Leeds vs. Arsenal Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Leeds vs. Arsenal Premier League match on January 31, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Arsenal
4
0
Elland Road
Leeds
Elland Road
LeedsLU
Score Summary
ArsenalARS
M. Zubimendi (27')
Soccer ball icon
K. Darlow (o.g.) (38')
Soccer ball icon
V. Gyokeres (69')
Soccer ball icon
Gabriel Jesus (86')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Leeds
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Arsenal
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 86'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Arsenal by Gabriel Jesus, assisted by M. Odegaard
    4-0
  2. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Leeds: J. Piroe replaces D. Calvert-Lewin
  3. 81'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Leeds: W. Gnonto replaces A. Stach
  4. 81'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Arsenal: E. Eze replaces L. Trossard
  5. 76'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Arsenal: R. Calafiori replaces P. Hincapie
  6. 75'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Arsenal: Gabriel Jesus replaces V. Gyokeres
  7. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Leeds: F. Buonanotte replaces B. Aaronson
  8. 69'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Arsenal by V. Gyokeres, assisted by G. Martinelli
    3-0
  9. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Arsenal: M. Odegaard replaces K. Havertz
  10. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Arsenal: G. Martinelli replaces N. Madueke
  11. 59'
    Yellow Card
    J. Timber (Arsenal) cautioned
  12. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Leeds: S. Longstaff replaces J. Justin
  13. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Leeds: N. Okafor replaces I. Gruev
  14. 38'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Arsenal by K. Darlow (o.g.)
    2-0
  15. 37'
    Yellow Card
    G. Gudmundsson (Leeds) cautioned
  16. 27'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Arsenal by M. Zubimendi, assisted by N. Madueke
    1-0

Leeds vs. Arsenal: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Leeds vs. Arsenal
  • Date: Saturday, January 31, 2026
  • Time: 10:00 AM ET
  • Venue: Elland Road

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Leeds +550, Arsenal -175, draw +310
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-108/-106)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Leeds: 14.0%
  • Arsenal: 64.5%
  • Draw: 21.5%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Premier League data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Leeds 0-1 Arsenal (13.6%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Leeds vs. Arsenal? Prediction & correct score

Arsenal is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 64.5%.

The most likely correct score is Leeds 0-1 Arsenal.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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