Sunderland vs. Brighton Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Sunderland vs. Brighton Premier League match on March 14, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Brighton
1
0
Stadium of Light
Sunderland
Stadium of Light
SunderlandSUN
Score Summary
BrightonBHA
Y. Minteh (58')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Sunderland
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Brighton
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Brighton: J. Veltman replaces D. Gomez
  2. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Brighton: M. O'Riley replaces D. Welbeck
  3. 88'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Brighton: Y. Ayari replaces J. Hinshelwood
  4. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sunderland: D. Cirkin replaces C. Talbi
  5. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sunderland: E. Mayenda replaces B. Brobbey
  6. 76'
    Yellow Card
    G. Xhaka (Sunderland) cautioned
  7. 76'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Brighton: M. De Cuyper replaces Y. Minteh
  8. 74'
    Yellow Card
    Y. Minteh (Brighton) cautioned
  9. 64'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sunderland: L. O'Nien replaces D. Ballard
  10. 58'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Brighton by Y. Minteh
    1-0
  11. 51'
    Yellow Card
    D. Gomez (Brighton) cautioned
  12. 49'
    VAR: Goal Disallowed - offside

Sunderland vs. Brighton: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Sunderland vs. Brighton
  • Date: Saturday, March 14, 2026
  • Time: 11:00 AM ET
  • Venue: Stadium of Light

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Sunderland +280, Brighton +102, draw +250
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+108/-124)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Sunderland: 30.3%
  • Brighton: 43.2%
  • Draw: 26.5%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Premier League data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Sunderland 1-1 Brighton (12.6%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Sunderland vs. Brighton? Prediction & correct score

Brighton is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 43.2%.

The most likely correct score is Sunderland 1-1 Brighton.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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