Brighton vs. Bournemouth Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Brighton vs. Bournemouth Premier League match on January 19, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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Bournemouth
1
:
1
Amex Stadium
Brighton
Amex Stadium
BrightonBHA
Score Summary
BournemouthAFC
C. Kostoulas (90')
Soccer ball icon
M. Tavernier (pen.) (32')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Brighton
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Bournemouth
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Brighton by C. Kostoulas, assisted by J. P. van Hecke
    1-1
  2. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Bournemouth: V. Milosavljevic replaces A. Jimenez
  3. 89'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Brighton: O. Boscagli replaces F. Kadioglu
  4. 85'
    Yellow Card
    D. Petrovic (Bournemouth) cautioned
  5. 83'
    Yellow Card
    A. Smith (Bournemouth) cautioned
  6. 79'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Bournemouth: B. Diakite replaces A. Adli
  7. 77'
    Yellow Card
    J. P. van Hecke (Brighton) cautioned
  8. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Brighton: C. Kostoulas replaces D. Welbeck
  9. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Bournemouth: A. Smith replaces M. Tavernier
  10. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Bournemouth: R. Christie replaces E. J. Kroupi
  11. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Brighton: Y. Minteh replaces B. Gruda
  12. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Brighton: C. Baleba replaces J. Hinshelwood
  13. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Brighton: G. Rutter replaces D. Gomez
  14. 60'
    Yellow Card
    M. Senesi (Bournemouth) cautioned
  15. 58'
    Yellow Card
    D. Welbeck (Brighton) cautioned
  16. 32'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Bournemouth by M. Tavernier (pen.)
    1-0

Brighton vs. Bournemouth: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Brighton vs. Bournemouth
  • Date: Monday, January 19, 2026
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Amex Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Brighton +100, Bournemouth +270, draw +290

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Brighton: 48.2%
  • Bournemouth: 28.5%
  • Draw: 23.2%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Premier League data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Brighton 1-1 Bournemouth (10.6%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Brighton vs. Bournemouth? Prediction & correct score

Brighton is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 48.2%.

The most likely correct score is Brighton 1-1 Bournemouth.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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