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Brighton vs. Liverpool Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Brighton vs. Liverpool at the Premier League on March 21, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Liverpool
1
2
Mar 21, 12:30PM Amex Stadium
Brighton
Mar 21, 12:30PM Amex Stadium
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
BrightonBHA
Score Summary
LiverpoolLFC
D. Welbeck (14')
Soccer ball icon
D. Welbeck (56')
Soccer ball icon
M. Kerkez (30')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
BHA
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
LFC
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
F. Chiesa (Liverpool) cautioned
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Brighton: J. Veltman replaces D. Gomez
90'
Yellow Card
M. Wieffer (Brighton) cautioned
85'
Yellow Card
L. Dunk (Brighton) cautioned
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Brighton: G. Rutter replaces D. Welbeck
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Brighton: Y. Ayari replaces J. Hinshelwood
79'
Yellow Card
D. Szoboszlai (Liverpool) cautioned
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Liverpool: F. Chiesa replaces I. Konate
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Brighton: K. Mitoma replaces Y. Minteh
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Brighton: C. Baleba replaces J. Milner
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Liverpool: A. Robertson replaces M. Kerkez
68'
Yellow Card
A. Mac Allister (Liverpool) cautioned
68'
Yellow Card
F. Hurzeler (Brighton) cautioned
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Liverpool: R. Ngumoha replaces J. Frimpong
61'
Yellow Card
J. Frimpong (Liverpool) cautioned
56'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Brighton by D. Welbeck, assisted by J. Hinshelwood
1-2
48'
Yellow Card
D. Welbeck (Brighton) cautioned
45'
Yellow Card
I. Konate (Liverpool) cautioned
45'
Yellow Card
D. Gomez (Brighton) cautioned
30'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Liverpool by M. Kerkez
1-1
25'
Yellow Card
Y. Minteh (Brighton) cautioned
14'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Brighton by D. Welbeck, assisted by D. Gomez
0-1
8'
Substitution
Substitution for Liverpool: C. Jones replaces H. Ekitike

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Brighton vs. Liverpool: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Brighton vs. Liverpool prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Premier League matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Brighton vs. Liverpool
  • Date: Saturday, March 21, 2026
  • Time: 8:30 AM ET
  • Venue: Amex Stadium
  • Tournament: Premier League

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Brighton +220, Liverpool +123, draw +280
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-160/+142)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Brighton: 28.2%
  • Liverpool: 48.6%
  • Draw: 23.3%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Brighton 1-1 Liverpool, with a probability of 11%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Brighton is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 28.2% probability, while Liverpool sits at 48.6%, with the draw at 23.3%.

For full access to Premier League predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Premier League best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Brighton vs. Liverpool prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Premier League and the latest Premier League news.

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