Newcastle vs. Brentford Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Newcastle vs. Brentford Premier League match on February 7, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Brentford
3
2
Newcastle
NewcastleNEW
Score Summary
BrentfordBRE
S. Botman (24')
Soccer ball icon
Bruno Guimaraes (pen.) (79')
Soccer ball icon
V. Janelt (37')
Soccer ball icon
I. Thiago (pen.) (45')
Soccer ball icon
D. Ouattara (85')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Newcastle
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Brentford
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    V. Janelt (Brentford) cautioned
  2. 90'
    Yellow Card
    L. Hall (Newcastle) cautioned
  3. 87'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Brentford: M. Damsgaard replaces M. Jensen
  4. 87'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Newcastle: D. Burn replaces K. Trippier
  5. 87'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Newcastle: J. Ramsey replaces S. Tonali
  6. 85'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Brentford by D. Ouattara, assisted by M. Jensen
    3-2
  7. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Brentford: R. Donovan replaces K. Lewis-Potter
  8. 79'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Newcastle by Bruno Guimaraes (pen.)
    2-2
  9. 69'
    Yellow Card
    I. Thiago (Brentford) cautioned
  10. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Newcastle: W. Osula replaces Y. Wissa
  11. 56'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Brentford: Y. Yarmolyuk replaces J. Henderson
  12. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Newcastle: N. Woltemade replaces J. Murphy
  13. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Newcastle: A. Elanga replaces J. Willock
  14. 45'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Brentford by I. Thiago (pen.)
    2-1
  15. 44'
    Yellow Card
    J. Murphy (Newcastle) cautioned
  16. 37'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Brentford by V. Janelt, assisted by D. Ouattara
    1-1
  17. 24'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Newcastle by S. Botman, assisted by Bruno Guimaraes
    0-1

Newcastle vs. Brentford: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Newcastle vs. Brentford
  • Date: Saturday, February 7, 2026
  • Time: 12:30 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Newcastle -105, Brentford +280, draw +270
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-145/+135)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Newcastle: 50.9%
  • Brentford: 25.9%
  • Draw: 23.3%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Premier League data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Newcastle 1-1 Brentford (10.8%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Newcastle vs. Brentford? Prediction & correct score

Newcastle is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 50.9%.

The most likely correct score is Newcastle 1-1 Brentford.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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