Newcastle vs. Brighton Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Newcastle vs. Brighton Premier League match on May 2, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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Brighton
1
3
Newcastle
NewcastleNEW
Score Summary
BrightonBHA
W. Osula (12')
Soccer ball icon
D. Burn (24')
Soccer ball icon
H. Barnes (90')
Soccer ball icon
J. Hinshelwood (61')
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Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Newcastle
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Brighton
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Newcastle: J. Ramsey replaces Bruno Guimaraes
  2. 90'
    Yellow Card
    J. P. van Hecke (Brighton) cautioned
  3. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Newcastle by H. Barnes
    1-3
  4. 88'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Brighton: L. Dunk replaces J. Hinshelwood
  5. 87'
    Yellow Card
    F. Hurzeler (Brighton) cautioned
  6. 87'
    Yellow Card
    Y. Wissa (Newcastle) cautioned
  7. 85'
    Yellow Card
    S. Tonali (Newcastle) cautioned
  8. 81'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Brighton: M. De Cuyper replaces J. Veltman
  9. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Brighton: C. Kostoulas replaces C. Baleba
  10. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Brighton: G. Rutter replaces D. Welbeck
  11. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Newcastle: L. Hall replaces J. Willock
  12. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Newcastle: H. Barnes replaces J. Murphy
  13. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Newcastle: Y. Wissa replaces W. Osula
  14. 61'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Brighton by J. Hinshelwood, assisted by D. Welbeck
    1-2
  15. 53'
    Yellow Card
    D. Burn (Newcastle) cautioned
  16. 39'
    Yellow Card
    K. Mitoma (Brighton) cautioned
  17. 24'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Newcastle by D. Burn, assisted by Bruno Guimaraes
    0-2
  18. 22'
    Yellow Card
    J. Veltman (Brighton) cautioned
  19. 18'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Brighton: J. Veltman replaces M. Wieffer
  20. 12'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Newcastle by W. Osula, assisted by J. Murphy
    0-1

Newcastle vs. Brighton: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Newcastle vs. Brighton
  • Date: Saturday, May 2, 2026
  • Time: 10:00 AM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Newcastle +170, Brighton +150, draw +260
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-140/+120)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Newcastle: 37.6%
  • Brighton: 38.1%
  • Draw: 24.4%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Premier League data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Newcastle 1-1 Brighton (11.2%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Newcastle vs. Brighton? Prediction & correct score

Brighton is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 38.1%.

The most likely correct score is Newcastle 1-1 Brighton.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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Responsible gambling

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