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Manchester City vs. Newcastle Prediction, Picks and Odds
Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Manchester City vs. Newcastle Premier League match on February 21, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
FINAL
PREMIER LEAGUE
FINAL
PREMIER LEAGUE
1
2
Feb 21, 3:00 PM ET Etihad Stadium
Feb 21, 3:00 PM ET Etihad Stadium
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Pre-Game PredictionsPre-Game
Pro Bets
Score Summary
N. O'Reilly (14')
N. O'Reilly (27')
L. Hall (22')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
- Manchester City
- Newcastle
Win Probability
Match Timeline
Joelinton (Newcastle) cautioned
Substitution for Manchester City: P. Foden replaces A. Semenyo
Substitution for Newcastle: J. Murphy replaces A. Elanga
Substitution for Newcastle: W. Osula replaces A. Gordon
K. Trippier (Newcastle) cautioned
H. Barnes (Newcastle) cautioned
Substitution for Newcastle: Joelinton replaces N. Woltemade
Substitution for Newcastle: H. Barnes replaces J. Willock
Substitution for Manchester City: R. Cherki replaces O. Marmoush
B. Silva (Manchester City) cautioned
J. Willock (Newcastle) cautioned
Substitution for Manchester City: A. Khusanov replaces R. Dias
R. Dias (Manchester City) cautioned
Goal scored for Manchester City by N. O'Reilly, assisted by E. Haaland
1-2
Goal scored for Newcastle by L. Hall, assisted by J. Ramsey
1-1
Goal scored for Manchester City by N. O'Reilly, assisted by O. Marmoush
0-1
D. Burn (Newcastle) cautioned
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Manchester City vs. Newcastle: Match prediction & analysis
Match overview
- Teams: Manchester City vs. Newcastle
- Date: Saturday, February 21, 2026
- Time: 3:00 PM ET
- Venue: Etihad Stadium
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Manchester City -180, Newcastle +475, draw +380
Dimers' win & correct score probabilities
- Manchester City: 67.3%
- Newcastle: 14.3%
- Draw: 18.4%
These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Premier League data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.
Most likely correct score: Manchester City 2-0 Newcastle (10.1%)
Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.
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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.
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- Today's best bets
- Moneyline probabilities
- Total goals probabilities
- Correct score probabilities
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Who will win Manchester City vs. Newcastle? Prediction & correct score
Manchester City is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 67.3%.
The most likely correct score is Manchester City 2-0 Newcastle.
But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.
Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.
Responsible gambling
Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Manchester City vs. Newcastle, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.
