Wolves vs. Aston Villa Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Wolves vs. Aston Villa Premier League match on February 27, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Aston Villa
0
2
Molineux Stadium
Wolves
Molineux Stadium
WolvesWOL
Score Summary
Aston VillaVIL
Joao Gomes (61')
Soccer ball icon
R. Gomes (90')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Wolves
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Aston Villa
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Wolves: A. Gomes replaces Andre
  2. 90'
    Yellow Card
    M. Cash (Aston Villa) cautioned
  3. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Wolves: R. Gomes replaces A. Armstrong
  4. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Wolves by R. Gomes
    0-2
  5. 86'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Aston Villa: Alysson replaces O. Watkins
  6. 81'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Wolves: T. Arokodare replaces J. Bellegarde
  7. 75'
    Yellow Card
    L. Bailey (Aston Villa) cautioned
  8. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Aston Villa: T. Abraham replaces E. Buendia
  9. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Aston Villa: I. Maatsen replaces L. Digne
  10. 61'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Wolves by Joao Gomes, assisted by A. Armstrong
    0-1
  11. 60'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Aston Villa: L. Bailey replaces J. Sancho
  12. 60'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Aston Villa: R. Barkley replaces Douglas Luiz
  13. 59'
    Yellow Card
    J. Bellegarde (Wolves) cautioned
  14. 54'
    Yellow Card
    E. Buendia (Aston Villa) cautioned
  15. 52'
    Yellow Card
    A. Armstrong (Wolves) cautioned
  16. 45'
    Yellow Card
    Y. Mosquera (Wolves) cautioned

Wolves vs. Aston Villa: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Wolves vs. Aston Villa
  • Date: Friday, February 27, 2026
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Molineux Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Wolves +390, Aston Villa -135, draw +285
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-110/-107)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Wolves: 23.7%
  • Aston Villa: 52.9%
  • Draw: 23.5%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Premier League data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Wolves 1-1 Aston Villa (11.1%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Wolves vs. Aston Villa? Prediction & correct score

Aston Villa is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 52.9%.

The most likely correct score is Wolves 1-1 Aston Villa.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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