Leeds vs. Arsenal Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Leeds vs. Arsenal Premier League match on January 31, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Arsenal
4
0
Jan 31, 10:00 AM ET Elland Road
Leeds
Jan 31, 10:00 AM ET Elland Road
LeedsLU
Score Summary
ArsenalARS
M. Zubimendi (27')
Soccer ball icon
K. Darlow (o.g.) (38')
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V. Gyokeres (69')
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Gabriel Jesus (86')
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Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Leeds
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Arsenal
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
86'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Arsenal by Gabriel Jesus, assisted by M. Odegaard
4-0
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Leeds: J. Piroe replaces D. Calvert-Lewin
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Leeds: W. Gnonto replaces A. Stach
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Arsenal: E. Eze replaces L. Trossard
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Arsenal: R. Calafiori replaces P. Hincapie
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Arsenal: Gabriel Jesus replaces V. Gyokeres
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Leeds: F. Buonanotte replaces B. Aaronson
69'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Arsenal by V. Gyokeres, assisted by G. Martinelli
3-0
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Arsenal: M. Odegaard replaces K. Havertz
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Arsenal: G. Martinelli replaces N. Madueke
59'
Yellow Card
J. Timber (Arsenal) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Leeds: S. Longstaff replaces J. Justin
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Leeds: N. Okafor replaces I. Gruev
38'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Arsenal by K. Darlow (o.g.)
2-0
37'
Yellow Card
G. Gudmundsson (Leeds) cautioned
27'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Arsenal by M. Zubimendi, assisted by N. Madueke
1-0

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Leeds vs. Arsenal: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Leeds vs. Arsenal
  • Date: Saturday, January 31, 2026
  • Time: 10:00 AM ET
  • Venue: Elland Road

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Leeds +550, Arsenal -175, draw +310
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-108/-106)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Leeds: 14.0%
  • Arsenal: 64.5%
  • Draw: 21.5%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Premier League data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Leeds 0-1 Arsenal (13.6%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

  • Today's best bets
  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Leeds vs. Arsenal? Prediction & correct score

Arsenal is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 64.5%.

The most likely correct score is Leeds 0-1 Arsenal.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Leeds vs. Arsenal, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.