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Burnley vs. Manchester City Prediction, Picks and Odds
Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Burnley vs. Manchester City Premier League match on April 22, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
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PREMIER LEAGUE
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Apr 22, 3:00 PM ET Turf Moor
Apr 22, 3:00 PM ET Turf Moor
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Pre-Game PredictionsPre-Game
Pro Bets
Score Summary
E. Haaland (5')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
- Burnley
- Manchester City
Win Probability
Match Timeline
Substitution for Burnley: M. Edwards replaces J. Laurent
Substitution for Burnley: M. Tresor Ndayishimiye replaces J. Anthony
Substitution for Burnley: A. Broja replaces Z. Flemming
Substitution for Burnley: Florentino replaces B. Humphreys
Substitution for Burnley: L. Foster replaces L. Tchaouna
Substitution for Manchester City: Nico replaces R. Ait-Nouri
Substitution for Manchester City: Savinho replaces A. Semenyo
Goal scored for Manchester City by E. Haaland, assisted by J. Doku
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Burnley vs. Manchester City: Match prediction & analysis
Match overview
- Teams: Burnley vs. Manchester City
- Date: Wednesday, April 22, 2026
- Time: 3:00 PM ET
- Venue: Turf Moor
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Burnley +1900, Manchester City -600, draw +800
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-275/+220)
Dimers' win & correct score probabilities
- Burnley: 6.9%
- Manchester City: 80.5%
- Draw: 12.6%
These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Premier League data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.
Most likely correct score: Burnley 0-2 Manchester City (11.5%)
Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.
Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?
The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.
The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.
Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:
- Today's best bets
- Moneyline probabilities
- Total goals probabilities
- Correct score probabilities
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Who will win Burnley vs. Manchester City? Prediction & correct score
Manchester City is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 80.5%.
The most likely correct score is Burnley 0-2 Manchester City.
But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.
Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.
Responsible gambling
Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Burnley vs. Manchester City, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.
