Manchester City vs. Newcastle Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Manchester City vs. Newcastle Premier League match on February 21, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Newcastle
1
2
Etihad Stadium
Manchester City
Etihad Stadium
Manchester CityMNC
Score Summary
NewcastleNEW
N. O'Reilly (14')
Soccer ball icon
N. O'Reilly (27')
Soccer ball icon
L. Hall (22')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Manchester City
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Newcastle
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 89'
    Yellow Card
    Joelinton (Newcastle) cautioned
  2. 87'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Manchester City: P. Foden replaces A. Semenyo
  3. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Newcastle: J. Murphy replaces A. Elanga
  4. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Newcastle: W. Osula replaces A. Gordon
  5. 65'
    Yellow Card
    K. Trippier (Newcastle) cautioned
  6. 62'
    Yellow Card
    H. Barnes (Newcastle) cautioned
  7. 60'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Newcastle: Joelinton replaces N. Woltemade
  8. 60'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Newcastle: H. Barnes replaces J. Willock
  9. 58'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Manchester City: R. Cherki replaces O. Marmoush
  10. 50'
    Yellow Card
    B. Silva (Manchester City) cautioned
  11. 48'
    Yellow Card
    J. Willock (Newcastle) cautioned
  12. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Manchester City: A. Khusanov replaces R. Dias
  13. 41'
    Yellow Card
    R. Dias (Manchester City) cautioned
  14. 27'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Manchester City by N. O'Reilly, assisted by E. Haaland
    1-2
  15. 22'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Newcastle by L. Hall, assisted by J. Ramsey
    1-1
  16. 14'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Manchester City by N. O'Reilly, assisted by O. Marmoush
    0-1
  17. 9'
    Yellow Card
    D. Burn (Newcastle) cautioned

Manchester City vs. Newcastle: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Manchester City vs. Newcastle
  • Date: Saturday, February 21, 2026
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Etihad Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Manchester City -180, Newcastle +475, draw +380

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Manchester City: 67.3%
  • Newcastle: 14.3%
  • Draw: 18.4%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Premier League data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Manchester City 2-0 Newcastle (10.1%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win Manchester City vs. Newcastle? Prediction & correct score

Manchester City is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 67.3%.

The most likely correct score is Manchester City 2-0 Newcastle.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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