Everton vs. Burnley Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Everton vs. Burnley Premier League match on March 3, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Burnley
0
2
Hill Dickinson Stadium
Everton
Hill Dickinson Stadium
EvertonEVE
Score Summary
BurnleyBUR
J. Tarkowski (32')
Soccer ball icon
K. Dewsbury-Hall (60')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Everton
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Burnley
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Everton: T. Dibling replaces I. Ndiaye
  2. 87'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Everton: T. George replaces D. McNeil
  3. 87'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Everton: T. Iroegbunam replaces I. Gueye
  4. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Everton: T. Barry replaces Beto
  5. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Everton: M. Keane replaces J. Branthwaite
  6. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Burnley: A. Barnes replaces L. Ugochukwu
  7. 72'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Burnley: J. Laurent replaces H. Mejbri
  8. 64'
    Yellow Card
    B. Humphreys (Burnley) cautioned
  9. 60'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Everton by K. Dewsbury-Hall, assisted by I. Ndiaye
    0-2
  10. 57'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Burnley: L. Tchaouna replaces J. Worrall
  11. 57'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Burnley: J. Ward-Prowse replaces Florentino
  12. 32'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Everton by J. Tarkowski, assisted by J. Garner
    0-1

Everton vs. Burnley: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Everton vs. Burnley
  • Date: Tuesday, March 3, 2026
  • Time: 2:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Hill Dickinson Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Everton -160, Burnley +500, draw +290
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+110/-134)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Everton: 59.7%
  • Burnley: 17.2%
  • Draw: 23.0%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Premier League data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Everton 1-0 Burnley (13.1%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win Everton vs. Burnley? Prediction & correct score

Everton is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 59.7%.

The most likely correct score is Everton 1-0 Burnley.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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