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Leeds vs. Manchester City Prediction, Picks and Odds
Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Leeds vs. Manchester City Premier League match on February 28, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
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Feb 28, 12:30 PM ET Elland Road
Feb 28, 12:30 PM ET Elland Road
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Pre-Game PredictionsPre-Game
Pro Bets
Score Summary
D. Farke (90')
A. Semenyo (45')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
- Leeds
- Manchester City
Win Probability
Match Timeline
R. Ait-Nouri (Manchester City) cautioned
Savinho (Manchester City) cautioned
D. Farke (Leeds) sent off with a straight red card
Substitution for Manchester City: N. Ake replaces R. Cherki
Substitution for Leeds: J. Piroe replaces J. Justin
Substitution for Leeds: J. Bijol replaces J. Rodon
G. Donnarumma (Manchester City) cautioned
Substitution for Leeds: D. James replaces J. Bogle
Substitution for Leeds: W. Gnonto replaces I. Gruev
Substitution for Manchester City: T. Reijnders replaces N. O'Reilly
Substitution for Manchester City: Savinho replaces O. Marmoush
Substitution for Leeds: L. Nmecha replaces B. Aaronson
Goal scored for Manchester City by A. Semenyo, assisted by R. Ait-Nouri
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Leeds vs. Manchester City: Match prediction & analysis
Match overview
- Teams: Leeds vs. Manchester City
- Date: Saturday, February 28, 2026
- Time: 12:30 PM ET
- Venue: Elland Road
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Leeds +400, Manchester City -135, draw +300
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-124/+105)
Dimers' win & correct score probabilities
- Leeds: 20.4%
- Manchester City: 57.2%
- Draw: 22.4%
These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Premier League data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.
Most likely correct score: Leeds 1-1 Manchester City (10.6%)
Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.
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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.
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- Moneyline probabilities
- Total goals probabilities
- Correct score probabilities
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Who will win Leeds vs. Manchester City? Prediction & correct score
Manchester City is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 57.2%.
The most likely correct score is Leeds 1-1 Manchester City.
But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.
Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.
Responsible gambling
Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Leeds vs. Manchester City, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.
