Everton vs. Leeds Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Everton vs. Leeds Premier League match on January 26, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Leeds
1
:
1
Hill Dickinson Stadium
Everton
Hill Dickinson Stadium
EvertonEVE
Score Summary
LeedsLU
T. Barry (76')
Soccer ball icon
J. Justin (28')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Everton
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Leeds
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    F. Buonanotte (Leeds) cautioned
  2. 89'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Everton: Beto replaces T. Barry
  3. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Leeds: S. Longstaff replaces A. Stach
  4. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Leeds: N. Okafor replaces B. Aaronson
  5. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Leeds: F. Buonanotte replaces S. Bornauw
  6. 76'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Everton by T. Barry, assisted by I. Gueye
    1-1
  7. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Everton: T. Dibling replaces N. Patterson
  8. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Leeds: A. Tanaka replaces I. Gruev
  9. 56'
    Yellow Card
    I. Gruev (Leeds) cautioned
  10. 54'
    Yellow Card
    A. Stach (Leeds) cautioned
  11. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Everton: K. Dewsbury-Hall replaces D. McNeil
  12. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Everton: J. Branthwaite replaces H. Armstrong
  13. 28'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Leeds by J. Justin, assisted by A. Stach
    1-0

Everton vs. Leeds: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Everton vs. Leeds
  • Date: Monday, January 26, 2026
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Hill Dickinson Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Everton +150, Leeds +215, draw +215
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+136/-165)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Everton: 39.6%
  • Leeds: 33.0%
  • Draw: 27.3%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Premier League data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Everton 1-1 Leeds (12.9%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win Everton vs. Leeds? Prediction & correct score

Everton is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 39.6%.

The most likely correct score is Everton 1-1 Leeds.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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