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Newcastle vs. Aston Villa Prediction, Picks and Odds
Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Newcastle vs. Aston Villa Premier League match on January 25, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
FINAL
PREMIER LEAGUE
FINAL
PREMIER LEAGUE
2
0
Jan 25, 9:00 AM ET
Jan 25, 9:00 AM ET
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Pre-Game PredictionsPre-Game
Pro Bets
Score Summary
E. Buendia (19')
O. Watkins (88')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
- Newcastle
- Aston Villa
Win Probability
Match Timeline
I. Maatsen (Aston Villa) cautioned
Substitution for Aston Villa: V. Lindelof replaces A. Onana
Goal scored for Aston Villa by O. Watkins, assisted by L. Digne
2-0
Substitution for Newcastle: J. Willock replaces S. Tonali
L. Digne (Aston Villa) cautioned
Substitution for Aston Villa: T. Mings replaces P. Torres
Substitution for Aston Villa: L. Digne replaces E. Buendia
Substitution for Aston Villa: L. Bogarde replaces Y. Tielemans
Substitution for Newcastle: A. Elanga replaces A. Gordon
Substitution for Newcastle: N. Woltemade replaces Y. Wissa
Substitution for Aston Villa: L. Bailey replaces J. Sancho
Substitution for Newcastle: J. Ramsey replaces Joelinton
Joelinton (Newcastle) cautioned
Goal scored for Aston Villa by E. Buendia, assisted by M. Rogers
1-0
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Newcastle vs. Aston Villa: Match prediction & analysis
Match overview
- Teams: Newcastle vs. Aston Villa
- Date: Sunday, January 25, 2026
- Time: 9:00 AM ET
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Newcastle +120, Aston Villa +240, draw +270
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-150/+125)
Dimers' win & correct score probabilities
- Newcastle: 43.2%
- Aston Villa: 31.9%
- Draw: 24.9%
These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Premier League data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.
Most likely correct score: Newcastle 1-1 Aston Villa (11.7%)
Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.
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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.
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- Moneyline probabilities
- Total goals probabilities
- Correct score probabilities
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Who will win Newcastle vs. Aston Villa? Prediction & correct score
Newcastle is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 43.2%.
The most likely correct score is Newcastle 1-1 Aston Villa.
But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.
Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.
Responsible gambling
Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Newcastle vs. Aston Villa, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.
