Newcastle vs. Bournemouth Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Newcastle vs. Bournemouth Premier League match on April 18, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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Bournemouth
2
1
Newcastle
NewcastleNEW
Score Summary
BournemouthAFC
W. Osula (68')
Soccer ball icon
M. Tavernier (32')
Soccer ball icon
A. Truffert (85')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Newcastle
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Bournemouth
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    D. Petrovic (Bournemouth) cautioned
  2. 89'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Bournemouth: E. Unal replaces Evanilson
  3. 89'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Bournemouth: A. Toth replaces M. Tavernier
  4. 86'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Newcastle: N. Woltemade replaces S. Tonali
  5. 85'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Bournemouth by A. Truffert, assisted by Evanilson
    2-1
  6. 82'
    Yellow Card
    A. Scott (Bournemouth) cautioned
  7. 80'
    Yellow Card
    J. Murphy (Newcastle) cautioned
  8. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Bournemouth: B. Doak replaces Rayan
  9. 77'
    Yellow Card
    S. Botman (Newcastle) cautioned
  10. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Newcastle: D. Burn replaces V. Livramento
  11. 68'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Newcastle by W. Osula
    1-1
  12. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Bournemouth: D. Brooks replaces E. J. Kroupi
  13. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Bournemouth: T. Adams replaces R. Christie
  14. 62'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Newcastle: J. Murphy replaces A. Elanga
  15. 62'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Newcastle: Bruno Guimaraes replaces J. Ramsey
  16. 55'
    Yellow Card
    M. Tavernier (Bournemouth) cautioned
  17. 52'
    Yellow Card
    R. Christie (Bournemouth) cautioned
  18. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Newcastle: K. Trippier replaces L. Hall
  19. 32'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Bournemouth by M. Tavernier, assisted by Rayan
    1-0

Newcastle vs. Bournemouth: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Newcastle vs. Bournemouth
  • Date: Saturday, April 18, 2026
  • Time: 10:00 AM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Newcastle +120, Bournemouth +210, draw +290
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-188/+150)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Newcastle: 43.5%
  • Bournemouth: 33.5%
  • Draw: 23.0%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Premier League data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Newcastle 1-1 Bournemouth (10.1%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Newcastle vs. Bournemouth? Prediction & correct score

Newcastle is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 43.5%.

The most likely correct score is Newcastle 1-1 Bournemouth.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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Responsible gambling

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