Newcastle vs. Everton Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Newcastle vs. Everton Premier League match on February 28, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Everton
3
2
Newcastle
NewcastleNEW
Score Summary
EvertonEVE
J. Ramsey (32')
Soccer ball icon
J. Murphy (82')
Soccer ball icon
J. Branthwaite (19')
Soccer ball icon
Beto (34')
Soccer ball icon
T. Barry (83')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Newcastle
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Everton
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    T. Barry (Everton) cautioned
  2. 90'
    Yellow Card
    L. Hall (Newcastle) cautioned
  3. 89'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Everton: M. Keane replaces K. Dewsbury-Hall
  4. 88'
    Yellow Card
    D. Burn (Newcastle) cautioned
  5. 86'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Newcastle: W. Osula replaces A. Gordon
  6. 83'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Everton by T. Barry, assisted by K. Dewsbury-Hall
    3-2
  7. 82'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Newcastle by J. Murphy, assisted by Joelinton
    2-2
  8. 81'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Everton: H. Armstrong replaces D. McNeil
  9. 75'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Newcastle: Y. Wissa replaces K. Trippier
  10. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Everton: T. Barry replaces Beto
  11. 67'
    Yellow Card
    J. Garner (Everton) cautioned
  12. 61'
    Yellow Card
    J. Willock (Newcastle) cautioned
  13. 56'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Newcastle: J. Murphy replaces A. Elanga
  14. 56'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Newcastle: H. Barnes replaces N. Woltemade
  15. 53'
    Yellow Card
    K. Dewsbury-Hall (Everton) cautioned
  16. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Newcastle: J. Willock replaces J. Ramsey
  17. 34'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Everton by Beto
    2-1
  18. 32'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Newcastle by J. Ramsey, assisted by S. Tonali
    1-1
  19. 19'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Everton by J. Branthwaite, assisted by J. Garner
    1-0

Newcastle vs. Everton: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Newcastle vs. Everton
  • Date: Saturday, February 28, 2026
  • Time: 10:00 AM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Newcastle -125, Everton +350, draw +280
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-124/+108)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Newcastle: 51.8%
  • Everton: 24.5%
  • Draw: 23.7%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Premier League data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Newcastle 1-1 Everton (11.2%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Newcastle vs. Everton? Prediction & correct score

Newcastle is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 51.8%.

The most likely correct score is Newcastle 1-1 Everton.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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