Brighton vs. Liverpool Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Brighton vs. Liverpool Premier League match on March 21, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Liverpool
1
2
Amex Stadium
Brighton
Amex Stadium
BrightonBHA
Score Summary
LiverpoolLFC
D. Welbeck (14')
Soccer ball icon
D. Welbeck (56')
Soccer ball icon
M. Kerkez (30')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Brighton
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Liverpool
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    F. Chiesa (Liverpool) cautioned
  2. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Brighton: J. Veltman replaces D. Gomez
  3. 90'
    Yellow Card
    M. Wieffer (Brighton) cautioned
  4. 85'
    Yellow Card
    L. Dunk (Brighton) cautioned
  5. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Brighton: G. Rutter replaces D. Welbeck
  6. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Brighton: Y. Ayari replaces J. Hinshelwood
  7. 79'
    Yellow Card
    D. Szoboszlai (Liverpool) cautioned
  8. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Liverpool: F. Chiesa replaces I. Konate
  9. 76'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Brighton: K. Mitoma replaces Y. Minteh
  10. 76'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Brighton: C. Baleba replaces J. Milner
  11. 76'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Liverpool: A. Robertson replaces M. Kerkez
  12. 68'
    Yellow Card
    A. Mac Allister (Liverpool) cautioned
  13. 68'
    Yellow Card
    F. Hurzeler (Brighton) cautioned
  14. 63'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Liverpool: R. Ngumoha replaces J. Frimpong
  15. 61'
    Yellow Card
    J. Frimpong (Liverpool) cautioned
  16. 56'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Brighton by D. Welbeck, assisted by J. Hinshelwood
    1-2
  17. 48'
    Yellow Card
    D. Welbeck (Brighton) cautioned
  18. 45'
    Yellow Card
    I. Konate (Liverpool) cautioned
  19. 45'
    Yellow Card
    D. Gomez (Brighton) cautioned
  20. 30'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Liverpool by M. Kerkez
    1-1
  21. 25'
    Yellow Card
    Y. Minteh (Brighton) cautioned
  22. 14'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Brighton by D. Welbeck, assisted by D. Gomez
    0-1
  23. 8'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Liverpool: C. Jones replaces H. Ekitike

Brighton vs. Liverpool: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Brighton vs. Liverpool
  • Date: Saturday, March 21, 2026
  • Time: 8:30 AM ET
  • Venue: Amex Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Brighton +220, Liverpool +123, draw +280
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-160/+142)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Brighton: 28.2%
  • Liverpool: 48.6%
  • Draw: 23.3%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Premier League data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Brighton 1-1 Liverpool (10.6%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Brighton vs. Liverpool? Prediction & correct score

Liverpool is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 48.6%.

The most likely correct score is Brighton 1-1 Liverpool.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Get Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

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