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Leeds vs. Burnley Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Leeds vs. Burnley at the Premier League on May 1, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Burnley
vs.
May 1, 7PM Elland Road
Leeds
May 1, 7PM Elland Road
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Pre-Game Probabilities Last Updated: 3:15PM, Apr 26
Moneyline
Correct Score
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
Burnley BUR
15.3%
bet365
Draw
21.9%
BetRivers
Leeds LU
62.8%
DraftKings

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Leeds vs. Burnley: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Leeds vs. Burnley prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Premier League matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Leeds vs. Burnley
  • Date: Friday, May 1, 2026
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Elland Road
  • Tournament: Premier League

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Leeds -230, Burnley +650, draw +380
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-150/+120)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Leeds: 62.8%
  • Burnley: 15.3%
  • Draw: 21.9%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Leeds 1-0 Burnley, with a probability of 13%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Leeds is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 62.8% probability, while Burnley sits at 15.3%, with the draw at 21.9%.

For full access to Premier League predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Premier League best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Leeds vs. Burnley prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Premier League and the latest Premier League news.

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