Arsenal vs. Burnley Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Arsenal vs. Burnley Premier League match on May 18, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Burnley
0
1
Emirates Stadium
Arsenal
Emirates Stadium
ArsenalARS
Score Summary
BurnleyBUR
K. Havertz (37')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Arsenal
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Burnley
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    Z. Flemming (Burnley) cautioned
  2. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Arsenal: G. Martinelli replaces L. Trossard
  3. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Arsenal: M. Zubimendi replaces M. Odegaard
  4. 90'
    Yellow Card
    Lucas Pires (Burnley) cautioned
  5. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Burnley: B. Humphreys replaces M. Esteve
  6. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Burnley: J. Bruun Larsen replaces L. Tchaouna
  7. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Burnley: J. Ward-Prowse replaces Florentino
  8. 73'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Arsenal: V. Gyokeres replaces K. Havertz
  9. 73'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Arsenal: M. Lewis-Skelly replaces E. Eze
  10. 72'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Arsenal: P. Hincapie replaces R. Calafiori
  11. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Burnley: J. Laurent replaces L. Ugochukwu
  12. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Burnley: Z. Amdouni replaces H. Mejbri
  13. 67'
    Yellow Card
    K. Havertz (Arsenal) cautioned
  14. 37'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Arsenal by K. Havertz, assisted by B. Saka
    0-1
  15. 28'
    Yellow Card
    H. Mejbri (Burnley) cautioned

Arsenal vs. Burnley: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Arsenal vs. Burnley
  • Date: Monday, May 18, 2026
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Emirates Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Arsenal -800, Burnley +3000, draw +1000
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-275/+220)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Arsenal: 84.6%
  • Burnley: 4.4%
  • Draw: 11.0%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Premier League data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Arsenal 2-0 Burnley (14.1%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Arsenal vs. Burnley? Prediction & correct score

Arsenal is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 84.6%.

The most likely correct score is Arsenal 2-0 Burnley.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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