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Leeds vs. Arsenal Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Leeds vs. Arsenal Premier League game on January 31, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
PREMIER LEAGUE
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Arsenal
4
0
Jan 31, 3PM Elland Road
Leeds
Jan 31, 3PM Elland Road
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
LeedsLU
Score Summary
ArsenalARS
M. Zubimendi (27')
K. Darlow (o.g.) (38')
V. Gyokeres (69')
Gabriel Jesus (86')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
LU
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
ARS
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
86'
Goal scored for Arsenal by Gabriel Jesus, assisted by M. Odegaard
4-0
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Leeds: J. Piroe replaces D. Calvert-Lewin
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Leeds: W. Gnonto replaces A. Stach
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Arsenal: E. Eze replaces L. Trossard
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Arsenal: R. Calafiori replaces P. Hincapie
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Arsenal: Gabriel Jesus replaces V. Gyokeres
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Leeds: F. Buonanotte replaces B. Aaronson
69'
Goal scored for Arsenal by V. Gyokeres, assisted by G. Martinelli
3-0
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Arsenal: M. Odegaard replaces K. Havertz
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Arsenal: G. Martinelli replaces N. Madueke
59'
Yellow Card
J. Timber (Arsenal) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Leeds: S. Longstaff replaces J. Justin
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Leeds: N. Okafor replaces I. Gruev
38'
Goal scored for Arsenal by K. Darlow (o.g.)
2-0
37'
Yellow Card
G. Gudmundsson (Leeds) cautioned
27'
Goal scored for Arsenal by M. Zubimendi, assisted by N. Madueke
1-0

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Leeds vs. Arsenal: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Leeds vs. Arsenal
  • Date: Saturday, January 31, 2026
  • Time: 10:00 AM ET
  • Venue: Elland Road

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Leeds +550, Arsenal -175, Draw +310
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-108/-106)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Leeds: 14.0%
  • Arsenal: 64.5%
  • Draw: 21.5%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Premier League game is Leeds 0-1 Arsenal, which has a correct score probability of 14%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Leeds a win probability of 14.0%, while Arsenal has a win probability of 64.5%. The chance of a draw is 21.5%.

Summary

Our Leeds vs. Arsenal predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Premier League predictions and the best Premier League bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Premier League futures, Premier League odds, and the latest Premier League news.

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