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Chelsea vs. Manchester City Prediction, Picks and Odds
Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Chelsea vs. Manchester City Premier League match on April 12, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
FINAL
PREMIER LEAGUE
FINAL
PREMIER LEAGUE
3
0
Apr 12, 11:30 AM ET Stamford Bridge
Apr 12, 11:30 AM ET Stamford Bridge
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Pre-Game PredictionsPre-Game
Pro Bets
Score Summary
N. O'Reilly (51')
M. Guehi (57')
J. Doku (68')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
- Chelsea
- Manchester City
Win Probability
Match Timeline
D. Essugo (Chelsea) cautioned
Substitution for Chelsea: J. Acheampong replaces M. Gusto
Substitution for Chelsea: D. Essugo replaces M. Caicedo
Substitution for Manchester City: M. Kovacic replaces B. Silva
Substitution for Chelsea: L. Delap replaces Joao Pedro
Substitution for Manchester City: P. Foden replaces R. Cherki
Substitution for Manchester City: Savinho replaces J. Doku
Goal scored for Manchester City by J. Doku
3-0
Substitution for Chelsea: R. Lavia replaces Andrey Santos
Substitution for Chelsea: A. Garnacho replaces Estevao
Substitution for Manchester City: R. Ait-Nouri replaces N. O'Reilly
Goal scored for Manchester City by M. Guehi, assisted by R. Cherki
2-0
M. Cucurella (Chelsea) cautioned
Goal scored for Manchester City by N. O'Reilly, assisted by R. Cherki
1-0
A. Semenyo (Manchester City) cautioned
Estevao (Chelsea) cautioned
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Chelsea vs. Manchester City: Match prediction & analysis
Match overview
- Teams: Chelsea vs. Manchester City
- Date: Sunday, April 12, 2026
- Time: 11:30 AM ET
- Venue: Stamford Bridge
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Chelsea +260, Manchester City -105, draw +320
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-188/+150)
Dimers' win & correct score probabilities
- Chelsea: 28.8%
- Manchester City: 48.9%
- Draw: 22.3%
These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Premier League data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.
Most likely correct score: Chelsea 1-1 Manchester City (9.7%)
Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.
Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?
The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.
The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.
Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:
- Today's best bets
- Moneyline probabilities
- Total goals probabilities
- Correct score probabilities
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Who will win Chelsea vs. Manchester City? Prediction & correct score
Manchester City is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 48.9%.
The most likely correct score is Chelsea 1-1 Manchester City.
But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.
Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.
Responsible gambling
Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Chelsea vs. Manchester City, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.
