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Newcastle vs. Manchester United Prediction, Picks and Odds
Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Newcastle vs. Manchester United Premier League match on March 4, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
FINAL
PREMIER LEAGUE
FINAL
PREMIER LEAGUE
1
2
Mar 4, 3:15 PM ET
Mar 4, 3:15 PM ET
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Pre-Game PredictionsPre-Game
Pro Bets
Score Summary
J. Ramsey (45')
A. Gordon (pen.) (45')
W. Osula (90')
Casemiro (45')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
- Newcastle
- Manchester United
Win Probability
Match Timeline
Goal scored for Newcastle by W. Osula, assisted by K. Trippier
1-2
Substitution for Newcastle: S. Botman replaces S. Tonali
Substitution for Newcastle: W. Osula replaces A. Gordon
Substitution for Manchester Utd: T. Malacia replaces N. Mazraoui
Substitution for Newcastle: J. Murphy replaces A. Elanga
K. Trippier (Newcastle) cautioned
Substitution for Manchester Utd: J. Zirkzee replaces B. Mbeumo
Substitution for Manchester Utd: A. Diallo replaces K. Mainoo
N. Mazraoui (Manchester Utd) cautioned
Substitution for Manchester Utd: M. Ugarte replaces L. Shaw
Substitution for Manchester Utd: D. Dalot replaces Casemiro
Substitution for Newcastle: J. Willock replaces H. Barnes
J. Ramsey (Newcastle) sent off for a second yellow card
Goal scored for Newcastle by A. Gordon (pen.)
0-1
Goal scored for Manchester Utd by Casemiro, assisted by B. Fernandes
1-1
L. Shaw (Manchester Utd) cautioned
Joelinton (Newcastle) cautioned
B. Mbeumo (Manchester Utd) cautioned
J. Ramsey (Newcastle) cautioned
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Newcastle vs. Manchester United: Match prediction & analysis
Match overview
- Teams: Newcastle vs. Manchester United
- Date: Wednesday, March 4, 2026
- Time: 3:15 PM ET
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Newcastle +165, Manchester United +155, draw +270
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-170/+130)
Dimers' win & correct score probabilities
- Newcastle: 38.6%
- Manchester United: 37.4%
- Draw: 23.9%
These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Premier League data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.
Most likely correct score: Newcastle 1-1 Manchester United (10.9%)
Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.
Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?
The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.
The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.
Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:
- Today's best bets
- Moneyline probabilities
- Total goals probabilities
- Correct score probabilities
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Who will win Newcastle vs. Manchester United? Prediction & correct score
Newcastle is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 38.6%.
The most likely correct score is Newcastle 1-1 Manchester United.
But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.
Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.
Responsible gambling
Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Newcastle vs. Manchester United, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.
