Bournemouth vs. Aston Villa Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Bournemouth vs. Aston Villa Premier League match on February 7, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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Aston Villa
1
:
1
Vitality Stadium
Bournemouth
Vitality Stadium
BournemouthAFC
Score Summary
Aston VillaVIL
Rayan (55')
Soccer ball icon
M. Rogers (22')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Bournemouth
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Aston Villa
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Bournemouth: E. Unal replaces Evanilson
  2. 87'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Bournemouth: D. Brooks replaces Rayan
  3. 86'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Aston Villa: L. Bogarde replaces L. Digne
  4. 86'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Aston Villa: T. Abraham replaces O. Watkins
  5. 86'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Bournemouth: A. Smith replaces A. Jimenez
  6. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Aston Villa: R. Barkley replaces Douglas Luiz
  7. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Aston Villa: I. Maatsen replaces J. Sancho
  8. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Aston Villa: L. Bailey replaces E. Buendia
  9. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Bournemouth: R. Christie replaces E. J. Kroupi
  10. 55'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Bournemouth by Rayan, assisted by J. Hill
    1-1
  11. 35'
    Yellow Card
    E. Buendia (Aston Villa) cautioned
  12. 35'
    Yellow Card
    A. Jimenez (Bournemouth) cautioned
  13. 22'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Aston Villa by M. Rogers, assisted by J. Sancho
    1-0

Bournemouth vs. Aston Villa: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Bournemouth vs. Aston Villa
  • Date: Saturday, February 7, 2026
  • Time: 10:00 AM ET
  • Venue: Vitality Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Bournemouth +188, Aston Villa +145, draw +260
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-159/+138)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Bournemouth: 35.2%
  • Aston Villa: 40.8%
  • Draw: 24.0%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Premier League data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Bournemouth 1-1 Aston Villa (10.9%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Bournemouth vs. Aston Villa? Prediction & correct score

Aston Villa is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 40.8%.

The most likely correct score is Bournemouth 1-1 Aston Villa.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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