins (73')
Soccer ball icon
J. McGinn (89')
Soccer ball icon
V. van Dijk (52')
Soccer ball icon
V. van Dijk (90')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Aston Villa
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Liverpool
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Aston Villa: J. Sancho replaces J. McGinn
  2. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Aston Villa: Douglas Luiz replaces Y. Tielemans
  3. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Liverpool by V. van Dijk, assisted by D. Szoboszlai
    2-4
  4. 89'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Aston Villa by J. McGinn, assisted by O. Watkins
    1-4
  5. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Aston Villa: I. Maatsen replaces E. Buendia
  6. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Liverpool: M. Salah replaces C. Gakpo
  7. 73'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Aston Villa by O. Watkins
    1-3
  8. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Liverpool: F. Chiesa replaces J. Gomez
  9. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Liverpool: F. Wirtz replaces R. Gravenberch
  10. 66'
    Yellow Card
    J. McGinn (Aston Villa) cautioned
  11. 62'
    Yellow Card
    J. Gomez (Liverpool) cautioned
  12. 57'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Aston Villa by O. Watkins, assisted by M. Rogers
    1-2
  13. 52'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Liverpool by V. van Dijk, assisted by D. Szoboszlai
    1-1
  14. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Aston Villa: R. Barkley replaces V. Lindelof
  15. 45'
    Yellow Card
    O. Watkins (Aston Villa) cautioned
  16. 42'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Aston Villa by M. Rogers, assisted by L. Digne
    0-1
  17. 38'
    Yellow Card
    M. Cash (Aston Villa) cautioned

Aston Villa vs. Liverpool: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Aston Villa vs. Liverpool
  • Date: Friday, May 15, 2026
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Villa Park

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Aston Villa +175, Liverpool +155, draw +250
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-114/+100)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Aston Villa: 32.3%
  • Liverpool: 43.8%
  • Draw: 24.0%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Premier League data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Aston Villa 1-1 Liverpool (11.0%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win Aston Villa vs. Liverpool? Prediction & correct score

Liverpool is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 43.8%.

The most likely correct score is Aston Villa 1-1 Liverpool.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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